Dennis Cong
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please ask your question
Thank you, Yihan. Hello, everyone. Before I start with our financial results, I'd like to make some comments on the market environment and implication to our business. On a macro level, we see a prudent de-leveraging process in China with an aim containing systematic financial risk, by controlling credit growth in both corporate and consumer segments, which should result in a healthy and more sustainable long-term consumer credit cycle, given continuous household saving growth backed by an overall stable economic environment. Coupled with recent tighten regulation policy towards online lending industry, we expect industry to enter into a consolidation stage with more rationalized growth rate that's open up the opportunity for leading platform to end market share and extend the leadership position. It is industry consensus that institutional funding will be tight and cost will rise in 2018. However, we have been receiving increasing inbound encourage from institution partners to collaborate with us given our advanced technology capability and superior asset quality, which we hope to leverage to diversify our funding source and maintain our funding cost advantage. On wealth management front, we see overall deceleration of the fixed income asset growth as a result of tightened financial regulation. That could provide significant opportunities for us. First, this could make our high quality consumer loan products more attractive to retail investors and second generates strong demand for our newly introduced equity linked investment product service as we wrap our Yiren wealth platform. We see 2018 as a year of industry consolidation with many opportunities ahead of us and will continue to exercise our prudent risk management practice to drive long-term sustainable growth. Now on to our financial update. I'll only focus on key highlights of our business operation and financial performance and you can refer the detailed financial results to our earnings release and IR deck that is now online. We are pleased to conclude 2017 with yet another strong quarter. We again outperformed industry with more than 100% year-over-year loan origination growth in 2017, comparing to the industry outstanding loan balance growth of 50% from the previous year. We are also and consistently ranked number one wdzj.com in their online lending platform development index in 2017. On to our credit business. We continue to make strong progress in expanding our volume growth through online channels driven by the optimization of our online customer acquisition efficiency through deep collaboration with leading online traffic platform such as Baidu and Tencent as we have accumulated close to 55 million registered users and serving more than 800,000 current borrowers online. We have also successfully introduced various new products to get the expanded coverage of our diversified product portfolio. Our loan product based on insurance policy and housing product front continue to gain traction from high quality borrowers which resulted in about RMB 800 million sales volumes during the quarter. In addition, our new product base on China social security data which was launched in Q4 is also gaining traction and expected to expand to wider geographic coverage. With key customers has also become significant contribution to business. In Q4, 2017 about 9% of our borrowers were repeat borrowers for the top up loans products. Next in wealth management. We continue to execute our strategy to build Yiren Wealth into leading online wealth management platform in China. Our annualized yield to investors remains stable at around 8% with average tenure close to 10 months. Average AUM per investor has increased to RMB 144,000 as we continue successfully upgrade our investor base to reach mass affluent population. Our Yiren wealth app, EIU has reached 600,000 by end of quarter. In Q4, 2017 we cross sold RMB38 million of insurance and bond products to our existing platform investors to attract their diversified investment needs. As of the end of 2017, there were about 130,000 investors who have opened E wallet account with total AUM reached RMB355 million. As an important KYC and client service customization tool, we launched our intelligent wealth management system Yiren which was developed by our in-house engineers based on AI technology. Yiren can provide investors with customized asset allocation plans based on their unique characteristics including a non investment asset, liquidity requirement, risk tolerance, risk preference and life stage. Our new technology enabling platform business which is conducted through the Yirendai enabling platform continue to grow steady with customers coming from both Fintech platform, as well as traditional financial institutions such as bank. As of the end of 2017, we had established cooperation with 40 industry stakeholders on data collection and for customer acquisition. In 2017, we generate approximately RMB95 million of revenue through YEP. As to our risk performance. Over the past few months, we noted that recent tightening of industry regulation have resulted in short-term volatility of borrower credit performance across the industry. Yirendai was marginally impacted as we saw our inventory rate slightly rising in December. Our 15 to 29 days delinquency rate as of December 31, 2017 increased to 0.8% as compared to 0.5% as of September 30, 2017. In response, our team reacted immediately and tightened our credit policy while imposing stronger measure of collection. In addition, we also conservatively increased our provision for the quality assurance program from 8% to 8.5% of loans specific during the quarter. As well as a approved and additional contingent liability of RMB61 million for historical loans to ensure that it is sufficient to cover any potential volatility in recent credit performance of our asset portfolio, as well as to provide credit buffer as we further grow our business volume from online channels. We believe this credit risk volatility is likely short term and expect the risk performance to return to normal as we exercise our risk policy adjustment as stringent collection measure, and we have already seen early indication of improvement. Of course, at the same time we will continue to strengthen our anti fraud and credit underwriting capabilities as we further grow our business. Given our strong earnings growth and health cash position, the Board of Directors has approved a semi annual dividend of RMB0.93 per ordinary share or RMB1.86 per ADS equivalent of approximately 15% of the company's second half 2017 net income after tax, which is expected to be paid on May 15, 2018 to holders of company's ordinary share of record as of the close of business April 30, 2018. Before I give out our 2018 Q1 guidance, I'd like to highlight one significant accounting policy change. As required by US GAAP, effective January 1st, 2018, we will adopt a new revenue recognition policy, ASC606 which will mainly impact the recognition revenue from our loan products with monthly fee collection schedule. Previously, we only recognized revenue from monthly fees when cash is collected. Under ASC606 we will be acquiring and recognizing a significant portion of revenue upfront in regardless of the fee collection schedule, which we believe will better align our revenue and expenses and provide better reflection of our operating results. We are currently performing assessment on revenue recognition of our business under ASC606 to assess the detailed financial impact. In line with most Chinese ADR companies, earnings release practice; we'll provide our guidance on quarterly basis going forward. With that let me go over our guidance for first quarter of 2018. Based on new volume originated past general first 2018, we expect our loan origination volume to be in the range of RMB11 billion to RMB11.2 billion. Total net revenue to be in the range of RMB1.53 billion to RMB1.57 billion. And adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of RMB430 million to RMB450 million. We would like to make an extra note; this above guidance does not include the earning contribution from deferred revenue of the loans originated pre 2018, which could add meaningful earning to the quarterly results as we continue to assess the effective non-GAAP reporting method to represent the impact of this business. Even we are not giving 2018 full year guidance, our target of reaching RMB100 billion new loan origination by year 2020 and long-term EBITDA margin of mid 20 should give you a good indication of our near to mid-term growth projection. That concludes my remarks. And now I'd like to turn the call back to operator for the Q&A.