Daniel McGahn
Analyst · Ascendiant Capital
Thanks, Dave. To achieve our objective of growing revenues by 25% in fiscal 2013, we will need strong contributions from both our Wind and Grid businesses.
Let me focus first on how we believe we will reach that objective in our Wind business. For those new to AMSC, we provide a unique set of solutions for wind turbine manufacturers, including both products and services. The products are a set of power electronics and controls called electrical control systems, or ECS, that work cohesively and serve as the brain of the wind turbine.
Our services include proprietary wind turbine designs and various offerings aimed at enabling wind turbine manufacturers to quickly increase their production and market share, while driving down the cost of wind energy. It is primarily through the sales of the electrical control systems to our partners in India and China that will enable us to reach our 25% annual revenue growth objective.
Let's start with India. The country's Wind business is expected to continue to grow steadily. The Government of India has set a target of producing an additional 15 gigawatts of wind energy between 2012 and 2017. To put this into perspective, the country's cumulative installed base at the end of 2011 was 16 gigawatts, so this target will nearly double India's installed base.
Similar to the Indian wind market, our partner, Inox Wind, is on an upward trajectory. Inox experienced a five-fold increase by installing over 250 megawatts in 2012, up from over 50 megawatts in 2011. As a result, Inox is ranked among the top 5 in installations in India.
In July, Inox Wind announced that they will pursue an initial public offering. It expects to raise over $100 million. Inox plans to use the capital to expand and upgrade its operations to help meet its stated objective of being among the leading renewable energy companies globally.
Inox positions itself as a turnkey supplier, starting with the concept in commissioning to the supply of wind turbines through comprehensive operation and maintenance for the life of the wind farm. This business strategy has created a healthy pipeline to sell its 2-megawatt wind turbines, and we believe the company is well positioned to gain market share.
To reach our 25% annual revenue growth objective, the revenue from India needs to be augmented by ECS revenue from China. In the near term, our success in China depends on JCNE. Similar to Inox, JCNE takes a vertical approach to the market by manufacturing wind turbines and developing wind farms.
The Chinese wind power market is shifting from fierce price competition to quality turbine supply. Wind farm developers are now focused more on up-time and profitability. AMSC's licensees, such as JCNE, are fielding some of the most advanced technology in the market, which results in highly competitive turbines. We continue to work with JCNE to help ensure their success in the Chinese wind market.
Moving on to Korea. The Korean wind market is expected to pick up in 2014, driven by the commencement of 2 gigawatt-scale offshore projects. We believe that our partners, Hyundai Heavy Industries and Doosan Heavy Industries, with their larger turbines designed for the offshore market, are well positioned for these projects.
So while we believe that Korea will be an important market for our medium-term growth, in the short term, we expect revenue from Korea to supplement our wind revenues in India and China.
And finally, potential additional growth and upside could come from new licensees in emerging markets. In Brazil, the government heavily supports the development of the wind power sector through local funding and high local content requirements.
In Turkey, the market continues to show strong growth projections and solid incentives, including local content requirements. And other countries, like Chile, Russia and South Africa, are showing wind growth projections or have recently announced local content requirements. But as I said before, we believe that our near- and medium-term growth will be driven by component sales to existing licensees.
Now moving on to the Grid business. We expect to be slower in the first half, with an acceleration in the second half of our fiscal year. Achieving our 25% revenue growth target is dependent on growing D-VAR sales in existing markets and further penetrating emerging markets.
We define our existing market as North America, the United Kingdom and Australia. In North America, D-VAR is most often used by renewable project developers to connect their power to the grid in a highly reliable fashion. As a result of the delay in renewing the Production Tax Credit in the United States, the wind market has been sluggish in the first half of the calendar year.
In fact, it was widely reported that only one wind turbine was installed in the first half of the calendar year. As a result, D-VAR sales in the U.S. have been slow. However, despite the slow start, industry experts believe that the future is brighter for the U.S. wind market, with nearly 1-gigawatt under construction in the second quarter of this calendar year.
In addition, we also see potential in Canada with larger projects emerging. In Australia, we continue to see a favorable market for D-VAR in renewable applications as well. In addition, we've also been successful with utilities and large industrial consumers of electricity in this region.
For utilities, D-VAR systems control voltage levels and maintain grid stability. And large industrial consumers of electricity get a dual advantage of improving their up time and also protecting the grid from their operations. We believe that our revenue growth target in Australia is predicated on the ability of our customers in Australia to finance their projects.
Turning to Europe, we are seeing opportunities in several markets. In the United Kingdom, the market is shifting to larger projects, particularly offshore. But onshore projects continue to provide opportunities.
Our revenue for Europe is fully booked for FY '13, but we see positive signs for additional upside. For example, in the Republic of Ireland, clarity was given regarding the feed-in tariff incentives through 2017, making for a stable and predictable market.
And in Spain, new grid codes have been proposed, which may lead to an opportunity to retrofit existing wind farms when these grid codes begin to be imposed.
We seek to expand the markets we serve to include several emerging markets. We define these markets as Eastern Europe, Africa, the Middle East and South America. We've already installed Romania's first STATCOM. We believe this first installation gives us a competitive edge in this market.
Additionally, we are seeing traction in Africa earlier than anticipated.
Finally, turning to our superconductor products, which we talked extensively about on our last call. We have contracts for cable and marine systems in hand for nearly all the revenue required for fiscal 2013. Our focus is securing a large cable project and a U.S. Navy order, which are key drivers towards achieving our fiscal year 2014 cash flow breakeven target.
With that, Tasha, please open the line for questions.