Michael Weinstein
Analyst · DGHM
Hi, everybody. Happy holidays. The last conference call we had, I tried to give an EBITDA expectation for the current year, which we now end. I like to review that with you and tell you where we stand. We think that, that guidance is still very much intact. The 2017 EBITDA was $10.830 million. We had a gain in that year from the sale of our Jupiter property of $1.637 million and we also ended our lease at Canyon Road in New York where we had a $178,000 gain. That was not an operating profit. That was a gain on sort of an assignment of the lease. So, the EBITDA was somewhere around roughly $9 million. We add to that this year what we think are pretty solid numbers. Sequoia, because it was being renovated last year had - and had terrible delays in the renovation. We had $2.270 million EBITDA loss. The year before, we made $1.5 million. So, there was a $3.770 million swing, which we think is certainly numbers we can count on that will be added back to the $9 million EBITDA. The Jupiter loss last year before the sale was $281,000. So that's an add back. The Rustic Inn had always - the year before the bridge was taken down that connected the Rustic Inn to the main highway and caused a 3-mile detour, that bridge is now complete and operating, a little later than we thought. We thought we'd have it in September, it became operational last week. But we think we can add $700,000 of EBITDA increase with the bridge being up. The minute the bridge went down, our EBITDA dropped from about $3.4 million to $2.6 million, $2.7 million. We are projecting another $263,000 that we wrote off as part of the acquisition cost of the Alabama properties and then we think our catering numbers improved, and we think Durgin-Park improves, that's another $400,000, $500,000 between the two of them. And that all adds up to $14.432 million if we take back those add-ins. What we are not giving any credit to is strong business that seems to be occurring in Las Vegas. From the news we're following the reports of Las Vegas companies, that market is probably one of the strongest economies in the United States right now. Our sales in Las Vegas were up 3.3% last year. We, last year, renovated America, which is a big restaurant in New York, New York. We’ve also made some changes at Yolös at the Aladdin. So, we think we're in great position there to see continued headcount growth and probably EBITDA growth there as well, but that's not in our projection. So, there are no excuses for us now. We have no leases expiring. We don't have any bridges down. Sequoia is completely finished and open to the public in all areas. Shuckers, which had extreme weather last year and we were - and the building next to us, which sort of access a feeder to the restaurant when it's a timeshare building, that building was being repaired last year. So, half the units were not available. That building is done as of the couple of weeks ago. Clyde's had construction in the building it occupies that blocked our entrances. That construction is complete. So, from the point of view of being able to do business to generate revenues uninterrupted by any outside factors or by our own factor, we have a clear path in front of us. The only issue that we have, especially in New York, is minimum wage legislation. We think we figured that out by working around the edges again. We've done things in the past to help us. This is the third bump that we're facing in minimum wage, which is sort of baked into the legislation. We've done things to help offset those labor costs in the past by charging taxes at the bar, raising administrative fees on private events, not accepting credit cards in payment of private events unless the party doing the private event gives us 3% to cover our credit cost fees. When you're doing $10 million, that 3% represents several hundred thousand dollars. We worked all the edges to what we thought we did to sort of ameliorate the - or mitigate the additional minimum wage legislation, but we found a couple more. So, in January, we get another bump. I think that bump would cost us about $0.5 million if we did nothing about it in New York. But we found things to do, and we don't think on this bump that it's going to be any negative impact to our EBITDA projection. So that's it. Again, we got a clear path in front of us. I think we're going to do well. The December quarter, we're seeing good results. We don't have those numbers yet, obviously, but the results have been pretty good. And we think we're on a good path. I'll take questions now.