Melissa Cougle
Analyst · Simmons
Thank you, Mike. During the third quarter, Frank's faced some headwinds in the North American market which was somewhat expected. As we have heard through this earnings season, the North American land erosion story is not new news. And so we will not spend much time dwelling on it. We've also seen demonstrated and discussed in prior quarters that our Tubular business can show large swings when our customer drilling schedules change. And this was one of those quarters creating some unexpected headwinds. On the positive side, our international businesses continue to show steady improvement and positive momentum, and our margins are showing strong leverage as well. In reviewing our results on Slide 4, in the third quarter we generated $140 million of revenue, which was up 9% from the third quarter of 2018, although down 10% sequentially, largely as a consequence of the Tubular product sales delays. Adjusted EBITDA was $16 million in Q3, and $43 million for the first nine months of the year, demonstrating year-over-year incremental margins of 35%. We are most pleased to report that we generated $16 million of free cash flow this quarter, highlighting our focus on capital discipline and working capital management. Turning to Slide 5, our TRS segment produced third quarter revenue of $102 million, a slight sequential decrease driven by the substantial headwinds in the North American markets this quarter. While we were able to maintain growth through the second quarter of 2019, despite the declining rig counts, as expected, our third quarter results were affected and we expect those headwinds to continue for at least the next couple of quarters. These challenges have been partially offset in certain international markets that continue to see increasing activity. Europe and the Middle East have both been notable bright spots this quarter. Asia-Pacific is also anticipated to be a good contributor in the fourth quarter of this year and into 2020 as well, due to some recent contract wins and market share gains. In the Tubular segment, as presented on Slide 6, third quarter revenue was $12.5 million, a decline of 18% year-over-year and 44% sequentially. The decline in revenues sequentially was driven largely by the timing of customer drilling schedules and changes to deliveries and programs that had been forecasted to occur during the second half of this year. To remind there are two businesses in the segment, Tubular product sales and drilling technologies. The Tubular product sales business can be characterized as mostly large discrete customer orders that can introduce large swings in our results at times. We have had several changes to plan deliveries in this quarter that we expect may continue into Q4, as some of our customers update and shift their drilling schedules. That said, we are confident in the long-term growth trajectory of our Tubular product sales business, as we currently have line of sight to a much improved backdrop during 2020. Our customers schedules indicate significantly stronger demand, and we anticipate more robust sales in this business than we have seen in the past several years. Additionally, our reputation for quality and reliability has recently opened several international market opportunities for us including in Mexico, the Caribbean, and South America. Looking to 2020 within our drilling technologies business line and as mentioned by Mike, we have recently completed development of some next-generation technologies that will give us improved market access to more drilling programs. We remain focused upon increasing our drilling technology asset base and expanding our customer accounts for Tubular product sales in order to drive more consistent performance quarter-to-quarter. Turning to Slide 7, our Cementing Equipment segment’s third quarter revenue declined 4% sequentially, although it increased 7% over the prior-year. The slight reduction in sequential revenue was primarily driven by reduced customer activity in our U.S. land market. This was partially offset by increased revenue in international markets and the U.S. Gulf of Mexico. We continue to increase our presence in the Gulf of Mexico with over 60% market share on floating rigs maintained throughout the quarter. Turning to Slide 8, as Mike mentioned in his comments, the Frank’s management team conducted a series of strategic business reviews with the goal of streamlining the organization for margin improvement. It has become apparent that the trajectory of the onshore and offshore markets will not be a quick rise back to historic levels. And even if the markets were to fully recover the industry itself will be changed. We recognize that in order to be a viable player in this space, we also will have to adapt. Since going public in 2013, the company has had to build out a lot of infrastructure that comes with being a publicly listed company, and has simultaneously tried to maintain its relationships and customer oriented culture. Unfortunately, our infrastructure was built for a much larger company and a more significant market recovery scenarios than what is our current reality. The combination of our business review has been the initiation of a project to be implemented over the next five quarters. We took a soup to nuts approach and the team has identified some of the following categories where we feel meaningful change can be affected. The first is rationalization of locations and reducing our overseas cost footprint. Global reach and serving the basins in which our customers operate is imperative to our success. We are pursuing models where we can move more nimbly into and out of jurisdictions where the returns make the most sense in addition to reducing some of our heavier regional structures. Also, we are going through the process of evaluating our engineering projects. We are committed to ensuring that every dollar we spend on an engineering development project goes through a rigorous Stage Gate process that validates our customer need, time to market, and put the expected returns through a rigorous challenge. There will be some projects that we decide to shelve in favor of more focused development efforts and shortening time commercialization. We’re also evaluating our stands and layers of management. As I mentioned earlier, the Frank’s today was built for a different market scenario. And some of our support organizations we simply have too many layers of management that creates inefficiency and can affect the quick decision making that smaller organizations need. Finally, we’re also looking to speak at length with our vendors during negotiations, and create general cost savings to cultural change. It is imperative for Frank’s to be more cost conscious given our new industry backdrop of a slow and prolonged recovery. We need to set the tone at the top to empower our employees to drive change, ask for discounts, and explore alternatives to the way we operate. I am very encouraged that our messaging has been taken to heart and we have started to see the results of that in Q3. To-date, we have already taken actions in our U.S. onshore operations to right size staff and facilities considering recent market shifts. We anticipate making significant changes in the fourth quarter, with incremental reductions also occurring during 2020. The changes we are making are systemic and will affect how we conduct our day-to-day business processes for the better. Our objective is to maintain our global reach and our unparalleled service to our customers, while doing so in an efficient manner that vastly improves return to our shareholders. We have currently identified approximately $30 million of savings that can be implemented between now and the end of 2020. We will be actioning our plans beginning in the fourth quarter and be focused on enabling as much as these savings programs as possible before year-end. Associated with that, we're currently anticipating $4.5 million to $6 million of restructuring expense. The efficiency plans have been done in parallel to beginning our 2020 budget process. We will be able to share more details around our 2020 expectations and our progress toward our profitability improvement project on our year-end call. There are also multiple longer-term projects such as an ERP implementation, and procurement savings opportunities involving more cost effective maintenance programs. The savings will be realized principally over the course of 2021 and are additive to the $30 million mentioned earlier. We believe we can exit 2021 with cumulative profit improvement opportunities implemented to bring about at least $45 million of savings beginning in 2022. And we hope to achieve this run rate well before the end of 2021. Turning to Slide 9, for the fourth quarter of 2019, we anticipate a similar trend on the top-line compared to the third quarter. We are optimistic that with early adoption of our efficiency plans and our high-end estimated incrementals over last year that we will improve EBITDA quarter-over-quarter. Looking to 2020, on Slide 10, we're expecting full-year top-line growth with contribution from all segments. Our TRS segment has seen some recent contract wins in activities in certain international basins that bring strong margin contribution. During this call, we've also discussed strong line of sight in our Tubular business that would bring about double-digit top-line growth next year. The international side of Cementing Equipment segment is getting traction with SKYHOOK projects starting in at least three new countries this quarter. And we anticipate stronger ramp up and adoption next year. What we have struggled to predict is the U.S. land implications to our 2020 financial profile. That said we are confident in our ability to exceed $100 million of adjusted EBITDA in 2020 and as we push our savings plans through our budget details and update our U.S. land use, we will provide updated guidance. We appreciate everyone's participation in today's call. Mike and I welcome your feedback and questions.