Richard J. Harshman
Analyst · Chris Olin from Cleveland Research
Thank you, Pat. As we said in our third quarter 2013 earnings release and conference call last October, we did not expect to see significant signs of improvement in market conditions in the fourth quarter 2013. We also said that we plan to remain aggressive with our restructuring cost reductions and lean manufacturing efforts and align our cost structure production and inventory levels to the demands of our customers and end markets. We have taken aggressive actions, and we'll continue to do so. Turning to Slide 5 and an overview of our 2 business segments. In our High Performance Metals segment, fourth quarter 2013 sales were $436.7 million. Compared to the third quarter 2013, shipments were lower to the jet engine, construction and mining, nuclear energy and oil and gas markets. In addition, lower raw material indices and lower base selling prices negatively affected revenues. Segment operating profit was $52.1 million or 11.9% of total sales, excluding the $35 million net realizable value charge Pat discussed earlier. Fourth quarter 2013 segment operating profit included a LIFO inventory valuation reserve benefit of $26.1 million, which was partially offset by higher costs for raw materials, primarily nickel and titanium scrap, resulting from the misalignment of the raw material surcharge with raw material cost due to the long manufacturing cycle of certain products. Segment results continued to be negatively impacted by our strategic decision to use ATI-produced titanium sponge from our Rowley, Utah facility rather than lower-cost titanium scrap to manufacture certain titanium products. Turning to Slide 6. In our Flat-Rolled Products segment, sales were $478.6 million. Segment operating profit was a loss of $7.5 million or 1.6% of total sales, excluding the $20.5 million lower of cost or market reserve charge related to the market-based valuation of industrial titanium products, which Pat discussed earlier. The fourth quarter 2013 included a LIFO inventory valuation reserve benefit of $15.7 million, which was partially offset by higher cost of raw materials, which did not align with raw material surcharges. Turning to Slide 7. Pat has already discussed the financial impact in the fourth quarter 2013 from the facility closures. I will expand on the strategic assessments that resulted in our decisions to close these facilities. The strategic investments in manufacturing capabilities and process technologies we have made over the last several years enabled the closure of older, higher-cost operations and streamlined our manufacturing processes by reducing our manufacturing footprint. We continue to operate our new titanium sponge facility in Rowley, Utah at low capacity utilization rates, primarily due to weak demand from industrial markets and availability of externally purchased titanium sponge and titanium scrap. I'm pleased that although operating at less than ideal utilization rates, we continue to achieve significant improvement in cake size, yield, cost and other key operating efficiencies at Rowley. This performance enables the closure of our standby titanium sponge facility in Albany, Oregon. The Rowley facility is a state-of-the-art vacuum distillation process and is targeted to produce the highest grade of titanium sponge, premium quality, or PQ. PQ titanium sponge can be used in the melting of all titanium products, industrial grade, standard grade, medical grade and premium grade, which is required for the manufacture of rotating jet engine parts. When it was operating, the Albany facility produced standard quality titanium sponge using a less-advanced and higher-cost acid leach process. As part of our 2014, 2018 strategic planning process, which was completed in the fourth quarter of 2013, we updated our strategic assessment of the likely future use of the Albany sponge facility, given forecasted demand for all titanium products and availability of titanium sponge from Rowley and external suppliers, as well as availability of titanium scrap. As a result, we no longer see a reasonable likelihood of operating the Albany sponge facility in the future, which resulted in our decision to permanently close the facility. In addition, as a result of recent and sustainable operating efficiency improvements in our Flat-Rolled Products operations, we concluded that our less-efficient Wallingford, Connecticut and New Castle, Indiana flat-rolled stainless finishing facilities are no longer needed. These are 2 of our oldest stainless flat-rolled finishing facilities. Finally, we continue our efforts to divest the iron castings and fabricated components businesses. Additional asset write-downs were recorded in the fourth quarter 2013 in discontinued operations to reflect current realizable values. These restructuring actions and inventory adjustments are expected to result in $25 million of cost reductions in 2014. We will continue to focus on improving our cost structure even as we expect improved demand from our key global markets and moderate economic growth in 2014. Our initial target is to achieve a minimum of $100 million in new gross cost reductions in 2014. Moving to Slide 8. As much as we would like to, we can't control global macroeconomic conditions, raw material prices or the underlying global supply of and demand for our products. However, we can and will continue to focus on taking actions within our control to increase our profitability and strengthen our competitive position in the markets we serve. These actions have been and will continue to be designed to streamline ATI's operations with a focus on markets and capabilities that are strategically significant to our long-term profitable growth and continue to improve the competitive cost position of all of our businesses. These actions are intended to improve ATI's cost structure to keep ATI well positioned for sustainable profitable growth through business cycles over the long term as economic and market conditions improve. Some of the significant accomplishments in 2013 are as follows. We further improved our position with both existing and new customers in the key end markets of aerospace, oil and gas, chemical process industry, electrical energy, medical and automotive through strategic and long-term agreements. During 2013 across ATI, we completed more than 20 new or revised long-term agreements, representing an excess of $3 billion of total revenue potential over the terms of these agreements. The largest long-term agreement was the extension of our supply agreement with The Boeing Company that we announced in October. This extension agreement covers value-added titanium mill products and provides opportunity for greater use of ATI's next-generation and advanced titanium alloys. Our Flat-Rolled Products segment Hot-Rolling and Processing Facility, or HRPF, was placed into service at the end of 2013. This was a major accomplishment by our HRPF team and ATI's Flat-Rolled Products business unit. Cold-commissioning has begun and is expected to be completed by the end of the first quarter 2014. We will then move to the hot-commissioning phase, which is expected to run through the end of the third quarter 2014. By the end of 2014, the HRPF is expected to be producing all of ATI's Flat-Rolled Products, all stainless, ferritic and austenitic grades, grain-oriented electrical steel grades, nickel-based alloys and specialty alloys and titanium and titanium alloys in all of the product forms: plate, sheet, strip, Precision Rolled Strip product forms. The HRPF will also be capable of hot-rolling the next generation of advanced lightweight carbon steels for the automotive sheet market and dual-phase carbon steels used in oil and gas applications. This game-changing investment is designed to significantly enhance ATI's Flat-Rolled Products capabilities for all alloys, enhance ATI's Flat-Rolled Products' market position, reduce manufacturing cycle times for all of our Flat-Rolled Products and significantly reduce production and overhead costs. In October, we began the premium quality, or PQ, qualification program at our Rowley titanium sponge facility. As we have said, this qualification program is done in coordination with jet engine OEMs and requires ATI to not only produce a certain volume of titanium sponge specifically for the qualification program but also requires that the qualification program sponge be melted using all of our melt technologies, electron beam, vacuum arc remelt and plasma arc melt, and then produce the output from these melts into a defect-free round bar product. We remain on track with the qualification and aim to successfully complete the program in 2015. Moving to a discussion of our 2 largest end markets. From our perspective, 2013 is best described as a pause in the ramp to record build rates of new airframes in jet engines. Demand from OEMs continued to digest supply chain inventories that have been built ahead of rate ramps. This was combined with continuing inventory corrections in the supply chains for aftermarket spare parts. Given this reality, we continue to hear more and more of the question from the OEMs, "Are you ready to support our production rate ramp?" Our response is always a resounding yes. Although challenging, the aerospace market continued to pick up momentum throughout 2013. Boeing and Airbus enjoyed another strong year of orders and deliveries, moving their backlogs to new record levels. Indications are that jet engine OEM inventory corrections have largely been made and demand is expected to be more closely aligned with build rates and aftermarket demand as we begin 2014. Expectations for 2014 are an OEM production rate ramp to record build rates. For example, the Boeing 787 is planned to reach and hold the 10 per month build rate in 2014, including the introduction of the 787-9. The Boeing 737 is scheduled to ramp to a record build rate of 42 a month with more discussions ongoing of further rate ramps in the future. The Airbus A350 is on schedule for first delivery and the Airbus A320neo is scheduled for its first flight. In summary, OEM backlog and build rates for both airframers and engine OEMs are at record levels. Demand from the jet engine aftermarket is improving and demand from jet engine OEMs is in much better balance with airframe build rates. These are all positive developments and represent long-term growth opportunities for ATI specialty materials and components businesses, including our new alloys and products needed for the next-generation airframes and jet engines. Turning to our second-largest market, the oil and gas and chemical process industry market. We are seeing a large number of inquiries for international projects that depend on specialty alloy products made by ATI. In our view, the question is not if this demand growth will occur, it's a question of when it will occur. In our Flat-Rolled Products segment, demand remained strong for our duplex and lean duplex family of alloys used in umbilicals and flow lines and downhaul applications. However, in the near term, we are currently not seeing significant demand from new large global megaprojects for our flat-rolled nickel-based alloys and titanium products. Although several large projects are in discussion stages, demand is not likely to impact the first half of 2014. In addition, demand for titanium Flat-Rolled Products from industrial markets specifically for desalination, CPI and shipbuilding products remain soft. A brief comment about our liquidity and 2014 capital spending plans. We remain in a solid liquidity position with cash on hand at the end of the year of over $1 billion. There were no borrowings outstanding in the fourth quarter 2013 under our $400 million domestic borrowing facility and none are currently contemplated. Capital expenditures in 2013 were approximately $613 million, mainly associated with the HRPF. We expect 2014 capital expenditures to be approximately $300 million, about 2/3 of which is HRPF-related as the spending on that project completes. As we begin 2014, while challenging conditions remain, global economic conditions appear to be moderately improving, although at lower rates of growth than past recoveries. Again, we begin the year cautiously optimistic that business conditions will gradually improve as we move through 2014. It has been difficult to forecast demand and pricing trends for most of our products over the last several years, primarily due to the fallout from global economic and fiscal policy uncertainties. As 2013 ended, demand and pricing showed signs of stabilization, and we are seeing early signs of modest growth in demand. However, most customers remain cautious and are showing no significant signs of building inventories in anticipation of a strong recovery. We will remain focused on actions to enhance ATI's competitive position and improve the cost structure of all of our businesses. We believe that this focus, combined with the capabilities of our strategic investments, including the HRPF and other strategic actions designed to transform ATI into an aligned and integrated global leader in specialty materials products and components, will keep ATI well positioned for sustainable profitable growth as market conditions improve in 2014 and beyond. We will remain -- we will maintain our focus on the continued execution of our strategies to enhance our competitive position and create long-term value for our strategic customers and stockholders. These strategies include our efforts to continue on the endless journey to improve the safety performance of all of our operations, reduce cost, improve operating efficiencies and embrace lean manufacturing principles across ATI, all of which are important elements of improving profitability and returns on capital employed; enhance and expand our position with existing customers and grow our participation at new strategic customers by creating an attractive value opportunity for our customers in a win-win relationship; make progress to complete the premium qualification program on our titanium sponge facility in Rowley, Utah; complete the commissioning and startup of our innovative HRPF in 2014, our view is that the HRPF is the enabler of future profitable growth for our Flat-Rolled Products business; continue to introduce and qualify innovative new products; and continue our strategy to grow our value-added parts and components business. Operator, we can now go to the first question, please.