Christine Ramon
Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead, sir
Thank you, Graham. Good day, everyone. As we’ve heard from Venkat, we’ve had a strong first half underpinned by solid operational performance and good cost control. Our balance sheet has strengthened on the back of improved free cash flow, the South African sale proceeds and a continued focus on capital discipline. We’re on a positive trajectory for the rest of the year, and I’ll conclude on the outlook a bit later. I’ll now move on to the detail of our first half performance. Moving on to slide 30. Our half year financial performance is very pleasing, which benefitted from improved operational performance and efficiencies, good cost control, and a 6% higher gold cost year-on-year. Total production declined by 7% compared to last year. However, on a like-for-like basis, after stripping out the sale of Moab and Kopanang as well as adjusting for the closure of TauTona, we show a healthy uptick in performance from retained operations, up 4%. Both, our all-in sustaining costs and all-in cost metrics improved on last year despite 3% higher cash costs. I’ll go in the cost detail in a little while. Adjusted EBITDA of $722 million from retained operations which excludes impairment, retrenchment costs, and other defined items was 22% on last year. The increase on the tax charge compared to the prior year reflects the overall improved profitability of the business. Free cash flow improved significantly compared to last year with $19 million free cash flow generated for Q2. Excluding the one-off restructuring costs for the South African region and the working capital lockups, we are at free cash flow positive for the first half. The improvement in free cash flow was underpinned by the improved operational cash flow, lower capital expenditures and positive working capital movement. As Ludwig mentioned, sustaining capital, particularly in the international operations last year reflected the peak of our inward investment program, which is starting to deliver benefits. As planned and aligned with our cost stream, we expect capital expenditure to trend upwards in the second half. However, we’ve already banked some capital savings relating to the earlier conclusion of the South African asset sale, the Operational Excellence initiative, and favorable currency effects. In addition, working movement positively impacted free cash flow due to lower inventory levels and lower prepayments on long lead capital items, despite the $29 million increase lock-up in Tanzania and the DRC. We have been able to offset some of the historical debt in these regions and our efforts in this regard continue. Finally, an additional retrenchment provision was made for the South African region during the period of $22 million post tax that will impact cash flows in the second half. Moving on to slide 31. Our consistent focus on improving margin has resulted in a solid all-sustaining cost margin through the cycle. The all-in sustaining cost margin from retained operation is a healthy 23% for the first half and reflects the benefits of good cost management and our Operational Excellence program which focuses particularly on the controllable factors of our business. We’ve already captured significant cash flow savings relative to project through initiative in the first half with more sustainable savings expected in the second half. Moving on to slide 32. The 3% increase in total cash costs for the first half reflects the inflationary pressures across the emerging economies that we operate in. We also saw higher mining costs relating to the Geita underground development, the higher royalty and service fees at Geita, and the negative impact of the overall stronger currency in first half. There was however a $16 per ounce improvement in total cash costs in Q2 versus Q1, reflecting the improved operational performance. This is expected to improve in the second half with the Kibali underground ramping up, Sunrise Dam recovery enhancement project improving productivity, the Brazil recovery in the second half and the South African region completing its restructuring. The total all-in sustaining costs at $1,020 an ounce and $1,005 an ounce all-in sustain costs for retained operations reflects an encouraging lower trend compared to last year. This was primarily driven by lower sustaining capital where some operational excellence savings have been done. All-in sustaining costs at $1,269 an ounce for the South African retained operation was 9% higher due to inflationary pressures, despite the 7% stronger exchange rate, given that there are fewer units of production absorbing the overhead. All-in sustaining costs for the international operations at $948 an ounce was 4% lower, which was underpinned by a strong operational performance and lower sustaining capital, which more than compensated for the inflationary pressures. Moving onto the balance sheet on slide 33. Our net debt of $1.8 billion at the half year, fell by 17% from last year due to sale proceeds received on the South African assets and improved free cash flow. The net debt to EBITDA ratio at 1.1 times is the lowest since 2012 and reflects ample headroom to our 3.5 times covenant, providing the flexibility required in the current volatile economic climate, whilst positioning the Company to remain cost efficient with regards to its low-capital, high-return reinvestment opportunities and to sustain our annual cash dividend. Going forward, we expect our positive cash flow momentum to continue benefiting from efficiency improvements as well as from our leverage to gold price and currencies. We have ample undrawn facilities and long dated bond maturities. We plan to commence the refinancing of our U.S. dollar and Aussie dollar RCF facilities in the second half of the year. The refinancing of the South African RCF facilities was completed last year. Our credit ratings remain intact. Finally, concluding on the full year guidance on slide 34. Our guidance contains the usual caveats relating to any labor, power or other disruptions. We are on track to meet the full-year guidance where we expect production at the top end of the guidance range, taking into the account the improve production performance at the half year and the expected uptick in production at Kibali, Geita, Australia and Brazil in the remaining two quarters with the heavier weighting in Q4 for the legacy operations. The improved operational performance was boosted by the Operational Excellent focus that is expected to further benefit costs, which are trending towards the lower end of the guidance range. Our currency exposure across our various operating geographies continues to provide a natural hedge to inflationary effects and to the volatility in the gold price. This diversification differentiates us from the majority of our peer group and gives us the resilience in what remains a volatile market as we continue to realize currency benefits in more than two-thirds of our portfolio. We remain sensitive to changes in both the commodity prices and currencies and the estimated impact, based on the assumptions provided on all-in sustaining costs and cash flows are provided with the health warning [ph]. Capital expenditure is expected to increase in the second half, although as I mentioned, some capital savings were banked in the first part. And we reaffirm our capital guidance provided at the range of $800 million to $920 million. Sustaining capital comprises 70% of the total capital expenditure. The expected increase in the sustainable capital in the second half relates primarily to South Africa, Continental Africa, in particular at Geita, and the Americas. Of the $200 to $250 million in project capital, Obuasi comprises $102 million, which will largely be spent in the second half as the project gains momentum. We also have the Siguiri combination plant in at $78 million and that project, as Graham mentioned, is expected to be completed by the end of the year. The balance is made up of $11 million at Kibali and the completion of Mponeng Phase 1 in at $9 million. I will now hand over to Venkat to conclude.