John A. Moore
Analyst · Rockwood
Thank you, Heather. Welcome to the Acorn Energy Third Quarter Conference Call. I'm excited to share with you our progress in building the value of our 4 companies. First, I want express my sympathies to all who suffered during Hurricane Sandy. My neighbor, friends and family have been without heater power for a week. There remain over 1 million people in parts of Connecticut, New York, New Jersey that have experienced a cold Katrina. As the exact dimension of the disaster come into focus, now that the election is over, I hope that the impact of the storm's direct hit on our nation's financial and media epicenter will finally change the discussion from theoretical issues, like renewables, to practical and immediate issues of infrastructure reliability. The optics on this event were strange, a storm that everybody knew was coming and everyone knew would be bad. But the people in the tristate area were not aware, until now, of just how vulnerable their physical energy and communication systems were to deep damage. The word today on everybody's mind is prevention. How do I protect my business and my family in the future? Our current phone and electric system was built in the aftermath and rest on the legacy of World War II, with the greatest generation, the gold-plated systems, because they knew if they didn't, people could die. We've become complacent in our prosperity. We've made a transition to wireless communications and digital systems that demand digital-quality power but which are also as inherently fragile and vulnerable, as they are vital and critical to driving the new economy. In an unregulated telecom environment, we just haven't had the same infrastructure, investment and resilience. In the wake of 911 and Hurricanes Katrina and Sandy, there's suddenly and hopefully an emerging understanding of the value of the investment in reliability and resilience that will not be fleeting. The good news is, there is a solution and it is low-cost, low-risk and the very highest-churn investment that we can make as individuals and as a society, digital energy, connect everything. In the coming world of the intercausm [ph], we know and can identify failing transformers and generators and fix them before they fail catastrophically. Acorn Energy is making smart investments today to help society solve the weakness of its infrastructure. Acorn provides the simple and often overlooked tools that enable us to be prepared for inevitable disasters. In any disaster, you need 2 things: power and bandwidth for communication. Presciently, a professor from Carnegie Melon, wrote an article in the Wall Street Journal on September 17 titled, Blackouts are a Fact of Life, Let's Deal With Them. He did a survey of the emergency responders in his home city of Pittsburg and found out that 60% of the police stations did not have a generator, which means that police radios don't work during an outage, an electrical outage. Post-Sandy, a fire chief in Sea Bright, New Jersey noted, "We're back to the Stone Age," because people had to physically visit the firehouse to report an emergency when they lost power. It's important to own a generator, but it's not enough. Many who own generators like night trading and cellphone tower operators saw that they would fail when they needed them most. Over 25% of cellphone towers in the 10-state area affected by Sandy went down. This was creating an ideal environment for us to expand our OmniMetrix business. We expect that hardening cell tower sites will be a substantial part of our OmniMetrix business going forward. AT&T announced Wednesday, after putting their CapEx spending on hold for 9 months after the T-Mobile deal breakup, that they're going to spend $14 billion expanding their wireless and landline business. This is an unprecedented level of expenditure, and we're well positioned to benefit. There are currently over 220,000 cell phone towers. And with the rapid growth of wireless data use, this number will be climbing dramatically. More than 60% of U.S. cellphone towers do not have standby generators. We have 2 of the largest cell systems as our customers, and they are in early stages of growing the deployment of our systems. We heard terrific feedback from our customers, like American Tower, who enjoyed the peace of mind, knowing that all of their monitored cell site generators were up and operating. They had visibility into the fuel and maintenance requirements before, during and after the hurricane. OmniMetrix helped to keep emergency, corrections, 911 or other public services in Ocean County, New Jersey, running through Hurricane Sandy, when some of the New Jersey shore power sources failed. On average, OmniMetrix keep generator failures below 2% versus an average of 10% to 15% failures for unmonitored systems when called on. Deena Redding, CEO of OmniMetrix, has observed increased call volumes post Sandy. And the OmniMetrix team is reaching out to help fortify critical generators to reduce failure in the future. Deena is building on our team. They've grown from 11 employees when we bought the business in February to 27 employees. Deena is putting in place the infrastructure and the back office to support growth and in sales to create the growth. At the beginning of the year, we had one inside sales guy. Now we have 7 personnel constituting a regional team that covers the U.S. and a national accounts manager specifically focused on the telecom industry. We've more than doubled the generators we're monitoring, and we've begun developing relations with generator dealers and OEMs. From February 15, 2012, through September 30, 2012, OmniMetrix reported revenue of approximately $952,000, and for the third quarter period, revenue of $570,000, more than doubling the 2012 second quarter revenue of $272,000. As previously reported, OmniMetrix introduced a major sales and promotion program during the second quarter, with the goal of increasing market penetration rate of its monitoring products. We anticipate these efforts to begin bearing fruit during the fourth quarter of 2012 into 2013 and beyond. This is a business where we have an early mover advantage, with a high barrier to entry, low customer churn, high margins on the recurring revenue and a large domestic and international opportunity. Our business model is predicated on us giving away the hardware and breakeven on new sales in the first year. Another example of our leadership and infrastructure resilience in disaster prevention is our growing success at DSIT in building a category creator in energy infrastructure, perimeter monitoring business. We've made major strides in growing our installed base of customers, as well as expanding the market opportunity through collaboration with U.S. Seismic. DSIT continues to be our shining star, growing third quarter 2012 revenue by 75% versus Q3 2011 and year-to-date revenue by 50%. 2012 year-to-date operating income of $620,000 represents a major turnaround from last year's 2011 year-to-date operating loss of $603,000. The company's results were driven by the receipt of a $12.3 million order in Q4 of 2012. We're looking forward to successful installation of the system, and hopefully, follow-on orders from the satisfied customers. We have $9.2 million in projects backlog and a robust pipeline of opportunities. Management has done such a great job of building a category in this business that we've advanced DSIT $2 million this year, and anticipate investing additional funds to further expand this product line and fund the development of U.S. Seismic's passive perimeter security system. This can more than double the market opportunity for the company. We received a BIRD grant for $900,000 which serves as non-dilutive equity to fund the industry's first combination passive and active diver detection system. The reason this is important is that certain markets, like the USA, do not allow active sonar systems as defensive measures because of the concern for the long-term impact on aquatic life. In fact, a combined passive and active sonar system should be a better solution for our customers. The passive sonar listens for potential threats and when it finds one, it wakes the active sonar that actively pings the threat. This should result in a more sensitive and accurate system with more range and less false -- potential false positives, and that opens up the market in the USA and Europe. In addition, U.S. Seismic and DSIT are seeking to collaborate on land-based perimeter security. U.S. Seismic has made sales for its tunnel and perimeter detection systems in Latin America and one major North American airport. We believe that DSIT is best positioned to develop the market and expand this product line. Integrating a signal-processing software with USSI's detection system has potential to transform DSIT into a much larger and more profitable company. We've been consistently saying that 2012 would not be a growth year for GridSense. The revenue in the third quarter of 2012 was $1 million versus $2.5 million in the third quarter of 2011. And the 9-month revenues for 2012 are $2.9 million versus $4.7 million in 2011. While the lower revenue is disappointing, it's important to remember that in 2011, the company beat revenue and earnings plans. And we know that the timing of orders in this business can be hard to predict. This is why it's so important to keep our pipeline of leads growing, so that we're not dependent upon the receipt of any order from a single customer. GridSense currently has over 40 pilot programs with utilities. The number of ongoing pilots is more than triple the number of pilots in 2011. One of the pilots of a very prestigious Southern California utility turned in an order of 500 units. This California utility not only represents commercial potential but will also further enhance the products' functionality, enabling GridSense to address smart grid killer apps from an entirely new angle. The order of 500 pole-top and underground transformer monitors is important because it demonstrates that GridSense is developing unique products that the most cutting-edge utilities need and want. And more importantly, that they'll be designing into their orders for new transformers. In the U.S., the effort will be to use the Transformer IQ to monitor transformers and to replace them before they fail. Globally, the pole-top product is unique in its ability to monitor power theft, which is rampant in developing nations and is practiced by both the rich and the poor. Our plan is to grow the business from pure hardware sales to system sales and eventually to a recurring revenue model. The Grid InSite software will help this effort by having a solution, a software solution, that can provide analytical tools to distribution engineers so the utility can decrease the time to value from our sensors. We expect this will result in productivity gains leading to wider adoption of Grid InSite. We released a beta version of Grid InSite to 6 customers in Q3 and expect to begin commercial launch in Q1 of 2013. GridSense finished the quarter with $900,000 of backlog. GridSense is a global opportunity. You cannot have global -- you cannot have economic growth without a functioning electric grid, as the country of India found out when it lost power for 2 days in July. Our opportunities are global with active pilots in Australia, South Africa, China, Brazil, Myanmar, Guatemala and Mexico. There are hundreds of millions of transformers around the world, and equipping them with inexpensive sensors is a multibillion dollar opportunity. Finally, I'm calling in from Las Vegas, where Jim Andersen and his team have continued to build credibility with customers and awareness within the industry at the 82nd Annual Society of Exploration Geophysicists. This is the main event for the $12 billion annual sales, seismic services and tool industry. We met with the largest and most influential customers in the seismic services industry. Our most recent customer, SR2020, hosted an event, and Jim Andersen was the keynote speaker. The event was attended by the most influential seismic thought leaders, and our buzz continues to build in the industry. In addition, our product was showcased at the booth of the largest, independent borehole seismic tool supplier, a current customer. This customer's first array, an 8-level system, will be shipped next week and trialed at the end of November. They told us that 70% of the inquiries they received at the show were for our combined product. This is consistent with what we discussed on the second quarter call, that the second half of this year will be characterized by orders and field demonstrations of our products by small but influential seismic companies, like the one I just mentioned. The first half of 2013 would likely see the first orders from the world's largest oil service companies. I was heartened to hear customers and potential customers say that if our product performs well in upcoming trials, then it will represent the first significant change in the $2 billion seismic tool industry in the past 50 years. The rise in use of the steerable mud motor, which allows directional drilling, has enabled EOR, enhanced oil recovery, and the shale hydrocarbon revolution. The requirement of these new applications is forcing the industry to require sensors with our unique performance qualities. Enhanced oil recovery promises to allow oil companies to increase their reservoir yields from 25% to 60% to 75%. They need tools that can be permanently embedded in the harsh borehole environment. That means no down-hole electronics, no switch required in the current solutions. The shale producers recognize they need sensors that have a very low noise floor. In both cases, our sensors are being required for oil production instead of the traditional market for seismic, which is exploration. Production enhancement is less cyclical than exploration. And the returns for the well owners are higher and less risky. This is a very big deal for a young company introducing a new product. Our customers are rich, and they have money that they want to invest for a return on investment and basically improving their net present value from their capital investment. Another insight from the show was the almost-universal belief that the legacy sensors cannot meet the needs of enhanced oil recovery or frac-ing. Nature abhors a vacuum, so many companies are offering inferior fiber-optic solutions, like distributed acoustic sensors, also called DAS, that cannot provide seismic-quality images or micro-seismic mapping, or MEMs, which has too high of a noise floor despite tens of millions of dollars of industry and venture investment. The seismic industry, from its earliest days when it was developed to find large German guns bombing Paris in World War I, has its roots in military programs, and in the past decades, from naval submarine programs. The industry is inclined to believe that any fundamental breakthrough would require hundreds of millions of dollars' investment and have to be proven first in demanding military applications over long periods of time. Jim's team's heritage of commercializing the Light Weight Wide Aperture Array on the Virginia-class of submarine and its successful performance without a single failure at sea and the subsequent license from Northrop Grumman means we, unlike any other competitor, have instant and unique credibility among customers. U.S. Seismic is in the late development stage. We're making substantial investments to improve the reliability and reduce the cost of our sensors. We are investing in the critical interface software to enable our customers to seamlessly view our data on their existing data-processing equipment. We cannot expect a substantial revenue ramp or positive gross margins until we complete the commercial introduction of our PC-based interrogator and complete the expansion of our production in the first half of 2013. There are no shortcuts, and we're not encouraging management to look for any. I don't want to underestimate the challenge of introducing a new innovative technology to the oil and gas industry, but we do have huge advantages based on the team's experience and our government's previous investment in the technology. There will be fits and starts, with ample opportunity to improve and adapt on our devices. But I'm confident the next 6 months will further validate our belief in Jim and his team. In the first 9 months of 2012, USSI reported revenue of $1.3 million, an increase of 49% over the 2011 9-month period of $900,000. The increased revenue came from 6 different projects. Third quarter 2012 revenue was $234,000 versus $401,000 in the same 2011 period. The decrease in revenue was solely due to the number and the size of projects that were completed and delivered during the respective quarters. It is likely that the large, 40-level Department of Energy's order and the SR2020 will not be shipped until the first quarter of 2013. Management feels it's more important that the systems work flawlessly when deployed in the field than they recognize the revenue in 2012. We invested $10.25 million in U.S. Seismic in 2012, and we've previously announced that we intend to invest another $5 million in 2013. Now that I've given you some color on our operating businesses, I'd like to conclude by discussing the strength of Acorn as a whole. We have approximately $25.5 million in corporate cash in short-term deposits at the end of the quarter. As we predicted, we received 100% of the CoalLogix escrow of nearly $6 million, bringing our total take on the sale of the company of $62 million. Including acquisition costs, we've invested a total of $48 million in our 4 operating businesses to date. This is a good moment to reflect on how we've been so successful in the past in executing our unique strategy to create shareholder value. We buy engineering-led, energy-infrastructure technology businesses that are positioned at major paying points before everybody else recognizes the opportunity. We go into each opportunity knowing that the business requires investment in additional development in sales and marketing to unlock the inherent value. These investments in our portfolio are yielding early and measurable results. One, in less than 1 year, we've more than doubled the number of generator connections that took OmniMetrix 13 years to accumulate. Two, DSIT has more than doubled the size of its market opportunity by collaborating with U.S. Seismic. Three, GridSense has tripled its number of pilots in the exciting distribution-optimization sector of the smart grid. Four, U.S. Seismic is actually in production and has received initial commercial orders and has established itself in the minds of the world's largest oil service companies as leader in the fiber optic and seismic tool industry. These are big platforms with big growth opportunities. We're very bullish on our 4 businesses. We thank you for your confidence, as we develop this new market -- or opportunities. I'm happy to now take any questions.