Seth Bernstein
Analyst · Citigroup. Your line is open
Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us. I'm happy to be here with you today hosting my first AB earnings call. Clearly I've joined AB at an exciting time. The strategy to firm has pursued over the past several years is both compelling and bearing fruit, which you can see in the results so far this year. Investment performance is strong and getting better across a diverse product suite. Active net inflows were $6.6 billion in the second quarter and $8.5 billion for the year-to-date, which equates to 4% annualized organic growth rate. Second quarter adjusted revenues grew at nearly twice the pace of expenses in the second quarter allowing us to increase operating income by 20% and expand our margins by 270 basis points year on year. And we grew adjusted earnings per unit by 26% year on year to $0.49. These are great results that any CEO would welcome reflecting hard work and commitment of AB's 3,400 plus employees around the world. I'm proud they're now my colleagues and I'm excited to do my part going forward to build upon this strong momentum. So let's get to the results. Beginning with the firm-wide overview on Slide 3, total gross sales for the quarter were more than $20 billion, up 11% from last year’s second quarter and 7% from the first quarter of this year and our highest since the second quarter of 2015. Net inflows of $4.7 billion represents the $6.6 billion in active inflows I just mentioned, partly offset by $1.9 billion of passive outflows. This is obviously a huge improvement from net outflows of $200 million in the first quarter when active inflows of $1.9 billion were more than offset by passive outflows of 2.1 billion. Period-end average AUM were up versus prior periods on the back of strong market appreciation during the quarter. Moving to our quarterly flow breakout by channel on Slide 4, each of our client channels contributed to this quarter's positive flow picture. I'd like to begin with retail on the top right, which is our most significant channel by revenue. Retail gross sales were at record levels again this quarter, fueled largely by ongoing strengthen in Asia ex-Japan fixed income, where we have a preeminent franchise. Net inflows of $3.2 billion doubled sequentially. Our institutional channel rebounded from last quarter's historically low activity levels, that's the bottom left. Gross sales of 4 billion rose 60% sequentially and net inflows of $1.2 billion returned to positive territory. For private wealth on the bottom right, gross sales of 2.9 billion were up 21% year over year and flat sequentially. Net inflows of $300 million compared with $100 million last quarter and $200 million one year ago. Now, I’m discuss AB's investment performance during the quarter with some adjustments to our presentation which begins on Slide 5. Here you'll see that we're now showing a five quarter trend in percentage of outperforming assets to quarter end for the one, three and five year periods for both fixed income and equities. A few things are clear from this slide, first, the long-term investment performance of our fixed income team is just outstanding with excellent three and five year track record. Second, the investment performance of our equity service is not only quite solid but trending upward. Our one, three, and five year performance numbers are all better than a year ago. On Slide 6 and 7, we now show performance and ranking in the respective Morningstar categories for an array of US 40 Act and [indiscernible] funds that represent large or focused strategies for us. Slide 6 underscores the strength of our retail fixed income platform. All of our strategies on this slide rank in the top two quartiles for the three-year period and six are top decile. On Slide 7, we show how competitive our equity investment performance has become across the board. Top decile performers from multiple periods include US thematic and emerging markets growth in Lux and US large cap growth in 40 Act. So I’m singling out equities and fixed income here. I'll add that our multi asset and alternative strategies are also doing very well. Our Five Star rated emerging markets multi-asset Lux fund is ranked top quartile since its June 2011 inception, gross are $1 billion for the year-to-date period. And our all market income fund which will hit its three year anniversary in December is ranked in the first percentile since conception performance. [indiscernible] reputation, now that I'm here I'd have to say I'm quite impressed by the caliber of our investment teams across all asset classes. Now let's talk about client channels beginning with retail on Slide 8. There are two attributes of the AB’s retail business I want to highlight. One, a leading position we enjoy in Asia ex-Japan, a market I believe will continue to enjoy the fastest secular growth in the world. And two, AB's global product set which is much broader and more competitive than I realized. These two factors have been critical drivers to our impressive retail momentum. Year-to-date gross sales of 27 billion are up more than $8 billion or 45% versus last year's first half. And net flows have been positive every month this year totaling $4.8 billion for year to date compared to last year's 1.7 billion. As you can see from the top left chart, we've been a huge beneficiary of the rising tide in Asia ex-Japan fixed income. Industry wide retail bond fund sales are up more than $10 billion year to date through May or nearly 70% compared to the same period in 2016. In global high yield, sales were up more than 120%, but unlike where we were five years ago, Asia fixed income is not our only retail growth story. We’ve built a significant global multi-asset in the past two years. In the second quarter, gross sales of our discretionary investment management and emerging market’s multi-asset funds each doubled sequentially and were two of our largest contributors total retail sales for the quarter. Year-to-date they brought in a combined $2 billion in net flows second only to global high yield. Our separately managed, I'm sorry, our US separately managed account business has also grown quickly, thanks to the strength of our municipal bond activities. Assets are nearing $10 billion. Clients wouldn't be putting their confidence in AB if it weren't for the years we've spent investing to broaden our product set for clients not to mention both building and restoring our long-term track record. As the bottom left chart illustrates AB's US Four and Five Star funds as a percentage of all our rated funds has grown from 28% in 2009 to 53% today. By assets it's 85%. The move in Lux is even more impressive. Our percentage of Four and Five Star funds has more than doubled to 74% and represents 94% of AB’s total weighted asset. So it's no surprise that these top ranked funds are among the highest in their categories by net flows. Now moving onto institutional on Slide 9. After a very slow start to be year, we were pleased to see both fundings and new pipeline additions increase in the second quarter. Every region contributed to the 60% sequential increase in gross sales and we grew our pipeline by $400 million or 10% in the quarter, that's the chart on the top left. Even more important, the estimated fee base of our pipeline increased by 26% the effect of more adverse and a higher fee additions during the quarter. Today, the average fee rate on our pipeline is the highest it's been in years. As you can see from the bottom left chart, at quarter end, 82% 82% of our pipeline assets were in equity, alternatives and multi-asset strategies versus 18% in fixed income and passive. In fact, equities and alternatives account for eight of our ten largest mandates in our pipeline, including four commercial real estate debt funding commitments totaling more than $800 million. By delivering on our strategy to launch new products that speak to our clients and build strong track records across asset classes, we've been regaining credibility and momentum with institutional clients and consultants. Just look at the notable pipeline ads on the right side of this slide. Of our five largest strategies three of them commercial real estate debt, select US equity and global strategic core equity are services we couldn't even offer clients five or even six years ago. In equities, our RFP activities up 24% so far this year from the first half of 2016. Of particular note, emerging markets debt and equity RFPs are up a combined 62%. But let me be clear there are still considerable challenges in the institutional business for us and the industry at large. Fundings remain well below last year's levels, fee pressures continue to be intense and both the migration of active to passive and the trend of more plans taking active management in-house continues. But even in this environment, I feel very good about AB’s platform and competitive position. Now I'd like to talk about private wealth management on Slide 10. I know this industry very well and I'm acutely aware of how fragmented and commoditized it can be. To stand out private wealth managers need to be distinctively positioned in the market and implement investment solutions differently. As a long time Bernstein private client, I’ve long appreciated the breath and power of the solutions approach and the firm's ability to excel in areas like portfolio tax management. But I didn't fully appreciate however is what this business has accomplished with its strategy of introducing up-market services to strengthen the solutions model, to build upon existing client relationships and form new ones and open up parts the market were Bernstein hadn’t historically fully participated. These targeted services are the deepest expression of active management. They leverage our skill in managing active highly concentrated strategies and can help us optimize outcomes in a client's overall portfolio. The bar chart on the left shows how quickly targeted services commitments are growing. They're up 50% year on year in the second quarter of this year to $5.5 billion and year to date commitments have already exceeded our full-year 2016 total. The role the strategy plays in the momentum of our overall business is unmistakable. Total private wealth gross sales in the first half of this year have been our highest since 2008. And our average new relationship size has grown 12% versus last year. As competitive and regulatory pressures increase, we enjoy a reputation among our clients as of a long time fiduciary and a provider of differentiated solutions. That is a very good place to be. I'll wrap up our businesses with the sell side on Slide 11. Unlike the private wealth business, I had no experience with Bernstein Research Services before I came to AB. All I knew was it stood well above the crowd in the quality and differentiation of its research product. Now that I'm here, I'm learning there's much more to the story. Yes, Bernstein's calling card is search, but over the years this business has also built a leading US agency trading platform and broadened its global presence in both research and trading. Even as others have retrenched or retreated entirely. As a result, Bernstein is well positioned today. We have a diversified global business and a unique product at a time where competition for research dollars is intensifying in both the US and Europe post method implementation. In these challenging market conditions, Bernstein's revenues declined in the quarter, but that's no surprise since we derived two thirds of our revenue from the US where both trading volumes and volatility have been trending toward new lows. Indeed the VIX actually hit a ten-year low in the second quarter. These conditions underscore the importance of our strategy of investing to remain a leader in research quality. Five new analysts launched industry coverage for us in the second quarter, two each in the US and Europe, and one in Asia. And we've hired two new analysts here in the US to broaden our macro offering, an economist and portfolio strategist. We've maintained our top rankings in independent industry surveys. The latest US survey named us Number One for both quality of analyst service and greatest knowledge of companies and industries, in each case for the 14th year in the row. And for the electronic trading capabilities we built have put Bernstein in the Number One spot for both electronic trading quality and electronic trading service for the third straight year. Finally, this quarter brought more proof to Bernstein’s strategy to globalize our research and trading capabilities is the right one. We generated double-digit year-on-year revenue growth in Asia and we ranked Number One for providing alpha generating ideas and insights and Number Two for highest quality analyst service in an annual independent survey in Europe. Slide 12 summarizes the progress we've made in the quarter in executing our long-term growth strategy. I feel fortunate to have inherited an organization that's on the right track and gaining momentum. And each day I grow more confident in AB’s strategy. We're demonstrating every day our ability to create and manage investment services both within and across asset classes that delivers the differentiated returns [indiscernible] clients want and they can't replicate. We've done the heavy lifting in building out a suite of competitive services across multi-asset, alternatives, equities and fixed income. Now we’re intensifying our focus on engaging clients and consultants. Finally, while improving investment performance and delivering services that speak to clients will drive stronger net flows, increasing profitability necessitates a continuous and rigorous focus on expense management in a world of low returns and constant change. By continually finding new efficiencies, we can enhance our competitive position and more important deliver a greater share of the output we generate to our client, that's always our main priority. These are the objectives that AB is focused on for years in the areas where I know I can take us further. It's an honor to be part of AB and I'm looking forward to seeing what we can accomplish from here. Now I'll turn it over to John for a discussion of our financial results. John?