Earnings Labs

Yatra Online, Inc. (YTRA)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Tue, Jun 8, 2021

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to the Yatra Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2021 Financial Results Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Manish Hemrajani. Please go ahead.

Manish Hemrajani

Management

Thank you, Shelby. Good morning, everyone. Hope everyone and their families is safe and healthy. Welcome to Yatra's fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2021 financial results for the period ended March 31, 2021. I'm pleased to be joined on the call today by Yatra's CEO and Co-Founder, Dhruv Shringi. The following discussion, including responses to your questions, reflects management's views as of today, June 8, 2021. We do not undertake any obligation to update or revise the information. Before we begin our formal remarks, allow me to remind you that certain statements made during the course of the discussion today may constitute forward-looking statements, which are based on management's current expectations and beliefs and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially, including factors that may be beyond the company's control. These include expectations and assumptions related to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. For a description of these risks, please refer to our filings with the SEC and our press release from this morning. Copies of this and other filings are available from the SEC and on the Investor Relations section of our website. With that, let me turn the call over to Dhruv. Dhruv, please go ahead?

Dhruv Shringi

Management

Thank you, Manish. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. I hope that you and your families are safe as we continue to navigate our way to what we hope is going to be the last significant wave of the pandemic, especially in India. As you are all well aware, subsequent to the closing of our March quarter, India suffered a severe setback as a second far worse COVID wave hit the country, with case counts peaking into 400,000 a day range. And many regions once again began to curb travel. Many of our friends and colleagues have been unfortunately impacted by this second wave and our thoughts and prayers are with them and their families. Thankfully, since peaking on May 6, case counts have sharply declined and India has reported 86,000 cases. That’s a significant drop from the peak. Our number of states and cities have started easing restrictions with effect from 1st of June and more are expected to do so by the middle of this month. This easing of the curbs, combined with the vaccination program, has begun to show some early green shoots of recovery in travel with our domestic travel bookings almost doubling between last week of May and first week of June. India has managed to administer over 230 million vaccine doses till date and the government has committed to fully vaccinating all citizens before the end of 2021. In fact, the Prime Minister yesterday laid out a new roadmap for a more streamlined and accelerated vaccination program starting June 21. We expect the vaccination drive to gain even more traction in July and August as more vaccines become available and expect travel to recover alongside it. As part of our helping the community initiative, you will recall that last year we…

Manish Hemrajani

Management

Thank you, Dhruv. Shelby, can you please open up the call for Q&A.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. We'll take our first question from Scott Buck with H.C. Wainwright.

Scott Buck

Analyst

Hi, good morning, guys. Thank you for the time. I jumped on the call a little bit late. I was hoping maybe you could provide a little bit of color around bookings in terms of are we back to booking habits that look pre-pandemic, or are we still looking at a lot of kind of closer in type of bookings?

Dhruv Shringi

Management

So, in terms of bookings, Scott, the fourth quarter obviously saw very strong recovery in the bookings. We were sequentially up 62% in terms our revenue Q-on-Q. So we saw good revenue growth quarter-on-quarter. But with the second wave of the pandemic, which began towards the last two weeks of March and then continued into April and May, we saw a meaningful slowdown. But in the last two weeks, ever since lockdown restrictions have begun to get eased and case counts have come down, we've seen very steady recovery, in fact, very important recovery in the number of bookings. So our sense is that as vaccination continues to take a stronger foothold across the country and the case count continues to come down, we should see travel recovering quite strongly in the coming quarters.

Scott Buck

Analyst

And I guess in terms of that visibility, what's your level of confidence as you look out the first couple of quarters of the fiscal year versus the back end at this point?

Dhruv Shringi

Management

I think I look at how things panned out in the first wave. So after the first wave, the recovery on the domestic side in Q3 and Q4 of the fiscal year was quite strong. And we think a similar story is going to play out this time around as well with the added advantage that a number of people are beginning to get vaccinated. So, we've spoken to customers and anecdotally the feedback that we have from people who've been vaccinated, it seems those people are willing to travel a lot more. There is internal talk as part of a task force discussions with the government as well. And there is talk that people who are fully vaccinated might be allowed to travel freely within the country as well. If that comes through over the next couple of weeks, that should definitely lead to a significant uptick in the number of people who are traveling.

Scott Buck

Analyst

Yeah. No, that's very helpful. And then last, on the corporate travel side, I'm curious what the competitive landscape looks today versus what it maybe looked like six months ago at the height of the pandemic? Are you starting to see some of your competitors in this space get more aggressive in the way they're pricing or anything along those lines, that kind of color would be helpful?

Dhruv Shringi

Management

I think on the corporate travel side, we think the competitive landscape actually is tilting even more in our favor. The more this has dragged out, the harder it’s become for the smaller and mid-tier players to operate in this segment. It just continues to put additional pressure on them. Even some of our larger competitors have been fairly quiet over the last quarter or so. So I think from that perspective, we are very well placed to take advantage of the situation and it's reflecting in the number of new customer wins that we've had in the last quarter.

Scott Buck

Analyst

Great. That is very helpful. I appreciate the time, guys. Congrats on the quarter.

Dhruv Shringi

Management

Sure. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. We'll take our next question from Matthew Galinko with Sidoti.

Matthew Galinko

Analyst · Sidoti.

Hey, thank you for taking my questions. And I apologize, I dialed in late, so I apologize if this was already covered in the prepared remarks. But I'm curious how the changes we saw appreciably the fare bands, I think the lower end of the fare bands might impact demand for air travel and if that will have any influence over the next few quarters for you?

Dhruv Shringi

Management

Sorry Matt, I was struggling to hear the question. The voice was getting a bit distorted. Manish, were you able to get the question?

Manish Hemrajani

Management

No. Matt, can you please repeat that?

Matthew Galinko

Analyst · Sidoti.

All right. So we saw some changes to fare bands, I think, for air travel in India announced in the past week. So I'm curious if you see those impacting demand for air travel as the COVID wave kind of wanes and air travel starts to recover. Is that going to shift more demand back towards rail, or how do you see that shaping up?

Dhruv Shringi

Management

Sure. I got it Matt. So in terms of the fare band change, which is there now, those are threshold limits, which are recommended by the government, but the airlines continue to price right in line with where the market demand is. And today, what we've seen is that the market demand has largely shifted from being travel between the metro cities to travel between metros and Tier 2, Tier 3 towns. And the airlines are very aware of this change in buying pattern, and we haven't really seen any significant price changes being affected by the airlines. If anything, I feel prices and we've looked at this data continue to remain soft, and to that extent, we expect demand to recover quickly. Even from a customer's point of view who's traveling from a Tier 2 town, even if rail travel is slightly cheaper, those who can afford air, even if it means stretching a little bit are doing so because a, the availability of trains is also limited; and b, air is viewed as a much more safer means of travel than rail transportation. So given that I think this trend, which we've witnessed over the last year or so of increasing amount of traffic originating from Tier 2, Tier 3 towns, I think that's here to stay. We don't see that reversing anytime in the near future.

Matthew Galinko

Analyst · Sidoti.

Got it. Thanks. And then in terms of the freight strategy, I think, you mentioned you have about 100 people working on that strategy today, and I think you fleshed out some expectations around revenue in the near-term. At what point you think that strategy hits an accretive level, or do you expect it to be profitable? What's the break-even point for that service?

Dhruv Shringi

Management

So actually, interestingly enough, even the last month that business managed to get to break-even in the last month itself. So we expect it to be accretive in the very near-term. We don't expect that business to be a drag on earnings in, let's say, for an extended period of time. There might be a quarter or so of the impact, where we are ramping up the teams, but what we've seen in terms of results on this have been very encouraging. Our customer wins have been pretty rapid on this and we expect that trend to continue. So we might see some ramp up costs coming in, which might impact us for the quarter because typically, it's taking maybe about two to three months for new sales teams to come in and get fully productive. But that's about it. So I don't see a long gestation period for this.

Matthew Galinko

Analyst · Sidoti.

Got it and last question for me, just I guess, big picture around the at least what you saw in Q4 in terms of offline versus online bookings in the market, do you think that heavily skewed online at this point or how much mix shift is left in the Indian market?

Dhruv Shringi

Management

Again, this is based on discussions with the airlines, but the airlines have seen very significant shift in their booking pattern towards the online players versus the offline players. Now obviously, corporate travel is at a very low ebb, right. So that is contributing to a part of that reason. But stripping aside the corporate travel as well, the airlines have seen a very meaningful and more than a double-digit shift towards the online players.

Matthew Galinko

Analyst · Sidoti.

Got it, thank you.

Dhruv Shringi

Management

Sure, thanks Matt.

Operator

Operator

We have no more questions in the queue at this time. That concludes today's question-and-answer session. Speakers at this time, I will turn the conference back over to you for any additional or closing remarks.

Manish Hemrajani

Management

Thanks, Shelby. Thank you everyone for joining the call today. We are as always available over the phone and email. Please feel free to reach out to us. Thank you.

Dhruv Shringi

Management

Thank you, stay safe everyone. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation, you may now disconnect.