Dale Lynch
Analyst · Compass Point
Thanks, Brad. Our third quarter 2018 results reflect Farmer Mac’s commitment to delivering upon our mission, while at the same time producing good returns for our stockholders. Farmer Mac is executing well in the opportunities within its markets, and we believe our outlook is strong. Turning to the third quarter results. As you can see on Slide 5, outstanding business volume increased $15.7 million to $19.5 billion as of September 30, 2018, after maturities and principal paydowns on existing business. As Brad summarized earlier, the increase in outstanding business line was driven by net growth of $53.1 million in the USDA Guarantees line of business, $47.3 million in net new institutional credit business from financial fund counterparties, and net growth of $41.7 million in Farm & Ranch loan purchases. Farmer Mac refinanced all of its AgVantage securities maturing during the third quarter 2018, which included an early refinance of a $50 million AgVantage security that matured in third quarter 2018, but which was refinanced during second quarter. Within the institutional credit line of business, while outstanding business volumes experienced a net decrease of $26.6 million this quarter due to the early refinance of the AgVantage bond I mentioned, Farmer Mac was able to successfully refinance all of its third quarter 2018 scheduled maturities. Specifically, Farmer Mac refinanced $650 million of maturing on-balance sheet AgVantage securities and the $300 million revolving floating rate off-balance sheet AgVantage facility with National Rural Utilities Corporate Finance Corp., also known as CFC, to replace a similar facility that expired this quarter. The $650 million of refinanced purchases included AgVantage securities in the amount of $275 million from MetLife, $250 million from CFC and $125 million from Rabo. Farmer Mac also purchased a new AgVantage security in the amount of $25 million from Rabo this quarter. Although Farmer Mac experienced net growth in some of its lines of business during this quarter, several factors combined to reduce the overall net growth. Specifically, within the institutional credit line of business, three factors contributed to reducing net growth. First, the early refinance of a $50 million AgVantage security in the second quarter that matured this quarter. Second, the quarterly amortization of $14 million on another AgVantage security. And third, a $9.8 million prepayment on a Farm Equity AgVantage security. This security prepaid upon the sale of the underlying asset as the counterparty’s limited life fund that held the asset is nearing its maturity date and selling assets to return capital to its investors. Importantly, this client is a continuing customer of Farmer Mac and we do business with its other funds. Another factor reducing overall net growth this quarter was a $37.4 million net decrease in Farmer Mac’s Rural Utilities line of business due to loan repayments. The last factor that contributed to reduce overall net growth was a $15 million net decrease and Farm & Ranch loans understand [ph] by purchase commitments as repayments exceeded new business volume due to the seasonally heavier repayment schedule in the third quarter. During third quarter 2018 and throughout this year, Farmer Mac’s gross purchases of Farm & Ranch loans and USDA Securities have declined compared to the prior year, which Farmer Mac believes is due to several factors. In the Farm & Ranch line of business, 2018 have seen far fewer opportunities to purchase large loans that are over $15 million compared to 2017. Farmer Mac believes this could be due to a fewer number of eligible loans that are able to secure financing on that size as well as potentially increased pricing competition for the highest rated borrowers of these larger loans. The decrease in purchases in the USDA Guarantees line of business reflects increased competition, fewer refinances due to higher interest rates, and potentially lower loan volume being processed through USDA. However, Farmer Mac does not believe that this indicates a decrease in borrower demand for USDA loans. While gross loan purchase volumes are down in both Farm & Ranch and USDA Guarantees lines of business, year-over-year net outstanding business volume growth has remained in the high single digit to double digit percentage range throughout 2018. Contributing to these net growth rates is the significant slowdown during 2018 of prepayments on these loans as higher rates and lower farm income appear to have reduced borrowers’ incentive to prepay. Farmer Mac’s net Farm & Ranch loan purchase growth rate compares favorably to the year-over-year growth rate of the total agricultural mortgage loan market of approximately 5% through June 2018. Now turning to the financials. As you can see on Slide 6, core earnings for the third quarter 2018 were $22.4 million or $2.08 per diluted common share compared to $16.8 million or $1.55 per share in third quarter 2017, and $19.4 million or $1.80 per share in second quarter 2018. The $5.6 million or 33% year-over-year increase in core earnings was primarily due to a $2.4 million after-tax increase in net effective spread and a $4.2 million decrease in income tax expense due to the lower federal tax rate. The year-over-year increase in core earnings was offset in part by a $1 million after-tax increase in operating expenses. The increase in operating expenses was primarily due to continued technology in business infrastructure investments, an increase in headcount, and new leases for office space entered into during late 2017. As we’ve mentioned on prior calls, Farmer Mac expects the annual increases aggregate compensation of benefits in G&A expenses to be above historical averages over the next several years. Specifically, management believes that the aggregate comp and benefits and G&A expenses will increase approximately 15% in 2018 relative to 2017 with percent increases moderating in 2019. The $3 million sequential increase in core earnings was primarily due to three factors. First, there was a $2.3 million after-tax increase in net effective spread, partially due to the $1.6 million after-tax impact of the amortization of the IO security that occurred in second quarter 2018. Secondly, there was a $0.8 million after-tax decrease in operating expenses. This was due to a decrease in G&A expenses, including hiring expenses and servicing advances and a decrease in comp and benefits expenses, which are generally higher during second quarter due to payments of employee incentive compensation. And finally, there was a $0.4 million after-tax decrease in credit-related expenses due to a $2,000 after-tax released from the provision for the total allowance for losses this quarter compared to a provision of $0.5 million after-tax in second quarter 2018. The sequential increase in core earnings was partially offset by a $0.5 million decrease in tax benefits primarily related to share-based compensation recognized in exercises of equity-based awards. Now turning to spreads on Slide 7. Farmer Mac’s net effective spread for third quarter 2018 was $39.1 million or 93 basis points compared to $36 million or 91 basis points in third quarter 2017 and $36.2 million or 86 basis points in second quarter 2018. The $3.1 million year-over-year increase in net effective spread in dollars was primarily due to the growth in outstanding business line, which increased net effective spread by approximately $2.3 million and a $0.8 million increase in the amount cash basis interest income received from nonaccrual Farm & Ranch loans. The two basis point year-over-year increase in net effective spread in percentage terms was primarily due to the increase in the amount of cash base interest income. The $2.9 million or seven basis points sequential increase in net effective spread in dollars and percentage terms was primarily due to a couple of factors. First, the absence this quarter of the amortization of the IO security that occurred in second quarter 2018, which reduced net effective spread by $2 million and had a five basis point negative impact in the second quarter. And secondly, an increase in the amount of cash basis interest income received from nonaccrual Farm & Ranch loans, which increased net effective spread by $0.4 million or one basis point. Turning to credit on Slide 8, as of September 30, 2018, the total allowance for losses was $9 million or 13 basis points of the $7.1 billion Farm & Ranch portfolio, which was a slight improvement compared to June 30. There was a $3,000 relief from the Federal allowance for losses in third quarter primarily due to the modest improvement in the overall portfolio credit quality and the reduced net growth rate in Farm & Ranch loans this quarter. As of September 30, 2018, Farmer Mac’s 90-day delinquencies were $37.5 million or 0.53% of the Farm & Ranch portfolio compared to $43.1 million or 0.61% of the Farm & Ranch portfolio as of June 30, 2018. The decrease in 90-day delinquencies from second quarter is primarily due to lower-than-expected seasonal delinquencies associated with loans that had January 1 and July 1 payment dates, which account for most of the loans in our Farm & Ranch portfolio as well as the $9.8 million in two crop loans to a single borrower that became current during the third quarter 2018. Turning now to substandard assets. Due to a relative balance between newly substandard assets and upgrades payoffs and paydowns of existing substandard assets, the overall portfolio of substandard volume was little changed. As of September 30, 2018, Farmer Mac substandard assets were $216 million or 3.1% of the Farm & Ranch portfolio compared to $226.5 million or 3.2% of the portfolio as of June 30, 2018. As of September 30, 2018, volume migrating into the substandard asset category was primarily comprised of oilseeds, feed grains and livestock. Although some credit losses are inherent to the business of agricultural lending, Farmer Mac believes that any loss associated with the current agricultural credit cycle will be moderated by the strength and diversity of its portfolio, which Farmer Mac continues to believe as adequately collateralized. Turning to capital on Slide 9. Farmer Mac’s $714 million of core capital as of September 30, 2018, exceeded the statutory minimum requirement of $540 million by $174 million or 32%. This compares to core capital of $657 million, or $137 million of capital above the minimum as of year-end 2017. The increase in the excess – in excess of minimum capital was primarily due to increase in retained earnings this quarter. A more complete information about Farmer Mac’s third quarter is set forth in our 10-Q, which we filed with the SEC today. With that, I’ll turn it back to you, Brad.