Xavier Destriau
Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open
Thank you, Eli. And again, on my behalf, welcome everyone. On Slide 7, we present key financials and operational highlights. As Eli mentioned, our second quarter financial results reflected challenging near-term container shipping market conditions. Our second quarter average freight rate per TEU was $1,193, a 67% decline year-over-year. During the first six months of the year, our average freight rate of $1,286 was 65% lower than the first half of 2022. Our carried volume of 860,000 TEUs in Q2 was slightly up compared to last year's second quarter carried volume, compared to a market growth of negative 2%. Sequentially, our volume was up 12%. Revenues for the second quarter were driven by the continued decrease in freight rates. Q2 revenues were up $1.3 billion. Our revenue for the first half of 2023 of $2.7 billion was 62% lower than the first half of last year. Our free cash flow in second quarter totaled $321 million compared to $1.6 billion in the second quarter of 2022. Turning now to the balance sheet. Total debt increased by $537 million since prior year-end and that is mainly due to the net effect of the incoming vessels with longer-term charter durations. Regarding our fleet, we currently operate 148 vessels, 132 container ships and 16 car carriers. Excluding the newbuild capacity, the average remaining duration of our current charter capacity is 24.6 months compared to 25.5 months in May. As Eli mentioned, on the -- out of the 46 newbuild ZIM ordered, eight have been delivered, including four 12,000 TEU vessels and four LNG-powered 15,000 TEU vessels. We have 13 vessels whose charter period ends before year-end 2023 and another 34 vessels whose charter period ends in 2024. So in total, these 47 vessels, which we could renew or redeliver to the owner compared to 38 newbuilds that we expect to be delivered during the same period. It's important to highlight that the delivery of these modern cost-efficient vessels will replace smaller, less cost-effective tonnage. On the next slide, Slide 8, we present ZIM's Q2 and six months 2023 financial results compared to Q2 and the first half of last year. The underlying dynamic for both comparisons are similar and are primarily the outcome of the decline in revenues based on the lower freight rate environment. Adjusted EBITDA in the quarter was $275 million, and the adjusted EBIT loss was $147 million. Adjusted EBITDA and EBIT margins for the second quarter were 21% and minus 11%, respectively, as compared to 61% and 51% in the second quarter of last year. For the first six months of 2023, adjusted EBITDA margin was 24% and adjusted EBIT margin was minus 6%, this is compared to 65% and 56% in the comparable period in 2022. Second quarter net loss was $213 million. In Q2, we recorded a one-time $46 million financial expense and $21 million capital loss in connection with the termination of the charter of four vessels, which were previously subject to a sale and leaseback transaction. After tax, the net effect to our bottom line stood at $51 million with no cash impact. The vessels will be redelivered to their owners in the coming weeks. Moving on to Slide 9. As I mentioned, our carried volume slightly increased compared to the second quarter of last year and we saw a 12% improvement in carried volume from the first quarter. Second quarter 2023 volumes increased in the Pacific, Cross Suez and Latin America trades. Turning to Slide 10. I'll review our cash flow bridge. We ended the second quarter with a total liquidity position of $3.2 billion, which includes cash and cash equivalents and also investments in bank deposits and other investment instruments. I would remind you that during the second quarter, we distributed to our shareholders a dividend of $6.4 per share or a total of approximately $770 million on account of our 2022 results. During the second quarter of 2023, our adjusted EBITDA of $275 million converted into $347 million of cash flow generated from operating activities. Other cash flow items included $562 million of debt service, mostly related to lease liability repayments. To remind you, we have commitments of approximately $150 million and $340 million in 2023 and 2024, respectively. This is a down payment for newbuilding vessels chartered primarily from Seaspan. To date, in 2023, over the first six months, we have paid $52 million for the four 15,000 TEU ships that were delivered. I would like to again reiterate that we expect our significant total cash position of $3.2 billion at last quarter's end, coupled with our strong balance sheet to enable ZIM to weather an extended market downturn. Moving briefly to review market conditions. Alphaliner supply-demand outlook for 2023 and 2024 remains unchanged, pointing to clear oversupply. Slow steaming remains the most meaningful tool operators have consistently used in 2023 to absorb the oversupply created in the market with the complete unwinding of port congestions and new vessel deliveries. More recently, we have seen increased blanking, especially on Transpacific, which may have supported the recent rate increase on this trade. Other possible actions operators could have taken, namely idling or scrapping have had a negligible effect so far. As the charter market remained relatively strong, the motivation to scrap old tonnage remains low. However, as chartered capacity comes up for renewal and IMO 2023 enforcements coming to play, the motivation to scrap may increase in 2024 and beyond. Delayed deliveries of newbuild capacity have also been minimal and are not expected to meaningfully impact the growth in supply. On the demand side, consumer spending remained relatively healthy despite rising inflation and greater macroeconomic risk, yet high inventory levels built over 2021 and 2022 and continued concerns over economic growth have caused importers to be cautious and limit any meaningful renewal of inventory. Demand development is positive globally compared to the recent six months of downturn, but destocking seems to have been prolonged into 2024. And year-to-date, demand levels seem to track 2019. On that note, we will open the call to Q&A.