John Visentin
Analyst · Ananda Baruah from Loop Capital. Your question, please
Good morning, and thank you for joining our Q3 2021 earnings call. I hope everyone is safe and healthy. Revenue this quarter of 1.76 billion was essentially flat with the prior year's third quarter, despite a challenging operating environment. Adjusted EPS of $0.48 was flat year-over-year and we generated free cash flow of 81 million, down slightly from 88 million in the prior year. Adjusted operating margin of 4.2% was lower year-over-year by 320 basis points. This quarter's results were negatively affected by two significant secular challenges: a deterioration of Global Supply Chain conditions and the Delta variant. As the third quarter progressed, the challenging supply chain conditions we highlighted on our Q2 earnings call deteriorated further. Specifically, raw material and component shortages limited the availability of certain of our products and supplies, particularly our A3 devices. Transportation constraints extended delivery times by weeks, and drove unit shipping costs multiples higher than normal levels. And when our products arrive, labor shortages further delayed delivery times. These challenges accounted for two-thirds of the year-over-year decline in this quarter's gross margin and caused equipment revenue to fall short of our expectations. Demand for our products remained strong, resulting in further growth of our backlog of equipment and third-party hardware to 265 million, which is approximately 90% higher year-over-year and more than 20% higher than the prior quarter. Our backlog also has a larger proportion of high-margin A3 devices relative to the previous periods. Post-sale revenue grew 1.7% year-over-year, but fell below our expectations as the Delta variant disrupted many companies' plans to return workers to the office. We expect vaccination rates will improve as governments encouraged companies to implement vaccination mandates. And we continue to see a strong correlation between vaccination rates, a return of employees to the workplace, page volumes, and importantly, post-sale revenue, which carries a higher margin than Equipment revenue. And we are seeing improvements across each of these metrics. For example, September was the second highest month since the pandemic began in terms of page volumes and services and outsourcing revenue, which are two of the largest components of post-sale revenue, and the components that are most closely tied to page volumes. Based on what we know today, we expect supply chain challenges to continue during the fourth quarter and through the first half of 2022. We continue to expect the return of workers to the workplace, but our expectations for a broader return has been pushed from Q4 into 2022. For these reasons, we are reducing our revenue guidance for the year to 7.1 billion in actual currency, or 7 billion in constant currency. Importantly, we are reaffirming our guidance for free cash flow of at least 500 million. Our focus on cash generation gives us the confidence to maintain cash flow guidance, in spite of the top-line headwinds we face, all while continuing to invest in our strategic growth initiatives. Throughout these challenges, we have been guided by our four strategic initiatives: optimize operations, drive revenue, invest in and monetize innovation, and focus on cash flow. In Q3, we made progress across each of these initiatives. Project Own It has made our organization more agile and efficient. That agility was demonstrated this quarter as our operational team responded to unprecedented levels of disruption and uncertainty across our global supply chain. Our team responded quickly and is working diligently to mitigate the adverse effects of the supply chain disruptions on our business. For example, we are working to accommodate a wider array of products and materials, pre -purchase components and freight, and selectively increase pricing to offset higher costs. And we are doing everything we can to minimize disruptions to our client's operations. We cannot control the pace of supply chain normalization or office re-openings. But we are driving revenue growth in areas we can control. In our core print business, we gained share of total print devices again in Q2, from the most recent reports from IDC, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of annualized market share gains. Growth in market share is a key pillar of our strategy in print, and is being driven by the quality of our products and our ability to provide secure, connected workflow solutions that our clients need across their multi-function printer fleets. Complementing our leading position equipment, our suite of digital solutions is resonating with clients who are increasingly digitizing document workflows and adapting to a hybrid work environment. Global signings for our capture and content services which help clients extract, categorize, and automate document routing such as our Digital Mailroom offering, increased 67% year-over-year in Q3. Our subscription-based workflow central platform allows clients to manage document workflow from any device, including PCs, tablets, and smartphones, with the enhanced security and functionality clients expect from our leading multifunction printers. Our products and solutions are evolving to enable productivity from whatever our clients' employees choose to work. Our IT Services business grew double-digits this quarter. Despite a year-over-year increase in our backlog of third-party equipment. Within IT Services, RPA continues to gain traction. We now have 500 internal bots performing 4 million transactions per quarter. These transactions create a platform and set of use cases for us to deploy externally, and in the third quarter, we deployed bots to support our Lexmark Managed Services integration and enabled document classification and posting for our SMB clients. We continue to invest in the expansion of our IT services footprint to deliver a wider set of services to new and future SMB clients. Earlier this month, we acquired competitive computing, or C2, a leading IT services business based in Vermont. C2 provides us with access to a broader set of clients and capabilities that we can leverage throughout our IT services business. A key strategic focus in 2021 has been the standing up of the three new businesses, software innovation and XFS. This quarter we made progress towards our goal of standing up these businesses and monetizing our investments in innovation. In early September, we announced the formation of our software business, CareAR, a Xerox Company. CareAR is the industry's first service experienced management platform. And we believe it will transform service and customer experiences with live, visual augmented reality, and artificial intelligent driven interactions, instruction, and insights. CareAR solves a number of critical secular challenges facing field service management, including a systematic loss of institutionalized knowledge due to the accelerated workplace retirement, and the need to be more eco -friendly. CareAR solves both challenges by enabling field workers with access to live and eventually AI driven expertise. And it reduces field service visits by more frequently fixing problems the first time around. We estimate the total addressable market for CareAR will grow to 80 billion by 2028. We also announced that ServiceNow a leader in digital workflows, invested 10 million in CareAR at a post-money valuation of 700 million. This investment serves as an endorsement of CareAR 's technology and will support its growth, as CareAR is a leading certified and integrated AR solution within ServiceNow 's field service and customer service management platform. In the third quarter, we expanded the go-to-market reach for CareAR by adding 15 resellers and forming a partnership with L&T Technology Services, or LTTS, a leading industrial manufacturing and engineering services Company. With LTTS, we will develop joined solutions across a range of industry, including discrete manufacturing, truck and off-highway vehicle maintenance and oil and gas. Momentum in new client signings and pipeline growth gives us the confidence to reaffirm our expectation of CareAR generating at least 40 million of revenue in 2021 and at least 70 million of revenue in 2022. At PARC, we made advancements across our three primary innovation pillars: Internet of Things, 3D print, and Clean Tech. In IOT, we continue to deploy LOQs, bridge sensor technology in Australia. The data being gathered by these sensors allows asset owners and operators to monitor the health of critical infrastructure assets in real-time, which is particularly useful after the events such as the recent 5.9 magnitude earthquake that hit Melbourne, Australia in late September. Our technology deployed in Longwood, Victoria allowed immediate assessment of the strain caused by the earthquake, resulting in the decision that the bridge was safe to operate without needing to wait for a manual inspection. Our technology helps bridge operators optimize maintenance schedules, limiting expensive field service visits, and ultimately lowering the carbon footprint associated with infrastructure maintenance activities. We estimate the total addressable market of LOQs technology offering is 9 billion. And we are currently in conversation with multiple transportation authorities around the world about deploying our technology. In 3D print, early feedback of our liquid metal printer LMX has been positive, resulting in a healthy pipeline in our target verticals of manufacturing and defense. We are working to add additional materials which will expand our addressable used cases. In CleanTech, we are optimizing the performance of the alpha prototype for our energy efficient air conditioning technology. This will inform the design of our beta prototype which we plan to complete by the end of 2022. This technology can help reduce energy consumption in air conditioners by up to 80%. We look forward to sharing more about this groundbreaking technology in the coming quarters. Our work in CleanTech is just one example of how we are working to reduce our impact on the environment. In our recently published 2021 global corporate social responsibility report, we announced a road map to reach net 0 by 2040. At XFS, originations grew approximately 10% year-over-year. We further expanded XFS penetration within XPS and began offering leasing solutions for IT services. The quality of our book of loans remains high, with [Indiscernible] provisions below 1.5% despite the ongoing pandemic. During the quarter, we generated $81 million of free cash flow, only a slight decline from the prior year levels, despite the effects of supply chain constraints on our operating profit. Our focus on free cash flow has served us well, and we have delivered positive free cash flow every quarter during the pandemic. And that focus gives us the confidence to reaffirm our guidance of at least 500 million of free cash flow this year, despite the reduction to our revenue outlook, and while continuing to invest in our strategic growth initiatives. That focus, along with our strong balance sheet, also gave us the confidence to request that our board authorized a new $500 million share repurchase program. We will opportunistically buyback shares and remain committed to returning at least 50% of free cash flow to investors while continuing to invest in innovation and pursue value accretive M&A. Before I hand it over to Xavier, I would like to emphasize a few points. The third quarter presented us with an unprecedented level of supply chain disruption and further delays in Company's plans to reopen offices. I would like to commend our team for its resiliency while facing these challenges. Revenue and margins have fallen below our expectation for the year, but demand for our products and services remains strong, our backlog is growing, and our new business remains on track to deliver future growth and strategic optionality for Xerox. Through it all, our focus on delivering cash flow has not changed and the buyback authorization allows us to deploy that cash in a highly accretive manner. We also continue to look at M&A transactions, both small and large that are accretive to our business. I will now hand it over to Xavier to cover our financial results in detail.