Liz Perkins
Analyst · Capital One Securities
Thank you, Justin, and thank you everyone for joining us this morning. These are incredibly challenging times for our industry. I want to take this opportunity to thank our team at Apple Hospitality, the operators at our hotels and management companies, the brand, our banking team and our industry colleagues. Together, we have been working diligently to explore and implement initiatives to minimize costs, operate efficiently, strengthen our liquidity position and safeguard the health and well-being of our teams and guests so that we are well positioned both during this crisis and for a strong recovery as travel resume. During the first two months of the year, operations were generally in line with our expectations, with comparable hotels RevPAR trending around the midpoint of our recently withdrawn 2020 guidance range, despite headwinds from previously discussed year-over-year comps. As efforts to mitigate the spread of COVID-19, including travel restrictions and stay-at-home orders were implemented across the country and our market. Average occupancy for our portfolio has declined from approximately 76% for the month of February to 41% for the month of March. Occupancy levels settled at around 16% during the last week of March and stayed around that level until mid-April. Although, we started to see a slight improvement in occupancy towards the end of April and into May, the improvement has been partially offset by declines in rates, largely the results of changes in the mix of business at our hotels. We believe that the modest but notable increase in occupancy we're beginning to see as a result of the ongoing sales efforts of our asset management and hotel management team coupled with the inherent benefits of the assets we are invested in. With broad geographic diversification and a high concentration of extended stay and sweet properties, we are well positioned to provide accommodations to a variety of groups and individuals on the frontlines of this pandemic, including military, traveling nurses, health care professionals, and first responders. Although this negotiated business has contributed to our decrease in ADR as compared to last year is bolstering our occupancy. For the week ended May 9th, portfolio occupancy was 24% with daily occupancies occasionally in the upper 20s in the most recent week. The immediate impact of COVID-19 in March was broad based and by mid-April 59% of our hotels were running less than 15% occupancy. Since that time, we have begun to see improvement with over 40% of our properties at 25% occupancy or greater and 15% of our properties over 50% occupancy for the week ending May 9th. Some of our hotels where we're seeing particular strengths are located in Manassas and Suffolk, Virginia; Macon, Georgia; Miami; and Anchorage, with demand ranging from construction, military, airline crew, disaster recovery, and even some minimal demand for more traditional corporate accounts. Our portfolio is well maintained broadly diversified, select-service hotels are not only well suited to accommodate first responders and current travelers, but also to serve the demand that is expected to return over the next phase of the recovery. Domestic leisure demand is expected to lead the recovery and we have begun to see early signs of this stay-at-home orders are lifted in various states throughout the southeast. The day after reopening following the government and post-closure as Justin mentioned, our Carolina Beach Courtyard ran 70% occupancy at $170 average daily rate and just this past weekend was sold out at over $200 average daily rates. With our broad footprint, low exposure to gateway cities, minimal dependence on inbound international business and almost 80% of our rooms outside of urban locations, we expect to benefit from continued react relaxing of restrictions over the coming months. Turning to the bottom line, our first quarter comparable hotels adjusted hotel EBITDA and adjusted EBITDAre were $63 million and $54 million, respectively, and modified FFO per share was $0.17, all meaningfully down from the first quarter of 2019, driven by the steep and abrupt RevPAR declines in March. Although the environment changed seemingly overnight, our team acted quickly and purposely to reduce same-store total hotel expenses by approximately 31% for the month of March, resulting in a savings of approximately 9% for the quarter compared to last year. As Justin mentioned, our low cost operating models have allowed the Company hotels to remain open. So, we have intentionally consolidated operations and occupancy to a single building in markets where we own multiple hotels in order to gain incremental efficiencies. As of May 15th, 71 of our hotels were involved in these market clusters with occupancy consolidated from 38 hotels. Our select-service rooms focused models gives us the flexibility to operate with minimal staff when necessary, and positions us to quickly adapt to changing market conditions. As occupancy began to deteriorate, our asset management team works with our management companies to quickly establish minimum staffing levels for our hotels and initiate other cost savings initiatives. We are now working with each of our managers to establish labor models appropriate for the various occupancy levels that will ensue over the recovery, bench-marking those models across our portfolio to ensure we are thoughtfully optimizing results as we move forward. In 2017, we implemented labor management systems across the majority of our portfolios to improve productivity at our hotels. These systems provide our property managers with a valuable tool and framework for managing staffing and various occupancy levels, and will allow us real time access to monitor individual property performance, and benchmark labor models as demand return. With labor being the most significant operating expense, staffing reductions are anticipated to produce approximately 65% to 70% savings in total payroll on average at low occupancy hotels. Our team has also worked to reduce other operating expenses by renegotiating national contracts and eliminating unnecessary services. With these cost elimination and reduction strategies as well as our ability to quickly flex staffing models to adjust to changes in demand, we have multiple levers we can pull to ensure maximum property level efficiency. In March, we were through 2020 guidance and respond to deterioration market conditions and uncertainty related to the depth and duration of the current crisis. While April numbers are not final and the current operating environment model still evolving, with these operational adjustments, we estimate our monthly cash burn rate including property level expenses, corporate G&A, property taxes, insurance and debt service will be approximately $18 million, assuming occupancy levels of between 15% and 20%. We expect property level break even occupancy for our portfolio to be between 30% and 35% and to be able to cover corporate costs including debt service at occupancy levels between 40% and 45%, depending on average daily rate. While being immediately committed to minimizing operating losses, we also focused on our balance sheet and in an effort to increase readily available liquidity, drew down the remaining availability under our $425 million revolving credit facility and had available cash of approximately $437 million as of March 31, 2020. As Justin mentioned to further preserve capital, we've suspended monthly distributions postpones non-essential capital improvement projects terminated the written trading plan under a share repurchase program, and our chairman CEO and Board of Directors voluntarily took project reduction in their compensation. We have always believed that maintaining a strong balance sheet would provide us stability during periods of economic difficulty and flexibility to act opportunistically. We entered the current downturn with net debt to EBITDA of approximately 3.1 times. As of March 31 2020, we had approximately $1.8 billion of total debt outstanding, with a current combined weighted average interest rate of approximately 3.3% and unrestricted cash of $437 million. Excluding unamortized debt issuance costs and fair value adjustments, the Company's total outstanding indebtedness is comprised of approximately $500 million in property level debt secured by 31 hotels, and approximately $1.3 billion outstanding on our unsecured credit facilities. At March 31 2020, the Company's total debt, the total capitalization, net of cash was approximately 40% and weighted average debt maturities were five years with no maturities for the remainder of 2020 and $32 million net of reserves maturing in 2021. Despite our track record of strategic commitment to a conservative capital structure, and although at March 31, 2020, we were in compliance with the covenants under our credit facilities, we began discussions with our lenders to secure temporary waivers of each of the covenants under our agreements and anticipation that the severe impact of COVID-19 on the economy, the lodging industry and our business would potentially result in noncompliance. We anticipate entering into an amendment to each of our credit facilities that would provide relief from the covenants for a period of four quarters, beginning with the quarter ending June 30, 2020. The terms of the proposed amendments are expected to include minimum liquidity requirements and restrictions on the amount of the Company's distributions capital expenditures, share repurchases and acquisitions among other items during the permanent relief period. Throughout our history in the lodging industry, we have fostered strong relationships with our lenders and we are grateful for their support. While we cannot provide assurances, we feel confident we will secure the flexibility necessary to weather the current crisis. Before opening the call for Q&A, I would like to again thank all of our colleagues and stakeholders, we have received an outpouring of support broadly and specifically for many of you and we appreciate you greatly. While these are unprecedented and challenging times, I am proud to be part of Apple Hospitality and this wonderful industry. The commitment to our associates, guests and the community is inspiring, and our teams have worked swiftly, tirelessly and effectively to manage the current environment. Our well maintained, young, geographically diversified rooms focused portfolio has broad consumer appeal, and we believe we're well positioned to benefit and outperformed as travel resume. We will now open the call for questions.