Eric Colson
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead
Thanks, Makela. Welcome to Artisan Partners Asset Management business update and quarterly earnings call. I'm Eric Colson, CEO, and I am joined by C.J. Daley, CFO. Markets continue to reflect short term uncertainty; I expect market volatility to persist producing long term opportunities for high value added investment firms like Artisan Partners. We have thoughtfully designed our firm and diligently execute our strategy including communication to minimize uncertainty about who we are and how we will behave in these market environments. On this call I want to discuss the quarter in relation to our long terms strategy, this quarter I’ll focus on thoughtful growth, if we create stability and build business value through volatile periods, we belief that our economic value increase overtime. In sometime C.J will take the lead and discuss our financial stability despite volatile markets. On slide two you will see that we finished the quarter with 97 billion in AUM, our lowest quarter end AUM since the third quarter of 2013. The decline during this past quarter was due to declines in equity markets worldwide and 1.3 billion in net client cash outflows. During the quarter net outflows from the strategies managed by our U.S. value team, continued to offset positive net flows from the rest our business. We saw 1.6 billion of net outflows from the U.S. value team's strategies during the quarter as the team's performance continued to lag in these amperes. We expect to continue to see attrition from the U.S. value team's strategies, however the team's approach to building a better, safer, cheaper portfolio has generated strong outperformance in prior period. We don’t want the team to sacrifice the integrity of its investment philosophy and profits in order to chase short term returns nor do we want to make any abrupt changes that would surprise the team for our clients. Before leaving this slide I want to make a more general point, while our total AUM maybe at about the same level as it was two years ago, Artisan is stronger and better positioned today. We have made significant investments in new and existing talent and we have expanded degrees of investment freedom. If you set aside the U.S. value team's flows over the last 24 months, our other teams have generated 8.3 billion in positive net flows for an annualized organic growth rate of more than 5%. I think that's strong evidence that there remains and will remain a very significant place for high value added active management within sophisticated clients and investors asset allocations. On slide three, we plotted the closing prices of the ACWI and VIX indices, each over the last 10 years, as you can see there is a lot of uncertainty in the market today, the uncertainty results from a number of factors including macro events, changing investor behavior and increasingly popular forms of investing such as high frequency trading, liquid alternatives and EPS. In this environment, we remain focused on who we are as a firm, and continue to make long term investments in our business, our variable cost financial model which C.J. will discuss allows us to remain focused on identifying long term opportunities and executing on those that are consistent with who we are. The launch of our developing world strategy is an example of our approach. Despite uncertainty in emerging markets at the beginning of 2015, we hired an experience portfolio manager with a history of delivering strong results and a mindset consistent with Artisan’s values, we launched the developing world strategy at the beginning of July, when the team was ready, we were trying to time markets or secular industry trends. While third quarter prove to the be worse quarter for emerging markets in four years, the creation of developing world team and the launch of developing world strategy are positive investments in Artisan’s long term business value that we made despite market uncertainty. While the upfront investment we made in the new team runs through our P&L, we view the upfront expenses as an investment in the long term value of our business, and we expect to reap the benefits over the longer term. On slide four, you can see our long term performance. As you know we look for faithfulness to the stated investment process, solid absolute performance and outperformance compared to peers and the index, as of September 30, eight of our 12 investment strategies that have a five year track record have added value relative to their broad performance benchmarks over the trailing five years, six of our eight strategies with a 10-year track record have added value over the trailing 10-year period. All of our investment teams remain focused and committed to delivering alpha based on their individual investment processes. Slide five is our standard business philosophy and approach slide that defines who we are, we are a high value added investment firm, designed for investment talent that thrives, make growth oriented culture. Today I want to discuss how our commitment to thoughtful growth is reflected in the way we manage our business. Given who we are, we are not structured to nor do we have experience in growing out high volume scale businesses like passive products or smart data offerings. We also don't consider ourselves a distribution firm, focusing on vehicle management such as [VTS] or liquid [alt mutual funds]. We focus on differentiated investment strategies that are well suited for sophisticated clients and investors. Our new investment strategies remain rooted in fundamental analysis but broaden the investible universe or allow for the use of additional security types, providing our portfolio managers with more tools to produce an outcome for risk profile. These strategies fit well within outcome and risk based asset allocations, a natural fit with our business model and allow for a high value added results, differentiated from exposure oriented strategies. Turning to slide six, on this slide we have unpacked Artisan’s revenue equation to help you understand how we think about growth, the equation is simple, revenue equaled units for us AUM multiplied by price for us fee rate. The simplicity of the equation can lead to a preoccupation with AUM growth, in particular, a preoccupation with client cash flows, positive net flows are critical, over the long term, but we’ve always shied away from placing importance on short term flow results, whether the flows are good or bad, we’ve always said, flows will be lumpy. We believe that focusing too much on short term net flows can lead to product launches that don't make sense, disregard existing clients and talent and unsustainable distribution strategies. To generate long term sustainable net flows, we stay focused on the levers lifted on the slide. Keep in mind that these levers works together and influence one another, for instance, talent produces alpha which generates and sustains client demand with unmanaged capacity to protect our team’s ability to generate alpha and preserve client trust, which we believe increases the longevity of our existing AUM and makes it easier to raise additional AUM when the time is right. One thing we can’t control is the market, obviously it has a significant impact on our overall AUM, so we've included it on this page. Because we can’t control markets we believe it is critical that we remain true to who we are. As our clients and investors and employees are impacted by shifting markets, it is important that they trust us to faithfully execute our stated investment strategy and business plans. Slide seven highlights our approach to talent. Our growth is a product of talent and driven by talent both existing and new, in the last few years. We’ve added two new teams founded by talented portfolio managers. Brian [indiscernible] founded the credit team, which launched the high income strategy over a year ago. Some may have thought at a period of historical and persistently low interest rates, with an inauspicious time to launch our first fixed income strategy, that’s not how we thought about it. We found a talented investor with a mind-set that was consistent with Artisan’s values. Like the Developing World strategy, we launched the high income strategy when Brian and his team were ready. Since the strategy's inception in April 2014, its benchmark index has return negative 2%. The Artisan high income strategy, which is differentiated from the benchmark to return positive 3.42% on a growth of fee basis. When I think about the high income and developing world strategies, I think about our development of the global, global opportunities and global equity strategies over the last 10 years. We designed and developed those strategies in response to the increasing irrelevance of issuers corporate domicile and to sophisticated clients demands for global strategies. Now those strategies are filing on all cylinders on a global equity and global opportunity strategies represents the core of our realizable capacity. With the high income and developing world strategies, we have continued to expand the greatest freedom and provide the team with tools and flexibility to manage risk and outcomes who will be patient and protective of alpha within a few years, I expect that those strategies will have transitioned into their full growth potential. Slide 8 is one of our standard performance slides. As a high value-added active manager outperforming in the season tiers is critical to our growth. Data on this page shows the long-term success of our talent and business model. At the end of the quarter, 87% or more of our AUM within strategy is generating alpha over the trailing 3, 5 and 10-year period and since inception. For the one-year period, our non-U.S. growth strategy trailed the MSCI EAFE benchmark by 4 basis points, which explains the lower percentage outperforming for the one year period. While we don’t focus on short-term performance, it’s worth noting that consistent with the strategies investment guidelines about 13% of the non-U.S. growth portfolio is allocated to emerging markets compared to no EM exposure for the MSCI EAFE index. Compare to the [indiscernible] U.S. index, which does including emerging markets, the non-U.S. growth strategy is outperformed by 346 basis points over the trailing one year period. The data on this page supports our high value-added proposition. As we continue to deliver value, we believe asset flows will follow, it will be lumpy and market uncertainty and industry trends may work against us for the short-term periods, but over a long-term asset growth should follow our long-term investment results. Slide 9 show the AUM history of our non-U.S. growth in global value strategies. We think about capacity we focus as much on managing the asset levels in our existing strategies as we do on launching new strategies. Managing capacity protects alpha generation potential, supports investment talent and builds client trust, each of which is critical to long-term sustainable growth. In September, we announced that we were closing the non-U.S. growth strategy in phases beginning in February of 2016. The stage approach works for the investment team and allows us to work with clients, consultants and intermediaries to slow the pipeline and close the strategy in a non-disruptive way. Closing the non-U.S. growth strategy should also allow the global equity strategy to continue to grow its assets base without impacting the performance of either strategy. The two strategies have a number of crossholdings. So the exciting growth prospects of the global equity strategy, one important factor in our decision to begin closing non-U.S. growth. This is similar to how we managed the stage closing of our non-U.S. value strategy back in 2010 and 2011. We began to limit flows into the non-U.S. value strategy in order to allow global value, the runway to grow without hindering the performance of either strategy. Less than two years after, we completed the non-U.S. value closing process, the global value strategy surpassed 9 billion in assets. Managing capacity at the team level and not just the strategy level helps protect alpha by allowing for appreciate asset growth. The non-U.S. growth closing process will impact flows. So will other factors like market uncertainty and performance. We don’t know with any precision what the results on short-term net flows will be, we’re not managing to that. At the same time that we announced the non-U.S. growth closing process, we announced the reopening of the global value strategy across pooled vehicles. The global value strategy went through a stage closing process in 2013 and 2014. Over the past year, the market environment has presented increased investment opportunities, meeting the global value team's criteria and the team was comfortable reopening to pooled vehicles. Reopening to pooled vehicles exclusively will help smooth the lumpiness of flows that is more common with separate accounts. That also mean that we don’t expect the reopening to result in large inflows that will significantly grow the strategy total AUM. Managing capacity the way we do may negatively impact short term growth, that's acceptable to us because we strongly believe that doing what's best for clients and investment talent will result in long term sustainable growth. Turning to Slide 10, you will see the diversification of our AUM, as with talent, alpha and capacity management, these distribution outcomes result from our deliberate and patient approach. Take for instance, our approach to distribution outside of United States, over the past two years non-U.S. AUM has grown from 11% of our total to 14%. More importantly over the last two years we have nearly doubled our number of non-U.S. relationships. We have expanded our affords in EMEA, Australia, Asia and Canada one step at a time. Non-U.S. Market remains a very significant opportunity for us. We believe we are well positioned both from a product and distribution standpoint, continue to grow outside of the U.S. and to do so consistently with who we are. Another long term opportunity for us is that the fine contribution market place, in a short term the opening up and reconfiguration of DC plans has worked against us because overtime, some of our strategies have grown to the point where any comprehensive reallocation would cut against us. The long term opening up of these plans to best of bred managers should work in our favor. Similarly, we are often asked about the currently proposed [DOL] rule, expanding application of fiduciary status. The proposed rule would not directly affect us, we already serve a fiduciary capacity and we always embraced our fiduciary responsibilities. By one comment on the specifics of the current proposal, we believe that changes that pushes financial advisors and broker dealers' further in the direction of acting in their client's best interest will increase the chances that our strategies are included in client portfolios. I will now turn it over to C.J to discuss our financial results.