Kenneth Bernstein
Analyst · Citi
Thanks, Amy. Good afternoon, everyone. As we get started today, I think it’s important that we first and foremost remind ourselves that this is a health crisis. So I hope everyone on this call, all your loved ones, your friends, your colleagues are safe and healthy. Thankfully, from a health crisis perspective, our team is safe and working remotely. The transition was not easy. It certainly wasn’t fun, but I’ve been incredibly impressed with how smoothly, how professionally our team has made that transition. So today, we’re going to try to update everyone as to what we’re seeing in the retail real estate market as well as with respect to our portfolio. And let me first give an overview of how we’re thinking about the current situation. Then, John Gottfried will discuss our quarterly results, our portfolio breakout, our balance sheet and our liquidity. And then finally, Amy will discuss and update you as to our fund platform. As we think about Acadia and our portfolio, we feel we remain well positioned to navigate through an incredibly challenging time. First of all, we have a portfolio that’s diverse both in tenant base and geographies. Secondly, we have a strong balance sheet with adequate liquidity. Third, we have limited exposure to new development and, thus, any need for significant development capital. And then finally, we have access to our discretionary institutional capital through our funds. Now, that being said, retail is clearly at the epicenter of this crisis, and no retail will be immune. We’re all, to some degree, still fighting through the fog of the current health crisis and then simultaneously trying to gauge the short-term, the medium-term and then the long-term impacts to our economy, to our industry as well as to our portfolios. Now, in the short term, understandably, all eyes are focused on collections and which stores are open and operating. But then in the longer term, the real value of our businesses is the quality of our real estate, and we’re not going to lose sight of that. So as we think about our portfolio from a cash flow and collection basis, we break it into 3 general buckets. First, over 1/3 of our portfolio based on revenue is essential necessity-based with tenants ranging from Target to Trader Joe’s to [our] [ph] supermarkets. These tenants are open and they’re paying rent. And while longer-term, necessity-based retailers are going to continue to need to adapt to a changing landscape in the short run, they’ve been able to stay open and busy during this crisis. The next largest group for us is just over an additional 40% of our rental base. And this group consists of nonessential but high-quality tenants, with generally strong credit in high-quality locations. And these tenants range from TJX to ALTA, from Chipotle to Starbucks, from Lululemon to Nordstorm Rack. Our April collections in this group have been less consistent. But even here we’re seeing progress on that front. Now, assuming an economic recovery consistent with the current sober forecast, this group should have the liquidity issue, the liquidity, and we expect them to honor their obligations. For the majority of these retailers, it’s not a matter of if, but when. Thus, as we think about our portfolio from a collection perspective, over 75% are retailers that are either essential and open or national tenants with a high likelihood of making it through this crisis. Then the final 25% are roughly in 3 subcomponents; first are local tenants that were deemed nonessential and thus closed; second are younger national brands; and then third are those tenants that entered into the crisis on weak footing. Now, in terms of the local component, this group represents about 10% of our rental base. Our collections rate on this component was low in April, but this is frankly secondary to our ability to get those tenants with previously strong businesses re-opened, re-stabilized and then succeeding in whatever the new normal is. And while this 10% component may be a relatively small portion of our portfolio, local small businesses are critical to our communities and getting them re-opened is critical to our economy. The next segment is young brands or digitally native brands or those newer retailers growing their direct-to-consumer channel. This approximates about 5% of our rental base. Here, the range of outcomes will vary based on the strength of the retailer for those start-ups without differentiated product and in need of several years of investor funding to get to breakeven. This new environment is going to be tough. But for young but exciting brands, whether they be Warby Parker or Alberts, great locations like we have in our portfolio will likely be of increased importance. It has become even clearer that physical real estate is the pathway to profitability for these brands, especially as the department store and wholesale channel has become even more challenged. For instance, even during the COVID crisis, we executed 2 leases with Veronica Beard, an exciting up and coming brands. These leases for our Rush and Walton in Chicago as well as Greenwich Avenue in Connecticut had been in the works prior to the shutdown. But we got them over the finish line recently and we’re very pleased to have them as a tenant. Then the final component are those tenants on our watch-list, which represents somewhere between 5% and 10% of our portfolio. While everyone’s watch-list is likely growing, heading into the crisis, we had very strong interest for many of these locations given the high quality of these locations. And based on very recent conversations, we expect most of that interest to continue. Importantly, in many of those instances, there’s embedded upside, such as Kmart in Westchester, New York, where the tenant is clearly struggling, but their rent is significantly below market even in today’s new world and when we’re finally successful in recapturing the space, it will be a net benefit. We also think of our portfolio in terms of geography and product type, our street and urban portfolio represents about 60% of our NOI. Somewhat surprisingly, given the shutdown of our gateway cities, our April collections for street and urban were fairly similar to what we’re seeing in our suburban portfolio. Now much of this is driven by the essential component in our urban sectors. While the non-essential component of our street and urban retail was shut down in many of our markets, once these stores are reopened, our retailers are telling us that these stores will likely be an increasingly important part of their recovery. Additionally, keep in mind, street retail does not have the headwinds of being exposed to department store closures or co-tenancy headwinds that our traditional shopping centers might face. And that being said, for as long as shutdowns or severe social distancing is a reality, we’re going to need to be patient on this piece. Our collection rate for street and urban also varies based on tenant makeup. For instance, our street collection rate in Chicago was 45% due to a large percentage of essential and open tenants. Whereas in Manhattan, which represents approximately 10% of our NOI, our collection rate was lower. In the short and maybe even the medium term, concerns around dense major cities are legitimate. And in the medium term, it’s very possible. We’re going to see a relative lift to the lower density components of our street retail portfolio, whether it be Armitage Avenue in Chicago, Greenwich Avenue in Connecticut or Melrose Place in Los Angeles. So if your view is that more people return to living in the suburbs of our major cities, well, we’re well positioned from that perspective because, frankly, our retailers don’t really care where you sleep. But if this health crisis causes you to conclude that everyone’s going to move to Vermont, well, we’re less well positioned as we only have one center in Burlington, Vermont. So to be clear, just because collections are front and center and the essential and necessity component of our business is providing us very important stability, in the long-term, we still believe that mission-critical gateway locations are going to rebound nicely. And as we think about our core portfolio, while we’re very sober about the realities of this crisis, we think we are well positioned as we climb out of the shutdown. This crisis has been a massive accelerator of prior trends impacting retailer. It further accelerates the separation of the haves and have-nots for both retailers and retail real estate. Retailers are telling us that it is very likely that they will do even more with even less. In many respects, location will be of increased importance to their brand. Yeah, rent will always be an issue. But what retailers are continually telling us is that quality of location being close, being convenient to their customer, reducing customer acquisition costs increasing customer loyalty are also critical, maybe even more so. And as we think about the future, it is likely to be the retailers, who were leading the charge prior to this crisis that continue to gain steam. Whether through strong omni-channel or simply best-in-class execution, it will likely include our key tenants like Target, like TJX, Trader Joe’s, for their convenience and their value, but also Lululemon and Alberts for their energy and their excitement. Then as it relates to our fund platform, as Amy will discuss, we have plenty of dry powder. For the last several years, we’ve been buying out of favor assets with high yields, attractive cash flow, and most of that cash flow looks stable. While the fourth quarter of last year and first quarter of this year have been quiet from a new acquisition perspective, we think our patience will be well rewarded. We commented on prior calls that we felt we were late cycle, and thus in both our core and fund over the last few years, we have not added new developments and thus have limited new development exposure. And with 40% of Fund V available for future acquisitions, we can go on offense as soon as the opportunity arises. So as we think about our positioning in an incredibly challenging period, we believe that the diversity of our tenant base and the quality of our locations, that the strength of our balance sheet with limited exposure to development, that our fund platform with plenty of dry powder all puts us in a solid position. And then as important as anything, as we work our way through this crisis, we have to remind ourselves, we have been through cycles before. Acadia got its start in the real estate crash of the early 1990s. We navigated through the collapse of the REIT market in the late 1990s. Then there were the horrors of 9/11 and the recession from the bursting of the dotcom bubble. That was followed by the global financial crisis and over the past several years, more recently, absorbing the headwinds of the retail Armageddon. Bottom line is we know how to deal with recessions, we know how to deal with headwinds. They’re never fun, and each time is different, but many of the steps we need to take are the same. And often, out of these cycles, comes in unique opportunities as well. So with that, I’d like to thank the team for their hard work and bringing their A-game during an incredibly unsettling time. We’re going to get through this, and we’re going to get through this together. And with that, I’ll turn the call over to John.