Bruno Constantino
Management
Well, first of all, let me apologize for my delay here. I was having problems getting into Zoom. So thank you for the patience, and thank you for attending our call one more time. We – are we going to project the presentation, André? Yes. I am going to try to be quick here in the slides. So we can go as fast as we can to Q&A, I believe, is more interesting. So the first slide, we can move to the first slide. Yes, the opening remarks, is – I don’t know if you had time to read Thiago Maffra’s letter. But I think it’s worth explaining all the investments we have been doing recently in our company and how we organize the big pockets of investments we focus. So if we can, yes. Okay. So that’s how we look and separate the investments we have been doing in the company. Number one, it’s what we call the foundations. The foundations are mainly investments in technology, people, the headcount growth that we have had. Most of it is in tech people. And this is really important because it will allow our scalability and also our exponential growth going forward. The second pocket is what we call protect and expand our core business. And our core business has been, since the foundation of the company, investments. So to protect and expand the core means innovating, bringing new products to the market, creating markets that don’t exist yet, reinforcing our ecosystem, investing a lot in the capital markets and also in our distribution channels, either through our IFA network or our direct channels and all of that controlling the costs so we can pass on to our clients this profitability in the core business. And third, the last one is build the future. That’s where all the new businesses, we have been investing a lot recently are. So banking and by banking means the transactional part, the credit card, credit insurance and also SMB. So that’s how we segregate and it’s important to share with all of you because you’re going to see in our numbers the investments we’ve been doing, and we are going to continue to do in the next quarters. So moving to the highlights of the third quarter this year, we picked three main highlights for this quarter. Number one, again, the results we had our record results one more time. It’s our all-time high gross revenue, quarterly gross revenue, BRL3.4 billion, and also our adjusted net income more than BRL1 billion, one more time. Another point worth highlighting here is the gross margin. That’s the highest gross margin we have had since the IPO, 71.8%. Despite all the investments we have been doing in our IFA network, which, as you know, impacts the COGS and by consequence, the gross margin. Another point is the net new money. The pace of – adjusted net new money above BRL15 billion per month is an important pace in our view, because as you remember, I kept mentioning the range between €10 billion to €15 billion of net new money per month. And now it’s the second quarter that we consistently deliver numbers above €15 billion per month. The second point to improve the governance that has improved after the merger with XPart. We more than welcome – I don’t know how many shareholders, new shareholders we have here in our third quarter conference, but we would like, again, more than welcome all of you. To have 500,000 new individuals as investors of our company is something that makes us really proud. And what I can tell you, as Maffra has said in his letter, here in XP, this is our life. We have no plan B. You can count on us that we’re going to be working really hard to make this company even greater going forward. And the last one, some product highlights. We hit the record pension funds inflows in this quarter. You can see that in our balance sheet, more than $5 billion in our own insurance company, those are the retirement funds, pension fund business. And what is interesting about in my view is that this business has only 2 years. We started this company back in 2019. If you fast forward 2 years, we have grown a lot but we only have 2.5% of the total AUC of this market, which is more than BRL1 trillion of AUC. So we have approximately BRL26 billion of AUC, 2.5%, but we are able to get more than 50% of the net inflows of this business. It’s a business that’s going to keep growing. It’s a very recurrent business, important one. It reduces the churn a lot as well. It increases the cross-sell in our platform and it’s a business we are really optimistic about, but we are really – we are very small yet. And the other point is the credit card. The TPV of BRL3.3 billion in this quarter, more than BRL1 billion per month. And with a base of clients, that is not big. It’s less than 200,000 clients so far using our credit card. What does that tell us? That there is a benefit of attracting the right client in your ecosystem, with not many clients, you can make great numbers, and we are very optimistic as well about our credit card business going forward. So those are the highlights of the quarter. And now I think we can jump straight to the numbers, KPIs and financials and then we go to Q&A. You have seen these KPIs, except for the financials, when we look at our core investments, total AUC BRL789 billion at the end of September. The reduction compared to the second quarter totally driven by market to market. We had positive adjusted net inflows of BRL47 billion in the quarter, a very healthy number in our view. And also, we kept the growth of number of clients reaching the mark of 3.3 million at the end of the quarter in our three brands. When we look at the banking business, still very strong growth, BRL8.6 billion of credit portfolio, the credit card business is not included in that number. Our credit business, if not all, most of it is collateralized, so any concern regarding delinquent rate, we don’t have it. As you can see, the NPL ratio so far is 0%, and we intend to keep like that going forward. And going to the credit card business, the BRL3.3 billion I already talked about is a 55% growth quarter-over-quarter. Our financials, as I said, record number in the gross revenue and in the adjusted net income and our adjusted EBITDA, BRL1.2 billion, a 61% growth year-over-year. And with the NPS hitting the mark of 77, a very strong number and a very important KPI for XP, as you know. Talking about the revenue, the total revenue, the growth 50% year-over-year, hitting the mark of BRL3.37 billion, the main driver for that growth, as usual, has been the retail business contributing with 80% of that growth and then the Issuer Services business contributing with 10% of that growth, retail representing more than three-fourth of our total revenue. And I am going to talk about in detail about the retail revenue in the next slide. So, retail growing more than the average of the company, as usual, 53% year-over-year and that’s the interesting part in my view. We hear sometimes concerns about the macro environment and interest rates going up in Brazil. And our business is a business that has a portfolio effect and a very unique ecosystem. Depending on the macro environment, what happens with our business is that the mix of product and this portfolio effect changed. But at the end of the day, if you look throughout our history, we have gone through different macro cycles in Brazil throughout our history. We are a company with more than 20 years of existence and no matter what the macro environment has been, XP’s results have been strong. The main reason for that is, as I said, this unique model of a portfolio effect and ecosystem together with a still highly concentrated financial market in few banks. So, the growth potential in my view is intact. And what you are going to see is going to be a change in mix. Let me give you a few examples, so you can put that in numbers. Going from only talking about the retail revenue that is, as I said, three-fourth of our total revenue. When you look at the first quarter of this year, okay, 2021, fixed income plus financial products represented around 37% of our total retail revenue. Two quarters later, fixed income plus financial products jumped from 37% to more than 44% of the total revenue. And equities that represented approximately equities and futures approximately one-third in the first quarter decreased to one-fourth in the third quarter. Again, some products losing relevance to other products that are gaining relevance, and that’s the portfolio effect base. Additional to that, when we have a higher interest rate, we also benefit from two other revenue sources: one, floating that goes into retail and two, the return in our own gross financial assets that we have our propriety cash. Doing the same math comparing first quarter this year to third quarter this year, when we look at our interest on our gross cash, in the first quarter represented less than 2% of the total revenue of the company, okay. Now two quarters later, this number jumped to 3.5%. Of course, interest rates are higher. When we go into the floating revenue inside the retail revenue, in the first quarter, it was around 4% of total retail revenue. In the third quarter, this number doubled to almost 8% of the retail revenue in the third quarter. So I am just sharing some numbers with all of you so you can understand what this portfolio effect means in terms of revenue growth going forward. And also on the right side of the chart, when we look at the take rate for retail revenue, it’s interesting to note by coincidence that it’s been stable since the IPO. I remember at the IPO time, a lot of analysts and also buy side investors questioning the take rate and thinking about price compression going forward and the take rate should go down. And in the middle of this period, we have reduced our prices. We have, as you know, zero brokerage online commissions at Rico, we have reduced by 75% our prices at XP brand. In spite of all of that, take rate is stable. And why is that? We have a lot of moving parts affecting the take rate, as you know, but we are also adding new products and business and increasing the LTV of our clients and also the engagement and the loyalty of our clients with our brand. To give you one example here, let’s take the banking revenue. And by banking, we’re talking about credit card, we are talking about credit and FX basically. So the banking business, which is totally new for XP, represented in the first quarter this year, roughly 1.5%, 1.7% of our total revenue, in the third quarter, more than 3% already on a relative basis on absolute terms, growing much faster. And this business in the future can represent much more of our revenue mix in the company. So that’s one example of this innovation and building the future effort that we are going through. And that is done by a lot of investments in our foundations, protect and expand the core, as I mentioned earlier. Now, moving to the next slide, we go to our adjusted EBITDA and margin. And here, you can see the investment. Where can you see the investment, headcount. Headcount, that’s the main investment we have. We have grown our headcount by 64% year-over-year. It’s a lot, but it’s necessary. We – it’s as if XP, we have a mature major business in investments, what we call our business as usual, that we keep innovating, and this business has a huge operating leverage. On the other side, we have like startups inside XP that we are building from scratch, a bank, we started from scratch a credit card business that we – in 6 months, were able to make a purchase using our physical credit card, as I start and then 6 months later, we launched the product to our customers. So, these businesses, they are like startups. They are going to – they are being built by scratch. And of course, we are going to keep growing the headcount, so we can keep delivering more features and evolving those products and those businesses as we learn from the clients and keep moving forward. And that’s what explains this increase of SG&A compared to the net revenue, growing from 31.9% to 35.2% year-over-year. There is one other effect that is a tough comp because in the third quarter of last year, we had operating revenues in our SG&A that reduced the amount of the SG&A. And that operating revenues, they are not present anymore. They are like one-offs. If you take that out of the equation, basically, even with all those investments in this increase in headcount, this number, 31.9% should be higher than 36%. That’s why in our earnings release, we mentioned that our EBITDA margin going to the right side of the chart, 36.9%, adjusted EBITDA margin, which is below 40% level is not a normal margin for a company like ours. So this is temporary in our view. It’s going to stay probably below 40% in the next quarters. And why is that, because we are still investing a lot in those new businesses. We believe these investments are going to peak at the fourth quarter next year, and then we are going to start seeing these margins going up again, getting all the benefits of the revenue that those new businesses are going to bring to the company. I don’t know if you remember last quarter, Maffra commented about the expansion of the addressable market. I have also talked a lot about it. So today, we are addressing between BRL100 billion to BRL120 billion of addressable market in the financial industry. Financial industry revenue grew of more than BRL800 billion. By the end of 2024, we are going to be addressing 4x what we address today. So we are going to be addressing BRL350 billion to BRL400 billion of annual revenue do not considering that this revenue pool can grow from today until the end of 2024. So that’s what justifies all the investments we have been doing in the quarter. Now next slide, before we go to the adjusted net income, we put here the math to reach what we call our normalized effective tax rate. I know this is also a point of discussion and confusion sometimes with investors. So we thought it would be helpful to share with all of you. So what we have here. We have the earnings before tax, as you can see in our financials, then the income tax reported in the financials. Then we add the withholding tax that we have in our structure, but that does not go into our revenue, which in the first quarter was BRL105 million of withholding tax. Those are taxes that are going to be paid, okay? But they do not go through our financials. In the second quarter, we had the BRL126 million, and this quarter, BRL179 million of withholding tax. So you add back that withholding tax to the earnings before tax, and then you add the tax because that’s a tax together with the income tax and you reach the normalized effect tax rate that you can see it’s around 14% to 17%, 18%. This is the number that we have been talking about between 15% to 20%. This number can be volatile depending on the product mix that we have. But that’s what explains the lower effective tax rate that you see in our financials reported officially. And also, we have added in our earnings release, all those numbers in our managerial income statement, so it can be easier for you to see the numbers as we see it and then forecast the way you would like. And now we hit our adjusted net income and margin. 82% growth of adjusted net income, more than BRL1 billion, again with 32.8% adjusted net margin, explained again by retail revenue, the operating average, impacted by the growth of the SG&A and the lower effective tax rate. So with that, I think I’ll end here, right, and we go straight to the Q&A. So as I said, I try to be brief so we can have the Q&A session. Thank you very much. And André, you’re going to be the one doing the Q&A, yes, perfect, so… A - André Martins: Thank you, Bruno. [Operator Instructions] So the first question comes from Jorge Kuri from Morgan Stanley.