Kathy Mikells
Analyst · Piper Jaffray
Thanks, Ursula, and good morning everyone. Our bottom line results were within our guidance for the quarter with Services profit in line, Tech profits a little light on modestly softer revenue which was offset by a bit better non-operating expenses. I will cover the segments in more detail in a minute, but first I will run through total company results for the second quarter. Total revenue in the quarter was down 7% at actual currency and 3% at constant currency. Growth in services was more than offset by declines in Document Technology which accelerated modestly driven by continued weakness in developing market and higher declines in supply revenue. The negative currency impact of 4 points on our top line was consistent with our expectations and with first quarter results. Gross margin of 31.1% was down 100 basis points year-over-year, driven by lower technology gross margin as well as a greater mix of services which carries a lower margin. RD&E was slightly lower year-over-year, and SAG in absolute dollar terms was down 6% helped by currency. However, as a percent of revenue, SAG was up 30 basis points year-over-year to 19.7% as productivity benefits were more than offset by investments and services. As a result, our second quarter operating margin decreased 160 basis points year-over-year and operating profit declined 22%. About a quarter of the operating profit decline was driven by currency and developing markets with the remainder of the decline coming from the cross sells that I just discussed. Moving down the income statement, adjusted other net expense was $26 million lower year-over-year driven by lower restructuring cost. Equity income was $29 million in the quarter, down $4 million year-over-year driven by the continued impact of negative translation currency. Our second quarter adjusted tax rate of 25.8% was in the middle of our guidance and about a point lower year-over-year. Second quarter adjusted earnings per share was in the middle of our guidance range at $0.22. GAAP EPS from continuing operations in the quarter was $0.09 and includes the $0.08 impact from the government healthcare software impairment we announced last week, which was driven by the strategy change that Ursula already discussed. As this was a very large non-cash charge, we excluded it from our adjusted results to better reflect underlying operating performance. I will now move on to discuss our operating performance and services. Services revenue declined 3% and was up 1% in constant currency, which was consistent with the first quarter and a bit better than our guidance of roughly flat, driven by 4% growth in document outsourcing. Growth in document outsourcing reflects continued strong Xerox Partner print services growth, as well as good equipment revenue growth in enterprise accounts from recent strong signings. BPO revenue was down 1%, reflecting the continued headwind from last year's larger contract losses, more than offsetting lower new ramp from softer signings in previous quarters. We continue to expect EPO growth to improve in the second half as we lap the larger contract losses. We completed two small acquisitions in the first half, and M&A remains a variable factor. I’ll talk about this more when I cover cash flow and capital allocation. Total signings in the quarter were up 20%, and new business signings were up 9%, driven by strong signings and document outsourcing, as well as the recently signed New York Medicaid processing contract in BPO. We expect our go to market investments and move to industry alignment will yield improved new business signings growth as we progress through the year. Our pipeline continues to build and is up sequentially. Our renewal rate in the quarter was 82%, which was below our target range of 85% to 90% and reflected in part lower renewal opportunities in the quarter. Year-to-date renewal rate is 87%. Turning to margin, segment margin was 7.5% in the quarter, which was down 100 basis points year-over-year and in line with our expectations. As expected, margin was pressured by higher cost related to our health enterprise platform implementation. As we acknowledge last quarter, costs are continuing to run high and we have more work to do to turnaround financial performance in these accounts. Additionally, investments in our new services operating model are not yet being fully offset by enhanced productivity from our operational initiatives, which are still ramping up. Partially offsetting these impacts was continued good margin in document outsourcing albeit lower year-over-year as expected and a year-over-year compare benefit related to the charge last year from the lost Nevada HIX business. So in summary the quarter was in line for services. We have made significant changes over the past year to move our services business forward and will be taking additional restructuring actions to ensure our productivity ramps up faster throughout the second half. I’ll discuss this more when we get to guidance. I’ll now turn to Document Technology. Document Technology revenue in the quarter was 7% at constant currency. As expected currency had a five point negative in point impact with revenue at actual currency down 12%. As we highlighted last quarter, we don't include developing markets in our constant currency calculation, but if we had revenue would have been down 6% at constant currency. So overall, revenue trends remained fairly stable. Looking at the details, equipment revenue declines moderated, down 6% to constant currency in the second quarter versus down 8% in the first quarter and 10% in the fourth quarter. The improving trend reflects benefits for recent new product launches, especially within high-end where equipment revenue grew in the quarter. Offsetting the positive equipment trend, were higher declines in supplies revenues driven in part by developing market, which were pressured by softening economies and currency. From an activity perspective, we saw improvements in growth in mid-range high-end and higher volume entry products. So overall, positive growth in installs across our product segments. Document Technology margin of 12.1% was down year-over-year, but up sequentially and in the middle of our 11% to 13% range for 2015. Year-over-year drivers included the anticipated higher pension expense and negative mix associated with improved equipment sales at lower margin. These were partially offset by a retiree health curtailment gain. So in closing, revenues were a little lighter than expected, but overall a reasonable quarter for technology with equipment trends and high end performance being positive takeaways. Turning to cash flow, cash flow from operations was $349 million in the quarter, above last year's cash flow of $325 million. This reflects good overall performance despite weaker process as working capital was a lower net use versus last year, driven by the following factors. Accounts receivable was a source of $56 million in the quarter versus the use last year, reflecting lower revenues and flat year-over-year DSO. Accounts payable on accrued compensation was $75 million lower yield this year, reflecting timing of supplier payments. This was partially offset by a little higher inventory due to timing of shipments. Moving down the cash flow statement, investing cash flows were an $831 million source driven by proceeds of $930 million from the sale of ITO business. This was partially offset by $102 million spent on Capex and $20 million on acquisitions. Cash flow from financing was a $422 million yield, which included $395 million spent on share repurchases and $83 million used for preferred and common stock dividend. As well it reflects an increase in commercial paper, offset by payments of $250 million on senior notes. Our cash balance at the end of the quarter was $1.6 billion, an increase of $769 million, since the end of first quarter, driven by the proceeds received on June 30 from the ITO divestiture. So, cash flow is strong and continues to attract our expectations. Now, I’ll quickly go over capital structure. We ended the second quarter with $7.6 billion in debt, applying 7 to 1 leverage on customer financing assets. Our allocated financing debt at the end of the second quarter was $3.9 billion, leaving core debt of $3.7 billion. We managed our core debt to maintain credit metrics consistent with our investment grade rating. Our capital structure remained fairly stable, if we move to the next slide, I’ll review where we are in terms of capital allocation. Through the first half, we have repurchased $611 million in shares, spent $147 million on common stock dividend and $48 million on acquisitions. Considering our first-half performance and the opportunities we see for the balance of the year, we’re adjusting our capital allocation plan. On acquisitions, we have spent about $50 million year-to-date. We now expect to spend between $100 million and $400 million for the full year. The bar is higher as we focus on organic improvements and services for the next few quarters. We are working to enhance our proactive business development capabilities and recently hired a new leader for business development and M&A. On share repurchase, we are increasing our full-year plan by $300 million to $1.3 billion. This reflects our view that our shares are attractively priced and a good investment, as well as our reduced near-term plans for acquisition. This leaves approximately $200 million unallocated that we will deploy opportunistically. On debt, we retired our last tranche of debt coming due this year $250 million in June and we continue to expect to end the year at a debt balance of roughly $7.7 billion. And finally on dividends, we continue to expect to spend just over $300 million. I’ll now turn to a discussion of guidance. First, starting with revenue, Document Technology trends are stable as expected improvements in high-end and financing have been offset by ongoing weakness in developing markets from softening economies as well as from currency. As a result, we are planning for Document Technology revenue to be down roughly 6% at constant currency in the second half and for the full year. Additionally, we are spending less on acquisitions than originally planned dampening back Services revenue acceleration. At the total company level, we now anticipate full year revenue at constant currency will be down approximately 2%, consistent with prior year and down 1 point from what we last communicated. Turning to margin, we expect services margin will be at the low end of 8.5% to 9% for the year. With our margin at 7.5% for the first half, we need to average about 9.5% in the second half of the year to hit that level. This requires a step function change given the continued higher health enterprise implementation cost and margins not yet improving in the business as a whole outside of health enterprise. While our productivity initiatives are beginning to ramp, we need to further accelerate that to drive the second half improvement. In addition to capturing attrition benefit, we are planning a restructuring initiative which combined will reduce headcount by approximately 3,000 people. We expect modest sequential Services margin improvement in the third quarter with the fourth quarter clearly showing greater benefit given the timing of additional workforce actions and accelerating yield from our operating model changes. Seasonality in document outsourcing also aid sequential improvement in the fourth quarter. For Document Technology, we continue to expect margins between 11% to 13% for the full year in part supported by pension expense coming in lower than originally anticipated. In the first half, restructuring actions were focused on technology. In contrast, our second-half actions will be focused on Services. As a result, we expect relatively low restructuring cost due to natural attrition and relatively low average severance cost in Services. So in summary, we now expect to be at the lower end of $0.95 to $1.01 adjusted earnings per share range. For the third quarter, we expect adjusted earnings per share between $0.22 and $0.24 reflecting normal seasonality and approximately $0.01 of restructuring. As I indicated earlier, operating cash flow was strong in the first half and we still expect to be within $1.7 billion to $1.9 billion range despite the lower earnings, reflecting both good working capital performance and lower restructuring cost. We are committed to getting the needed actions to improve profitability and meet our 2015 earnings and cash flow guidance, and we are confident that we have the right plan in place to deliver that and create value for our shareholders. With that, I’ll hand it back to you, Ursula.