Earnings Labs

Barrick Mining Corporation (B)

Q3 2006 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 2, 2006

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Barrick Gold third quarter 2006 results conference call. During the presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. Afterward, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded Thursday, November 2, 2006. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jim Mavor, Vice President of Investor Relations, to introduce the call. Please go ahead, sir.

James Mavor

Management

Thank you, Operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on Barrick's third quarter results conference call. Earlier this morning, we issued a press release and posted on our website our financial statements, MD&A, and third quarter mine statistics. Please call our investor relations department in Toronto if you would like a copy of these. I am joined today by Greg Wilkins, our CEO, who will chair this call, and Peter Kinver, Alex Davidson, Patrick Garver, and Jamie Sokalsky. Greg will review the third quarter results and highlights, and Peter will provide an update on our operations. Then we will open it up for questions. Before we begin, I will read the forward-looking statement. During the course of this call, management will be making forward-looking statements. For a complete discussion of the risks and uncertainties that lead to a difference between our actual financial results and performance, please see our AIF or our most recent year-end report. Over to you, Greg.

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

Thanks, Jim. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us this morning. As Jim mentioned, we will be reviewing the third quarter, which was quite a good quarter. Before I actually get into that, I would like to just draw everyone’s attention to a little announcement in our press release. As you know, social responsibility in mining is important, has been important, and is growing increasingly in importance, so I am very pleased to be able to say that just two days ago at a ceremony in Ottawa, Barrick was the recipient of the Award for Excellence in Corporate, Social, and Ethical Responsibility for integrated agriculture and livestock project in Peru. It was an award that was presented by the Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters, in conjunction with the Canadian International Development Agency. It is important because it recognizes that Barrick's corporate social responsibility policies on an international basis are working very well and are at a high standard, and is just I think some recent third-party recognition of much of the hard work that our people in this area engage in. It was certainly a good quarter for us from an operational and financial perspective. We declare victory on the integration of Placer. We ran an analyst tour down to our Nevada operations, which represent 40% of our business, and I think people were able to draw their own conclusions with respect to how well the integration has gone at the operating level, and certainly it was clear that we have a very, very strong management team and excellent exploration potential in that whole Nevada region. We have had almost universally good feedback from that trip, and I think that is really the best way for people to judge what we are doing, is to go and see it for…

Peter J. Kinver

Management

Thanks, Greg. Turning to our results, we have summarized the Q3 production and cash costs by region on this slide. The quarterly production was 2.2 million ounces, the total cash cost per ounce of $281. While I am pleased with our operating results for the first nine months of the year, the fourth quarter is expected to be our strongest production quarter. Looking at each of the regions, in North America Goldstrike, the Q3 production was lower at 356,000 ounces and cash costs of $368 an ounce were higher than each of the first two quarters of the year, because we price our stockpile ore during the quarter and the ore chemistry affects limited throughput. The ore chemistry effects related to the burning of the ore have been mitigated with burning of concentrates and we expect to seen an improvement in both production and cash flows in Q4. At Cortez we are beginning to see a turnaround, as expected. The mine had a good operational quarter producing significantly more than the first couple of quarters in ’06 and at lower cash costs. The mine is expected to have a similar performance in Q4. Bald Mountain expected to see a substantial improvement in the second half and delivered on that in Q3. Production was slightly higher than Q2 and substantially better than the earlier part of the year at a slightly improved cash cost. Q4 is expected to be similar to the Q3 performance. Please see that two of these Placer assets are having a better performance, certainly at Cortez and Bald Mountain. In South America, overall operations continue to go well. At Lagunas Norte, the mine continues to perform exceptionally well. Q3 saw higher ore grades resulting in higher production and lower cash cost than the previous two quarters. The mine remains on track to contribute over 1 million ounces of production in 2006 at lower cash costs. Veladero continued through the transition from Filo Mario into the higher grade at Amable, and resulted in a better production in Q3. The mine is expected to put forth solid operational performance in Q4 and meet full-year guidance. As Greg mentioned, Zaldivar had a very good quarter, and at these current prices, obviously producing a large contribution. In Australia Pacific region, Cowal, as Greg mentioned, had a slower startup. I am pleased say the mine has commissioned a second mill and tonnage throughput should improve. At Kalgoorlie, they had lower production levels which continued in Q3 but we expect to have a better Q4 as we transition into softer ore, and the cash costs were impacted as a result of the lower production levels. In Africa, North Mara production continued to improve in Q3 as a result of increased shovel efficiencies and drilling capacity resulting from two new drill rigs, that we acquired during the latter part of Q2. Also mining in the Kanowna pits, a reduction in processing stockpiles, as a result of higher production.

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

Thanks Peter. Just before we open up for questions I want to take a minute to review the offer for NovaGold. You all know that we increased the offer to $16 per share and this is our best and final price, given what we understand of the assets from the information that has been published. It is a significant premium to certainly the price of the Nova shares prior to the bid and perhaps more importantly it is a significant premium to the price at which Nova itself issued equity for back in February. It is a premium of almost 37% and is clearly in line with premiums that have been paid in other similar types of transactions. It really boils down to a point where the shareholders can take the cash offer or they can take on the significant permitting, development, operating, financing and commodity price risks that are embedded in the two major projects that Nova has that are of particular interest to us, Galore Creek and Donlin Creek. Of course we know Donlin as we are the operator earning our 70% interest which we are highly confident we will do. Galore Creek also a major project and by the numbers that have been published the total CapEx for these two projects is in the $4 billion area and as we all know, major large projects like this have suffered, and continue to suffer cost inflation. In fact Nova itself in going from pre-feasibility to feasibility noted a 60% odd increase in capital, some $700 million more capital costs for Galore Creek than in just a one-year period from that pre-feasibility to the feasibility study information they gave us. We had anticipated that with our experience in large projects and we see the way they go even for…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from John Bridges - JP Morgan.

John Bridges

Analyst

Hi Greg. I just wondered, did you give us any sort of guidance as to which way your production is going to go next year, to go with your cash cost guidance?

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

I think we added a couple of things about Goldstrike and we are not opening any new mines next year. We have to’ing and fro’ing within the portfolio. I just wanted to draw people’s attention to Goldstrike because of that mining sequencing issue, people may not be aware of it. Veladero is likely to get into its higher grade material a tad later than we had originally anticipated as we go into the new ore body there. But on balance, we will be providing the full guidance as we compile it all, over the course of the next month or so.

John Bridges

Analyst

So, flattish?

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

Yes, it is going to be in that order of magnitude.

John Bridges

Analyst

On NovaGold, in other circumstances like this companies have taken less than 50% and picked up extra in the marketplace. Is that a possibility?

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

We are going to see what happens on the 7th. We have the 50.1% condition. I would look at and say to myself if the significant majority of NovaGold shareholders reject the bid and its clear that $16 is not enough to clear the market, then and I think we wouldn’t waive the condition. If we have got close, we will have to give it some consideration and see what we want to do, because that would be a pretty overwhelming endorsement of the price that we are offering.

John Bridges

Analyst

So you are able to waive the 50.1% at your own will?

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

Yes. We have clearly the flexibility to waive and extend. We would have to extend it for ten days under the securities law if we waive the conditions.

John Bridges

Analyst

Okay. If I may, just a quick one on Kalgoorlie, could you give us guidance as to what’s going on there? Are we looking at continued lower grades or just in a bad patch now, what can we expect? The underground, is there much future there Pete?

Peter J. Kinver

Management

John, maybe I can answer that. The Kalgoorlie has not had a great year. There has been various issues. We had to replace a girsky, which I think we mentioned. When we got the new girsky on, we found that we weren’t getting the additional tonnage through that we had hoped. The ore appears to be harder from some of the areas of mining which has impacted throughput rates. The grade next year will be very similar, if not slightly down, next year. But as Greg mentioned, I think what exasperates the situation for us at Kalgoorlie is a fair amount of turnover of people and this doesn’t help the continuity of those operations. But at the moment, it is receiving a great deal of focus from the region.

John Bridges

Analyst

Do you have better grade, mature and in prospect? Or should we expect it to drift lower over time?

Peter J. Kinver

Management

I think next year the grade, I don’t have the numbers in front of me, but next year’s grade is slightly down on this year, and the underground potential, there certainly is potential. We have plans to look at accessing some of those ore bodies which eventually will be the final pit wall by means of underground.

John Bridges

Analyst

Okay, thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Victor Flores - HSBC.

Victor Flores

Analyst

Thanks. I have a few minor questions. First of all, when you mentioned lower production from Goldstrike due to stripping, I suspect you meant 15% lower from Betze-Post as opposed to Goldstrike complex?

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

Correct.

Victor Flores

Analyst

Okay, great thanks. Second question goes to some of the accounting issues. I see that you show cash costs for South Deep in the quarter of $100 per ounce. Is that due to a credit due to the insurance settlement?

Jamie C. Sokalsky

Analyst · Michael Fowler. Please go ahead

Yes it is Victor.

Victor Flores

Analyst

Hi Jamie. So did that insurance settlement amount make it through into the income statement?

Jamie C. Sokalsky

Analyst · Michael Fowler. Please go ahead

What is does is, yes, it comes in through the income statement as a credit against our cash costs. We haven’t finalized the insurance settlement yet. It’s not a material amount, the amount that has gone through the income statement up to this point. It’s in the neighborhood of about $15 million.

Victor Flores

Analyst

$15 million to Barrick’s account?

Jamie C. Sokalsky

Analyst · Michael Fowler. Please go ahead

Yes.

Victor Flores

Analyst

A question about Pascua. Could you just update us on the timeline for the project and some of the milestones? Because you note in the press release that you are now looking at a 2010 start up.

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

We are in the throes of getting the principal environmental permit done in Argentina. I think we have a couple more of the technical reports that need to filed and then the consolidated report will enable the government and the regulators to make a decision on that. We have been told that should happen some time in the fourth quarter. With that planning, then we will be modifying the construction start date because of the winter season, because really the delivery of the permit going from the third quarter to the fourth quarter is going to restrict our ability to get the construction underway as aggressively as we had originally hoped. So that does back up the production start to 2010.

Victor Flores

Analyst

So really we are going into the spring now in Chile. So you really wouldn’t be able to get going in a big way until almost a year from now?

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

The winter season is our summer season. So I mean it’s not that there won’t be any work done, obviously, but in terms of being able to get on with the construction of the plant facilities themselves, you need to be able to erect your structures during the summer season. So we don’t want to be halfway into it and then have the winter season hit, put things on a hold. So we would rather more prudently undertake a construction schedule that would give us the time to do it properly.

Victor Flores

Analyst

Okay, great, thank you very much.

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

Thank you, Victor.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Kerry Smith - Haywood Securities.

Kerry Smith

Analyst

Thank you. Greg, just on the closing of the South Deep transaction, is there anything left that is outstanding that could delay it into Q1, or do you expect that it will definitely close this quarter?

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

We are targeting Q1, Kerry. I think I misspoke if I said otherwise, but we have been saying we anticipate closing in Q1. I do not think there are any impediments that should interfere with that timing.

Kerry Smith

Analyst

Okay. Sorry, maybe I misunderstood you. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of John Tumazos from Prudential Equity. Please go ahead.

John Tumazos

Analyst · John Tumazos from Prudential Equity. Please go ahead

Could you give us a little background on the [inaudible] contributed to Highland Gold, and the decisions to basically operate through another company in Russia? Are there issues of language and logistics and culture? Some people are predicting Russia will be the number one gold producer in the world in five or ten years, and I think that is probably a very important region to stay active.

Alexander J. Davidson

Analyst · John Tumazos from Prudential Equity. Please go ahead

First of all, the consolidation of the ownership of the joint venture assets that we have with Highland will help us to do the exploration and development of those projects much more efficiently. What we are doing is really taking Highland’s portfolio of development projects, most of which we have a 50% interest in, and combining it with our technical expertise, our exploration guys, and our exploration projects as well. I agree with your comments on Russia. I think it is an important place to be, and this is certainly -- Barrick is not leaving Russia at all. As a controlling shareholder in Highland, we now have exposure and control over the operations, the development projects, and the exploration in Russia and in Central Asia as well. The major projects are Taseevskoye, which is a 50-50 joint venture, so we are putting the other half into that. That is a development project in Chita, where there is also a couple of other exploration properties around Taseevskoye, and we certainly look at Chita as one of the areas in Russia that both has high potential and is somewhat easier to operate in, being in southeastern Russia. There are a couple of projects in Chukotka, which have high potential but is a difficult area in which to operate, as well as Mayskoye, which is Highland’s property in Chukotka, so we are looking at focusing in Chukotka, in Chita, and in Khabarovsk, where Highland will have their MMV mine and we are contributing our half of Belaya Gora, and another earlier stage exploration property. As well, we have two or three properties in Kyrgyzstan that Barrick has been working on over the past couple of years on a 100% basis, and they are all going into Highland.

John Tumazos

Analyst · John Tumazos from Prudential Equity. Please go ahead

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Mark Smith from Dundee Securities. Please go ahead.

Mark Smith

Analyst · Mark Smith from Dundee Securities. Please go ahead

Just a small issue. The $79 million you charged against the previously announced Placer Dome hedges, was that included in the reduction in net income of $0.05, or was that an additional $0.09 reduction in net income for the quarter?

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

Mark, that is an additional reduction in the quarter. After tax, that would be about $0.07. So our earnings would have been $0.07 higher had we had to amortize that $79 million in the quarter.

Mark Smith

Analyst · Mark Smith from Dundee Securities. Please go ahead

You wouldn’t have considered that an unusual item, so it would be $0.58 before unusual item?

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

We certainly could have included that in there. As we have taken down our hedge position in the past and recognized opportunity costs, we have certainly highlighted it as an item, as we have done this quarter, but we have not included it in the traditional unusual items like the ones that we had this quarter. It is certainly fine for you to include that in your own report.

Mark Smith

Analyst · Mark Smith from Dundee Securities. Please go ahead

Thanks very much, guys.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of David Gagliano.

David Gagliano

Analyst · David Gagliano

Speaking of amortization, do you have any update on the timing with regard to when you will allocate the Placer Dome good will?

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

We will be doing that in the fourth quarter, David. As you can appreciate, it is a pretty complicated process and some of that also depends on the long-range mine planning purposes, so we are getting there. We will have that done in the fourth quarter.

David Gagliano

Analyst · David Gagliano

Great, thanks. Just switching over to Gold Strike for a second, Greg, you mentioned that the 15% dip in ’07 is primarily a mine sequencing issue. I am wondering then, should we expect Gold Strike production to rebound in 2008?

Peter J. Kinver

Management

We are going to see a slight improvement. Not a rebound, but as we get back into higher grade and have a greater percentage, obviously the head grades will get a little bit higher and hopefully produce better ounces.

David Gagliano

Analyst · David Gagliano

Okay, so we should see a bit of a bounce then? Then, last question, on the 15% to 18% increase in cash costs in ’07 versus ’06, I am wondering if you could just give us a little visibility into where you expect those increases? Is it primarily Gold Strike or are we seeing increases elsewhere, and if so, where?

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

David, we are going to come out with complete guidance in February. It is a bit early to go through it in detail, but it is mostly really sort of a grade issue at Gold Strike, which we have talked about. There is still some inflationary impact on costs contributing to that 15% to 18% range. There is a fair amount of to’ing and fro’ing amongst all the mining operations relative to this year, so once we have had a chance to consolidate all of our information and get it to our board, then we will be in a position to bring it out to you guys in February.

David Gagliano

Analyst · David Gagliano

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Michael Fowler. Please go ahead.

Michael Fowler

Analyst · Michael Fowler. Please go ahead

Peter, just a follow-up on the Gold Strike question. What is the grade of the stockpiles at Gold Strike?

Peter J. Kinver

Management

I do not have those in front of me, but they are probably -- the mix should be around about 3 grams, 2.5 grams to 3 grams.

Michael Fowler

Analyst · Michael Fowler. Please go ahead

Thank you. Just for Jamie, what was the thinking -- I mean, you did not deliver into any contracts in the Barrick hedge book this quarter. It seems that you are bullish on gold. I was a bit surprised that you did not deliver some of the hedges.

Jamie C. Sokalsky

Analyst · Michael Fowler. Please go ahead

Michael, we actually took 300,000 ounces out of the position by essentially going into the market and closing them up by converting them into floating contracts, so we did reduce the position by 300,000 ounces, but we did not deliver any of those contracts into production. We are continuing to chip away by getting rid of committed ounces and turning them back into floating, which will allow us to ride the gold price up and when that gold price is higher, then we can actually deliver those and take advantage of higher spot prices, which are now floating on those contracts. We still are bullish on gold. This gives us more flexibility as to riding the price up and delivering them at higher prices.

Michael Fowler

Analyst · Michael Fowler. Please go ahead

So effectively, you are taking less of a hit on the hedge book by converting to floating rates, I guess.

Jamie C. Sokalsky

Analyst · Michael Fowler. Please go ahead

We are being opportunistic by -- we are saying when the price came back down here to well below $600, let’s open those contracts up again and if we are right and the gold price does increase substantially from here, then we deliver it at a much better price in the future, so we are being opportunistic with the timing of those contracts, but we have effectively taken them off the books.

Michael Fowler

Analyst · Michael Fowler. Please go ahead

Okay. Thanks very much.

Gregory C. Wilkins

Management

Thanks, Mike. I want to thank everybody for joining us today. Of course, as always, please feel free to contact Jim and our IR group if more questions arise over the course of your review of the information. We look forward to reconvening in February. Thanks again.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude the conference call for today. We thank you for your participation and ask that you please disconnect your lines.