John A. Moore
Analyst · Dominick & Dominick
Thank you, and welcome to the year-end 2012 Acorn Energy conference call. We accomplished a lot last year. Important investments were made, and we believe 2012 should be viewed as the springboard to what will be a dynamic growth year for Acorn Energy in 2013. After earning $1.99 per share in 2011, we deployed part of the proceeds from the CoaLogix sale to grow our operating businesses, which contributed to a net loss of $0.93 per share in 2012. We have a plan to achieve profitability in 2014. We're going to do this via revenue growth and margin improvement. We're going to get there from investments made by 2012 and those that we have planned for 2013. My excitement about US Seismic continues to grow for 4 reasons: one, the transformative macro opportunity; two, the evidence that seismic monitoring is going to become essential for unconventional production; three, our customers and successful field trials; and four, the successful operation of our automated production plant that can be expanded rapidly at high margin and low cost. One, I'm excited because on a macro level, the unconventional research revolution is going to drive the prosperity of our country for decades to come. The Energy Information Administration just announced that the California Monterey Shale contains 65% of the technically recoverable oil from shale, and the University of Southern California released a report: the state cannot afford to ignore this black gold rush. It's early days in even figuring out how to get to this resource out of the ground, but you know 2 things: one, California is the most seismically active state in the nation; and two, it's the most environmentally concerned and heavily regulated state in the nation. So the state needs the revenue, and it's almost certain to require seismic monitoring. Steve Jobs said the PC was a great product because it was a small thing that controlled really big things like companies. The $12 billion seismic industry is the tail that wags the hundreds of billions of dollars spent in oil exploration every year, except in the unconventional oil plays, where seismic is used less than 3% of the 20,000 frac jobs done each year. We think this is about to change. Two, evidence is growing that seismic monitoring will be essential for unconventional production. "Smart drilling" is a catch phrase for enhanced oil recovery and fracking, where the oil producer uses steerable drilling techniques to unlock huge stores of hydrocarbons. As the industry learns how to access these reserves, they're learning they need to be smarter about the way they deploy their capital. Industry experts are estimating that less than 1 in 3 unconventional wells are meeting owner expectations. As much as 70% of the capital expenditures are being wasted on each frac job. Jim Volker, CEO of Whiting Petroleum, a $6 billion market cap NASDAQ company, recently stated they feel that they're only extracting 10% to 11% of the oil in place. Many unconventional drillers are experimenting with intensifying their drilling with new ideas like array fracking, where they drill laterals on top of each other. These techniques will require new emphasis on both using seismic mapping during production, where historically seismic has been used as an exploration tool. The industry is necessarily migrating to enhancing the quality and the quantity of subsurface information, and we should think about it as sort of a subsurface broadband using data to bring data for micro-seismic signals. US Seismic is introducing the only downhole sensor on the market specifically designed to detect the entire range of microseismic signals generated during the hydrofracking production process. Legacy Geophones that are produced by great companies like GeoSpace and ION have not changed significantly in the 50 years. These legacy Geophones, while suitable for finding pools of conventional oil, however, are not simply optimized to detecting the seismic signals associated with new oil and gas recovery techniques used in today's unconventional oil fields. As a matter of fact, the best downhole Geophones on the market miss more than 90% of the seismic signals associated with hydrofracking. This is pure physics. The frequency range of the legacy downhole Geophones simply cannot be made wide enough to capture the microseismic signals associated with the hydraulic fracturing. Because our fiber optic Geophones operate using a completely different principle, we alone can detect the complete range of microseismic signals associated with hydrofracking. Three, our customers understand how our success is critical to their success, and they are extremely helpful as we seek to finalize the production design of our systems. We have 2 pioneering medium-sized seismic services customers and one seismic tool companies client. We expect follow-on orders and will ship a 100-level array, the world's largest optical downhole system, to SR2020 early in the second quarter. We announced a trial order from a supermajor oil company that will be shipped in the next 2 weeks. We expect the unit will be trialed in a competitive seismic shootout against legacy systems in April. This competitive seismic shootout is extremely important because the customer has compelling vision for the future of permanent sensors deployed to deliver what they call Life of Field Seismic. If we're successful, as we expect to be, our first substantial follow-on orders will happen in the second half of 2013. Important potential customers that we expect to announce in the near future include a global microseismic services company and one of the world's largest national oil companies. We'll ship a high-temperature array to the Department of Energy in the second quarter that will be used to monitor enhanced geothermal fracking. The researcher leading this trial is a key thought leader in seismic fracture monitoring. A successful trial at high temperature will further enhance the credibility of our solution in the industry. No mention our efforts at US Seismic would be complete without mentioning Kent Leacock's efforts in raising the awareness of our technology in the oil industry, the environmental and the regulatory community. It is very unlikely that monitoring of some kind will become a regulatory requirement in California, and these regulations will likely be spread throughout the industry and nationwide. Our memberships in several West Coast petroleum associations have already helped us establish a relationship with a large, technically advanced independent petroleum producer in California, who'll be testing US Seismic's technology in the coming weeks. In addition, our efforts have opened the door for initial conversations with several major oil companies with big plans in California. Four, we have the ability to expand our production at low capital cost and high margins, and our team has the experienced to be successful. The US Seismic team now consists of over 50 employees, many of which are experienced optical engineers. It's important to us that Jim and his team have been through this development and commercialization effort once before for our fiber-optic sensor system for the U.S. Navy. What lessons can we learn from their previous success? First, they had to take the time to prove the technology worked. Likewise, today, they're derisking the fiber-optic Geophone technology. The pace of trials are picking up, and they conducted 2 trials in 2011 and 6 in 2012. The most recent 3 trials, each of which was with a highly credible oil gas partner, confirmed our systems generate radically better data than the best conventional system money can buy. We've also refined our capability to produce the peripheral aspects of our system, like downhole clamps and cables, to assure the reliable use of our products in harsh oilfield environments. We have several more field trials in the coming months that will further derisk our product design, which should yield follow-on orders. Once Jim and his team prove the systems worked to the Navy, he then focused on reducing cost. Today, the Navy system they developed is one of the most profitable product lines of Northrop Grumman. We're following the same successful game plan. We have invested to reduce the manufacturing cost for our systems by automating our production lines. We think of our products in terms of levels, a 3-sensor pod. Each level of the array consists of 3 sensors: X, Y and Z. Each array sells for approximately $20,000 to $25,000 per level. We currently produce at a rate of 40 levels per month. Our automated lines are being used to produce the order for the supermajor oil company and all other orders going forward. We plan to close the year at a production rate of over 100 levels per month, and we'll have a capital equipment in place to support 200 levels per month, which equates to the $50 million capacity we've mentioned in the past. In the process, we will reduce the touch labor through automation by 90%. The team's past and present came together in 2012 when US Seismic acquired the license from Northrop Grumman of their next-generation optical interrogator intellectual property that was initially developed for the Navy. We acquired 4 fundamental patents from Northrop Grumman, hired the team that developed the product and have invested in productizing the unit. The interrogator is important because it will replace the expensive custom electronic hardware-based solution we produce today with a PC-based solution offering speed and quality of data that the oil industry has never seen before. The hardware for the interrogator was completed at the end of 2012, and the first half of 2013 will be used for the software integration. The interrogator will be ready for field trials in July of 2013. The commercialization of this product is important because it will enable us to realize 50% and eventually higher gross margins for our systems. We're developing a broad portfolio of foundational intellectual property. We now have 6 issued U.S. patents and 17 filed U.S. patents. In conclusion to the US Seismic -- to conclude the US Seismic portion of our story, 2012 marked the first commercial shipments of our fiber-optic arrays. We shipped a total of 56 levels to 3 customers. We expect 2013 will see us ship a minimum of 340 levels to 6 customers, of which 3 will be repeat customers. This will represent a 500% increase in shipments. We expect to complete the commercialization of the interrogator and to solve any remaining peripheral engineering problems related to the downhole deployment of our systems. 2014 should prove to be the year of expanding commercial deployments, large-scale production and the realization of our goal of terrific gross margins and industry acceptance of our products. We have invested $17.25 million of cash and announced that we'll spend an additional $5 million, in which $2.5 million has already been funded, to launch a tool that could revolutionize this multibillion dollar existing market for seismic tools. Acorn and our management team at US Seismic is positioning the company to cash positive the second half of 2013. Any individual customer in the pipeline could cover the burn with a large single-scale commercial order. Jim's confidence in our technology has resulted him in hiring a second salesperson, and she's located in Houston and has a long history of success in the oil and gas technology sales. So to move on to GridSense. There's considerable interest in GridSense's new products. GridSense had a challenging year in 2012 after substantial growth and the achievement of positive EBITDA in the second half of 2011. We're taking steps to set ourselves back on track. We recently installed Joe Musanti, an experienced Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer, at GridSense. Joe and Lindon are working well as a team. We invested substantial sums in product development in 2012 to expand the application of the Transformer IQ, to complete the Line IQ and to launch our software solution, Grid InSite. I'd like to take a moment to explain how GridSense sales process works. Typically, a pilot program will grow from an initial order for 1 system to 5 to 25 units in the field. The customer is evaluating our reliability and how well our products are integrated with communication networks. Often, these pilots can take 6 months to several years. So far, of the 7 trials we've started in 2011, only 1 is no longer active, and that's because of a lack of budget. Upon the customer satisfaction with a pilot, we get what we call an initial deployment order for 700, 800 units, as is the case with the 2 most prestigious reference customers in the United States, our Southeast U.S. utility and our Southern California utility that we recently announced. Our marker for whether our capital is being effectively deployed at GridSense is whether these pilots and the initial deployments are supported by business cases at the utilities that will justify large-scale deployments. Evaluations of the initial deployments can take 1 year to 3 years and hopefully result in a business case for deployment over a number of years for 100,000 to 500,000 units, according to the size of the utility. We've landed our second initial deployment with the Southern California utility, which ordered 800 Transformer IQs. However, shipment of this order was delayed to the first quarter of 2013, and that has been subsequently delivered. The company expanded the number of active pilots from 7 in 2011, with 1 initial deployment, to 46 pilots today, which resulted in another initial deployment, the one I previously disclosed with the Southern California utility. We expect 3 more international pilots to turn into initial deployments in 2013. This high level of pilots has increased the requirement for engineering to support the trials. Lindon Shiao and our CTO, Kevin Andersen, have a big vision for the market for monitoring small transformers -- that is, smaller underground and pole top transformers, and their pioneering strategy was acknowledged at a recent Greentech Media industry survey. We formalized collaborations with Landis+Gyr, Silver Spring Networks and On-Ramp Wireless that are big potential partners -- big potential channel partners. The macro trend for transformer -- the age of transformers is compelling. Another driver of the market has appeared this year: cyber threats to our power grid. We've invested $14.2 million in cash to date in GridSense. The long-awaited Silver Spring IPO has added optimism to this market sector, but we remain cautiously optimistic, and our goal is for GridSense to attain a cash-neutral position in the second half of 2013 and resume its growth path from 2011. The utility industry is bureaucratic, and sales cycles are long. We're having encouraging success. Our budgeted cash commitment to GridSense is $1.5 million for 2013. We bought OmniMetrix in February 2012. What made this business compelling to us was: one, it fit into our theme of fallen U.S. grid reliability; two, it boasted a total addressable market of over 2 million installed generators, which is growing about 15% a year; three, it was well positioned to dominate a channel of over 1,000 dealers; and four, the vision of our -- at the time he was a consultant, but now he is our Chief Sales and Marketing Officer, Andy Briggs, that we could double the profitability of progressive dealers, dramatically improve customer satisfaction and reduce customer churn at the dealers with OmniMetrix's rock-solid product and brand reputation it had proven in the field over a 15-year period. We bought the business in February 2012. We had 1 inside sales rep and negligible sales and marketing efforts and $60,000 [ph] in revenue through the Generac dealer network. Today, we have an outstanding team of 10 sales professionals that were hired by Deena Redding and led by Andy Briggs. Andy's background is in sales at a leading Kohler dealership and later in his own business for Generac. As a Generac dealer, he became OmniMetrix's first customer. Andy rose to the top of his field until he was recently the head of Generac's Dealer Council. So we have a former dealer leading our sales effort to the dealer channel. Andy is charged with us as a consultant, and he has a team that have only been on board since the beginning of 2013. Even without the full-time effort of Andy and his team, we were able to build our install base of units from 1,958 power generator units to 3,421 by the end of 2012, which is almost 75% growth. We also ended the year with 2,230 cathodic protection monitors on pipelines. We've changed the business model to a $300 to $400 upfront monitoring fee with no upfront charge for hardware. Our plan for 2013 is to expand the number of generator monitors by 10,000 units in 2013 and 25,000 in 2014 and to achieve positive cash flow in the second half of 2014. We're on plan for 2013 with -- for example, the past 3 weeks, we shipped over 200 power generation monitors each week, and we have a robust pipeline of dealer relationships in key account trials. The investment we made on OmniMetrix not only build out the sales force. We also made important innovations, like the industry's first 4G device monitor and the industry's first low-power mobile generator monitor and the only 24/7 call service targeting dealer technicians, who are key influencers in the sales process. To accommodate the expected growth, we outsourced manufacturing and hired Chris Gropp as our Chief Information Officer to expand our business proposition from simply monitoring to higher-value services like power assurance and failure avoidance through predictive analytics and alarms. Finally, let's discuss DSIT. They had another profitable year, with 30% revenue growth, and proved that we know how to grow consulting and engineering business into a product business. Since Benny Sela took over as CEO, DSIT has grown from a $4.1 million revenue but lossmaking business with just an idea that energy infrastructure represents a substantial soft target for terrorists. Operating under that thesis that there are over 3,500 energy terminals located underwater and that they're vulnerable to attack from avenues where there's no visibility, our team took its expertise in sonar and acoustics and created an underwater security industry. DSIT is now an industry-leading manufacturer, generating $1 million dollars of EBITDA from $13.6 million of revenue. In 2012, DSIT shipped 10 commercial systems. The company ended the year with over $9.6 million of backlog and a robust pipeline of business opportunities. We're working to expand their product line from active sonar to include passive sonar systems through a joint project with US Seismic funded by a grant. We believe this will substantially increase the size of the market and differentiate our product offering. In addition, they're expanding into seismic security applications. This winning team is going to keep winning, and we invested $2 million in 2012 to help them fund their profitable growth. Macro factors such as the terrorist attack on the Statoil gas facility in Algeria and resource nationalism in the South China Sea and the Gulf are going to fuel the growth for the market for DSIT Solutions. In conclusion, we're very happy with our emerging market and technology position. Our cash is sufficient to last through 2013 and our major cycle of investment. We believe each of our businesses will demonstrate rapid growth in 2013 and beyond. Thank you very much, and we're now happy to take your questions.