Bret Richter
Analyst · Baird. Will, your line is live
Thank you, Vivek. Let's discuss our financial results. Our earnings release reflects both our GAAP and non-GAAP financial results for Q3 2022. Our earnings release also reflects pro forma adjustments for the impact of various 2021 asset dispositions. Explanations for and reconciliations of these adjustments are provided in the release. As discussed during our previous earnings calls, our UK voice assets were sold in February, 2021, and we completed the sale of our B2B Backup business in September 2021. The results related to these divestitures are reflected in our year-to-date 2021 financials through their respective date of sale, and the results of our B2B Backup business are reflected in our Q3 2021 results through its sale date. However, these divestitures do not impact the presentation of our Q3 or year-to-date 2022 results On October 7, 2021, we completed the spinoff of Consensus. Our year-to-date and Q3 2021 GAAP income statement reflects the financial activity related to Consensus in discontinued operations. We'll focus our discussion today and my commentary will primarily relate to our Q3 pro forma non-GAAP financial results from continuing operations, which exclude the contributions from the Consensus business, and exclude the contributions from our divested businesses for the portion of the Q3 2021 period that they were owned by Ziff Davis. Now, let's review the summary of our quarterly financial results on Slide 4. We reported pro forma revenue from continuing operations of $341.9 million for the third quarter, as compared with $345.6 million for the prior year period, reflecting a decline of 1.1%. The strength of the US dollar and the decline in value of certain foreign currencies, negatively impacted this growth rate. And if the comparable 2021 currency values were applied to our 2022 Q3 results, revenue would have increased by approximately 1.1%. Pro forma adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was $120.1 million for Q3 2022, as compared with $115.3 million for the prior year period, reflecting growth of 4.2%. Our adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter was 35.1%. We reported third quarter pro forma adjusted non-GAAP earnings per diluted share of $1.58. This figure reflects a 12.9% increase as compared with our Q3 2021 pro forma non-GAAP results. On Slides 5 and 6, we have provided performance summaries for our two primary sources of revenue, advertising and subscription. As you can see on slide 5, Q3 2022 pro forma advertising revenue declined by 6% as compared with the prior period. Advertising revenue declined by 1% during the last 12 months. And again, this was impacted by negative trends in the foreign currency markets. Our net advertising revenue retention and annual trailing 12 months statistic that we update quarterly, was approximately 94.1% for Q3 2022, reflecting the recent pressures on advertising revenues, including FX. As defined in the slide, in the third quarter, Ziff Davis had approximately 1,950 advertisers, with the average quarterly revenue per advertiser of nearly $96,000. Slide 6 depicts our subscription revenue performance. Q3 2022 pro forma subscription revenue grew 6% as compared with last year, and was again negatively impacted by FX. Subscription revenues have grown 11% during the last 12 months. The table on the bottom of Slide 6 includes subscription metrics for the last seven quarters. Sequentially, our average quarterly revenue per subscriber decreased by $10.77 to $46.87. The primary driver of this decline was the inclusion of a full quarter of our recent acquisition Lose It!, which is characterized by a significant number of monthly subscribers, at a significantly lower average revenue than the average of our other subscription businesses. Excluding the impact of Lose It! and its roughly 1 million customers, sequential average quarterly revenue per subscriber actually increased slightly due to higher subscription revenues, and a slightly lower customer count. Our overall churn rate increased 63 basis points from Q2 2022 to 3.55%, primarily reflecting the timing of sales of certain data licensing contracts at Ookla. Because this is a revenue churn metric, these data contracts, which are often in excess of six figure sums, can impact revenue churn in any given period disproportionately, as compared with other subscription revenue activity. Additionally, the company's Q3 2022 other revenues grew 5% year-over-year to $12.2 million, driven by sales of Ekahau’s new Sidekick 2, which was launched in Q3 2022. Slide 7 provides quarterly pro forma organic and total revenue growth rates. Revenues from businesses owned for at least a full 12 months are included in organic revenue, while acquired revenues relate to businesses we've owned for less than 12 months. For the last 12 months, total revenue growth was 4%, again in part reflecting FX headwinds. And while third quarter organic growth reflects a 6.5% decline or minus 4.5% adjusted for FX, this is compared with our 2021 third quarter, during which organic growth was 12%. Turning to our balance sheet, please refer to Slide 8. Our balance sheet continues to be extremely strong. As of the end of Q3 2022, we had $622 million of cash and cash equivalents, and nearly $180 million of short and long-term investments. We also have significant leverage capacity, both on a gross and net leverage basis. Gross leverage declined to two times trailing 12 months adjusted EBITDA. At quarter end, our net leverage was 0.8 times, and only 0.4 times if you include the value of our financial investments. During Q3 2022, we again completed a complex transaction to further delever our balance sheet by monetizing half a million of our Consensus Cloud Solution shares. As we have discussed on prior calls, to the extent completed prior to the first anniversary of the spinoff, we had the opportunity to monetize these shares on a tax-free basis. However, this could only be achieved through very specific transaction steps, and the tax remonetization required us to exchange the shares for certain outstanding Ziff Davis securities. In light of these considerations, during the third quarter, we completed a second debt for equity exchange transaction, resulting in Ziff Davis realizing approximately $22 million of value in respect of half a million of our Consensus shares. In Q3 2022, we applied the value of these Consensus shares, along with a portion of the value realized during Q2 2022 from the prior transaction, towards the repurchase of our 4.625% senior notes. In all, during the third quarter, we applied $94 million of this value towards these repurchases, retiring 105 million of the senior notes. We believe the repurchases of these notes at a discount to par, reflects an accretive transaction for the company, reducing our gross leverage and future cash interest expense, while providing us with additional financial flexibility. Moving forward, we will be opportunistic with regards to considering alternatives to realizing value for our remaining 1.2 million shares of Consensus, including potentially holding these securities for a period of time. As a reminder, we need to dispose of these securities prior to the fifth anniversary of the spinoff of Consensus, which is approximately four years from now. Through the end of Q3 2022, we deployed capital to repurchase approximately $181 million par value of our 4.625% senior notes, and more than $71 million of our common shares. We did not repurchase our common shares during the third quarter. We continue to face a challenging macroeconomic environment, and we will continue to prioritize the health of our balance sheet. We believe that we have the flexibility to continue to pursue various capital allocation alternatives in an effort to enhance shareholder value, with a continued priority of pursuing attractive M&A investments. During the third quarter, we closed two small transactions, the acquisitions of CellRebel, which we believe will enhance Ookla’s already formidable ability to collect and analyze data related to mobile user experience and service quality, and certain assets of 124, which we believe will further deepen IGN's relationship with certain film, TV, and streaming service marketers, and enhance its creative social and product integration capabilities. Year-to-date, we have deployed nearly $119 million of capital in support of current and prior period M&A activity. Turning to guidance, as Vivek noted, we are revising the 2022 guidance range that we presented in August. And if you refer to Slide 10, the details of this revised range are presented. Our revised guidance reflects our Q3 performance, our updated views of Q4 2022 performance, as well as continued macroeconomic pressures, including the strength of the US dollar, rising interest rates, and certain recessionary indicators and concerns. We lowered the midpoint of our fiscal year revenue guidance by 2%. For adjusted non-GAAP EBITDA, we narrowed the range by lowering the high end, but keeping the low end in place. For adjusted non-GAAP EPS, we raise the midpoint of our guidance by 1%. This is attributable to a number of factors, including higher year-to-date other income, and lower interest expense, reflecting our year-to-date bond repurchases. We have experienced revenue pressures throughout 2022, as compared with our initial expectations. However, throughout 2022, we have been focused on managing our cost structure, as well as our balance sheet, in an effort to continue to support our earnings growth goals. As we prepare to conclude 2022 and prepare our expectations for 2023, these efforts will continue. We believe that our continued expectation of strong year-over-year earnings growth is notable, given all of the factors we have discussed today. Following our business outlook slides are our supplemental materials, including reconciliation statements for the various non-GAAP measures to their nearest GAAP equivalent. This section includes a GAAP reconciliation on Slide 13 that reflects free cash flow from continuing operations. Our Q3 2022 year-to-date free cash flow was $212.5 million. Note, our fourth quarter is typically a seasonally stronger quarter for revenue and adjusted EBITDA, but also typically reflects a lower free cashflow conversion rate, as a significant portion of our Q4 revenue is expected to be collected in Q1 2023. This slide also reflects the company's free cash flow from continuing and discontinued operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2021. This figure reflects contributions from both the recently disposed B2B Backup and UK voice assets through their disposal dates, as well as Consensus, and as a result, is not comparable to our current continuing operations. Overall, we are proud of our Q3 2022 performance, having achieved growth in a number of our key financial metrics, including adjusted EBITDA and adjusted non-GAAP EEPs in a challenging environment. With that, I would now ask the operator rejoin us and instruct you on how to queue for questions.