Marcelo Noronha
Management
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. I am Marcelo Noronha. I am here speaking from Cidade de Deus, the headquarter of Bradesco Bank, for the presentation of the results on the second quarter 2024. Now, the time is 10.31 a.m. And it's a pleasure for me to be with you again this morning, this beautiful sunny morning in the town of Osasco in Sao Paulo. And we are here to talk about our results for the second quarter, which hit BRL4.7 billion of net income, growing 12% quarter-on-quarter, meaning that the second vis-a-vis the first quarter of the year, with this ROI that you see here in the screen. And here we have six topics that summarize our net income or summarize what happened in the second quarter of 2024. It could also be the summary and the conclusions that will lead us straight into our Q&A. First of all, we had a solid and safe profitability growth. And here I'm referring to our loan portfolio and the mix that I am about to show you in a moment. We also posted an evolution of net NII driven by client NII quarter-on-quarter and also the reduction in control of loan loss provision expenses. We increased the expanded portfolio in all segments, including in the wholesale bank with emphasis on SME and MSME and individuals. But please note that we are not growing above market rates. We are growing in-line with the market. We had improvement in NPL in all segments, and also we posted growth in the coverage ratio. Operating expenses are growing in-line with our expectations, and naturally with a lot of discipline, we were able to accelerate our footprint, as we've been saying to you before. And finally, we were able to maintain the solid performance in the insurance segment. And further on, I will give you more details about every one of these topics. Our loan portfolio went beyond BRL912 billion with a quarter-on-quarter growth. But I would like to draw your attention to an increase of about 5% of the wholesale bank and moreover, MSMEs with a growth of [10.12%] (ph) and individuals also growing 5.7%. In the case of the MSME, I would like to remind you that here we have middle market segments and also SME market. And moving on, look at the loan portfolio and the mix with similar growth in individuals, 2.5% and 2.5% in companies. I'm speaking about quarter-on-quarter, but this snapshot give you an idea of our mix first. The first conclusion is that we grew in all lines. Secondly, we grew with a very balanced in the mix with insurers, good NPL levels through time, constant speed but not spikes with client NII because here we have payroll deductible loan, real estate loans, These are all very important portfolios for us and rural loans on the individual side which allows us to have a good balance of our mix with low credit risk. Now, maybe the card segment that didn't grow as much is something that I will talk about later on. In terms of companies, look at SMEs or MSMEs with growing 7.2% quarter-on-quarter. And again, here we had good growth in foreign trade, in real state, and working capital. But there was also a very satisfactory growth on the company segment. I'm talking about SMEs and large corporate, with a very good level of guarantees which is higher than what we experienced in previous quarters. This also ensures good balance for us in the next coming quarters. And this also demonstrates, and if you allow me to give a step back, this demonstrates our capacity of attraction or commercial attraction. Every day we deploy new models. We are improving our portfolio management with all of that business unit segment that we put together for the loan portfolio. I mean, traction is also important. I could have all the limits available, but look at the penetration level that we have in all segments. And soon I will talk about fee income recurring revenue. Here I have two charts that we also presented last quarter and here I'm talking about vintages, over 30, but I'm referring to vintages that presented the best correlation of losses in every vintage, four months after credit was granted, what is overdue, you know, more than 90 days. This dotted-line, which is the 100 base, is the average of approvals of 2019. That means prior to the pandemic. And here is the line that we use as our own reference. So in the mass individuals, we have control vintages between 60% and 65% of everything that we approved back in 2019. But we've been gaining traction. Look at the first quarter and then second quarter in the grey bar, how much we evolved, even with that same level of vintages over 30 days, 4 months, and the idea here is that this could be slightly higher, so that we will strike the optimum return level in terms of loans. I can take a little bit more risk here and then this will give me a very good return in terms of NII and delinquency is well behaved going forward. And then I can give you more information about our origination. We are growing in-line with the market. We are growing with good level of solidity and security. Accounts opening, the reference is again back in 2019. In terms of growth in the first quarter, SME, and I'm talking about mass companies, it was more traction in this quarter, but the level is between 60% and 65% of what we used to present in the vintages of 2019. This inflection of the curve is the baseline because it was very low here. It means that the approval rate was very low. We were capturing lower vintages with lower origination, but here we are at the same level of individuals with a drop in delinquency in the next chart as you can see. Now, moving on, here I bring this slide to show you probably three things. First of all, how come we were able to deliver a total of release loans in the second quarter of 2024 of BRL84 billion, BRL34 billion being through digital channels. And why is it that we believe that we will continue to perform as such in the third and fourth quarters as well? With all of these new modeling system and the intensive use of machine learning, increase in personnel, process improvement and everything else we did, even considering credit card management, not only in terms of middle marketing but also SMEs of [BRL3 million to BRL50 million] (ph), I think. There was a change in pre-approval compared to the second quarter of 2023, starting with a base of 100, that was an increase of 20%. But if we look at the volume, there was a growth of 27% in this sense. What does that mean? It means that with the commercial traction that we have in every segment, including in digital channels, naturally we are delivering a client NII that is growing, stable based on that mix that I showed before. But not only based on credit because that's the main leverage, but also based on liabilities because in 2024, we noticed growth of our receivables from clients, but the cost was slightly lower when compared to the same period of 2023. But the third piece of information I have here for you is the evolution of the approval rate. This reinstates what I said before. Be careful with credit risk. Mix adequate pricing, models that are much more adequate using transactional data, use of machine learning, better ratings, particularly in the individual segment. When we talked about the 2019 vintages ratings ranging between [AA and B] (ph), we were bringing 61% of approvals, but today the same vintages are bringing between 74% and 75% of approval rates with ratings between AA and B. But note that if you look back to June 2023 where you see this red curve, it was in the low range of our approvals. Our approvals increased on average in June of this year when compared to June of last year. They grew 25.7%, meaning that was 16% lower than all of the approvals back in 2019, even with that traction and the growth that I showed you before. But also notice that in order to achieve 25.7% in individuals, we grew almost 27%. And small companies, the approval level is lower, is more conservative. And we are very much, you know, with our foot on the ground, therefore we are very comfortable and very reassured in terms of what we've been doing with our credit selection and our growth, growing step by step, but moving forward in terms of our credit risk. And so naturally, we go to our NII, which grew 2.8% quarter-on-quarter, reaching BRL15.6 billion. Natural market NII, given the volatility, notice in the past periods was slightly lower, but we believe that it will grow. But now client NII stood at BRL15.3 billion, growing 5% quarter-on-quarter. And the net interest income in the first quarter of 2024 went to [BRL15.3 billion] (ph) in the second quarter. But notice that in the meantime, if you look at our net NII, we grew substantially, and this growth mainly came from our loan growth, but everything was balanced, less margin, payroll loans, and there were other lines that also helped to make up that mix and also in the corporate segment with that net spread. But look at the NII growth. Quarter-on-quarter we grew 18.7%. And this is what moves the needle in our bottom-line. And this is what we have in terms of client NII. Our delinquency curve is coming down. NPL creation well under control in line with the previous quarter, very close to 100%, but the coverage ratio over 90 days reached 170%. Now, moving on, in terms of our expenses with loan loss provision, we reached BRL7.3 billion, mainly attributed to these two reasons. We had improvements of the vintage's quality and higher efficiency in terms of collection and credit recovery. And this explains and justifies our loan loss provisions. And then we come to another area and this has to do with having the business areas well traction. And I'm referring to fee and commissions revenue that helps our top line. And if you look at it, they grow almost in all the lines with highlights to credit operations, 3.5% quarter-on-quarter. And again, this is due to our commercial traction, to the level of relationship that we have with our client base at different levels. So we also grow in current accounts, you know, 3.1%, and I draw your attention to asset management. We grew, you know, quarter-on-quarter, 6.4%, and AUM grew to BRL33 billion when you compare the second quarter of 2024 versus the first quarter of 2024. And then I draw your attention again to the card income. You know, you saw that our loan portfolio was not growing that much but we are more conservative in terms of the low income client and obviously with those that are non-account holder in terms of capital market we grew 12% almost year-on-year. So with our pricing, risk is lower and capital markets also grew substantially. It's not absolutely regular, but the growth was quite high. Talking about operating expenses, I'd like to draw your attention to our revisiting of the footprint. We've been doing this very carefully with very discipline and you can see a client base again has commercial traction, drawing 1.8 million clients, most of them coming from payroll loans, INSS, public, payroll loans, private payroll loans. And a part of this comes from checking account holders. That also grew in the last quarter. And we point to our indicator in the guidance. First half 2024 compared to first half 2023, up 7.6%. And here, bring you a reconciliation to some points. Personnel and administrative expenses growing 4.3%, or 4.5%, first half 2024 over first half 2023. And this was because of the care and discipline that we've been having in terms of growing our personnel and administrative expenses. But if we look at the complete income statement, you will see other expenses that do have an impact on this indicator. This is 4.5% in representing 7.6%, but I bring you an interesting reconciliation just for your assessment. We are shareholders of all of the companies under EloPar, Livelo, [Alelo, Veloe] (ph) and Cielo. And what we have seen in these companies, for example, Cielo has been doing a lot of transformational work, but they are also investing to grow, to develop their business. And the same goes for Alelo, Veloe, and in these three cases, when we consolidate, we see a two-digit growth in operating expenses. If we were to normalize this level of growth, because it will normalize eventually, our indicator would not be 7.6% but rather 6.2%. As a result of this consolidation, which is positive for the growth of these companies. So this is just a reconciliation to show that our expenses are well under control in the quarter. And then we move to the insurance group, another very strong quarter. Net income of BRL2.2 billion, 12.7% growth quarter-on-quarter, 22% ROE, and this level of revenue of premiums, contribution, savings, bonds, with this level of growth. And why is this happening? Why is this growth happening? Because of commercial traction, competitive products and services, both in the bank and in the insurance group. This is what explains this growth. There is a phenomenon we'll see in relation to the guidance is that in the second quarter of 2023, the result of the insurance operations, net income in our guidance was BRL4.8 billion, in this quarter, BRL4.6 billion. But we are taking strides towards Q3 and Q4 to be well within the guidance regarding the results and operations of the insurance group. This is our expectation, as well as the expectations of the insurance group. Technical provisions, BRL382 billion, growing 2.6% quarter-on-quarter. Our capital will remain practically stable, 10 bps. If we didn't have mark-to-market, given the volatility we've seen in recent quarters, we would have 0.24% up. Capital would have grown even with we growing our loan book. And I'll end the figures part with the guidance. So I'll look at the implicit net income that we decided to deliver, which is a combination of all of these lines. And if you do the math, our colleagues in the sell side, you will see that we are delivering an implicit potential net income which is superior to the middle of the guidance. So we have here some supplementary information which is net interest income minus expanded loan loss provision that will give us an implicit in annual indicator with that band, with that range to facilitate your evaluation. In other words, we continue to pursue each one of the indicators. That's our objective. It's not a gift that we wrap in January 1st and open the gift in December 31. No. We continue to pursue these indicators. We believe that they will grow in the NII. You could see that we are growing client NII quarter-after-quarter, and I draw your attention to the month of June when we grew a little more than the market, but in-line with the market. And you could see the trial balance sheets disclosed by the central bank, you did your evaluations, then we have July. So it's easier for you to see and to realize that this level of growth and everything we've done in May and June will have benefits in the third quarter, which is where we're living now. You don't capture all the value in Q2. And the growth that we show in Q3 will be actually seen in Q4. And speaking about our transformation project, we have been working with a lot of discipline. Cassiano is a CDO and he has the transformation office. They have been working and he has been controlling the team positively, checking the timeline and the deliveries and we detailed all of the execution here and everything is underway. The people have been working strongly and reviewing a lot of things, but we delivered a variable compensation plan for the second half of, which is more meritocratic. And it fits the expectations of our shareholders. And we had accelerated progress in the credit business unit, as I mentioned, with the right pricing, better processes, better collection performance, better portfolio management with this portfolio management BU, bringing people from the market and implementation of models with a much more intense use of machine learning, transactional data. And all of That leads, as I mentioned before, to better ratings in our loans for individuals and for companies and for SMEs. Our expectation for the second half is that we will start our new affluent segment, continued expansion of SMEs, and in the case of Bradesco Expresso, I'd like to stress what I already mentioned in the prior call. We have two important platforms in Bradesco Expresso. One to which we relate with our banking correspondents at the checkout. And they offer a much better experience when we started that delivery in December and January and we started rolling it out to the whole base. This rollout will be completed now in October. And it is very, very important for our strategy in the mass market clients. On the other side, we have the other platform to capture transactions. That is done by a network. We are concluding the rollout. There were four capturing networks, and when this is completely done, what we'll have is, number one, a reduction of operating costs of Bradesco Expresso for their transactions, and that's the first consequence. The second consequence is we'll be in a position to have new investments for the capturing network, as well as for this new platform that relates with the checkout of the banking correspondence. All of this will be done much more easily in a much more friendly environment for those frontline people. I went out in the field. I did visit some small merchants in the countryside of Sao Paulo to see their experience and had excellent feedback from the correspondence, from some correspondence that have been now correspondence since 2005. And the third gain, third consequence is the experience of the commercial banking correspondent and of the individual clients who are served through that channel. And also for SMEs. The SMEs platform also is part of this and it involves CLO. And I move to my final slide with the conclusions and the summary of everything I've said so far. Number one, step-by-step, solid and safe profitability growth. I spoke about the mix, I spoke about pricing, and about the model. We have revenues growing with a positive inflection of the client NII, as well as fee and commission income, the insurance group, everything influencing positively our result. Focus on net NII with a focus on risk adjusted return. I showed a slide with the levers that prove everything we delivered in loan, BRL84 billion approved, and the increase in the NII, client NII, as a result of everything we are doing. And we expect to have better deliveries in Q3 and Q4. Firm plan execution at an accelerated pace of our transformation. And lastly, enhance the client's interest within your way to serve new product formats that will fit different client segments, different than what we did in the past, with other structures, other configurations, and we'll deliver a new app to our clients with a new experience for them as well. We also deliver much greater use of GenAI to help our [B] (ph) to interact not only with our employees in the several segments but also with our clients. So I spoke about the insurance group as well. With a great combined ratio below 90 when we had achieved 90 in recent periods, which is an excellent indicator for the sector. And lastly, I'd like to bring you one more piece of information, some news, which is the hiring of a new officer for our organization, somebody who will be working with our technology team. This man has a vast experience abroad, vast experience in transformation projects. His experience will be added to José team with Edilson, Cinti, and our other colleagues who make up the technology department, but linking more and more technology to the business, to the products department, to clients. He will be joining us most likely by the end of August. That's the expectation. Everything is arranged. And this officer will be bringing great experience in other transformation projects to add to our efforts. So I'll end my presentation here. I'd like to thank you for your attention. And I have my colleague Andre Carvalho, our IRO, and Cassiano Scarpelli, who heads the financial department. He's our CFO and he's also our CTO. And we are available to answer your questions. Thank you very much. Andre, over to you.