Mark Oswald
Analyst · UBS. Your line is open
Thanks, Jerome. Let’s jump into the financials on Slide 12. Adhering to our typical format, the page shows our reported results on the left side and our adjusted results on the right side. We will focus our commentary on the adjusted results, which exclude special items that we view as either one-time in nature or otherwise skew important trends in underlying performance. One item to note, as Jerome mentioned earlier, was a triggering event which occurred during the quarter which required a quantitative impairment analysis, primarily due to the significant decline in the market value of Adient shares resulting from uncertainties surrounding vehicle production volumes amongst other factors. As a result of the quantitative assessment, a $333 million non-cash goodwill impairment was recorded in the EMEA reporting unit. Details of all adjustments for the quarter are included in the appendix of the presentation. Moving on, high level for the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $233 million, up 3% year-on-year. We expanded EBITDA margins 40 basis points year-over-year to 6.5%. This improvement reflected outstanding business performance in the quarter, despite a $139 million decrease in revenue from lower customer volumes in FX versus a year ago. As Jerome mentioned, we continued to demonstrate the resilience of the Adient operating model and ability to mitigate external pressures. Worth noting that our underlying equity income remains quite strong, particularly in our Asia-Pacific segment, despite this quarter’s results being negatively impacted by $6 million from the same period a year ago due to the restructured pricing agreement within Adient’s Keiper joint venture. Adient reported adjusted net income of $58 million or $0.69 per share. I’ll cover the next few slides rather quickly, since details for the results are included on the slides. This should ensure we have adequate time for Q&A. Starting with revenue on Slide 13, we reported consolidated sales of approximately $3.6 billion, a decrease of $139 million compared with Q2 fiscal year 2024. The primary driver of the year-on-year decrease was lower volumes of $90 million, resulting from lower customer production. FX was also a $49 million headwind in the quarter. Focusing on the right-hand side of the slide, Adient’s consolidated sales were higher in Americas and lower in EMEA and Asia year-on-year. In the Americas, higher sales versus industry were driven by favorable comparisons with a year ago, when many of our key customer programs were launching at low volumes, such as GM’s large 3-row crossovers in the Toyota Tacoma. In Europe, we were negatively impacted by overall weaker market demand. Sales were in line with the market. And in our APAC region, sales in China underperformed industry production, primarily due to lower volumes from our traditional luxury OEM customers, including Volvo and GAC. We continue to outperform the industry in Asia outside of China due to new customer launches, which occurred in the second half of 2024, which are now reaching full run rate volumes. Regarding Adient’s unconsolidated seating revenue, year-on-year results were down 6% adjusted for FX. Revenue in North America was lower due to a joint venture rationalization, which was partially offset by growth in Europe of our Diniz joint venture in Turkey. Sales in China were up year-on-year, mainly due to growth with BYD and exports through our Keiper joint venture, as well as increased sales within the CFAA joint venture. Moving to Slide 14, we provided a bridge of adjusted EBITDA to show the performance of our segments between periods. Adjusted EBITDA was up 3% at $233 million. The primary driver of the year-on-year comparison are detailed on the page. The Adient team drove improved business performance of $37 million, primarily resulting from better net material margin and reduced operating costs, including lower launch costs. The improved business performance was partially offset by volume and mix, which was a $6 million headwind driven by lower customer vehicle production in EMEA in the Asia region, specifically in China. FX was a $10 million headwind, mostly from transactional impacts in EMEA and Americas. And finally, we incurred a net commodity headwind of $15 million in Q2, primarily driven by the timing of recoveries. As in past quarters, we provided our detailed segment performance slides in the appendix of the presentation. High level for the Americas, improved business performance of $15 million in Q2 was primarily driven by favorable commercial actions, lower input costs and lower launch costs. Tariffs were a $9 million headwind during the quarter, which we expect to mostly recover in the second half of 2025. Non-recurrence of certain discretionary compensation measures, which occurred in fiscal year 2024, adversely impacted the year-on-year comparison. Volume and mix was a tailwind of $13 million, benefiting from a stronger production of high-content programs during the quarter, consistent to what we saw in Q1 of this year. Production tracked as expected as we entered the quarter. Notably, we did not see any meaningful overtime or additional shifts added by our customers in our products that would point to the pull-forward of production. Commodities were a $9 million headwind, driven by the timing of recoveries. Specifically, lower absolute costs in 2025 resulted in less recoveries in Q2 of this year versus Q2 2024. In EMEA, year-over-year results were influenced by lower volume and mix, which negatively impacted the quarter by $9 million. FX was a $7 million headwind, primarily driven by transactional exposure from the Polish zloty. And commodities were a $6 million headwind due to the timing of recoveries. Business performance accelerated to $16 million in Q2, partially offsetting the headwinds and was driven by better net material margin in operating performance, including the benefits of restructuring actions. As we have previously outlined, we are taking significant steps to adjust our costs in Europe and are studying opportunities to pull-forward some rationalization actions in a prudent manner. In EMEA, we continue to focus on driving additional operating efficiencies, restructuring and executing our plan, which includes the roll-off of lower-performing metals business and the start of production of better-margin new business, which we believe will inflect positively in 2026. Moving on in Asia, our results were generally flat year-on-year, with positive business performance being offset by lower volumes and mix. In summary, the company continues to drive improved business performance across all regions, which we expect to continue in the second half of 2025. Let me now shift to our cash, liquidity and capital structures on Slides 15 and 16. Starting with cash on Slide 15, for the quarter, free cash flow, defined as operating cash flow less CapEx, was an outflow of $90 million. As Jerome mentioned earlier, this was in line with our expectations and reflects timing and normal first half seasonality, as we typically have first half outflows in our cash generative in the second half of the year. H1 cash performance is consistent year-over-year after considering restructuring cash costs, particularly in Europe. In Q2, we incurred $33 million of cash restructuring. During the quarter, we also spent $8 million in consulting fees associated with strategic planning related to optimizing our business portfolio, as we continue to consider actions to create shareholder value. I would note that while these fees are included in our cash flow, they are excluded from our adjusted EBITDA. We continue to expect solid free cash conversion in fiscal 2025. One last point, and called out on the slide, Adient continues to utilize various factoring programs as a low-cost source of liquidity. At March 31, 2025, we had $170 million of factor receivables, consistent with last year’s second quarter. Flipping to Slide 16, as noted on the right-hand side of the slide, Adient continues to proactively manage its debt maturity profile with no near-term maturities. We successfully refinanced $795 million senior unsecured notes due 2026 during the quarter, issuing new notes with a 2033 maturity, therefore extending our average maturity profile from four years to just over six years. Adient is committed to being good stewards of capital while maintaining a strong balance sheet, ensuring efficient allocation of resources and ample liquidity. Turning to our balance sheet, Adient’s debt and net debt position totaled about $2.4 billion and $1.6 billion, respectively, at March 31, 2025. The company’s net leverage at March 31st was 1.9 times within our targeted range of 1.5 times to 2 times. Total liquidity for the company was about $1.6 billion at March 31, comprised of $754 million of cash on hand and $843 million of undrawn capacity under Adient’s revolving line of credit. Moving to Slide 17, let’s review our first half performance and expectations for the second half of fiscal 2025. In the first half, we exhibited strong momentum with only 5% decremental margins. While market volumes have been lower, we saw more stability than last year, which helped us from an efficiency standpoint. I would note that at the onset of tariffs, we incurred $9 million of gross expense, which we expect to mostly recover in H2 of this year. The takeaway for Adient’s first half is strong business performance, significantly offset ongoing volume headwinds, resulting in solid results in line with internal expectations. Looking into the second half of this year, while the impact of tariffs on market volumes remains uncertain, the company is committed to strong business performance and has solid momentum. Absent significant impacts from tariffs, we would expect H2 performance to be similar to H1. Assuming no significant incremental step down in global volumes, we expect volume headwinds to be manageable and mitigated by ongoing business performance and efficiencies. We expect tariff expenses to be offset by actions we are taking with our customers. And finally, with regard to our 2025 outlook on Slide 18, given our strong momentum going into the second half of the year, we are reaffirming our previous fiscal year 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook. Importantly, our guidance assumes no change to current tariff policies. Most tariff costs are resolved and no meaningful declines in previously forecasted volumes from tariffs. While we see some upside to our adjusted EBITDA in the second half of this year, it may be offset by timing of tariff-related customer recoveries. Year-over-year, volume headwinds are being offset by ongoing business performance and efficiencies. We expect this business performance to continue to mitigate macro headwinds and offset decremental margins on lower volumes. Our interest expense is now expected to be slightly higher, call it, $190 million versus the previous forecast of $185 million due to the recent refinancing and maturity expansion of our senior unsecured notes. On cash flow, we see potentially accelerated European cash restructuring costs, as well as some uncertainty around timing of customer recoveries at year end, leading us to adjust our free cash flow forecast to a range of between $150 million and $170 million from our previous guide of $180 million. To sum it up, based on Adient’s solid performance throughout the first half of 2025, the company is well positioned to weather the macro challenges and the team continues to execute at a very high level. We remain focused on managing the business controllables, such as delivering excellent results for our customers, lowering costs, and generating free cash flow for the owners of our business while maintaining a strong and flexible balance sheet. With that, I’ll turn it back to Jerome for a few additional comments.