Adam M. Aron
Analyst · MKM Partners. Please go ahead with your question
Thank you John. Good morning everyone. Thank you for joining us. Today marks my 117th day on the job leading the AMC team. And I can't remember a more exciting 117 days in my professional career. I have had the opportunity to immerse myself in all things AMC and the exhibition industry, having spent countless hours with AMC's talented headquarters executives and staff, as well as, our theater managers; having visited with our Hollywood studio partners on six different trips; having met with our largest shareholder Wanda in China twice; and having numerous interactions with the CEOs of IMAX, Dolby labs in RealD 3-D; all designed to advance the prospects of AMC's future. We have thought through several marketing and theater initiatives, which are sure to increase revenues, and importantly have announced an agreement to acquire Car-Mic cinemas to becoming largest movie exhibitor in the world. On the personal side, I have attended the Golden globes, the NAACP image awards and the Oscars. At which we enjoyed seeing Open Road films of which AMC owns 50%, and I serve as co-chairman, win the best picture Oscar for Spotlight. I met with the CEOs of dozens of movie theaters circuits from around the world, not to mention experiencing my first CinemaCon convention. It has been a whirlwind four months. By the way, as the most brilliant generals know when to make the smartest of strategic retreats, while it is still important for theaters to innovate. So as to make movie going more popular among millennials, AMC carefully listened to our customers and within 36 hours of launching a trial balloon, quickly determined that there will still be no texting in any of our AMC theater auditoriums. John, Craig, and I are pleased to be with you today to provide a brief overview of our record-setting start to FY16 and share with you some highlights and updates, since we last spoke with you. Of course Craig Ramsey, my executive partner and CFO is joining me on the call today morning and after my formal remarks, he and I will be happy to take any questions that you may have. The pace that AMC set in 2015 continues in 2016 and we are off to an incredible strong start to the year. Once again, AMC continued to set records in the first quarter of 2016. We established new first quarter or all-time benchmarks for record revenue, record adjusted EBITDA, record adjusted EBITDA margin. In addition, to numerous record average ticket price, food and beverage per patron metrics and all-important key gross profit indicators. As you can see from our press release, total revenues in the first quarter increased 17.3% to $766 million, and adjusted EBITDA grew 26.6% to $146.5 million. However even more impressive than that, you may remember that in last year's first quarter AMC recognized a one-time $18.1 million gain related to the termination of the post retirement health benefit plan. After excluding this game from the prior year's first quarter, the growth in 2016 first quarter adjusted EBITDA compared to last year is a stunning 50.1% year- over- year. We thought hard about what adjective to use here: stunning 50.1%, eye-popping 50.1%? How about we just say simply, a 50.1% increase year-over-year. These improvements came both from growing our revenues and crucially managing our cost tightly. Two objectives on which this management team has a laser light focus going forward. Converting that adjusted EBITDA to cash is crucial to allow us to continue to return cash shareholders, to pay down debt and to reinvest in our theaters. With initiatives like, large screens, reclining seats and more imaginative food and beverage offerings, including full alcoholic bars that both please our guest and which historically have been producing unlevered [Cavel] (Ph) returns exceeding 25% and generate cash we did. Unique to AMC given our tax structure, we generated $72.1 million of free cash flow in the first quarter of 2016, a 276% increase from the same quarter last year. These operating results translate it into $28.3 million of net earnings and $0.29 of diluted earnings per share. Both representing tremendous first quarter growth of 361% and 383% respectively, compared to the same quarter a year ago. By anyone's definition, these have to be thought of as outstanding first quarter results for AMC, driven in part by a film slate that exceeded everyone's expectations, even eclipsing our own optimistic outlook, which we alluded to in February was significantly more bullish than any pessimistic industry observers. In the first quarter for the first time ever, three first quarter film openings have gone on to gross more than $300 million: Deadpool, Batman vs. Superman, and Zootopia. As well as these films played, they were even better in 3-D, IMAX and Dolby cinema. Premium formats, big at AMC and all of which saw substantial increases in attendance compared to the first quarter of last year. This further supports our conviction of the importance of these premium formats and our customers preference and willingness to pay additionally for an exceptional theatrical experience. While the upcoming second and fourth quarters of 2016, present some challenging comparisons to the blockbusters in the prior year, we believe our studio partners have a multitude of entertaining films coming in the remainder of 2016. Across a wide spectrum of the movie genres. That when combined with our innovative guest experience initiatives will in fact keep guest coming back to AMC for more movies. Accordingly, we are bullish about our prospects for full-year 2016. Also contributing to our excellent results was the contribution from the increase in-screens, related to our Starplex acquisition, completed in December 2015. Starplex now represents 8% of our theaters and 6% of our screens. The Starplex screens performed well, as we hoped and expected. Exactly two-months ago when we last talked on the quarterly call, we shared with you several key priorities that we believe will drive positive results for AMC in the years to come. Here is a brief update. We spoke in February that we intend to grow this company's through acquisition. Three days after that call, we announced the signing of a definitive agreement to acquire Car-Mic cinemas, which upon consummation will make AMC the largest theater circuit worldwide. We were true to our word. We believe this transaction combines two great companies with complimentary geographic footprints and a rich tradition of innovation and service, to form the leading movie exhibitor in the world, while passing on the benefits of AMC guess centric amenities to millions of new consumers, ultimately providing them with more choices for how to enjoy the movies and giving us a platform in which to produce substantial returns for our shareholders. Of course the transaction is subject to usual and customer regulatory reviews, approvals, and imposing conditions, including a shareholder vote by Car-Mic shareholders. Obviously we are paying attention to any and all developments here. We are optimistic that the transaction will be completed by the end of this year. Our next priority grows AMC as well by increasing attendance at our existing theaters. We will continue to strengthen our bond with our current guests and establish connections with future guests, through world-class marketing and theater initiatives. Marketing first, we have a number of notable guest loyalty and engagement innovations, including through a wholly redesigned AMC stub loyalty program, a new mobile smartphone app and a new website, and comfort and convenience improvements with an online ticketing focus and a new online mobile F&B ordering capably. Starting with Stubs, the wholly new and wholly redesigned AMC stubs loyalty program will be updated, keeping our current paid tier, but also incorporating a free tier of membership. The reward profiles of both existing paid and new free programs are currently being tested in 40 theaters in six markets. We are highly encouraged by the early results and we would expect a full national rollout of both new AMC Stubs tiers during the third quarter of 2016. As we mentioned, we have a goal of more than doubling our AMC's guest participation rates from the current 21% of our guest totaling within 24-months of launch. We will then be able to leverage a much larger database and we will be set to more effectively market to our guest and monetize the data with our studio partners as well. Since the AMC Stub firm is integrated with our website in mobile apps. It also made great sense to take this opportunity to initiate a comprehensive redesign of both our web and smartphone presence. We are creating a much more attractive content rich photographically, graphically, and functionally improved user friendly interface. We will be creating a more personal experience online with enriched content and a simpler path to finding the AMC amenities that guests want. Added functionality is also important as we make it easier to buy tickets and concessions in advance. We will plan to roll out the website and the new app in the fall of 2016 in Q3, well ahead of the holiday season. We will believe it will be transformational for our guests and therefore for our shareholders. More on this to come in the months ahead. The importance of our website mobile app is clear, as a convenience of being able to buy a ticket online and reserve a seat to popular movies is increasingly more important to our guests. We now offer reserved seating at approximately 1/3 of our theaters. We intend to grow this markedly, including in the important New York City market where AMC already is the leader. Our first quarter 2016 Internet ticketing volume totaled approximately 12.5 million tickets purchased online - a 54% increase over the first quarter last year. Representing along with our other online ticketing channels, the fact that 25% of our guests now buy tickets in advance online, that compares to approximately 18% of our tickets sold online in the first quarter a year ago. We also expect these online ticketing numbers to soar even to higher levels in the years ahead. That is why creating a proprietary ticketing engine is very important with our guests. AMC just on our own channel, sold 46% more online tickets in the first quarter 2016 compared to the same quarter last year. To further expand our guests' online experience and to drive increase attendance at our theaters, we are working incredibly closely with fandango and we have recently partnered with Adam tickets to utilize Adam's intriguing social invitation and pre-ordering features in conjunction with our existing internal role technologies. The Adam tickets apps in particular provides relevant movie related content, but importantly guests using Adam tickets can seamlessly invite their millennial friends to join them at our theaters. Fandango 2 has created initiatives between fandango, adam tickets and AMC's internal proprietary channels online is an enormous opportunity for us going forward. Our next priority is our commitment to deliver spectacular movie going experiences at AMC theaters. As I mentioned earlier, our innovative recliner reseat renovations, which include comprehensive theater upgrades for appearance and functionality throughout the entire theater, not just in auditoriums, includes investments and enhanced food and beverage offerings like mcguinness bars, Coca-Cola freestyle machines, new hot food items, and they continue to generate cash on cash unlevered returns to exceed 25%. These are great investments. As of March 31, 2016, AMC operated 1208 screens across 99 theaters with plush recliners. Add to that our 19 dine-in theaters, which also had power plush power recliners, as well. Looking ahead, we expect to renovate a further approximately 105 theaters at approximately 1100 screens in the remainder of 2016 and 2017. Looking back our operating results on a per screen basis for these renovated theaters continues to impress. Attendance per screen grew 9.7%. Admissions revenue per screen grew 16.0% handily outperforming the industry. These amenities all resonate with our guest. We will continue to enthusiastically deploy more recliner and more food and beverage enhancements throughout our theaters. But there is more than we can do in our theaters. And one area of great opportunity, is to significantly increase the number of premium offerings, especially premium large-format screens, in our theaters. Big screens provide the biggest wow factor. So we are committed to bringing more IMAX, more Dolby cinema and to create our own proprietary PLF, premium large format screen to the markets that we serve. AMC is the largest IMAX provider in the United States and among the largest in the world operating more than 150 IMAX screens. The established IMAX brand is recognized globally, and it is synonymous with high-quality, immersive motion picture experience and that experience drives attendance and positive guest feedback. AMC will continue to invest heavily in the IMAX brand, we will add IMAX screens, add IMAX theaters.