Charlie Boero Hughes
Analyst
Thank you, Mariano. Good morning everyone. Let’s start on Page 4 with a brief analysis on the rains in Mato Grosso do Sul. As seen on the top tables, rains in our cluster during the third quarter of 2022 were four times higher than during the same period of last year and 28.8% higher than the 10-year average. Moreover over year-to-date rains receded at 22.9% increase compared to the same period of last year. This favored the development of our sugarcane plantation, hence improving its productivity outlook. However, the uneven distribution of rains during the quarter impacted our harvesting and crushing activities as we will see next. Let’s move ahead to Slide 5, where I would like to discuss our sugarcane crushing. Despite having good sugarcane availability and achieving a monthly crushing record of 1.5 million tons in July, increased precipitation registered during August and September resulted in frequent interruptions in crushing activities. The lower use of time led to our sugarcane crushing volume of 3.8 million tons during the quarter, 9% lower compared to same periods of last year. It is important to highlight that the sugarcane left on the ground will be carried into the following quarters with an improved productivity outlook and will ensure the implementation of our continuous harvest model. Being able to crush cane year round is one of our competitive advantages. Most mills enter into the inter-harvest period, which means that they stop crushing activities during summer season, so they have to carry over inventory of the product they believe will be trading at a premium. In our case, we are able to make production decisions and maximize the one offering the highest marginal contribution at all times, in addition to being more efficient in diluting our fixed costs throughout the whole year. On a year-to-date basis, crushing volume reached 7.3 million tons, 24.4% lower compared to the same period of last year. This was fully explained by the dynamics of the first quarter, namely the late start of crushing activities as expected and the fact that harvesting activities in that period were mostly concentrated on reform areas with limited growth potential. Please jump to Page 6 where we would like to walk you through our agricultural productivity. Sugarcane yields during the quarter were 9.4% higher compared to the same period of last year, reaching 65 tons per hectare while DRS content presented at 6.4% improvement amounting to 141 kilograms per ton. On a year-to-date basis, sugarcane yields were impacted but presented a gradual recovery as we expected. During the first quarter of the year, yields were 40.9% lower year-over-year due to the impact of 2021’s adverse weather. In the second quarter, they were 24.5% lower, but during the third quarter, yields improved 9.4% year-over-year. TRS content in turn reached 129 kilograms per ton, flat compared to the same period of last year. Let’s move ahead to Slide 7, where we would like to discuss our production mix. During the quarter, process of ethanol experienced significant changes in light of new regulatory measures related to a temporary reduction in federal taxes and of adjustments in domestic gasoline prices to reflect international parity. Our production mix reflected these changes in order to consistently maximize the product offering the highest marginal contribution at all times. At the beginning of the quarter, we maximized anhydrous ethanol, followed by hydrous ethanol, and lastly sugar. By mid-quarter, sugar prices surpassed hydrous ethanol and by the end of the quarter, they surpassed anhydrous ethanol, effectively becoming the most attractive option. This high degree flexibility constitutes one of our most important competitive advantages since it allow us to make a more efficient use of our fixed assets and profits from higher relative prices. On average, during the third quarter, anhydrous ethanol in Mato Grosso do Sul traded at 19.8 cents per pound, 8.5% premium to sugar while hydrous ethanol traded at 17.3 cents per pound, 5.0% discount to sugar. At last, we diverted as much as 60% of our TRS to ethanol to profit from higher relative prices. To further take advantage of price premiums, 57% of our total ethanol production was anhydrous ethanol, most of which was exported to Europe at attractive prices. We are one of the few players which have necessary certifications to export Europe and industrial capacity to meet product specifications. Year-to-date, we diverted as much as 69% of our TRS to ethanol. The product trading at a price premium. Although production of both ethanol and sugar was lower as a consequence of the reduction in crushing volume, this was offset by higher average prices which we were able to capture attractive prices, thanks to our high inventories at the start of this year. Let’s please turn to Slide 8 where we would like to discuss our selling volumes and average selling prices by product. As you can see on the left chart, year-to-date, ethanol reported an 8.7% increase in selling volumes to 385,000 cubic meters, mostly driven by an ethanol sales, which increased by 43%. Lower average selling prices were at 22.8% year-over-year to 22.7 cents per pound, thanks to our commercial strategy of clearing out tanks at the peak of prices and our flexibility to send to domestic and export market. We will go into more detail in the following slide. In the case of sugar, there was a 41.5% decrease in volume, which partially offset the 13.7% increase in average selling prices. Lower volumes sold were driven by lower production due to both lower crushing and lower mix. It is worth highlighting that sugar continued to trade at stable levels throughout the quarter even though Brazilian mills switched to maximize production of these products. This was so because Brazil was the only region at the time with available sugar to meet global demand. And average selling volumes were down 27.2% year-over-year, driven by lower average selling prices coupled with a decrease in selling volume as a consequence of lower crushing and of our commercial decision to use our bagasse to dehydrate ethanol. Regarding carbon credits, let me remind you that due to the efficiency and sustainability in our operations, ranked among the highest in the industry, we have the right to use carbon credits every time we sell ethanol. Year-to-date, we sold 457,000 CBio, 24.2% higher than the previous year and an average price of $0.18 cents per bio. We do not speculate on CBio’s prices, but rather sell our credit as we generate them. In fact, prices were volatile throughout the year impacted by regulatory changes in the underlying product. For example, prices reached peaks as high as $40 per CBio, which we were able to capture. Please jump to Page 9, where I would like to walk you through our anhydrous ethanol sales through the year. As previously mentioned, during the third quarter of 2022, hydrous ethanol sales prices in Brazil experienced downward pressure and hydrous ethanol in the domestic market also experienced a decrease in prices are seen on the graph, although demand remains stronger due to the 27% mandatory blend with gasoline. However, the export market in particular, remained an attractive outlet for players with the necessary certifications and the ability to meet product specification. In this line, in hand with the switch in our production mix, our commercial strategy during the quarter focused on the commercialization of sugar and the export of anhydrous ethanol, while amounted to 61,600 cubic meters at an average price of 20.9 cents per pound, $771 per cubic meter. At the same time, we built inventory of hydrous ethanol either to be sold at higher expected prices at the latest stage or be converted into hydrous – anhydrous ethanol. On a year-to-date basis, anhydrous ethanol sales were 74.2% higher compared to the same period of last year on higher volume sold abroad at more attractive setting prices rather than in the domestic market. Exports amounted to 82,100 cubic meters at an average price of 20.80 cents per pound, $768 per cubic meter and we have an additional 50,000 cubic meters to export until year end. Please turn to Page 10, where I would like to walk you through our sales. Net sales amounted to $163 million during the third quarter of 2022, 9.5% higher year-over-year. This increase was driven by higher selling volumes and higher average selling prices of sugar and anhydrous ethanol measured both in real as well as in U.S. dollars. Despite the changing price environment observed during the quarter, especially regarding hydrous ethanol, we were able to benefit from this scenario as we adapted our production mix and commercial strategy to favor the products offering a premium. On a year-to-date basis, net sales amounted to $395 million, 7.2% higher year-over-year. Ethanol sales were 40.5% higher compared to the previous year, fully offsetting the 33.5% reduction in sugar sales and 33.9% in energy. CBio’s sales in turn reached $8 million during the first nine month of the year. Finally to conclude with sugar ethanol and energy business, please turn to Slide 11, where I would like to discuss the financial performance. Adjusted EBITDA during the third quarter was $111 million, 9.6% lower year-over-year. Despite higher sales, the decrease was driven by a year-over-year loss in the mark-to-market of our sugarcane fully explained by the impact of lower volume and higher agricultural costs on our harvested cane and by an increasing costs, mostly explained by fuels, lubricants, salaries in addition to the reduction in volume. Results were partially offset by again in the mark-to-market of our commodity hedge position due to a decrease in prices. On a year-to-date basis, adjusted EBITDA amounted to $273 million, $2.8 million higher year-over-year. This was explained by higher net sales, year-over-year gains in the mark-to-market of our sugarcane and of our commodity hedge position and lower selling expenses. Results were partially set by the aforementioned increase in costs. In terms of breakdown, during the first nine months of the year, ethanol amounted for 72% of total adjusted EBITDA generation in the sugar, ethanol and energy business, considering other operating income, while sugar accounted for 24%. I would now like to move on to the farming business, please direct your attention to Slide 13. As of the end of October of 2022, we harvested 292,000 hectares with an even performance of yields successfully completing the 2021 and 2022 harvest season. This amounted to over 1.1 million tons of agricultural products harvested and transported across 10 provinces in Argentina and Uruguay. We’re currently engaged in planting activities for 2022 and 2023 harvest season in which we expect to plant 279,000 hectares, 1.3% lower than the previous campaign fully driven by a reduction in second crop area due to the impact of below average range during the past month. Let’s move to Page 14, where I would like to walk you through the financial performance of our Farming and Land Transformation business businesses. Adjusted EBITDA amounted to $17 million in the third quarter and $73 million year-to-date, 31.1% and 35.9% below the same period of last year respectively. The decline is fully explained by a lower contribution from our crops and rice businesses into the overall result, which fully offset the improved performance in our dairy business. Results were mainly impacted by higher costs and mixed performance of yields and lower rice prices. Now with crop business, we took advantage of a temporary government measure to convert earnings from the sale of soybean at a more favorable FX rate than the official one. This together with higher average prices of most of our crops resulted in higher sales. However, adjusted EBITDA marked at 57.5% reduction compared to the same period of last year. Results were mainly impacted by higher costs in U.S. dollar terms driven by a global inflationary environment, pressing margins by a loss in the mark-to-market of our biological asset, mostly due to a fast harvesting base of corn, which resulted in less volume to be recognized during this quarter compared to last year and by a loss in the mark-to-market of our forward contracts, mostly related to corn. Year-to-date adjusted EBITDA was $30 million, 36.8% lower versus the previous year. This was mostly explained by higher costs in U.S. dollar terms driven by global inflation, an uneven performance in yields compared to the previous campaign coupled with a loss in the mark-to-market of our forward contracts. Adjusted EBITDA in our rice business was $2 million during the quarter and $15 million year-to-date, marking a 23.3% and a 62.6% year-over-year reduction respectively. Results were mainly impacted by lower yields caused the impact of La Niña in some of our rice farms and a 9% decline in prices at the moment of harvest. This resulted in a year-over-year loss in the mark-to-market of our biological assets and in the net realizable value of our agricultural produce after harvest. EBITDA generation was also negatively impacted by higher costs in the U.S. dollar terms, which pressured margins. Moving on to the dairy business, adjusted EBITDA amounted to $9 million during the third quarter and $24 million year-to-date, marking a 29.6% and 22.1% year-over-year increase respectively. In both cases, results were explained by an increase in both volume and average prices and our continuous focus on achieving efficiencies in our vertical integrated operations. Again, results were partially offset upset by higher cost of the U.S. dollars terms driven by the global inflation environment. In the case of land transformation, although no farm sales were conducted, results reflected the mark-to-market of an account receivable corresponding to the latest sales of farms in Brazil, which tracks the evolution of soybean prices. Let’s now turn to Page 16, which shows the evolution of Adecoagro’s consolidated operation and financial performance. On a year-to-date basis gross sales expanded 24.8% year-over-year to $970 million, where as adjusted EBITDA to $327 million marking 11% decline compared to the same period of last year. In terms of production, we harvested over 1 million tons of crops and rice, while our sugarcane crushing volume presenting a year-over-year reduction for reasons previously explained. To conclude, please turn to Slide 17 to take a look at our net debt position. As of September the 30th of 2022, net debt amounted to $816 million, 1.7% lower compared to the previous quarter. The decrease in net debt is fully explained by a $15 million increase in our cash position, which offset the 3.6% increase in our gross debt. It is worth highlighting that as we entered the second semester of the year, we have started collecting income from most of our products sold. On a year-over-year basis net debt was 12.6% higher compared to the same period of last year due to a 15.3% increase in our gross debt position. This was mainly driven by the financing of our inventories, finished goods plus raw materials, which increase $43 million year-over-year, coupled with a $81 million increase in our biological assets versus the previous year. This was explained by our strategy to secure our supply chain as we enter into the 2022-2023 harvest season along with higher costs of inputs. These working capital requirements are being financed by short-term borrowings in our Farming division and attractive rates. Thus short-term debt was 55% higher compared to same period of last year. At the same time, our liquidity ratio reached 1.3x. This clearly shows the full capacity of the company to repay short-term debt with cash balance without raising external capital. We believe that our balance sheet is in a healthy position, not only based on the adequate overall net debt levels, but also on the term of our indebtedness, most of which is long-term debt. Our net debt ratio was 2.1x in this quarter, 6.9% higher than the previous quarter. Thank you very much for your time. We’re now open to questions.