Timothy E. Conver
Analyst · The Benchmark
Good afternoon, welcome to our fourth quarter and full fiscal 2013 conference call. The main theme of today's call is our adaptation to the uncertain markets we face today. My comments today will focus on 3 main topics: first, the review of Q4 and our fiscal '13 results; second, our fiscal '14 plan; and third, specific high-value market opportunities in addition to our small UAS business with DoD that we believe will deliver long-term growth. Jikun Kim will review our financial performance, and then I'll conclude with my view of fiscal '14 revenue and earnings per share, as well as our longer-term outlook. Before I dive into results, I'd like to take a moment to address the company's strategy in the context of our current market environment. Since the founding of our company in 1971, AeroVironment, like any company operating over decades, has learned to continually adapt to changes in the external environment. At times those changes provided us with an opportunity to expand rapidly, at other times those changes required us to dial back. In May, we took action to balance the dual objectives of maintaining profitability at current revenue levels, while also capturing and executing on growth opportunities. This led us to reduce our operating costs and realign the business units within our segments. I'll address both elements of this action -- of these actions later. We also reassessed our new business opportunities and our capital allocation. We have reaffirmed both, and as a result our growth thesis remains unchanged as described by the following 3 points: first, AeroVironment is a technology solutions provider, driving height, long-term growth through the delivery of innovative solutions for large market opportunities; second, we expect to maintain our market leadership in the existing markets where our previous innovations have already been adopted; and third, we expect to achieve high long-term growth and superior return on investments from the adoption of multiple new solutions in new and adjacent markets. Now, let's talk about Q4 and fiscal '13. Our financial performance was about as we anticipated on our Q3 call. Our fiscal '13 revenue and diluted EPS were $240 million and $0.47, and Q4 revenue and EPS were $54 million with a $0.04 loss. As you will recall, our revised guidance for the fiscal year was $230 million to $250 million in revenue, with $0.30 to $0.50 in diluted EPS. Our original fiscal '13 plan anticipated that contracting delays would affect revenue during the year due to budget uncertainty. But the extent of the delays that materialized by Q3 exceeded our most conservative plans and led to the reduction in the Q3 guidance -- or the fiscal '13 guidance provided in our Q3 call. The government fiscal '12 Raven contract that we had expected in the second quarter of last year was funded for a third increment that shipped in our Q4, and we plan for the fourth and final increment of that contract in Q2 of this year. The Switchblade contract that we expected in Q2 of last year was partially funded late in Q4, with more funding added this quarter, but no deliveries were made during last year. Numerous other contracts expected during the second half of fiscal '13 continue to be delayed. In our EES segment, the demand for plug-in electric vehicles and electric vehicle test equipment was lower than we expected in fiscal '13, and combined to produce lower year-over-year revenue in our EES business. Public charging solutions for plug-in electric vehicles continued to evolve last year, with the emergence of lower-cost DC Fast Charges with fewer features. Because of this market shift, we wrote off much of our 50-kilowatt Fast Charger inventory, which depressed Q4 gross margins in our EES segment. Despite this uncertainty in our business environment, the increasing diversification of our business areas produced important successes in fiscal '13. In our UAS segment, we achieved record revenue in international small UAS and in Switchblade, and strengthened our positions in each area for continued growth. We improved our potential to capture future growth opportunities in mission services and commercial small UAS. Multiple customers adopted Wasp AE, the newest of our family of small UAS, and DoD gave it the official designation RQ-12. In our EES segments, our important automotive OEM relationships for charging infrastructure continued to expand with our recent selection as the preferred home charger installation provider by Ford Motor Company and the exclusive distributor of Nissan's DC Quick chargers in North America. On the balance sheet, even with year-over-year inventory growth and overall revenue reduction, cash grew by more than $11 million during fiscal '13, further strengthening our ability to support our growth initiatives. I want to point out a noncash accounting artifact that will affect our reported earnings. You will recall that we acquired 2 $1.5 million CybAero convertible notes as part of our Tier 2 helicopter supply agreement. The fair value of the convertible feature of these notes fluctuates with CybAero stock price, and our accounting will reflect that fluctuation as a noncash adjustment to our quarterly financial reports. For example, in Q4, this conversion value increased EPS by $0.17, and as of June 18, the effect on this quarter's EPS would have been a reduction of $0.09. In summary, fiscal 2013 revenue declined 26% year-over-year due to market headwinds. Yet, we maintained our market leadership, strengthened our balance sheet, significantly increased revenue in Switchblade and international small UAS, and further developed important products solutions and competitive positioning for large long-term growth markets. Now, let's transition from reviewing last year to my second topic, our plan for fiscal '14. Multiple opportunities for growth in fiscal '14 and beyond coexist with ongoing budget uncertainty and procurement delay that constrain and increase the uncertainty of short-term revenue. Today, these opportunities and challenges frame our fiscal '14 plan and our strategy for returning to high long-term compounded growth rates. We have 3 principal priorities for fiscal '14. I'll list them out not and then I'll explain each of them in more detail. A sustained focus on being #1 with our customers, operating profitably at fiscal '14 revenues, and winning and executing on key growth opportunities. Being #1 with our customers means that in good times and bad, customers choose us before others because they gain unique value from our solutions that solve their important problems. 6 years ago, the Army Raven system represented our dominant customer and product. Now we address multiple customers with multiple solutions in a growing number of new and adjacent markets. Many of these markets also need our small UAS solutions, but each represents a different set of customers with different needs, funding sources and channel access. This quarter, we realigned our business area organizations within each segment to serve existing customers like the Department of Defense better, while increasing our capacity to focus on and adapt to the unique requirements of customers in key emerging growth opportunities like Switchblade international, commercial, and mission service markets. Assuring that we could operate profitability at our current revenue outlook, while investing in the future, required that we lower our breakeven rate to increase operating profit year-over-year. We took the extra time necessary to get to the right solutions for us to execute our '14 plan, support our current customers and enable the company to focus on capturing new growth opportunities. This cost-reduction addressed overhead and expenses, eliminated most of our temporary positions and eliminated approximately 60 full-time regular positions in the first part of Q1. The one-time severance expense associated with the reduction in force will be taken in Q1 of fiscal '14. This difficult adjustment is behind us now and we're focused on executing this year's plan and our long-term growth strategy. We will continue to earn our leadership position in the largest current small UAS market in the world, the U.S. Department of Defense, where we have supplied and support 85% of all the UAVs in their inventory. In December, we announced the award of a new $248 million Army IDIQ contract for small UAS and we are receiving task orders under that contract for Raven improvement requirements beyond the GFY '12 Raven funding. With thousands of our small unmanned aircraft in hand, the DoD is now closer than not to fulfilling its initial acquisition requirements for small UAS. DoD customers could still expand their requirements significantly by increasing the penetration of small UAS within the force structure, they may also find new solutions that we are developing to be compelling drivers for further adoption, and the cost advantage of small UAS relative to other more expensive solutions could be attractive with constrained budgets. It's also possible that defense budget reductions and the pending Afghanistan withdrawal could defer investments in the organic capabilities for ground forces, and sustainment and upgrades could become the main revenue drivers for our small UAS DoD business in the near-term. In either event, this business area should continue to deliver strong ongoing revenue from selling more current systems to current customers, support services for the growing installed base of thousands of systems, upgrades to those systems, and developing new customers and new solutions. Winning and executing on key growth opportunities is the remaining fiscal '14 plan priority to address. And that leads me to my third main topic for today's call, the high-value market opportunities in addition to the Department of Defense small UAS that we believe will deliver long-term growth. Switchblade is a key growth opportunity that saw its first operational adoption and 25% year-over-year revenue increase in fiscal '13. Success with initial adoption has created opportunities for new product applications and new customers. Our expectations for significant long-term growth from the current switchblade solution, as well as multiple product variance, led us to transition our switchblade initiative into the broader business area of tactical missile systems. We're also cautiously optimistic about increased adoption of switchblade this year, even though we saw delays in expected contracts last year. International small UAS revenue reached an all-time high in fiscal '13, and represents another key growth opportunity in fiscal '14. Multiple allies plans small UAS acquisitions for this year and next. Our market leadership in small UAS, with the Department of Defense and our incumbent status with 2 dozen international customers demonstrates our ability to compete effectively in this market. Our military allies, like the DoD before them, have requirements for a family of small UAS and their support services. They're also finding that our system upgrades are valuable and cost-effective performance enhancers. The demand for international small UAS could grow for years. Hereto, our cautious optimism for continued growth in fiscal '14 is tempered by the potential for delay. Mission services could also see growth in fiscal '14, depending on procurement timing. This business area will own and operate Unmanned Airplane Systems, including our new Tier 2 unmanned helicopter, to provide ISR services for customers. The U.S. Department of State represents a cornerstone customer for this new business area. After an extensive proposal and demonstration process, Department of State canceled their previous RFP at the end of May and stated their intent to review requirements for the release of a revised RFP. We believe this requirement remains a high priority for the Department of State. And while timing for the new RFP is uncertain, we estimate that it will be released in the first half of our fiscal '14 and awarded in the second half. Moving to our EES segment for a moment. Our leadership in home and public charging solutions for electric vehicles is creating value for our customers and an increasingly valuable business area for the company. Even though the rate of growth in this market has fallen short of many expectations, there are now more plug-in electric vehicles on American roads than any time in history, with attractive new financing options driven by government efficiency standards. We have engaged with customers across the entire spectrum of this new market to develop a deep understanding of their different needs and the optimal value proposition in each segment. Our business model is being refined by this experiential learning to position AV for success in what we believe will be a large long-term growth opportunity in global electric vehicle infrastructure. We think modest revenue growth in this business area in fiscal '14 is likely, but not assured. We will also continue to invest for the long-term opportunities in commercial UAS and Global Observer. The commercial market for small UAS for use within the United States and other countries is likely to emerge within the next few years. We are working with lead adopters to develop optimal solutions for their needs and to position AV for leadership when this potentially large market adoption begins to accelerate. Affordable persistence for ISR and communications is an enduring unmet need for military operations, and Global Observer offers a unique solution to address these needs. The acquisition of the Global Observer JCTD assets, including the existing second airplane late in fiscal '13, puts us in a better position to support opportunities for the future adoption of this innovative atmospheric satellite. We remain convinced that this portfolio of growth opportunities is compelling. Each represents a large total addressable market. Each incremental market diversifies our customer base. The potential return on investment in each is high, and we are an innovator with first mover advantage in each area. We have the persistence to compete for these large opportunities where timing is uncertain. And while each opportunity is also attractive to much larger competitors, we have the customer insight, the cash and the ability to make decisive, strategic commitments at the critical time to win leading and sustainable market share. And with that overview of fiscal '13 and some color on fiscal '14, I'll turn the call over to Jikun Kim, who will review our financial performance in more detail.