Andy Yeung
Analyst · Chen Luo from Bank of America. Your line is now open
Sure. Thanks, Jeoy. Actually, I want to supplement, comment a little bit. I think, it’s important for us to put things in perspective, I think KFC actually have improved quite well into SSG. last quarter, the SSG was about 90; in this quarter, they’re about 94. if you look at Pizza Hut the last quarter there, SSG was 88, obviously, we’re pleased that they’re at 93 down. So, both brands have actually seen quite a bit of improvement in the same-store growth and recovery. And more importantly, I think, if we look at the impact in the third year for example, at the beginning of the third quarter, we were still having impact from the regional outbreak in Beijing. And then we also further impacted by obviously, struggling school holiday. So, in light of that, I think we are pretty pleased with both brand trajectories. obviously, as we mentioned before, the recovery pace as we get closer and closer to full recoveries is going to be more challenging. The reason is because we still are not held with. and so if you look at transportation and tourist location, as we mentioned, you have quite a bit right, more than 20% of traffic over there. And those are important part of our business account for high single-digit of business. We would look for that even more, we still have some in cognitive at the time of business, right. the traffic at our store, right now, is 90% of last year’s levels. And so – getting, the last group of people to feel comfortable and venture out in dine-in may take a bit more time and we – so we – that’s why we say like, it’s been pretty good about it so far, we felt that we are cautiously optimistic in the fourth quarter in the emphasis and the cautious, especially what as we go into the winter season – and winter flu seasons, so that there we should expect some – potentially, we should outbreak our additional measure that will be seen by consumer or government has had growth. in our margins, I think, if we look at the overall margins, especially at Pizza Hut, I think, they obviously, as Joey mentioned, they have always been to fix the fundamental in charge saw traffic and sales, and then profitability. This is obviously, a little bit unusual and extraordinary in the sense that we, at the beginning of the year, we see that can decline in sales typical with 2019 and we’re very glad that this has been very quick actions, in terms of cost savings, as well as a new product for the situation. So, when we look at causal sales sample overall for Pizza Hut dimensions, it was like a 0.7% better. We’re still under some inflationary pressure in total commodity size for Pizza Hut. But no, obviously, this year ignored a focus on cost savings and also targeted market promotion. We would benefit from the lapping of very heavy promotion, competitive comparison to last year. So, in terms of cost of labor, we still have wage inflation, but it’s much more moderated this year, for both brands, because a lot of the minimum wage increase mandated by government have been delayed or postponed. So, it’s more benign, I think, you look at wage inflation; we probably at low single digit this year. And so – but we do expect some catch up there. The other one is that, they have been some labor shortage that also accentuated. The labor productivity became right. So, people actually have to work with extra harder. So we – as we mentioned on prepared remarks, we do think that in the coming months, we may have to increase the staffing levels to ensure that we have accounts of efficiencies, as well as service level. In terms of – you mentioned, all in all I think, there's a lot improvement there. And I think, again, this is coming down to a number of things. It's not just one initiative. There's a lot of cost initiatives. We have seen lower utility cost. We also see lower maintenance cost relatively there as well. So I think, in terms of the market perspective, I think the commodity inflation in certain area is monitoring a little bit, compared to early part of this year, but we still have been looking through that, especially when we go into next year in 2021. We basically would be stacking up, two years of inflationary pressure, for example, wage increase as I mentioned before, likely there could be some catch up in terms of those costs. Some of those initiatives are sustainable. So if you look at, for example, in cost of labor, we do see both gain from using technology as we have mentioned a few times, the after mid scheduling through the pocket store manager we'd have tracking all of these would have a new longer-term focus it could be improvement. But, as I mentioned, the labor shortage issue and increasing the staffing levels in the coming months, you may reverse some of those gains. So, and then, subdued wage inflation this year may have some catch up with you next year. But all in all, I think, some of those names with the improvement would stay, some of them may need to ease up a little bit so that we don’t go for before it. In terms of commodity inflation, I think, if you look at overall inflationary pressure is easing a little bit, still we probably see very elevated prices probably 20%, 30% higher compared to last year. But for poultry like, chicken that pressure have ease a bit as the supply come back in. So, that may help us a little bit on those cost of good sold. [ph] However, as Joey mentioned value promotions – value for money is very important proposition for consumer in this new normal. And so, we may get back some of those savings in terms of pushing prices back in consumer to drive more traffic back to that spot. So hopefully I addressed all the questions.