John Meloun
Analyst · Randy Konik with Jefferies. Please go ahead
Thanks, Sarah. It's great to speak with everyone to discuss Xponential’s fourth quarter 2022 results. Fourth quarter North America system wide sales of $294.1 million were up 38% year-over-year. The growth in North American system-wide sales was largely driven by our existing base of open studios that continue to acquire new members, complemented by 375 net new North American studios that opened in 2022. On a consolidated basis, revenue for the fourth quarter was $71.3 million up 44% year-over-year. All five of the components that make up revenue grew during the quarter. Franchise revenue was $32.2 million up 40% year-over-year. This growth was primarily driven by an increase in royalty revenue as member visits and associated system wide sales are at all-time highs, and amortized revenue from franchise license sales continue to increase as we open more studios domestically, and sell more franchise licenses internationally. Equipment revenue was $11.5 million up 64% year-over-year. This increase in equipment revenue continues to be driven primarily by higher volumes of global equipment installs. Merchandise revenue was $8 million, up 22% year-over-year. The increase during the quarter was primarily driven by the higher number of studios operating and increased foot traffic when compared to the prior year. Franchise marketing fund revenue of $5.8 million was up 42% year-over-year, primarily due to strong system wide sales and average unit volume growth. Lastly, the other service revenue was $13.8 million up 57% from the prior year period, primarily due to rebates driven from processing of studio [Ph] level system wide sales, vendor sponsorships for our annual franchise conference, revenue from our B2B partnerships, and revenue generated by temporarily own transition studios. Turning to our operating expenses; Cost of product revenue were $12.3 million up 32% year-over-year. The increase was driven by higher equipment installations for new studio openings and merchandise revenues in the period. Cost of franchise and service revenue were $4.9 million up 18% year-over-year. The increase continued to be driven by amortized commissions associated with franchise license sales on a higher base of open studios. Selling, general and administrative expenses of $34.7 million were up 6% year-over-year. As a percentage of revenue, SG&A expenses were 49% of revenue in the fourth quarter down from 66% in the prior year period. As projected on our third quarter 2022, our annual franchise convention added approximately $4.5 million in sequential SG&A expenses, which were largely offset by sponsorship revenues from the event that brought the net expense down to $0.9 million for the fourth quarter. In addition, as I noted on prior calls, costs related to temporarily own transition studios are included in our SG&A for the fourth quarter. We continue to optimize operating costs for these studios and define new owners for them, as we've done in the past. Depreciation and amortization expense was $4.1 million, an increase of 23% from the prior year period. Marketing fund expenses were $4.6 million up 23% year-over-year, driven by increased national marketing spend afforded by higher marketing fund revenues because of higher system wide sales. Acquisition and transaction expenses were $8.2 million primary related to the non-cash contingent consideration as part of our acquisition of Rumble. As I noted on prior earnings calls, the Rumble contingent consideration is driven by our share price. We mark-to-market it each quarter and accrue for the earn out. We recorded net loss of $0.4 million in the fourth quarter, compared to a net loss of $29.8 million in the prior year period. The increase was a result of $14.9 million of higher overall profitability, a $14.2 million decrease in non-cash contingent consideration primarily related to the Rumble acquisition, and a $0.4 million decrease in non-cash equity based compensation expense. We continue to believe that adjusted net income is a more useful way to measure the performance of our business. A reconciliation of net income to adjusted net income is provided in our earnings press release. Adjusted net income for the fourth quarter was $6.8 million, which excludes $8.2 million change in fair value of non-cash contingent consideration and a $1.1 million liability decreased related to the fourth quarter remeasurement of the company's tax receivable agreement liability. Adjusted EBITDA was $22.2 million in the fourth quarter compared to $8.6 million in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA margin grew to 31% in the fourth quarter compared to 17% in the prior year period. As a reminder, our 2023 outlook anticipates adjusted EBITDA margins reaching the 35% to 39% range, and we expect this number to grow to 40% in 2024. Turning to the balance sheet, as of December 31, 2022, cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash were $37.4 million, up from the $21.3 million as of December 31, 2021. Total long term debt was $137.7 million as of December 31 2022, compared to $133.2 million as of December 31, 2021. We continue to look for ways to simplify our capital structure and have made progress already in the first quarter. In January, we announced the repurchase of 85,340 shares of convertible preferred stock at a price of $22.07 per share, which prior to the repurchase would have been convertible into 5.9 million shares of Class A common stock. In addition, we recently completed a secondary offering of 5 million shares, which closed on February 10 2023, followed by a green shoe execution for an additional 0.75 million shares. The selling shareholders included Snapdragon Capital Partners, which is controlled by Mark Grabowski, the Chairman of our board, and our CEO Anthony Geisler. Xponential fitness did not receive any proceeds from the sale and our CEO remains Xponential’s largest individual shareholder. Let's now discuss our outlook for 2023. Based on current business conditions, and our expectations as of the date of this call, we are initiating guidance for the current year as follows. We expect 2023 global net new studio openings to be in the range of 540 to 560. This range represents the highest number of studio openings in our company's history, and an 8% increase at the midpoint over 2022. We project North America system wide sales to range from $1.34 billion to $1.35 billion or 30% increase at the midpoint from the prior year and the highest North America system wide sales in our history. Total 2023 revenue is expected to be between $285 million to $295 million, an 18% year-over-year increase at the midpoint of our guided range. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to range from $101 million to $105 million, a 39% year-over-year increase at the midpoint of our guided range. This range translates into roughly a 35.5% adjusted EBITDA margin at the midpoint. In terms of capital expenditures, we anticipate approximately $10 million to $12 million for the year or 4% of revenue at the midpoint. Going forward, capital expenditures will be primarily focused on the BFT integration, XPASS and XPLUS new features and maintenance and other technology investments to support our digital offerings. For the full year, our tax rate is expected to be mid to high single digits, share count for purposes of earnings per share calculation to be $32.3 million and $1.9 million in quarterly dividends to be paid related to our convertible preferred stock. A full explanation of our share count calculation and associated pro forma EPS and adjusted EPS calculations can be found in the table at the back of our earnings press release, as well as our corporate structure and capitalization FAQ on our Investor Website. Thank you again for your time today and your support of Xponential. We look forward to speaking with you on our next earnings call. We will now open the call for questions. Operator?