Yaniv Sarig
Analyst · Oppenheimer. Your line is now open
Thank you, Ilya. And thank you everyone for joining us today. On the call today, I'll go over the following topics. I'll start with quick introduction to Aterian for those who are new to our story. I'll then review key takeaways from the first quarter of this year. I'll then discuss the continued challenges we're dealing with given the economy and macro level pressure from supply chain disruptions and inflation, I will then summarize the long-term prospects for Aterian. So for those who are newer to the story, here's what you need to know about our company. Aterian is part of a new breed of technology-enabled consumer product companies. We focus on building, acquiring and partnering with e-commerce brands online. Aterian own and operates 14 consumer brands, selling products across various categories on channels such as Amazon, Walmart, Shopify, and eBay. To allow us to scale, we've invested in building our own proprietary software platform called AIMEE. AIMEE enables our team to manage our business more efficiently by injecting technology into processes that would otherwise have to be executed manually and would require hiring an unscalable and unsustainable workforce. Through its ability to analyze vast amounts of data and automate daily recurring tasks. AIMEE allows our team to find new product opportunities we can launch under our brands, manage these products to scale effectively across various channels, automate certain marketing and fulfillment tasks, and much more. Our goal in the long-term is to become one of the most efficient consumer companies in the world. Expanding our footprint globally, we’re continuing to invest in technology and agile supply chain to drive scale and profitability. Moving on to our key takeaways from a first quarter, I'll start with a quick summary of the main points and then discuss them in more detail. Notwithstanding inflationary and supply chain pressures, we believe that once the macro level environment improves, Aterian is more than ever well positioned to become a leader in the space. We have an incredible team which keeps getting better. And our result to build a leading consumer platform in e-commerce is stronger than ever. Global recession fears are mounting but we think that there is a silver lining. As global demand [Audio Dip] for products cool down, we expect to see improvement in supply chain and logistics costs. We believe that we have the balance sheet necessary and many additional levers we can pull to get through this difficult environment. We're preparing to resume growth and profitability when the macro level challenges subside. We're focusing on strengthening our team and infrastructure. We hired Anton von Reuden, as our new Global COO and I’m working closely with him on preparing the organization for rapid and systemic scale. We're looking at acquisition targets constantly with an important focus on brands that are less affected by the supply chain crisis. We're being diligent, cautious, and patient driven environment. With these important points in mind, I'd like to now discuss each of them in further details. It's no surprise that the macro level environment continues to put near-term pressure on our business. At the same time, our leadership continues to be excited about Aterian’s long-term prospect and focus on laying the groundwork necessary to ignite growth. The last couple weeks have made it clear to everyone that the economy is witnessing a whiplash effect driven by the monetary policies adopted by governments around the world to counter the COVID-19 pandemic. Many people ask us why supply chains have been so dramatically disrupted in the last year and a half. There's no simple answer, but obvious to us in insight that the massive injection of cash by governments around the world to stimulate a global economy during the pandemic is a big part of the culprit. With most traveling services being unavailable during the initial lockdowns of 2020, government monetary support was dramatically skewed towards retail online consumption. With consumer appetite for product skyrocketing, logistics companies could not react fast enough to invest in more ships and airplanes to transport goods. Given this asymmetric demand for shipping services against limited capacity, prices of shipping skyrocketed, further escalating inflation. On Amazon itself, we're seeing an increase in price of goods across most categories. As many on this call have probably anticipated after reviewing the financial results of large online retailers, we're now seeing the effects of the pendulum swing in the opposite direction. Consumers are seeing prices going up everywhere. And as a result, demand for product is weaker compared to the shopping spree we saw in the last two years. For Aterian’s [Audio Dip] investors, the latest signs of reduced consumer demand should actually be quite encouraging. How can I say that when we are looking down the barrel of a potential painful recession, well, simply because our business – for our business really getting back to growth and profitability is predicated on returning to normalized shipping costs. And unfortunately, the only way to get there is to reduce global consumer demand for products. While this downturn in demand might spell doom for other companies in our industry, it will not for Aterian. Things like they were more difficult before they get better, but we're already preparing for what happens when markets stabilize and run a new baseline from which we can grow our business. We have the balance sheet to get through a long downturn and many levers to pull in case of additional challenges. More importantly, our team has never been stronger and are resolved to prove ourself as never been more steadfast. For long-term as investors who believe in us, the critical question is when will that new baseline form and what will be the growth from that point on. On a global level, the e-commerce buying experience in 2020 represented a 26.5% year-over-year revenue growth compared to 2019. In 2021 year-over-year e-commerce revenue continued to grow, but as much smaller rate of 16.3% compared to the previous year and this year e-commerce expected to add around 12.2% on global growth compared to 2021. The expected year-over-year revenue growth rates starting in 2023 will be between 9% to 10%. But more importantly, e-commerce is predicted to represent 23.6% of all retail sales globally by 2025 versus 17.9% in 2020. So while the immediate year-over-year comparisons are challenging in the long-term, e-commerce is predicted to continuous rapid growth. And at Aterian, we're preparing to take advantage of that growth. As part of these preparations, we're strengthening our team with talent across the board. We're excited to welcome Anton von Reuden to Aterian as its global – new global COO, Anton brings over 22 years of experience in e-commerce operations. Anton was also previously the CEO and President of Boosted Commerce, an e-commerce aggregator of brands, which trades over $380 million in capital to acquire smaller online brands. As we prepare to expand and grow, the number of brands we manage, agile processes and automation through technology are going to be critical to scale our model. We're looking forward to turning our parent company into a well-oiled machine, giving our portfolio brands all the necessary building blocks of E-commerce-as-a-Service. With regards to our acquisition strategy, we remain very excited about the opportunity to do accretive acquisition driving strategic value for Aterian. During the first quarter, our team has continued to evaluate many opportunities. We're remaining disciplined in valuation, given the inflated performance of targets to the COVID-19 e-commerce acceleration. Given that most of these targets expect to be value- based on the performance of the trailing 12 months. We believe that valuations will come down over the course of the year. We expect to be able to capitalize on the impact of the current market conditions to acquire a number of these targets at a later stage for more reasonable valuation. There’s been a lot of press recently about the challenges faced by e-commerce aggregators. Just last year, raised astronomical amounts of money to pursue similar acquisition strategy to ours. The press is reporting on many of these companies on are struggling with similar challenges and the ones we entitled since last year. One of the main challenges affecting our peers is lack of the infrastructure and technology to support the complex effort of managing a portfolio brands online. Without systems to monitor and aggregate product performance in real time and automate manual functions, most of these companies to need to hire a non-scalable workforce of analysts and marketers. The difference between these companies in Aterian is in our years of investing in building our AIMEE platform, which allows us to operate the brands we build or acquire with more efficiency and less overhead. This is key for success for those pursuing a platform strategy. We believe that our revenue to employee headcount remains best in class and will continue to improve over time. We’ve also been in this business for much longer than most of these companies, and we’ve surrounded challenges affecting our industry for many years, proving that our culture over the – whatever is coming next. With that, let me turn the call to Artie for a more in-depth discussion of the quarters financial.