Daniel McGahn
Analyst · Pacific Crest Securities
Thank you, Dave. Now let me talk to you about recent developments in the wind and grid segments. I'll begin with wind. For those of you new to AMSC, through our Windtec Solutions, we provide both products and services to wind turbine manufacturers. Our services allow manufacturers to rapidly introduce new wind turbines or upgrade existing turbine platforms to gain competitive advantage and market share.
And our products, which we call electrical control systems, provide the brains for the wind turbine, allowing manufacturers to maximize power output and lower the cost of wind energy.
We currently have wind turbine manufacturing partners in countries such as China, Korea and India. And the dynamics in each of these markets is distinct.
Let's start with India. Our Indian partner, Inox, was a key contributor to our wind segment in the third quarter. Our relationship with Inox began in 2009 with its purchase of a 2-megawatt wind turbine license from AMSC. Since then, they have been producing high-quality wind turbines, with one of the most compelling power curves in India. Inox has taken a vertical approach to the market by developing wind farms, as well as manufacturing wind turbines. This enabled them to capture greater market share against industry leader Suzlon even as the overall market was contracting in 2012.
Looking at India from a high level, it is currently the third largest wind power market in the world, and this market is expected to expand in the coming years. The country is facing huge electricity shortages. And despite major capacity additions, power supply still struggles to keep up with demand. The government is increasingly looking to renewables to bridge that gap.
Inox's stated objective is to become India's premier wind turbine company. And today, we announced a new order from them that's valued at more than $30 million. We expect to begin shipments under this contract this current quarter and complete all shipments by the end of 2014.
Now let's turn to China. As many of you know, China's wind industry grew exponentially in past years, and AMSC grew with it. But overcapacity, grid connection delays and cash flow issues eventually prompted a market slowdown.
In 2011, the Chinese government tightened regulations. Wind projects now require approval through the central government before construction can begin. While this market shift has certainly been painful for many companies, including AMSC, we believe it is a change for the better and one that will foster more sustainable market development.
A couple of weeks ago, the Chinese Wind Energy Association, or CWEA, came out with its initial installation numbers for 2012. According to CWEA, 14 gigawatts of wind power were installed in China last year. This is down significantly from the 17.6 gigawatts in 2011 and nearly 19 gigawatts in 2010. There are, however, silver linings that are beginning to appear.
In addition to providing total installation figures, the CWEA also listed the top 20 wind turbine manufacturers in China in 2012. Three of our partners were among those top 20.
Also in January, China's natural -- National Energy Administration forecasts that 18 gigawatts of wind power would be installed in 2013. This implies a growth rate approaching 30%, up from the 14 gigawatts that were reportedly installed in 2012. Certainly good news for our Chinese partners.
In Korea, our partners are large, well-established, heavy industry manufacturers, namely Hyundai Heavy Industries and Doosan Heavy Industries. Both Hyundai and Doosan are well positioned for offshore wind projects that are currently planned in Korea. Doosan is in volume production with a 3-megawatt turbine. And this year, Hyundai plans to assemble its first 5-megawatt turbine at Jeju Island, a small island off the coast of Korea that has served as the breeding ground for many of the country's clean technologies.
And speaking of offshore markets, AMSC has a turbine and generator design that we call our 10-megawatt SeaTitan platform, which is specifically designed to lower the cost of offshore wind power installations. Of course, as the wind market slowed, so did adoption plans for larger wind turbines. As the market continues to show signs of a rebound, we expect that manufacturers will again look to higher megawatt turbines like our 10-megawatt SeaTitan.
Our core markets give us reason for optimism, but that's not all. We are also beginning to pursue opportunities related to a broader adoption of renewables in other emerging markets such as South America, South Africa and Eastern Europe.
Our business model is ideal for emerging markets. Why is that? Well, some emerging markets like Brazil or Turkey have local content requirements, meaning that wind turbines are required to have a certain percentage of components produced locally. Through our Windtec Solutions, we are able to help a new or existing local manufacturer meet those content requirements by enabling them to produce best-in-class turbines locally.
This in turn helps to create a new viable, sustainable local industry. We are actively evaluating and pursuing opportunities in many of these other emerging markets.
In keeping with the recent positive signs in the wind industry from around the world, the United States recently extended the production tax credit or PTC. We believe this could actually provide our grid business with a boost later this year. Why? Because our D-VAR product is a leader in helping to connect wind and solar farms to the grid. In fact, our D-VAR product is already connecting over 4 gigawatts of renewable power to the grid right here in North America.
Another driver for D-VAR product sales is electric utilities. Our D-VAR solution can help utilities carry more power through their existing transmission and distribution assets. It can also enhance transmission system performance and prevent widespread blackouts.
In the third quarter, we announced repeat orders from customers in China and the United Kingdom.
Australia is another market we've been successful with our D-VAR product. We are connecting more than 1 gigawatt of renewable energy to the grids in Australia and New Zealand. The grid codes in both of these countries make the D-VAR product a natural fit. In fact, the largest D-VAR system that AMSC has ever installed is located in Australia.
Our expertise with wind farms have also opened up dialogues with and orders from Australia's electric utilities.
We are also seeing an opportunity in Australia's mining industry. Industrial mining operations employ massive induction motors that can cause voltage instability on the greater power network. D-VAR systems can mitigate these types of issues and ensure high-power quality for both the industrial customer and the grid operator. We already have multiple sales to mines in Australia, and we see more potential there.
We believe Australia is now one of our most promising markets, and it's a great example of our ability to enter into a new market and find opportunities across a variety of applications. We are aiming to replicate the success that we've had in Australia in the other emerging markets that we talked about earlier, namely South America, South Africa and Eastern Europe.
We've already made our first sale in Romania over the past year. This initial installation has given us the opportunity to become familiar with the local grid and the local grid operator.
While D-VAR is our most immediate grid opportunity in many of these emerging markets, we are also seeing superconductor cable activity in an increasing number of countries as well. There are cable projects in motion or being discussed in Russia, India, China, Germany, Brazil, Australia, Japan and, of course, in Korea and the United States. And this list of countries continues to expand.
In the U.S, as a result of incidents like Superstorm Sandy, we also are seeing an increased interest in our superconductor fault current limiting cable. All around the world, utilities are evaluating the best ways to modernize their grid, and they are looking for solutions. We believe AMSC can play an important role in solving these issues.
At the beginning of the call, I mentioned a new product. In December, we announced the launch of a medium voltage superconductor fault current limiter, or SFCL, through a collaboration with Nexans. We believe the SFCL is a compelling solution for today's utilities that are dealing with increasing power demands.
So what's the benefit of an SFCL? Let's use an analogy. Think of a power line as if it were a water main. If a water main breaks, the result is a massive flow of water that can cause catastrophic damage.
In the electric grid, the fault current surge is like the water main break. If a surge occurs, it can damage everything it flows through. The superconductor fault current limiter acts much like a water valve. It is normally wide open to allow the power to flow without restriction. But if a fault, a water main break, occurs, the SFCL instantly closes down to a predetermined point like a valve, limiting the fault current to a level that will not cause damage. Together with Nexans, we are now offering these systems commercially to North American electric utilities.
In late January, we announced an Amperium wire order from Nexans for an SFCL that will be used in Europe's landmark AmpaCity projects. The project aims to replace intercity high-voltage equipment with superconductor solutions. It is being undertaken by RWE, one of Europe's leading electricity company. This project actually has the potential to be a model for how utilities around the world design and implement urban distribution networks, and we are proud to play a role in the project as we actively look for SFCL opportunities in North America and around the world.
Now I'd like to take a minute to talk about a project we haven't talked about in quite some time.
The U.S. Navy has in the past engaged us to design and produce both propulsion and protection systems. Motors designed around our power gun [ph] superconductors offers significant space and weight savings. These smaller motors can make new ships more fuel-efficient, while also freeing up additional space for war-fighting capacity.
Superconductors are also being used in degaussing cables, which help to reduce the magnetic signature of navy ships. These systems make it much more difficult for magnetically activated mines to detect and damage the ship. Similar to superconductor motors, superconductor protection systems can potentially save hundreds of metric tons on the navy's largest surface combatants. The Navy has now successfully tested AMSC systems on multiple ship platforms. And the Navy's dialogue with us on our superconductor propulsion systems continues as well. We are proud of our continued work with the Navy and see it as an opportunity to bolster our business, while also helping protect and enhance the performance of our nation's fleet.
Now before opening up the call to your questions, let me talk a bit about our longer-term outlook. As a reminder, we had previously forecast that we would end the calendar year with $48 million in cash, and we exceeded this figure. We now expect to end the fiscal year with more than $48 million in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash. The revenue forecast for the fourth quarter that Dave mentioned a few minutes ago equates to revenue growth of more than 10% for full fiscal 2012. Not bad in a tough environment.
Based on the more positive trends that we have begun to see emerging in the wind market, we believe we can increase our annual revenues in fiscal year 2013 by more than 25%.
I will look forward to discussing this outlook a little more with you on our next quarterly conference call. Now, Angela, would you please open the call to questions from our audience. Thank you.