Amy Taylor
Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Please proceed
Thanks Reed, and good morning everyone. Welcome to the Q4 and full-year 2022 earnings call for Zevia PBC. Zevia continues to expand our user base and demonstrate strong brand momentum across channels adding 1.4 million new households in 2022 on a 12-month rolling basis with equivalent momentum in Q4 and yet continues to increase average household spend. We are realizing price in the market and materially reducing cost in our business, resulting in continued recovery of our gross margin, Q4 saw the highest gross margin of the year. And critically, we continue to manage cash effectively, and drive improvement on the adjusted EBITDA line indicating a more rapid path to profitability. The strategic shifts we made at the halfway mark in 2022 are paying off. And the evolved more efficient team is executing with excellence and the brand continues to demonstrate exciting momentum. We continue to advance the Zevia mission with a focus on global health for people and planet, removing another [2.6000] [ph] metric tons of sugar from the diets of the communities we serve and replacing 39 million plastic bottles in our markets in the quarter. Zevia remains more affordable than 63%% of non-alcoholic beverages in America even as we realize price in keeping with the market and we continue to focus on taking better better-for-you beverages mainstream, making them available and affordable for consumers across the income levels. In Q4, we delivered net sales of just over $35 million, ahead of guidance resulting in 3.5% revenue growth over prior year and an 8.7% decline in volume as we cycled the one-time pipeline sales in the warehouse club channel from Q4 of 2021. Looking at growth through syndicated data as a measure of sell-through, volume includes 13.5% for the fourth quarter according to IRI [and] [ph] sales remained strong through the ups and downs of retailer and e-commerce operator inventory management fluctuations, Zevia posted double-digit growth year-over-year for all months in 2022. Gross margins are returning to historical mid-40s levels and we are paving the path to profitability with a very strong run rate of improvement on the adjusted EBITDA line. Cost controls, disciplined adaptations of our promotional strategy, strong price increase implementations, and a demonstrated ability to improve cost containment show new precedents set for Zevia with a focus on quality growth. I'll go into more detail now with a focus on our consumer based evolution and our learnings from syndicated and panel data. Zevia’s household penetration for 2022 was 6.4% for the full-year adding 1.4 million more households to the brand versus last year. Zevia households increased their brand spend annually 12% in 2022 versus 2021, driven by increases in spend per trip with consistent purchase frequency rates across the larger brand buying base. It's noteworthy that we're maintaining purchase frequency and increasing average spend per household even as we add new consumers to the brand. Following the material price increase, these are very strong indicators of the health of our brand and of our user base across heavy, medium or even new and light users. As mentioned, total Zevia grew 13.5% in measured scan dollar sales for the quarter and grew EQ case volume in the same period, while non-alcoholic and carbonated soft drinks declined at 2%. Same store sales remained robust, driven by a healthy mix of volume and price. The Zevia shopper is a highly desirable shopper, less price sensitive at all income levels, who demonstrates resilience in a fluctuating economy. We remain a home stocking brand, which continues to fare well from a consumer and brand health perspective. Zevia consumers prove valuable to retail buyers with 65% higher overall basket spend versus non-alcoholic beverage consumers and Zevia consumers spend 29% more, and make 26% more trips to stores to purchase total beverages in 2022 versus the average beverage shopper. In the quarter, consumer retail spending was driven by a mix of organic velocity growth and continued increases in new store and new item distribution growth paired with the accelerating consumer household base expansion. Velocity was the primary driver in the quarter. Retail sales growth was split between 63% from Velocity and 37% from new distribution and new items. Speaking of distribution, distribution growth in the quarter was rooted in new packages. Our 12 ounce sleek single soda can, our 8-packs in mass, and our 12-packs in food. The sleek can is delivering impressive units per store per week, doubled when merchandise cold. Cold sales will be a key strategic driver going forward, as they are now 16% of our business and a major national chain in the national channel as an example. New stores also bolster distribution growth as we closed distribution gaps in food and gained new store selling in the Warehouse Club. Now, with the full-year of sales in the channel, 75% of buyers of Zevia and [Club] [ph] in 20 22 were new to the Zevia brand. [Thus] [ph] proved to be a major driver of step change household penetration growth and scanned data sales in its first year of selling the Zevia brand. Moving on to Velocity, the consumer shift to larger packages continues. Stock up options are driving growth category-wide and also for Zevia as APACs and larger now account for more than 50% of our business in measured channels. Velocity growth is driven in-part by consumer trade-outs from 6-pack to 8-packs and as retailers switch from 10-packs to the more profitable 12-packs. But also by the broader trend of home stocking consumption at home and not house beverages, a competitive strength for the Zevia brand through food, warehouse club, and in e-commerce, which is of course outside of measured channels and where we remain the number 1 carbonated soft drink brand. I'll wrap with a big picture and then turn it over to Denise. Zevia has a very healthy business and continues to experience strong consumer demand, growing the consumer base in every period, and simultaneously increasing spend per household on the brand. We are realizing price in the market and we are materially reducing costs in our business. We delivered the highest gross margin of the year in the fourth quarter, reflective of sequential improvement in each quarter in 2022. Critically, we continue to manage our cash position and drive improvement on the adjusted EBITDA line. The team is operating well in our new leadership and continues to set expectations we aim to beat. Zevia demonstrated brand strength and executional excellence in the back half of 2022 as our new leadership team shifted to an evolved strategy focused on quality growth, and a speedier path to profitability. We have our sights set on these same things going into 2023 bolstered by an exciting brand refresh, which brings a sharp new logo, new brand identity, brand new modernized and differentiated pack designs, and radically improves on shelf visibility who look forward to sharing this at trade shows in the coming weeks and with the consumer and peak beverage season in-store this summer. Thank you, and I'll hand it over to Denise.