Richard Harshman
Analyst · Stifel
Thanks, Dan, and thanks to everyone for joining today's call. While the second quarter was impacted by costs related to the Ladish acquisition, overall performance was good and continued to support our view that 2011 is the year when strong secular growth resumes in our key global markets. Sales increased to $1.35 billion, 28% higher than the second quarter 2010 and 10% higher than the first quarter 2011. Segment operating profit increased nearly 60% compared to the second quarter 2010 to $187 million, excluding costs related to the Ladish acquisition. That is nearly 14% of sales. Earnings per share were $0.70 excluding acquisition expenses, 94% higher than the second quarter 2010 and nearly 19% higher than the first quarter 2011 even though average common shares outstanding are nearly 5% higher due to the Ladish acquisition. We continued to benefit from our diversified global markets and our diversified product mix. Our key global markets, aerospace and defense, oil and gas chemical processing industry, electrical energy and medical are strong and represented 70% of ATI first half 2011 sales. Direct international sales were nearly 33% of sales during the first half 2011. Let's look at each of these key global markets in greater detail. At 27% of revenue, aerospace and defense sales grew 43% compared to the first 6 months of 2010. ATI's investments over the last several years in manufacturing capabilities, innovative new alloys and strategic acquisitions leaves the company well positioned to benefit from the expected unprecedented strong growth in aerospace demand and production rates over the next 3 to 5 years. We had a successful Paris Air Show in June. Those who visited ATI at the air show saw our expanded capabilities to produce highly engineered technically complex components. These capabilities add to ATI's long-standing reputation as a global leader in producing a wide range of specialty metals products. On display at the Air Show where a number of component products and alloy forms, including ATI Ladish aero engine rotating forgings made of plasma arc melted ATI titanium 17 and ATI 6-4 titanium alloys. And rotary forgings made of ATI 718 nickel-based superalloy, ATI Waspaloy and Powder Metals. Also on display at the Air Show were large structural titanium investment castings from ATI Ladish for airframe and jet engine applications, landing gear and helicopter forgings made by ATI Ladish, a large jet engine low-pressured turbine case made of our new ATI 718Plus alloy, prototype components made of our unique new titanium product ATI 425 alloy, including super plastic form components made from ATI 425 sheet, tubing made of ATI 425 strip, honeycomb made of ATI 425 precision road strip. In addition, we displayed titanium near-net shapes and extrusions, titanium nickel-based alloy and specialty alloy fastener stock and expanded cutting tool and precision machining capabilities. These products have ATI well positioned for growth in the aerospace market. The already record backlogs at the airframe OEMs continue to get even larger. Last week, AMR announced what has been called the largest order in aircraft industry history. This could be an inflection point for the aerospace industry as many U.S. carriers finally entered the market to upgrade their aging noncompetitive high-cost fleets. Moving onto our second largest market. Sales to the oil and gas chemical process industry grew 53% compared to the first half of 2010. Sales to the oil and gas and CPI markets represented 23% of total ATI sales in the first 6 months of 2011, 400 basis points higher than sales for the full year 2010. Global demand for oil and gas continues to grow. Today's rig count has 6 out of 10 rigs drilling directionally and horizontally. This requires the use of our tungsten drill bodies and non-magnetic Datalloy 2 collars, as well as ATI 718 oil patch, a nickel alloy, and titanium alloys for completion systems. We continue to grow our position in this global market. We received another large order for our nickel alloy plate for clad subsea flow lines for sour gas, again, our customers in Japan for a project being constructed in the Middle East. Our proprietary ATI 2003 lean duplex alloy was selected for several sections of a large offshore platform being built for use in the North Sea. In addition, we are scheduled to ship ATI 2003 alloy strip for use in a large subsea flow line project in the Irish Sea. We received a significant order for nickel-based alloy sheet for a large offshore project in Brazil. These orders and others add to a strong backlog for our high-value flat-rolled products. We have performed very well on the Ras Az Zawr desalination job booked by our Uniti titanium joint venture. This has positioned Uniti for the next round of de-sal jobs. The de-sal market for CP titanium sheet products is expected to be strong for the next several years. In addition, we are seeing several new opportunities for our industrial titanium products, both CP titanium and titanium alloy from the global corrosion markets. It is important to note that ATI has been meeting and exceeding customer expectations on these large global projects. We continue to win orders because of our performance and our customers confidence in ATI as a supplier. The electrical energy market represents 15% of ATI first half sales and grew 12% compared to the first half of 2010. Order activity in power generation picked up during the second quarter for nuclear energy, natural gas turbine and solar applications. Shipments of grain-oriented and electrical steel were flat during the first 6 months of 2011 compared to the same period in 2010. We expect shipments of this product to be somewhat softer in the third quarter due to seasonal summer shutdowns at some of our customers. At 5.5% of first half sales, the medical market grew by over 20% compared to the same period in 2010. There's a real change here demonstrating the differentiation in the quality of ATI's products. We are improving our position with the major medical OEMs by offering titanium products in a wide range of alloys and products sizes. Our ability to control the titanium manufacturing process from raw materials to the finished mill product makes ATI attractive to the medical equipment customers just as it does to the aerospace OEMs. In addition, due to faster scan rates and better resolution, demand for 3 Tesla MRI Systems is growing, creating strong demand for our niobium titanium alloys. In summary, our order backlog is strong. Backlog in the High Performance Metals segment at the end of the second quarter was over $1.38 billion. And as a result of major project wins, we also have a solid backlog for our nickel-based alloys and specialty alloys for the second half of 2011 in our Flat-Rolled Products segment. We continue to benefit from our differentiated product mix. We continue to innovate with new alloys, products and technologies. Some examples. There is significant interest in our ATI 425 titanium alloy, with much qualification activity ongoing. It is important to note that although ATI 425 alloy has been around for a few years, it was qualified as a direct replacement for 6-4 titanium in aerospace airframe applications just 15 months ago and was introduced to the aerospace market about one year ago at the Farnborough Airshow. We are pleased with the significant interest and qualification efforts currently ongoing for this game-changing new alloy in such a short period of time. At the May 2011 Aero Met Conference, the industry's largest aerospace materials conference, a joint presentation of industry experts confirmed that ATI 425 alloy has significant advantages over 6-4 titanium for hot fabrication of aerospace parts. This has resulted in even greater interest from a variety of aerospace customers. During the Paris Air Show, customer meetings were held to discuss current and future trials of ATI 425 alloy. We exhibited several hot form parts made of ATI 425 alloy that further stimulated interest in this new product. Our ATI 718Plus nickel-based super alloy achieved another milestone during the second quarter. ATI announced a long-term agreement with Rolls-Royce for the supply of ATI 718Plus alloy. Rolls-Royce is the first jet engine manufacturer to use this innovative new alloy for rotating applications. ATI is continuing to expand participation into the aerospace fastener market. OEM qualification programs are in process and we are shipping orders to fastener producers. We are the only supplier capable of producing, from melt to finish, all 3 alloy systems used to make fasteners. That is titanium alloys, nickel-based alloys and specialty alloys. In addition, we have several proprietary alloys that offer advantages for the more common alloys used to make fasteners. And finally, ATI Allegheny Ludlum and ATI Powder Metals are developing a line of bull [ph] rated stainless steel for uses of barrier to neutrons and nuclear spent fuel storage. Interest in these applications has increased significantly since the Fukushima event in Japan. To meet the long-term growth expected from our key growth markets, ATI is continuing to invest for the future. We have a defined vision of the future and a strategic plan to continue to enhance our competitive position, while creating value for our shareholders and customers. I'd like to update you on some of the strategic initiatives. First, an update on our acquisition of Ladish. On May 9, we completed the acquisition of Ladish, so our second quarter 2011 results contained only 8 weeks of ATI Ladish results. In the short time period, we were very encouraged by the opportunities that exist for ATI shareholders and customers. We are pleased with the customer acceptance of the combination. ATI Ladish, which is a business unit of our High Performance Metals segment, adds advanced forgings, titanium investment castings and precision finishing capabilities to ATI's product portfolio. ATI Ladish enhances ATI's position on the supply chain to create greater customer value by providing the capabilities to meet OEM desires or near-net shapes for finished components. We expect sales through ATI Ladish to grow greater than the secular growth expected from the upcoming aerospace build ramp. ATI Ladish is well positioned on the next generation and future generation jet engines. In addition, ATI Ladish is capable of forging ATI's proprietary new alloys and Powder Metals into technically advanced components. We also expect growth from our focus to expand ATI Ladish capabilities into our non-aerospace growth markets such as oil and gas, chemical processing industry and electrical energy. Next is an update on our Rowley, Utah titanium sponge facility. Our Rowley facility has now produced over 5 million pounds of titanium sponge in the first half of 2011 or an annualized rate of 10 million pounds. We expect to continue an orderly increase for the production rate in the second half of 2011. This sponge is being used to produce industrial titanium products. The chemistry of the Rowley sponge is outstanding and is consistently meeting premium grade specifications. We have made good progress in standardizing manufacturing practices, which is key to the aerospace grade qualification process. Our focus is to achieve standard grade qualification by early 2012. We will then begin the premium grade qualification program. As we have said many times, ATI's ability to produce titanium sponge with the Rowley facility and the available additional capacity from our Albany sponge operations enables ATI to maximize profitable growth opportunities for titanium products. To support our production of titanium sponge, we have long-term raw material supply agreements in place to provide stable input pricing. On the titanium melting side, our new plasma arc melt, or PAM, furnace in Bakers, North Carolina has begun melt trials. This is ATI's fourth PAM furnace and is coming online in time to support the record aerospace backlog and the expected unprecedented aerospace production rate ramp, as well as the strong growth expected from the medical market. Finally, we expect to begin construction of our Flat-Rolled Products segment hot rolling and processing facility later this summer. Site preparation is essentially complete and final engineering drawings are nearing completion. As a result, we now expect 2011 capital expenditures to be approximately $275 million to $300 million. Concerning our stainless products, our Flat-Rolled Products segment provides a good view into today's economic realities. On the one hand, demand for our high-value products from our key global growth markets is strong. On the other hand, demand for our standard stainless products has been soft due in large part to weakness in consumer durables and weak consumer confidence. Industry reports indicate that the service center inventories for stainless products were 2.7 months in June, down from 2.9 months in May. Most service center customers have been focused on reducing their inventories due to the declining surcharges and uncertainty in the domestic market. Demand for our stainless products has been soft in July. We used this slow period to accelerate maintenance on our equipment, which will impact third quarter results by approximately $6 million. Looking beyond the third quarter, we expect demand for our standard stainless products to improve in the fourth quarter. ATI Allegheny Ludlum recently announced the new surcharge calculation that is designed to better align raw materials costs with the surcharge and bring added stability to an increasingly volatile market. This surcharge calculation change is effective with shipments beginning October 2, 2011. We announced late yesterday that the tentative agreements reached on June 30, 2011, with the USW-represented employees at ATI's Allegheny Ludlam and Albany Oregon titanium operations were not ratified. We will continue to work with the USW to reach an agreement. In summary, in spite of the uncertainties resulting from the ongoing debate about how to deal with the U.S. budget deficits and debt ceiling, combined with the European debt crisis, we remain optimistic about the current demand for most of our major markets and the secular growth opportunities over the next several years. We are building momentum across our businesses and continue to see 2011 as the year when secular growth returns in our key global markets. Over the next 3 to 5 years, we expect ATI to continue to benefit from our new alloys and products, diversified global markets and differentiated product mix. With the Ladish acquisition now complete, we expect 2011 revenues of $5.4 billion to $5.5 billion compared to our previous expectations of $4.6 billion to $4.8 billion, and segment operating profit of 13% to 14% of revenues, excluding the impact of purchase inventory accounting charges. These expectations are based on the strength in our key global markets, improving shipments and base prices for many of our high-value products, the expectation of improved demand for our standard stainless products in the fourth quarter and the view that certain raw material costs will moderate slightly or at least remain at current levels. Operator, we can now open the call for questions.