Jonathan Johnson
Analyst · D.A. Davidson
Thanks, Adrianne. Our second quarter results were solid. We beat the comp during a quarter with a high bar. We were measured in our spending and generated operating leverage. We delivered $44 million of adjusted EBITDA at a margin of 5.6%. We again delivered profitable growth and within our target margin guardrails. It should be clear that this is the result of purposeful, meaningful foundational changes. Slide 14, please. Our consistent and solid performance is the result of operational changes and organizational discipline and focus. The Overstock team has embraced the changes and the strategy we've implemented. It's now in our DNA. Slide 15, please. I will now discuss our e-commerce business, including our strategy, operations and growth drivers. As I do, you will see how we are achieving these financial results. Slide 16, please. As we mentioned last quarter, Overstock is now a top 4 brand in the large and growing U.S. online furniture and home furnishings market, moving up from the #5 spot last year. Our long-term goal is to move up this list as we continue to take market share. This market is currently estimated at $325 billion. And if GDP is a proxy as it has been historically, many anticipate industry growth to continue in the single digits, perhaps a bit higher this year. The main shift in this market, however, is not whether consumers will continue to buy furniture and decor for their homes, but instead where they will buy those things online, or in store? It appears that a true secular shift in consumer behavior is underway and sticky, accelerated by the pandemic and aided by technology. While everyone we'll learn as society enters and comes through this post-pandemic transition period. There will be short-term shuffling of consumer spending, we believe most of the industry growth will be an online as consumers increasingly opt for the selection, value and convenience of buying online. Overstock is focused on capturing as much of this market share growth as possible, particularly now as this shift is underway. Slide 17, please. 2 years ago when Overstock was at a real inflection point, I mentioned making 3 key decisions. The first was to focus on our e-commerce business, with a singular level of attention we haven't done in years. The second was to assess where the market and competitive landscapes evolve and to purposely determine where we wanted to play. It was time to stop trying to be all things to all people and to get really clear on our strength. We have strategically carved out a niche within the market with specific targeted customers, we feel naturally play to our strength and in a market quadrant that serves significant customer demand. This slide maps the competitive landscape in our relevant positioning. We are exclusively focused on furniture and home furnishings, and we are focused on providing quality goods at great prices. I would also note a third dimension that is a bit more difficult to graphically depict which are the specific customers we target. In the spirit of playing to our strengths, we target customers who are already seeking the value proposition we provide. These customers seek smart value and a low-hassle experience. We believe these customers represent roughly 40% of the market or $130 billion and have a naturally higher propensity to shop with us. You notice one other player in our quadrant. That player does not offer the same quality for the price. It's focused on a different customer and is not taking -- and is not focused on being a pure-play online retailer. We like where Overstock is positioned. We are focused on taking market share in the ample white space within the market. I will now talk to each of our 3 brand pillars, each of which help define Overstock's value proposition. Slide 18, please. Our first brand pillar is product findability. As we continue to further lean into home, it's critical that our customers know us for home furnishings offerings and can quickly and easily find the home products they're looking for. Remember that an easy hassle-free experience is paramount to our target customers. I'll mention 2 updates regarding this brand pillar. First, Sales of home-related goods in the second quarter reached 94%, up from 91% at the end of 2020 and the highest in our operating history. We continue to phase out of non-home products in a measured way. And as we do, increasing the depth and breadth of assortment within our home furnishings product categories. Our goal is for 100% of sales revenue to be home related by this time next year. We believe our focus on home attracts loyal customers who will spend more with us and buy more frequently. Second, we're making good progress on our product findability initiative, which involves overhauling our on-site search functionality and navigation to make finding home products easier, faster and more intuitive. We made great strides in the second quarter by furthering our understanding of our customers' search intent and then providing customers with more relevant and accurate search results and based on that intent. Continued progress in this initiative should result in higher conversion and higher customer satisfaction. It's important that we're seeing is an online furniture and home furnishing destination and that we are finding -- and then we make finding our home products easy and fast. Slide 19, please. Our second brand pillar is smart value. This means offering great products at great prices or said differently, the highest quality products for the price. Our promotional model is critical to attracting and retaining our customer targets. They love finding a deal and they want to feel like they're winning. Our goal remains to win on price post promotion, not to be an everyday low price leader. Last year, we made good progress in clarifying our promotional messaging and refining our pricing model. We want to make sure our products are consistently, competitively priced that builds trust in our brand and helps customer loyalty. As we talked about before, there are really 2 components of pricing, finding comparable products to price match against and then adjusting our price to ensure we are appropriately competitive. The more comparable products we find the better. We increased that number in the second quarter. We also made good progress over the past few quarters and increasing the percentage of those comparable products on which we are priced competitively. We still have work to do, but we are progressing nicely. I would say this is a work that has never truly done. We will always be working to price match more of our products and adjusting our pricing to remain appropriately competitive. I should also mention our free shipping policy, a component of smart value and a benefit that really matters to our customers. In fact, it's a top purchase driver among our target customers. And one of the reasons we made free shipping on everything, a permanent customer benefit last year. It should be no surprise then that relative to competition we continue to compare favorably on our customers' rating of shipping charges. The opportunity for us going forward is to increase awareness of this significant customer benefit. Slide 20, please. Our third brand pillar is easy delivery and support. This includes logistics and delivery, which is getting the right product assortment and then optimizing its journey to the customer. We utilize a partner-based drop-ship model. We have more than 3,000 partners with over 5,000 fulfillment centers nationwide. With a deep partner base allows for high inventory levels and broad product assortment, without utilizing our own capital. It enables us to be nimble and efficient with an asset-light business model. Over the past 1.5 years, we've invested in partner relations in a more meaningful way than we ever have. We're acting like a real partner, collaborating and working together to optimize not only our business but also theirs. We think this is having a positive impact on our ability to source new product and get higher product allocation at a time when inventory is particularly scarce. From a customer experience standpoint, we know that both delivery speed and on-time accuracy matter. For large parcel products, in particular, delivery estimation accuracy matters more, and we improved our estimation capabilities over the past year. We also improved our communications with partners, carriers and customers. This has allowed us to better navigate supply chain disruptions and other unexpected issues. We have an opportunity to improve on speed with a goal to get small parcel deliveries to customers within 2 business days. In short, we really like our operating model. It is capital-light and enables us to scale effectively and efficiently. Slide 21, please. Easy delivery and support also includes customer support. Satisfied customers generally become loyal customers. Our mission, therefore, is to deliver predictable, efficient and effective customer service that results in an easy hassle-free customer experience. That means preventing issues before they arise and resolving them quickly when they do. We aim to resolve most cases on first contact. We've made significant progress over the past year in issue prevention, which resulted in a 27% decrease in customer contact volume in the second quarter compared to the same period 2 years ago. This improvement was largely driven by better communications with customers around product tracking, more accurate delivery updates and increased self-service options. Over the past year, we've added new automation and self-service functionality to the site, which enables customers to do things like request a replacement part or start a return without the need to talk to an agent. In addition to reducing cost, it also results in higher customer satisfaction, which often correlates to higher customer retention. Customers really like being able to help themselves. Self-service as a percentage of total customer service cases increased in the second quarter, both sequentially and year-over-year, and is up 4.5x versus the same period 2 years ago. We are focused on enhancing our customer service functionality and on increasing customer utilization of this offering. Those are our 3 brand pillars, which together form our differentiated value proposition and guide our strategy. Slide 22, please. We intend to live by our mantra of sustainable, profitable market share growth. Listed on this slide are some but certainly not all of the key drivers that we believe will fuel continued growth. We're improving product findability for a faster, easier customer experience. We're increasing the breadth and depth of our home goods assortment. We're expanding internationally, first into Canada, shipping to our Canadian customers from Canada instead of from the U.S. Our new Canadian customer experience site is now live. And over time, we expect that our Canadian business will be roughly 10% of the size of our domestic business. We expect to take what we learned from the Canadian expansion and use it as a template for future international expansion efforts. We have a great mobile app, but it remains under adopted. We're working to improve that. We're focused on optimizing our marketing channels and increasing direct traffic. We are hyper-focused on improving customer retention, improving the customer experience helps with that. We're establishing our government business. That continues to ramp slowly, but we are adding new products daily, improving the site and making business development efforts at the state and local level. We think government is a meaningful long-term opportunity. And how do we think there is a big opportunity to increase Overstock's brand association with home, particularly as these home customers are twice as likely to purchase from us. In short, we feel well positioned with many levers to pull to continue to grow and to achieve our long-term plan. Slide 23, please. As I've mentioned many times before, we believe that we are in the middle of a secular shift in consumer behavior as people are increasingly buying furniture and home furnishings online. We have intentionally said our near to medium-term growth and margin targets accordingly, informed by our desire to take market share while consistently delivering profitability. When we feel the industry has reached a natural maturation point, we may consider revising our targets and establishing a longer-term margin framework. Our targets are as [indiscernible] with the goal of achieving these consistently quarter in and quarter out. Top line outpacing the market, driven by our technology, our customer focus, and our business model. Gross margins in the 22% range, which may fluctuate slightly from quarter-to-quarter. Disciplined spending, particularly in G&A and tech expense, to continue to drive operating lever and adjusted EBITDA margins in the mid-single digits. Overstock is now operating at a new level. The structural changes and improvements we've made and will continue to make will prove out in consistent metrics and performance. Slide 24, please. Next, I'll briefly discuss significant updates on the Medici Ventures Fund. Slide 25. There have been a few updates worth noting to some of the Medici Venture fund businesses since our April earnings call, all of which were publicly disclosed. tZERO has been busy executing on high priority items. It has signed several partnership agreements and is working through due diligence to get additional new assets trading on the ATS, including partnering with Wazuzu to bring NFTs to market. tZERO is encouraged by the SEC rule, the heightens OTC eligibility requirements for private companies. tZERO also launched its new crypto app at the end of June, which enables significantly higher trading limits, the trading of additional cryptocurrencies and instant settlement. As previously announced tZERO's capital raise is in process. As it has each of the last 3 quarters, tZERO will host an investor update call next month. I encourage you to tune in for tZERO's update. In an effort to keep you appraised of significant progress made by the Medici Venture Fund companies, we plan to continue to provide some updates in our quarterly earnings call aligned to what has been disclosed publicly. Slide 26, please. I'll now briefly recap the quarter and provide some additional color before we move to Q&A. Slide 27, please. In summary, Overstock delivered another quarter of both growth and profitability. Our go-forward outlook is bright enough that we've released a tax valuation allowance this quarter. We also deconsolidated the Medici Ventures businesses and recorded a gain on their adjustment to fair value. It's great to have that transaction closed and Pelion managing the portfolio which frees us up to focus on our e-commerce business. Going forward, we will continue to execute against our focused strategy to deliver sustainable, profitable market share growth. We're now operating at an entirely new level. We do not give guidance, and we typically do not like to comment on our expectations in any given quarter. However, because we know it may be helpful as we lap the pandemic quarters, we will provide additional color today. Do not expect us to continue this practice. The third quarter has started slightly slower. Quarter-to-date, GMS is down single digits year-over-year. We've seen what we think is a short-term shift in behavior as consumers have stopped to cocooning at least and if only for the summer and have released some past demand in areas like travel and entertainment. This is not entirely unexpected. And we've seen some of our competitors significantly and, in my opinion, inefficiently increasing their online ad spend in an effort to make up for losing market share. Time will tell on both these. In the meantime, the Overstock team is focused on driving third quarter sales. The third quarter that has the Labor Day Home Furnishings event followed by our customer service -- followed by our customer day event still to come. I remain bullish on the health of the large and growing online home furnishing space. A space we're purposefully in and that is supported by favorable long-term macroeconomic trends. We anticipate delivering consistent profitability under our margin framework and continuing to take market share, including in the remainder of 2021. And as I suspect you'll see as our competitors announced their Q2 results in the coming weeks that Overstock took a real market share in Q2. And I'm confident we can continue to do this quarter after quarter. We love our space and we are confident in our future trajectory. Now let's take some questions.