Joe Henry
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Thank you, Albert, and good morning, everyone. During the quarter, we generated positive results, which included operating income of 51 million, and an annualized operating ROE of 3.9%. Our net income for the quarter was $248 million compared to 279 million in Q3 2014. Our diluted book value per common share grew to $53.68, an increase of 4% compared to last quarter and an increase of 8% over the last 12 months. Adjusting for common dividends declared, the increase in book value per share was 10% over the last 12 months. Our net income this quarter reflected the termination fee of $280 million and $35 million in merger expense reimbursements received following the termination of our amalgamation agreement with PartnerRe. During the quarter, we also implemented a three enhancement initiatives including the wind-down of our Australian retail insurance operations, which resulted in the recognition of reorganization and related expenses of $46 million, and additional corporate expenses of $5 million. Our results continue to benefit from continued favorable prior year development in loss reserves and a decrease in our general and administrative of expenses. Our net income this square was impacted by a decrease in net earned premiums and an increase in catastrophe and weather-related losses driven by the losses related to the Tianjin port explosion. We also reported decrease in our net investment income, net realized investment losses, and an increase in unrealized losses on our available-for-sale investment portfolio, which reflected the negative performance of equity markets, the widening of credit spreads in non-government bonds and foreign exchange volatility in the third quarter. As you are no doubt aware of the global investment markets continue to be volatile and the performance of the markets since the end of September has been positive resulting in a substantial recovery of the losses we reported in the third quarter. Moving into the details of the income statement, our third quarter gross premiums written increased by 4% to $937 million. After adjusting for the impacts of movements in foreign exchange rates, the quarter-on-quarter increase was 6% with an increase in our insurance segment partially offset by a decrease in our reinsurance segment. For the third quarter our insurance segment reported growth in top-line of $51 million, or 9%, adjusted for FX, the growth was 11%. We reported increase premiums written in our accident and health lines driven by new business primarily in the Middle East. Our liability lines increased reflecting continued growth in our U.S. primary and excess casualty business and we experienced growth in our credit and political lines. These increases were partially offset by the reductions in aviation lines mainly due to timing differences. Our reinsurance top-line growth was down 12%, excuse me, 12 million or 3%, 2% on a constant currency basis this quarter compared to the same period in 2014. Similar to what we reported in earlier quarters this year, the variances in our reinsurance premiums continue to be impacted by significant number of treaties written on a multiyear basis during 2014 which reduced premium available for renewal during the current quarter. After adjusting for the impact of multiyear contracts and FX our reinsurance gross premiums written increased by $59 million or 21%. The increase was primarily driven by liability lines due to increased participations and new business and property lines due primarily to a large new proportional treaty. These increases were partly offset by a decrease in catastrophe lines driven by continued difficult market conditions and resulting treaty restructurings. On a year-to-date basis, our total gross premiums written were $3.8 billion, a decrease of 4%, 1% without FX, compared to the same period in 2014. The variance was driven by decreases in the reinsurance segment due to the impacts of the contracts written on a multiyear basis as well as the negative impact of foreign exchange movements. After adjusting for the multiyear contracts and FX, reinsurance gross premiums written increased by $23 million year-over-year driven by motor lines due to new business and favorable premium adjustments as well as new business in property and liability lines. These increases were partially offset by lower premiums in property catastrophe, agriculture, and professional lines driven by treaty restructurings and non-renewals. The decrease in reinsurance was partially offset by growth in insurance with increases in accident, health and liability lines for the same reasons I discussed in the quarterly results which were partially offset by decreases in the property lines reflecting continued competitive market conditions. Our net premiums written were down 1% for the quarter and 8% for the year. The movements reflect variances in the level of gross premiums written as well as an increase in premiums ceded across both of our segments. Premiums ceded increased in insurance driven by increased reinsurance protection purchased primarily in our professional lines and changes in the business mix. Increased retrocessions in our reinsurance cat lines also contributed to the overall increase in premiums ceded. Our net premiums earned decreased by 5% to $919 million in the third quarter of 2015 and by 5% to $2.8 billion for the year-to-date compared to the same periods in last year. Net premiums earned decreases 3% on a constant currency basis reflected reductions in both segments. The reinsurance segment decreased reflects reduction in the business written in certain lines of business, most notably catastrophe in recent periods as well as an increase in the premium ceded reflecting the increased catastrophe retrocessional covers. In insurance the growth in business written in recent periods was more than offset by increase in ceded premiums. Our third quarter consolidated current exiting year launch ratio increased by 2.1 points to 65.9% compared to the same period of last year. During the quarter, we reported $43 million in losses related to catastrophe and weather events including the Tianjin port explosion of $30 million and adverse weather losses in the U.S. of $13 million, which compared to the $22 million of such losses, reported in the same period of last year. Our ex-cat and weather current year loss ratio decreased modestly by four tens of 1% to 61.1% primarily due to an improvement in the loss experience in our agricultural lines. You will recall that 2014 was a very difficult year for the agricultural line of business while so far in 2015 experience for this business has been much closer to expectations. The improvements in agriculture during 2015 were partially offset by a change in the mix of business in our reinsurance segment and the impact of lower rates. Our reinsurance segment loss ratio was impacted by an increase in catastrophe and weather losses during the quarter. We reported $24 million of such losses including $20 million related to Tianjin compared to 3 million reported in the same period last year. After adjusting for cat and weather events, the current accident year loss ratio was consistent with 2014 at 62.3%. The reinsurance segment loss ratio increased primarily to changes in business mix. As we have reported in prior quarters, we continue to take actions aimed at reducing the volatility of our book of business, primarily by reducing the level of business written in catastrophe lines. These lines have seen pricing in terms deteriorate for a number of periods and industry conditions are expected to remain difficult. We have also increased our writings in more stable, longer tail lines of business such as motor and liability. While these lines are less volatile in terms of losses incurred, they do attract higher loss ratio compared to the catastrophe lines which increases the overall segment loss ratio in periods of relatively low catastrophe loss activity. During Q3, 2015 we also reported higher losses incurred in the credit and surety lines, however, these increases have been fully offset by the improvement in the agricultural loss provisions. During the third quarter our insurance segment reported $19 million of catastrophe and weather-related losses including $10 million for Tianjin compared to $90 million during the same quarter 2014. After adjusting for these events, the current accident year loss ratio decreased point seven tenths of 1% to 59.9%. Insurance segment loss ratio benefited from decreases in property and credit and political risk, midsized and attritional losses and improvements due to changes in our business mix which more than offset the impact of lower rates which reflects current, challenging market conditions. We also noted continue loss ratio improvement in our U.S. professional lines following the significant efforts aimed at reshaping this book of business over the last 18 months. In this quarter, these improvements were partially offset by increased loss experience in our Australian professional book which we announced earlier this month as being wound down. The improvement noted in our insurance lines was also partially offset by a higher incidence of Marine midsized losses driven by an above average number of large industry events. While this line of business came from time to time we exposed the significant loss events, I would like to emphasize that this line of business has been historically very profitable for our company. In the first nine months of 2015, our current accident year loss ratio was 65.8% compared to 63.7%. Current year was impacted by the Tianjin port loss explosion of $30 million and weather events of 60 million along the same -- and while in the same period last year we reported catastrophe and weather events of $72 million. After adjusting for these events the current accident year loss ratio increased by 1.3% to 62.5, primarily due to a change in business mix and the impact of lower rates partially offset by improvements in the reinsurance agricultural lines. On year-to-date basis, the reinsurance segment current exiting loss ratio net of cat and weather was up 2.4% to 62.3 compared to 2014, primarily due to the changes in business mix, I discuss earlier and the impact of lower rates partially offset by an improvement in agricultural loss provisions. Our insurance segment current exiting year loss ratio net of cat and weather was comparable year over year at 62.6% with decreases in property midsized losses and decreases in professional lines due to the profit improvement actions, offset by the increase in marine midsized losses, a higher credit and political risk loss ratio and the impact of lower rates. Turning to loss reserves established in prior years, our results continue to benefit from net favorable loss development which aggregated $45 million during the third quarter. Short-tail classes in both segments contributed $38 million of this balance, primarily reflecting better than expected loss emergence as well as reserve reductions related to storm Sandy, a $15 million in our insurance segment. For the year to date these short-tail lines contributed $61 million a net favorable prior-year development. In addition, we continue to give way to actual methods that reflect our favorable experience for liability and professional reinsurance business which contributed a further $13 million of favorable development for the quarter. Favorable prior year loss development was also reported in motor and credit surety reinsurance lines of $9 million and $7 million respectively. Which was partially offset by adverse loss developments in the insurance, professional and liability lines of $15 million and $6 million, respectively. Adverse development in our insurance professional lines reflected reserve strengthening resulting from an updated actuarial assumption for our Australian professional lines and was partially offset by favorable development in certain of our U.S. professional lines. The net adverse development on insurance liability business primarily related to a higher frequency of large auto liability claims. On a year-to-date basis, our favorable loss development was 166 million compared to 193 million recognized during the first, first nine months of 2014. During the third quarter and the first nine months of 2015, our acquisition cost ratio increased by 0.7 points and 0.5 points respectively, compared to the same periods in 2014 driven by increases in the reinsurance segment. These increases were primarily due to higher acquisition cost paid in certain lines of business, changes in the mix of business and adjustments related to loss sensitive features in reinsurance contracts primarily due to prior year loss reserve releases. Our G&A ratio was 15.7% for the current quarter compared to 15.9% last year. The decrease in G&A expenses between periods was primarily driven by the receipt of amalgamation expense reimbursements from PartnerRe of $35 million and lower operational excellence initiative cost compared to last year, partially offset by PartnerRe merger related expenses incurred during the quarter of $27 million and reorganization related corporate expenses of $5 million dollars. The reduction in net earned premiums largely mitigated the mitigated the impact of the reductions in G&A expenses on the G&A ratio in the quarter and was the main driver in the increase in overall G&A ratio for the first nine months of 2015. Overall, the company reported underwriting income of $56 million and a combined ratio of 96.6% for the quarter. On a year-to-date basis our underwriting income was $214 million with combined ratio of 95.7%. During the third quarter we implemented a number of profitability enhancement initiatives which resulted in the recognition of reorganization and related expenses of $46 million and additional corporate expenses of $5 million. The organization and related expenses included staff severance and related costs, the write-off of certain information technology assets, lease cancellation costs and a write-down of certain customer based intangibles, following the decision to wind down our Australian retail operations. Net investment income was $46 million for the quarter, down from $89 million in the previous quarter and down from $67 million in the third quarter of last year. The most significant drivers of the decrease was the contribution to net investment income by our other investments portfolio. Other investments produced a $27 million loss during the quarter versus a gain of $14 million last quarter and a loss of $3 million in the third quarter of the prior year. The decrease in net investment income from other investments was primarily due to a decrease in income from hedge funds which were impacted by the weaker performance of the equity markets during the quarter. Income from our fixed maturity portfolio was $76 million for the quarter, down slightly from the last quarter's $78 million and up slightly from $75 million in the prior year. In aggregate, the total return of our cash investment portfolio was a negative 0.3% including the impact of foreign exchange movements or a negative 0.1% excluding foreign exchange movements. The total returns for the current year were impacted by the decline in pricing of our equities portfolio as a result of the decline in the global equity markets. We continue to hold a high-quality well-diversified portfolio with cash and invested assets totaling $14.7 billion at September 30, no change from June 30 and down $0.7 billion from a year ago. The decrease from the previous year was due to the repayment of our senior notes and a decline in pricing on our fixed maturities and equities. The duration of our fixed maturity portfolio was 3.1 years at September 30, down slightly from 3.2 years at the end of June 2015. Our fixed maturity weighted-average credit rating remains unchanged at AA minus. Our total capital at September 30, 2015 was $6.8 billion including 1 billion of senior notes and $628 million of preferred equity and was in line with the $6.8 billion at December 31, 2014. The increase in total capital due to the net income available to common shareholders generated this year, net of common share dividends was offset by the repurchase of common shares primarily due to the execution of an accelerated share repurchase agreement, which I will discuss shortly and an increase in the unrealized losses on investments. We previously announced that effective January 1st, 2015 the share repurchase authorization program was increased to $750 million of the company's common shares effective through December 31st, 2016. However, in the first quarter, we suspended our share repurchases while the PartnerRe merger activities were ongoing. Following the termination of the PartnerRe amalgamation agreement, we reinstated our share repurchase program. As part of this program, we entered into an accelerated share repurchase agreement to repurchase an aggregate of $300 million of our ordinary shares. During August, we initially repurchase $4.1 million of our shares under this agreement. The schedule termination date of the ASR agreement is February 18, 2016 but it can be accelerated at any time or after November 18, 2015. The final number of shares to be delivered will be base on the company's volume weighted average price for the period from August 18, 2015 to the termination date less a discount. At October 27, 2015, the remaining authorization under repurchase program approved by our Board of Directors was $444 million. While we were disappointed that the merger with PartnerRe terminated, during the quarter we made significant progress on the strategic goals and expansion opportunities initiated before the merger announcement. As we announced earlier this month, we have enacted certain initiatives designed to support profitable growth and enhance shareholder value. This has led us to scale down in the areas where the returns did not meet our expectations and redeployed the capital to more attractive opportunities. We also made a number of operational improvements aimed at delivering both greater efficiencies and increased levels of client and broker support around the world. We also continue to make progress on our ongoing expense reduction initiatives and expect to see early benefits of these initiatives to start impacting our results by the year end. In addition, our Lloyd’s unit is making good progress in the London market, and during the quarter we have further expanded the capabilities of AXIS Ventures, our third-party capital vehicle. And with that, I'll turn the call back over to Albert.