Earnings Labs

Aterian, Inc. (ATER)

Q1 2022 Earnings Call· Mon, May 9, 2022

$1.25

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day. And thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Aterian Q1 2022 Earnings Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Ilya Grozovsky, Director of Investor Relations and Corporate Development.

Ilya Grozovsky

Analyst

Thank you for joining us today to discuss Aterian’s first quarter 2022 earnings results. On today’s call are Yaniv Sarig, Co-Founder and CEO; and Arturo Rodriguez, our Chief Financial Officer. A copy of today’s press release is available on the Investor Relations section of Aterian’s website at aterian.io. I would like to remind you that certain statements we will make in this presentation are forward-looking statements. And these forward-looking statements reflect Aterian’s judgment and analysis only as of today, and actual results may differ materially from current expectations based on a number of factors affecting Aterian’s business. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. For a more thorough discussion of these risks and uncertainties associated with the forward-looking statements to be made on this conference call and webcast, we refer you to the disclaimer regarding forward-looking statements that is included in our first quarter earnings release, as well as our filings on the SEC. We do not undertake any obligation to update or alter any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. In addition, the company may refer to certain non-GAAP metrics on this call. Explanation of these metrics can be found in the earnings release filed earlier today. With that, I will turn the call over to Yaniv.

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst

Thank you, Ilya. And thank you everyone for joining us today. On the call today, I'll go over the following topics. I'll start with quick introduction to Aterian for those who are new to our story. I'll then review key takeaways from the first quarter of this year. I'll then discuss the continued challenges we're dealing with given the economy and macro level pressure from supply chain disruptions and inflation, I will then summarize the long-term prospects for Aterian. So for those who are newer to the story, here's what you need to know about our company. Aterian is part of a new breed of technology-enabled consumer product companies. We focus on building, acquiring and partnering with e-commerce brands online. Aterian own and operates 14 consumer brands, selling products across various categories on channels such as Amazon, Walmart, Shopify, and eBay. To allow us to scale, we've invested in building our own proprietary software platform called AIMEE. AIMEE enables our team to manage our business more efficiently by injecting technology into processes that would otherwise have to be executed manually and would require hiring an unscalable and unsustainable workforce. Through its ability to analyze vast amounts of data and automate daily recurring tasks. AIMEE allows our team to find new product opportunities we can launch under our brands, manage these products to scale effectively across various channels, automate certain marketing and fulfillment tasks, and much more. Our goal in the long-term is to become one of the most efficient consumer companies in the world. Expanding our footprint globally, we’re continuing to invest in technology and agile supply chain to drive scale and profitability. Moving on to our key takeaways from a first quarter, I'll start with a quick summary of the main points and then discuss them in more detail.…

Arturo Rodriguez

Analyst

Thank you, Yaniv, and good evening, everyone. Here are the financial performance details of our first quarter. For the first quarter of 2022, net revenue decreased 13.3% or $6.4 million to $41.7 million from $48.1 million in the year ago quarter, primarily from a decrease in net revenues from our sustained business of $4 million and $1.8 million due to our previously announced plan to pause new product launches. The first quarter net revenue of $41.7 million is comprised primarily of $29.8 million of organic business, which I know includes revenue from our built brands and acquired brands starting one year after our purchase, $9.6 million of net revenue from our acquisitions and $2.3 million of wholesale. The year ago quarter net revenue of $48.1 million was comprised primarily of $17.4 million from our organic business, $28.7 million of net revenue from our acquisitions and $1.8 million of wholesale. As a reminder, the acquisition of Healing Solutions closed on February 2, 2021 and as a result, moved into the organic category starting February 2, 2022, and the acquisition of Smash closed on December 1, 2020 and as a result, moved into our organic category starting December 1, 2021. Our sustained revenue landed at $37.9 million for Q1 2022 versus $41.9 million in Q1 2021. The $4 million decrease in revenues, primarily due to our acquisition revenue decreased $19.1 million to $9.6 million for Q1 2022 from $28.7 million in Q1 2021, due primarily for – to our acquisitions of Smash and Healing Solutions being owned for a year-over-year now and shifting to our organic categorization. Our remaining acquisition revenue continues to be in line with expectations for PPD and Squatty outside of seasonality and timing of the closing of those acquisitions. Our acquisition revenue decreased was offset by our organic…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Brian Nagel with Oppenheimer. Your line is now open.

Brian Nagel

Analyst

Hey guys, good afternoon.

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst

Good afternoon.

Arturo Rodriguez

Analyst

Good afternoon.

Brian Nagel

Analyst

So the question – the first question I have this, I appreciate all the color in the prepared comments, but with regard to supply chain and clearly there’s still a lot of moving parts out there, but I guess the question I have is, are you starting to see some relief, any parts of the supply chain, versus what over the last several quarters or so.

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst

And Brian, thanks for the question. I have to say that we had some glimmers of hope, looking at the macro level environment and some indicators of improvements. Unfortunately, right now we’re back into looking at this with a big question mark as the COVID zero policy in China is putting renewed pressure on the supply chains and just logistics there with ports not operating at full capacity. And obviously, everyone, I think on this call is aware of the lockdowns that are happening in China. So we were hoping that after – in the year thing will improve. I think a combination of the events in Ukraine, as well as the resurgence of COVID in China making – make us a little more pessimistic in the short-term, long-term, obviously, we believe that things will come back to normal, but unfortunately, it’s not as quickly as we wanted to see it. We’re still kind of waiting to see the impact of the latest lockdowns in China on global supply chains.

Brian Nagel

Analyst

That’s helpful, Yaniv. And then my second question, I think it’s probably more for Artie, but we talked about the cash on the balance sheet and the recent financing. But how should we think about particularly with the business and sort to say this kind of this kind of holding mode, if you will. I mean, the capital needs of the company through, I guess, the balance of 2022 or maybe beyond here.

Arturo Rodriguez

Analyst

Yes. Thanks Brian.

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst

Sure. Artie, do you want to take that?

Arturo Rodriguez

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, Yaniv. Hey, Brian, thanks for the question. So, yes, I mean, listen, I think we said that previously and we still kind of hold to that, is that you’re always going to see ups and downs in our business in a sense of the use of especially as we enter the summer seasons. That said, we felt that fundraise we did in March really strengthens our balance sheet. Our credit facility gives us a lot more working capital flexibility than we had in 2021. And assuming we continue to hit our forecast and all that, we think we’re well capitalized. That said, if we decide to do M&A and other strategic moves like that, we probably would need to do equity raises.But outside of that from a business and norm, I think, we feel like the balance sheet is strong as of today.

Brian Nagel

Analyst

Got it. Appreciate it. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Tom Forte with D. A. Davidson. Your line is now open.

Tom Forte

Analyst · D. A. Davidson. Your line is now open.

Great. Thanks for taking my question. One question and one follow-up. So for the first question, you talked about it a little in your prepared remarks, but your need is a long time student of e-commerce. Can you talk about how inflation’s affecting e-commerce and how it’s affecting Aterian?

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst · D. A. Davidson. Your line is now open.

Sure. Inflation, obviously, prevalent across the entire supply chain, and it doesn’t just affect us. It affects also our partners, whether it’s on the logistics side or on the manufacturing side. And unfortunately, obviously, it trickles all the way back to the customer, right, as cost across the board of energy going up and materials going up. You have basically an impact at every point of the supply chain and what affects us at the end of the day is our cost of making the product of shipping them all the way to our warehouses, where they’re ready to be shipped to the customers. At the end of the day, the landed cost of those products now much higher than it used to be. And of course, as we discussed in previous calls, right, we are consistently focused on one thing, which is we can’t absorb the entire increase in cost, of course. So we have to raise our prices, but we’re also very much determined to retain much market share as possible for our portfolio. So the exercise for us is literally in real time adjustment of all the variables affecting the P&L of every one of our products to really try to find that sweet spot between holding market share, creating enough contribution margin for the product to make the profitable as much as we can, but also obviously with an increase in price on these products to absorb the cost, we’re seeing less sales, right. And with a smaller margin, the end contribution margin that we expect from our portfolio product is obviously lower. Again, we believe that, all of that has transient and been obviously quite a while now with all the events that are happening in the world. But we continue to maintain the strategy of retaining market share. We have to up our prices. It obviously hurts our numbers in our margins, but we’re so far, I think overall have been successful in navigating to this environment. At the end of the day, for us and for every business out there, the same pattern happens across the board for consumers. So that means the consumers are going to see at some point in time, their discretionary earnings not being able to drive as much consumption as we saw in the last couple years. And the effect, I think everyone on this call is seeing across the market, right, with a bunch of other e-commerce companies, as you mentioned affected by that. At the end of the day, as I said in my prepared remarks, right, we believe that this is all forming a new baseline. And from there growth – e-commerce and growth for Aterian should resume. So hopefully, I answer the question, Tom.

Tom Forte

Analyst · D. A. Davidson. Your line is now open.

Yes, thanks. So for my follow-up, I wanted you to talk about the near-term market environment for e-commerce and for Aterian, if you could rank order what you think is putting the most pressure on e-commerce sales in your sales. Is it consumers returning to physical stores and increase in discretionary income going to travel just economic concerns on Russia-Ukraine? Like, we’re hearing a lot of different reasons from a lot of different e-commerce players on why the June quarter in particular is so challenging. I’d appreciate your thoughts.

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst · D. A. Davidson. Your line is now open.

Can I choose all of the above? But again, I think the…

Tom Forte

Analyst · D. A. Davidson. Your line is now open.

[Indiscernible] least rank order.

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst · D. A. Davidson. Your line is now open.

Yes, I think all of the above, certainly, for everyone who’s in e-commerce. I think for Aterian specifically, we have a diversified portfolio of products and for those who follow us closely, we’ve always maintained that the strategy that we’re going after is to leverage the common denominator of all these brands around the kind of like bread and butter type of e-commerce that we have systematized at the parent company and to leverage out across these companies – these portfolio companies that we have. And so that’s interesting, because it allows us to see how the impact of this environment is different across categories, right. And as Tom, well, right, our portfolio has certainly a strategic inclination towards oversized products, where we have through our technology and supply chain infrastructure, a certain advantage in shipping last mile. But that advantage unfortunately has become a little bit of a detriment right in the supply chain crisis, because specifically for us, the oversized goods are hurt more than smaller goods, right. Obviously, which shipping container costs increasing so dramatically the larger items relatively speaking are more affected, right? And so that has – in terms of asking your question, right, like in terms of your question and what affects us the most. Definitely, the cost of shipping containers specifically for Aterian has a more significant effect than the others. I’d say that, the other thing that’s good Aterian in general is that we go after product categories that are pretty mainstream, I’d say almost – must have commodities, right? So in terms of the impact of consumers discretionary earnings and their ability to deploy that into goods, right, we’re less affected by the fact that our products are – would – portfolio products is more some of – something of a splurge, right? We are more focused on a long-term evergreen commoditized product. And from that perspective, I think that we’re less affected in some other companies, right. So again, for us, the main thing is going to be the shipping of containers. That’s the most – that’s what has the most impactful effect on Aterian specifically. And again, the other factors that you mentioned are true, but I think they’re less of an issue for us, and they’re more of an issue for the rest of the e-commerce landscape.

Tom Forte

Analyst · D. A. Davidson. Your line is now open.

Thanks for taking my questions. Appreciate it.

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst · D. A. Davidson. Your line is now open.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Brian Kinstlinger with Alliance Global Partners. Your line is now open.

Brian Kinstlinger

Analyst · Alliance Global Partners. Your line is now open.

Great. Thanks so much for taking my questions. First, I’m curious to what degree working with the third-party logistics companies like Amazon has benefited the P&L? Was there a material benefit in the first quarter or was most of the inventory from shipping containers before these agreements? And then the same question for the current quarter thus far, are we beginning to see a shift of inventory that was using these better price containers? Are they starting to increase as a percentage of the mix to improve your unit economics at all?

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst · Alliance Global Partners. Your line is now open.

Artie, why don’t I start answering this and see if you want to add anything? Thanks for the question. As we mentioned, we’re relying on several relationships, including Amazon Global Logistics which is a big part of this, right? We’re really happy with their help. I’d say that as much as it’s on a year-over-year comparison, tougher to see, because if you look at last year, right, the cost of shipping of containers that we were – that kind of pinned the cost of our goods was not as bad, right? Because it was the supply chain crisis really became much worse around June, July, right? Whereas in the first quarter of last year, we were benefiting from shipping cost of a couple quarters before, which were better, right? So the year-over-year comp might not show it, but the help of Amazon Global Logistics and other partners has been tremendous because relatively speaking, we can’t disclose exactly what we’re paying for shipping containers. But if we didn’t have these relationships in place, things would’ve been much more difficult. So, had a very significant impact on our ability to bring goods at a more reasonable price, still, obviously higher than the prices we were seeing in a more normalized environment. But lower than, what you see as the spot rate and the peak spot rate, right? There’s also more reliability under the banner of a ship that is kind of – under the banner of Amazon shipping a container is still more reliable though. I had to say, not perfectly either, right? So again, I think that the impact is there and it’s hard to see because the relative comparison to what would’ve been without it is tough to even imagined, right? So we’re very happy with that. Artie, I don’t if you want to add anything to that.

Arturo Rodriguez

Analyst · Alliance Global Partners. Your line is now open.

Yes. Thanks, Yaniv and great answer. Yes. There’s definitely listen – the partnerships we have can’t disclose pricing, but we’re definitely getting better rates than the spot rates, right, and at times, much better than the spot rates. So it’s definitely, it could have been a lot worse if we didn’t have these deals or these partners. And I think the other key thing that perhaps we don’t talk a lot about and you need nailed it is the reliability. I think you could see some of the short numbers are much different this year versus last year quarter. These guys have been able to, to really pinpoint give us timelines and meet them, right? So we can make sure that the product shows up. Now that said, we’ve mentioned we’re buying inventory at a larger clip to make sure we do have more on hand to avoid some of those issues and to buy in ahead of time to make sure if there are any disruptions, like Yaniv mentioned, China’s been shutting down here and there in certain parts that it’s less impactful. Now, the thing that makes it a little bit tough to your question is, the mix right? In a sense that we’ve been buying our summer season’s way ahead, so we’ve been taking advantage of some better pricing, and you’ll start seeing that hopefully in Q2 and Q3. So I think in some aspects, the comparable will still be a bit tough, especially in Q2. But certainly, or at the beginning part of Q2, but certainly as we continue to sort of wash through the inventory over the coming quarters, you’ll hopefully start seeing a little bit of improvements in Q3 into Q4. That’s helpful in the second part of your answer – the question, sorry.

Brian Kinstlinger

Analyst · Alliance Global Partners. Your line is now open.

Great. Yep. I have one follow-up. We’ve talked about inflation, obviously. In the past, you’ve talked about the slow nature in which you can raise prices despite the cost of supplies going so quickly careful not to lose your market share, competitors are not raising prices as fast. So can you just kind of give us a general update on how this is going in the market you’re in and maybe if you can characterize a general average increase in prices for your SKUs?

Arturo Rodriguez

Analyst · Alliance Global Partners. Your line is now open.

Yes. Thanks for the question. So as I mentioned again, eCommerce is interesting and in a way it’s a bit of a metaphor to traditional detail, where at the end of the day, your visibility to customers, if in traditional retail on a physical shelf for an online retail on a digital shelf is really the result of your performance, right? The more your product sells, the more it will show up in ads. The more it will show up in searches, the more it will sell. It’s almost like this kind of self fulfilling prophecy, right? And the challenge is that, we’ve always been very data and detail-oriented in terms of launching our products with this idea that we have to generate great performance, to be able to continue to see consistent sales. With the cost of everything going up, the dilemma, as I mentioned earlier is always, well, we have to up the price, because our margins are getting squeezed, but if we up them too much, your performance is going to come down, right? And then we might lose market share and it’s really hard to regain that, especially if other competitors take advantage of that and take market share. The really interesting part in all this is that, people ask me like, well, how can other people take market share because they’re having the same problems as you do, right? And the answer is yes, but remember also that a lot of companies who are dealing with this situation or potentially even throwing the towel and by throwing the towel, I mean they’re liquidating their product at really reduced cost or reducing prices in ways that are not sustainable for them, because they’re, again, dealing with the same challenges. Now for us, it’s always about, well,…

Brian Kinstlinger

Analyst · Alliance Global Partners. Your line is now open.

Understood. Thank you.

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst · Alliance Global Partners. Your line is now open.

No problem.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Matt Koranda with ROTH Capital. Your line is now open.

Mike Zabran

Analyst · ROTH Capital. Your line is now open.

Hey guys, it’s Mike Zabran on from Matt. Just a couple questions on M&A strategy going forward. If you could just give some more color on what we’re seeing in terms of multiples and talk about how we’re thinking about funding this growth, whether through debt or equity? And lastly, just kind of help us understand what types of companies we’re looking at. Are we looking for distressed aggregators that just need some operational improvement or are we just looking for overall well run businesses?

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst · ROTH Capital. Your line is now open.

That’s a great question. Let me answer it and I’ll go to Artie see if he wants to add anything. So, overall, as I said also in the prepared remarks, long-term, we’re super excited about the M&A. We think that there are going to be multiple winners in this industry building the consumer platform of the future, managing a portfolio brand at scale, across many channels. And this – the marketplace landscape is absolutely massive. As I said, there’s room for multiple winners and it’s not just about Amazon, right? Globally speaking, there are marketplaces pretty much every continent that are starting to dominate the online retail space. And we want to be very good at managing brands on those marketplaces. As I also mentioned in the remarks, the aggregator landscape, again, companies that have raised a significant amount of money to go and roll up some of the smaller e-commerce brands out there is starting to see some pressure, right? They’re starting to realize that this is a very challenging thing to do, and without the right infrastructure tech, it’s very hard to really manage those businesses, especially in challenging situations like the macro level environment that we’re in today. And so we believe that in the aggregator space, we’re going to see consolidation. We’re going to see good companies come out of it including Aterian and they will potentially is maybe opportunity there for us, it remains to be seen. Yes, but in here, I am right. We’ve continued to look at targets all the time. And as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, right, a couple of things that we look at and very careful about is we now obviously are more aware of the e-commerce call it acceleration that has happened in the last two years.…

Arturo Rodriguez

Analyst · ROTH Capital. Your line is now open.

Yes. Thanks Yaniv. And yes, I think, we said earlier, I think the equity raise and our midcap credit facility, it puts us in a good position and strengthens the balance sheet, gives us flexibility to navigate some of these disruptions and certainly provides flexibility in working capital. We said previously, we will reiterate, if we’re going to do M&A, especially material ones, we probably look at doing some type of financing if that’s equity or debt or some combination of both, including shares to the seller, which obviously is what the current volume we’re doing is becoming more interesting to certain sellers. So I think those combinations is where you would see some news on financing if we were doing M&A.

Mike Zabran

Analyst · ROTH Capital. Your line is now open.

Got it. Very helpful. Thanks guys. One more for me. Could you guys just elaborate a little bit on the inventory composition in the quarter and help us get a sense of how much of that inventory is finished goods on the water versus how much is sitting currently in distribution centers?

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst · ROTH Capital. Your line is now open.

Yes. Artie?

Arturo Rodriguez

Analyst · ROTH Capital. Your line is now open.

If I can grab that.?

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst · ROTH Capital. Your line is now open.

Yes. Go ahead.

Arturo Rodriguez

Analyst · ROTH Capital. Your line is now open.

Yes, absolutely. Yes. That’s a good question. So roughly, I would say about 20 million is considered in transit and the other difference, which I think will be like 56, I guess, roughly is or 55 is sitting on hand.

Mike Zabran

Analyst · ROTH Capital. Your line is now open.

That’s helpful. Thanks guys.

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst · ROTH Capital. Your line is now open.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the conference back over to Ilya Grozovsky.

Ilya Grozovsky

Analyst

Thanks. As part of our Shareholder Perks Program, which as a reminder, investors can sign up for at aterian.io/perks. Participants have the ability to ask management questions on earnings call. I want to thank all of the shareholder Perks participants for their loyalty, their participation in the program and their questions. I’ve picked a few of the most popular questions that they have asked. Please update what is happening with DealMojo and recurrent partnerships. Yaniv, can you handle that one?

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst

Sure. Yes. Thanks, Ilya. And again, thanks to all our shareholders in the Shareholder Perks Program for participating in this. So while on the DealMojo recurring side, we talked about it in the past, we continue to make strategic investment in everything that’s related to publisher driven business. As a reminder, 30% of customers in the United States search for products outside of marketplaces when they’re looking for a solution to a problem or recommendation, right? And oftentimes this traffic, this searches are captured by publishers. So online magazines that are going to write articles or promote certain product, maybe a coupon website or things like that. And we basically build DealMojo as a destination for publishers and online sellers in e-commerce space to partner around these promotions. And obviously for Aterian, it’s a strategic thing to have, right. And so we continue to see good progress there. We continue to onboard publishers. It’s still early, but it’s looking promising, and we’re going to continue to turn this into a destination for us. And more to come on the recurring side, we hope to have some news on this in pretty soon here, we are making progress on that relationship.

Ilya Grozovsky

Analyst

Thanks. Next question that was popular was, what is going on with Aterian’s international sales efforts?

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst

Sure. So we’ve made some progress on international sales, but it’s obviously not moving as fast as we wanted, mainly because again, of all disruptions that are happening to supply chain. And as I mentioned on previous calls, Europe is experienced even more disruption than the U.S. Yes. In the meantime, one of the main things we’re doing is we’re making a lot of infrastructure preparations for more robust rollout, right? So we’re setting up our Aterian PS [ph] and logistics and all these other important things that are going to be critical as we kind of push back on growth. And pending on normalization of supply chain, we believe that there’s a very large opportunity especially in Europe where we’re focusing now. We’re also at the end of the day, going to see a lot of potential to expand internationally versus those acquisitions which we’ve been starting to look at. But as again, timing is not necessarily right now, given all the disruptions. And I think that we will see as things start to stabilize us, pushing more products specifically to Europe over an infrastructure that I guess in the last next few months we’ll get to invest in. And then we’ll see growth coming both from bringing products into those markets, as well as we discussed potentially acquisition that we want to do there. But all of this is again pending the normalization of the environment, which is not a – if but when, right. And we’re just kind of timing that as well as we can.

Ilya Grozovsky

Analyst

Okay. And your final question from the Perks program is, can you update us on what you are doing about the alleged naked shorting of your stock?

Yaniv Sarig

Analyst

Yes. We received questions about that. So, as we talked about in the past, we engaged a third-party firm that is specializing in these matters. I can share that, we sent several letters to well known Wall Street institutions pointing out what are third-party investigative firm believes a substantial share, imbalances sharing balances. It’s a long process. And we’re grateful for the support of our retail institutional shareholders around this. In the long run, we’re focused on execution and believe that the prospect of our business put the supply chain pressures that we’re experiencing today. We believe that [indiscernible] great and that will basically set the tone for the trading of our stock. But again, we’re very grateful to all the support that we’re getting for our retail investors and our institutional investors.

Ilya Grozovsky

Analyst

Thank you. This concludes the Q&A portion of the call. In terms of the upcoming calendar, Aterian management will be participating in the Oppenheimer 7th Annual Emerging Growth Conference on May 10, the Craig-Hallum 19th Annual Institutional Investor Conference on June 1, and the Oppenheimer 22nd Annual Consumer and E-Commerce Conference on June 14 and 15. We look forward to speaking with you on future calls. This ends our call, and you may now disconnect. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s conference call. Thank you for participating. You may not disconnect.