Adam Norwitt
Analyst · Evercore. Your line is now open
Well, thank you very much Craig and welcome to all of you on our call today. As is customary, I'm going to highlight a few of our achievements here in the second quarter, I'll then talk about our trends and our progress across our diversified served markets. And then finally, I'll make some comments on our outlook for the third quarter and full-year 2019 and of course, we'll have some time at the end for questions-and-answers. As Craig just detailed, our results in the second quarter were within the company's guidance and that's despite a clear increase in market uncertainty that we saw during the quarter. Sales grew by 2% in US dollars and 4% in local currencies, reaching just over $2 billion in fact $2.015 billion. The company booked $2.019 billion in orders representing essentially a book-to-bill of 1:1 for the quarter. Adjusted operating margins were again very strong in the quarter, reaching 20.3%. Also the company generated healthy operating cash flow $322 million in the second quarter, which is yet again an excellent reflection of the quality of the company's earnings. I'd like to also just note that I am very pleased that the Board of Directors just yesterday approved a 9% increase in the company's quarterly dividend to $0.25 per share, effective with the October payment. I'm very proud of the Amphenol management team. The results this quarter were just another clear reflection of the agility and discipline of our entrepreneurial organization around the world as we perform well amid both the very dynamic electronics industry and a volatile demand environment, all while driving outstanding operating performance for the company. We are pleased to announce today that we completed four outstanding acquisitions just in the last several weeks, which collectively represent approximately $150 million of annualized sales and which we acquired for a total purchase price of approximately $280 million. First CONEC, which we completed in late June is a provider of high technology connectors for the industrial market with annual sales of approximately $80 million. CONEC is based in Lippstadt, Germany and its products are sold into a wide array of applications in the industrial market, including factory automation, instrumentation and many, many others. This company represents an outstanding complement to our already broad array of interconnect solutions for industrial applications. Kopek, which also closed in late June as a manufacturer of RF passive interconnect components for the broadband market. Kopek's products are sold primarily to Amphenol, as a vendor to us, together with a very small amount of sales to outside customers. The company is based in Hong Kong with manufacturing operations in Shenzhen, China. Bernd Richter, which we completed just here in July, is a manufacturer of leading-edge interconnect assemblies primarily for the medical market with annual sales of approximately $30 million. Based in Wipperfurth, Germany, Bernd Richter's products are sold into a variety of applications for medical equipment made by customers in Europe, as well as in North America. This great company strengthens our already successful medical interconnect products offering, while also improving our position in value add assemblies for the European medical market. And then finally, just last week, late last week in fact, we closed the acquisition of the GJM Group. GJM is a provider of cable assemblies for the automotive market based just outside of Barcelona, Spain [Technical Difficulty] of approximately $40 million, manufacturers cable assemblies for complex applications within passenger vehicles, and represents an excellent complement to our already broad value add offerings for the worldwide automotive market. As we welcome these outstanding new teams to the Amphenol family, we remain very confident that our acquisition program will continue to create great value for the company. In fact, so far this year, we've already acquired seven great businesses, which collectively represent annualized revenues of approximately $470 million. But even more importantly, we've strengthened the Amphenol, with these new strong management teams, their complementary market positions and the capabilities they offer, thereby, creating platforms for future expansion, as well as performance improvement. No question that our acquisition program clearly remains a core competitive advantage for Amphenol. Now before I get into reviewing the details of our performance by end market, I would like to comment on some recent market developments over the last quarter that have impacted our outlook heading into the second half here of 2019. First, following the restrictions that were placed on sales to Huawei by the US government, there has been a significant increase in uncertainty across the communications equipment markets as many customers are grappling with potential changes in China demand. This has resulted in certain customers reducing their outlooks for the second half of 2019. Second, we have -- there has also been a moderation of demand expectations in both the industrial and automotive markets including in both Europe and Asia in particular, as customers no longer expect a step-up in sales in the second half, which they previously had been anticipating. Finally, and no doubt related to these two dynamics, our distributors have also moderated their expectations for demand for our products, reflecting both the reduced end market demand as well as their elevated inventory levels. We have reflected these lower demand levels in our outlook, and I'll discuss the specific impact of these changes in each of the relevant markets in a few moments. But before I do that, I just want to say that I'm very proud of our teams working in these effective markets who are around the world, quickly adjusting their cost, well, equally importantly redeploying their resources to ensure that Amphenol is well positioned regardless of the market environment. And look, I mean, ultimately, this is the ultimate reflection of Amphenolian agility. Now, turning to our trends and progress across our served markets. I would just note that we continue to be very pleased with the value created by the company's balanced and broad end market diversification. In fact, in the second quarter, once again no market represented more than 20% of our sales. Very importantly that market diversification helps to mitigate the impact of the volatility of individual end markets, while also serving to expose us to leading technology innovations wherever they may arise across the electronics industry. Now starting out with the military market, that market represented 12% of our sales in the quarter and sales grew by a better-than-expected 18% in US dollars and 19% organically. This very strong growth was broad-based, but was driven in particular by growth in military vehicles, naval applications, avionics, as well as communications equipment. Sequentially, our sales increased by 7%. Looking ahead, we expect sales in the military market in the third quarter to again increase from these second quarter levels. And for the full year 2019, we now expect to achieve high teens sales growth in this very important market. This represents an upgrade to our outlook provided last quarter. I remain extremely proud of Amphenol's team working in the military market. As demand for military interconnect products continues to accelerate, given both the robust government spending levels as well as the acceleration of adoption of new technologies, our organization has done an outstanding job reacting to meet these elevated levels of demand, while also gaining market share. We simply have the broadest range of interconnect products together with the strongest and most international manufacturing footprint and this positions us very strongly for the long term. The commercial aerospace market represented 5% of our sales in the quarter. And sales in the second quarter came in stronger than expected growing 11% in U.S. dollars and 13% organically as we capitalized on continued strong demand for next generation jetliners. Sequentially, our sales were down just slightly from the first quarter. Looking into the third quarter, we expect a slight moderation of sales given typical summer seasonality, but regardless, we now expect a low double-digit increase in sales in the commercial air market for the full-year 2019 and this represents an improvement from our prior expectations. We remain very encouraged by the company's strong technology position across a wide array of aircraft platforms as well as the next generation systems that are integrated into such airplanes. And we look forward to benefiting from that position for many years to come. The industrial market represented 20% of our sales in the quarter. Sales in the second quarter were down by 3% in US dollars and 8% organically, as growth in factory automation, industrial battery and medical applications was offset by reductions in heavy equipment instrumentation and alternative energy. Our sales to distribution were also softer on a year-over-year basis. On a sequential basis, sales increased by 2% from the first quarter. We're very excited about the recent additions of both CONEC and Bernd Richter, which strengthen our position in the European industrial market in particular across a range of exciting segments including medical, factory automation, instrumentation and many other applications. As we look into the third quarter, we expect sales in the industrial market to increase from the second quarter levels, as we benefit from the additions of our new acquisitions together with modest sequential organic growth. And while we do anticipate growth in the high single digits for the full year, as I mentioned earlier, we now do not expect to grow organically for the full year as both our distributor and OEM customers no longer foresee a step-up in demand in the second half. Regardless of this organic moderation demand that we've recently seen, we remain very encouraged by the company's leading position in the industrial interconnect and sensors market. Through both our successful acquisition program as well as our innovation initiatives, we have developed a very broad array of products across a diversified range of exciting segments within the global industrial market. We're proud of the success and we look forward to realizing the benefits of our efforts in the industrial market for many years to come. The automotive market represented 19% of our sales in the quarter. Sales in the automotive market were about as expected in the second quarter with sales flat to prior year in US dollars and down 3% organically. This organic moderation of sales was related primarily to the European market and to a lesser extent, in North America. Sequentially, our automotive sales increased by 4%. As we look into the third quarter, we expect sales to moderate slightly from these levels. And for the full year 2019, we now expect sales growth in the low-single-digits, which is a slight reduction from our prior expectations. As I alluded to earlier, while we came into the second quarter expecting a step-up in demand in the automotive market in the second half, based on our current input from customers, we no longer expect any meaningful organic increase in sales here in the second half of 2019. This relates primarily to subdued vehicle production expectations for Europe and Asia. Regardless of this more muted outlook, for the full year, the Company is positioned in the automotive market is as strong as ever. We continue to work with a wide array of customers around the world to design in our broadening portfolio of interconnect sensor and antenna products into their next-generation vehicles. In addition, we're working on many advanced technologies with customers around the world, including next-generation electrified drivetrains, autonomous driving systems and many others. And with the acquisition of GJM further expanding our product range and customer reach, we believe we've built an excellent base for future performance. The mobile devices market represented 12% of our sales in the quarter. Sales were slightly lower than expected in the second quarter, growing 4% from prior year as growth in smartphones, laptops and wearables was partially offset by a reduction in sales related to tablets and production-related products. Looking into the third quarter, we expect demand to increase moderately from these levels, as customers begin to ramp up their new platforms. And for the full year 2019, we continue to expect to roughly 30% reduction in sales from prior year as we discussed extensively during last quarter's call. As always, our team will remain poised to capitalize on any incremental demand opportunities that may arise as the year progresses. I remain encouraged by Amphenol's position in the mobile devices market. Our team is continuing to work on a wide array of next-generation mobile devices, including smartphones, laptops, tablets, wearables and many other accessories. And we are confident that in the long term, this market will continue to be a positive contributor to the Company's overall performance. Most importantly, our team working in the mobile devices market remains just simply the most agile of reacting to the inevitable changes that occur in this very exciting space, thereby securing both our market position and financial performance. The mobile networks market represented 9% of our sales in the quarter, and our performance is a bit better than expected in the second quarter with sales increasing by 9% in US dollars and flat organically as we benefited from the contributions from the Charles Industries acquisition that we announced last quarter. On an organic basis, our sales increased to OEMs, but were offset by a continued moderation of demand from wireless service providers. And sequentially, sales grew by a strong 17% from the first quarter with those contributions from Charles. Looking into the third quarter and the second half of 2019, we now anticipate a significant sequential reduction of sales as a result of the dynamics that I addressed earlier in the call. And for the full year 2019, we now expect sales to be flat to prior year in US dollars, but down in the high-single-digits organically as benefits from the Charles acquisition are offset by a moderation in demand from both OEM and operator customers in the second half of 2019. Regardless of this more challenging situation that emerged here in the second quarter, we remain very confident in the long-term outlook for our mobile networks business. Our leading edge interconnect and antenna solutions have positioned the Company strongly with OEM and operator customers really in all geographies. As those customers plan for 5G and other network upgrades, we look forward to benefiting from our robust position as a partner with those customers. And this creates a significant long-term expansion potential for Amphenol. The information technology and data communications market represented 19% of our sales in the quarter. As we had expected coming into the second quarter, sales were slightly down from prior year as growth in networking-related products was more than offset by reductions of sales of products sold into servers and storage hardware. Sequentially, sales were up slightly from the first quarter with the addition of Charles Industries. Looking into the third quarter, we now expect a significant sequential reduction in sales resulting from those dynamics I addressed earlier. And for the full year 2019, we now anticipate a mid-to-high single-digit decline from prior year. Regardless of these current market dynamics, our OEM and service provider customers across the IT Datacom market are continuing to push their systems and networks to higher levels of performance. Our ability to enable this performance through our next-generation high-speed fiber optic, power and other interconnect solutions has enabled Amphenol to be a leader in this market, and we are confident that we will continue in that position into the long term. And then finally, the broadband market represented 4% of our sales in the quarter. Sales in the second quarter reduced by a greater-than-expected 15% from prior year as spending by operators in the broadband market continued to moderate. On a sequential basis, sales were down by roughly 3%. Looking ahead, we expect sales to increase modestly from these levels in the third quarter. However, for the full year 2019, we now do expect sales to be down in the high-single-digits from prior year on reduced capital investments by broadband operators. Regardless of this more muted outlook in the broadband market, we remain encouraged by the Company's continually expanding range of products for the broadband market together with our strong position with customers around the world. The acquisition of Kopek, while small, brings in house our capabilities for RF passive interconnect devices and represents yet another strengthening of our product offering. So in summary, I would just say that I'm very pleased actually with the Company's performance in the second quarter, in particular given this heightened level of uncertainty that emerged during the quarter. The Amphenol organization has clearly continued to execute very well in this dynamic marketplace. In particular, our long-term dual-pronged approach of growing both organically and through our successful acquisition program has resulted in us expanding our market position, while strengthening the Company's financial performance. The Company's superior performance is a direct reflection of Amphenol's distinct competitive advantages, our leading technology, our increasing position with customers across our diverse end-markets, broad worldwide presence, a lean and very flexible cost structure and a highly effective acquisition program, together most importantly with Amphenol's agile entrepreneurial management team. Now turning to our outlook, as I mentioned earlier, we have moderated our outlook in the second half due to the dynamics affecting the communications equipment, industrial and automotive markets, which include as well the effects of reduced demand from our distributors. Based on these factors and considering the heightened level of uncertainty in the overall economy and of course, assuming constant exchange rates, we now expect the following results. For the third quarter, we expect sales in the range of $1.960 billion to $2.000 billion and adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $0.86 to $0.88. This represents a sales reduction versus prior year of down 6% to down 8% and a decrease versus prior year adjusted diluted EPS of 11% to 13%. For the full year 2019, we now expect sales in the range of $7.920 billion to $8.000 billion with adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $3.56 to $3.60. For the full year, this represents sales and adjusted diluted EPS declines of 2% to 3% and 5% to 6% respectively. Regardless of this reduction in our outlook, the Amphenol management team looks forward to driving further strength into the future. Our team is reacting quickly to align costs with the level of demand reflected in this outlook, all while aggressively pursuing a diverse array of growth opportunities. This is the essence of the agile Amphenol in culture as embodied by our outstanding management team, and that team coupled with our deep technology position with customers across our markets and complemented by our successful acquisition program positions the company very strongly for the future. And with that operator, we'd be happy to take any questions if there may be.