Earnings Labs

Xometry, Inc. (XMTR)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 9, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Xometry Q3 2023 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Shawn Milne, VP of Investor Relations.

Shawn Milne

Analyst

Good morning and thank you for joining us on Xometry Q3 2023 earnings call. Joining me are Randy Altschuler, our Chief Executive Officer; and Jim Rallo, our Chief Financial Officer. During today's call, we will review our financial results for the third quarter of 2023 and discuss our guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2023. During today's call, we will make forward-looking statements, including statements related to the expected performance of our business, future financial results, strategy, long-term growth, and overall future prospects. Such statements may be identified by terms such as believe, expect, intend, and may. These statements are subjected to risks and uncertainties which could cause them to differ materially from actual results. Information concerning those risks is available in our earnings press release distributed before the market opened today, and in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission including our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022 and our Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2023 that will be filed later today. We caution you to not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements and undertake no duty or obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events, or changes in our expectations. We'd also like to point out that on today's call, we will report GAAP and non-GAAP results. We use these non-GAAP financial measures internally for financial and operating decision making purposes. And as a means to evaluate period-to-period comparisons. Non-GAAP financial measures are presented in addition to and not as a substitute or superior to measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with US GAAP. To see the reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures, please refer to our earnings press release distributed today in our investor presentation, both of which are available on the Investors section of our website at investors.xometry.com. A replay of today's call will also be posted on our website. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Randy.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst

Thank you, Shawn. Good morning everyone, and thank you for joining our Q3 2023 earnings call. In Q3, we had record financial results including our highest revenue and gross profit in Xometry history, we reduced our adjusted EBITDA loss by 51% from the prior quarter on our path to profitability. Behind those strong results with record additions of active buyers and orders, and leverage and all of our operating expenses. With momentum from Q3 carrying into Q4. We are successfully executing what we set out to do in the beginning of this year. Returning to our historical marketplace revenue growth of 40% plus, expand gross margins, improve operating efficiencies, and reduced fixed costs. So we could go from a $11.8 million adjusted EBITDA loss in Q1, to potentially break even in Q4. This positions Xometry for robust growth in full year adjusted EBITDA profitability in 2024. We continue to innovate and expand. In October, we launched Teamspace, a collaboration tool to augment our enterprise sales efforts and increase our organic buyer growth. Additionally, today we announced a new exciting partnership with Google Cloud to leverage Vertex AI to accelerate instant quoting for new markets on Xometry's AI-powered marketplace. I will outline each in more detail later in the call. Here are some of the financial highlights from Q3 and their expected impact on Q4. Let's start with revenue. We grew revenue 15% year-over-year to $119 million, driven by strong 22% year-over-year growth in marketplace revenue offset by 16% year-over-year decline in supplier services revenue, primarily due to the discontinuation of our sale of tools and materials. Marketplace revenue included 78% year-over-year growth in our International segment, primarily in our European markets. We had forecast even more revenue growth in international in Q3, but some of that has been pushed into…

Jim Rallo

Analyst

Thanks, Randy, and good morning everyone. As Randy mentioned, Q3 was a record revenue and gross profit quarter for Xometry and we significantly reduced our adjusted EBITDA loss quarter-over-quarter by 51%. Q3 revenue increased 15% year-over-year to $119 million, driven by strong marketplace growth Q3 marketplace revenue was $102 million in supplier services revenue was $16.5 million, reflecting the discontinuation of the sale of supplies. Q3 revenue growth, adjusting for the exit of the supplies business increased 17% year-over-year. Q3 marketplace revenue increased 22% year-over-year driven by a strong growth in the number of active buyers, partly offset by lower average revenue per buyer on a year-over-year basis. Q3 active buyers increased 43% year-over-year to 52,467 with a record net addition of 4,173 active buyers. Our active buyer and order growth, were much stronger than our reported marketplace revenue growth rate in Q3. In Q4, we expect marketplace revenue growth, and active buyer growth to converge. As quarterly revenue per active buyer remained stable year-over-year, this will drive overall marketplace revenue growth of approximately 40% in Q4 year-over-year. In Q3, the percentage of revenue from existing accounts was 96% underscoring the efficiency, and transparency of our business model that leads to increasing account stickiness, and spend over time. Once an account joins our platform, we aim to expand the relationship and increase engagement, and spending activities from the account over time. The number of accounts with last 12 months spend of at least $50,000 on our platform reached 1,223 at the end of Q3, up 26% year-over-year. In Q3, we accelerated the growth of net new accounts with LTM spend of at least $50,000 with 64 versus 50 in Q2. Supplier services revenue declined 16% year-over-year in Q3, we discontinued the sale of supplies in the U.S. in Q2, which…

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much. [Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from Brian Drab with William Blair. Your line is open. Brian, your line is open.

Shawn Milne

Analyst

Operator, we can come back to Brian in a second if he is not on.

Operator

Operator

Pardon me.

Shawn Milne

Analyst

We can come back to Brian in a second. If he jumps back. Let's go to the next caller.

Operator

Operator

Okay. Our next caller is Nick Jones from JMP Securities. Your line is open.

Nick Jones

Analyst

Great, thank you for taking the questions. I have two, I guess first on kind of the buyer growth, can you speak to how much the Teamspace is contributing to the buyer growth, I think in the short order there was over 300 teams have been created. Just kind of structurally change the type of kind of net adds, we should expect on the active buyer number. And then I guess a follow-up on this would be you know what is the spending behavior of active buyers coming in through Teamspace, do they spend similarly, if you're going to increase, maybe the net adds from this solution. Does this maybe weigh on marketplace revenue per active buyer near term as you kind of ratchet up the number of active buyers adding? Thanks.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst

Thanks, Nick. It's Randy and great question. So we didn't release Teamspace until October. So in Q3, it was still in beta with just a handful of customers, so the record net add in Q3 was not, because of Teamspace but we certainly think that Teamspace in Q4 and beyond will contribute to net active, the growth in active buyers. At this point, we don't expect there to be any change negative change in revenue per quarter from active buyers to Teamspace potential upside, but at this point. We certainly don't expect any downside from it.

Shawn Milne

Analyst

Yes, Nick. It's, Shawn, Just add in Q3. What we saw as Randy said record net additions. We're seeing really strong growth in SEO traffic. One of the things we called out on the call was that our cost of a net new active buyer was down 27% year-over-year, so seeing very strong efficiency in advertising. We're also seeing very good growth in Europe as well. And just seeing across the board. Our brand awareness is improving and you should continue to see very healthy net adds going forward.

Nick Jones

Analyst

If I said, to this is quick follow-up on international, you are still strong year-over-year growth, but sequentially, it was kind of flat in 3Q anything to call out on what's happening internationally are things may be slowing down a little bit, on a sequential basis or just any extra color there would be great? Thanks.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst

Yes, no Nick. Business is very healthy in international and again this year as we talk about [ph] international is primarily Europe order growth and buyer growth is very strong. It was really just a timing issue. So, as we call out on the call. You're going to see some really strong quarter-over-quarter revenue growth in international, particularly in Europe in Q4. So everything is going great. It's more of a timing issue and you should see a nice uptick in Q4.

Shawn Milne

Analyst

Yes, it's Shawn, just to double-click on that. I mean, again that was a very slight timing issue. Although revenues are recognized in October. And we have good visibility there. We expect strong sequential growth, as Randy said top of the funnel in Europe in Q3 year-over-year was very strong in terms of buyer and order growth.

Nick Jones

Analyst

Thanks Randy. Thanks Shawn.

Shawn Milne

Analyst

Thanks, Nick.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now return to Brian Drab with William Blair. Your line is open. Mr. Drab?

Brian Drab

Analyst

Hello, can you hear me?

Operator

Operator

Yes, sir.

Shawn Milne

Analyst

We can hear you now, Brian

Brian Drab

Analyst

Sorry, sorry, sorry, that that's what you heard first. So it's about to say something else. Yes, I think we need announcement about how that we're going to be muted, when we get introduced. Star 6 I guess fixes that. So anyway it be very interesting. It will be very interesting to see how you guys performed when manufacturing environment is actually little more favorable. This is an impressive results in this environment. Randy I wonder, can you talk at all about the trends that you're seeing in some of the different services and different service line you mentioned injection molding was positive. Can you comment on trajectory and CNC and 3D printing as well?

Randy Altschuler

Analyst

Yes, Brian, it really has been strong growth across the board injection molding has been particularly strong. But we're really seeing good upticks in all categories. So it's pretty broad. As we said also it's across many industries.

Brian Drab

Analyst

Okay. Great. And I guess you called out, financial services and the good margins that you have in the financial services, is that it feels like that has yet to really gain the traction that it might at some point. Can you talk more about what you expect for that component of the business in the future?

Randy Altschuler

Analyst

Yes, Brian, I think, financial services is actually have continued to expand that's being driven obviously by the addition suppliers in the marketplace, and the adoption of that. I think what we really call out in the quarter was the increase in margin on the supplier services side of the business. So where again to Finserv sits. So you saw increasing margins there. This period and we expect that to continue. A lot of that had to do with obviously the exit of supplies and materials. So with that part of that part of the business being gone now and will add that obviously in this quarter here, we feel really good about where the margins are going to business overall.

Shawn Milne

Analyst

And the advertising just to add what you said the advertising business is very high margin, Brian. So Finserv business obviously is very high too, but the advertising business. So the core, the biggest product we have in supplier services is very high margin.

Brian Drab

Analyst

Okay, thanks. And then for now. Just lastly you're adding more manufacturing partners all the time, it is a challenging environment in the industrial world right now, and even heard one of your competitors is talking about how they're manufacturer partner base has some extra capacity in certain regions and I'm just wondering, can you comment at all about trends and how fast your manufacturing partners are accepting jobs are prices, trend in prices at which they're accepting jobs, and what kind of bearing that is having on marketplace gross margin? Thanks.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst

Yes, okay so in terms of marketplace gross margin, just to jump on that we've indicated that we expect gross margins for marketplace to grow sequentially from Q3 to Q4 and again just to just be clear, the incremental gross margin in Q3 for marketplace was 34%. So very strong there. I do want to say Brian. So our revenue per active buyer per quarter has been flat this year was slightly up in Q3. But basically flat since Q4 of net - of last year. We do not expect that to change. We don't see any trends in that changing. So irrespective if there is a little bit more capacity here or there or price in some individual part goes up or down. We expect revenue per active buyer to be to be flat and stable.

Brian Drab

Analyst

Okay, thanks very much.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst

Thanks, Brian.

Operator

Operator

Thank you for your question. One moment. Our next question comes from Eric Sheridan with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Eric Sheridan

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Thanks so much for taking the question. Maybe if I could just ask one that's more, bigger picture, with the partnership with Google Cloud just to better understand a little bit of implementation of that partnership. How we should see it showing up in the numbers. As we look into 2024, and what do you think it was implied in your prepared remarks, but how we should be thinking about sort of bringing more density into the marketplace and potentially widening out some of the Vertical exposure? Thanks.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Yes, Eric. Thanks. Thanks for the question. So we're very excited about this partnership, and this will help us accelerate the expansion and deployment of new categories in our auto quoting engine and think about you know things that have taken us months to years will now go weeks to months, in terms of how quickly we can deploy things. And we think it will have a material impact on the number of categories and different processes that we can auto quote. It's going to be happening over a period of months and as you see us deploy new category through that period, we can provide updates.

Eric Sheridan

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Great, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Rohan Joshi from Citi. Your line is open.

Rohan Joshi

Analyst

Great, thanks for taking the question. I had two, maybe Randy, Jim, can you just walk us through a little bit more on the revenue per active buyer. I know it was down more here in 3Q, but then I think the guidance was for it be stable flat to stable in 4Q, which I would love to hear more insights on that in terms of what you're seeing. And then any thoughts on just around the top 200 largest accounts, the penetration there, you're seeing call it expansion of buyers across those active those top 200? Thank you.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst

Yes, thank you. So just to, just to be clear, we saw last year, from Q3 last year was high watermark for us for revenue monthly revenue per active buyer marketplace. And then we saw a sharp reduction from Q3 of last year to Q4. Since Q4 of last year, our revenue per active buyer each quarter has been flat. So when we gave the comment about year-over-year. That was because last year was a high watermark, but most important, it's been flat and we expect it to be flat again in Q4. So now as we are now in sort of a flat basis from Q4 of last year. That's why we talked about how we expect, the growth in active buyers to mirror our growth in marketplace revenue. So we - and we've been trending there into 40% plus range throughout this year and we expect as we talked about in the call circa 40% marketplace growth in Q4. So since Q4 of last year, that metric has been very stable and we expect it to continue to be stable. On the second question.

Jim Rallo

Analyst

Can you repeat the second question?

Rohan Joshi

Analyst

Sure. It was just about expanding in the top 200 largest accounts, given, given the focus there. And Randy that was very helpful. On the revenue per active buyer comment, but just top 200 largest accounts and the progress there?

Jim Rallo

Analyst

The one thing I mean the one thing I would say is, you know we saw very strong growth quarter-over-quarter in the U.S., part of that is we are. We've talked about focusing on the top 200 accounts and as Randy mentioned on the call, we just introduced Teamspace and that's for all our buyers, but in particular, we think this is going to be very helpful for our top 200 accounts. And so, again we were really pleased with the traction thus far, and we'll keep you up to date on that.

Rohan Joshi

Analyst

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Cory Carpenter with JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Danny Pfeiffer

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Hi. This is Danny Pfeiffer on for Cory Carpenter. Thanks for the questions. On the first. Can you just talk about if there's anything to call out in particular on what led to the sequential decline of marketplace gross margins in 3Q? And then on the second, is there any update on the Alibaba 1688 partnership and how that's performing and maybe if you could size any current or potential revenue contribution? Thanks.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Yes, thanks, thanks for the questions, Jim so I think a couple of things, one Alibaba relationship, so that you know we continue to that continue to evolve. I think we have just rolled out recently for that mobile. So that's been a big change recently, we first rolled out, obviously we shared everything it was all laptop based, which is not really used very much in China. So the mobile has really helped. We started to - get orders are rolling out there. So, we do expect that to continue to be a bigger piece of the China business, but to be clear that's very immaterial at this point in time. We don't really have to see a lot of that in the next quarter, but we are making. We are making good progress there.

Jim Rallo

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open.

In terms of the gross margin. So, just to refresh that was up 70 basis points year-over-year. We do expect the gross margin sequentially for marketplace to grow from Q3 to Q4 and again if you look at the incremental gross margin, it was 34% in the third quarter. So, we feel, again, we feel good about existing 2024 with that 35% to 40%. But there's going to be some slight variability, but there's really nothing. Of note, why it may have declined sequentially.

Shawn Milne

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Yes, I think also though, what we've said right. Gross margin is going to continue to increase, but it's not going to increase in a straight line. So we'll have better quarters and we'll have slower growth quarters and so forth. So I think again we're moving in the right direction. We feel solid about our guidance of 35% to 40% and we're certainly well on our path to get there.

Danny Pfeiffer

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Matt Hedberg with RBC. Your line is open.

Matt Hedberg

Analyst · RBC. Your line is open.

Great, guys, thanks for the question, maybe a high level question, either Randy or Jim. I think Randy on the call you noted you expect - robust growth in '24 and obviously, you haven't really given us a ton of parameters around that. But wondering if you could sort of outline for us. Key building blocks for next year's growth, just so we can kind of make sure that we're kind of thinking about the trajectory appropriately next year before the Q4 call.

Shawn Milne

Analyst · RBC. Your line is open.

Hi, Matt. It's Shawn, I'll take that. We're not going to guide there obviously specifically today, but the building blocks are, as we called out before you should continue to expect to see strong robust, net active buyers being added every quarter. So you can build that into your model and we put a - we delivered over 4,000 this quarter and that did not have the impact of Teamspace. So, we'll have to update you as we get into 2024 on that impact and then against that we're seeing very stable marketplace revenue per active buyers. So as we called out on this call. You're now going to see that marketplace revenue is converging with buyer growth in order growth. And I would think that that's the kind of building blocks you should look into for 2024. And then in supplier services. We expect to grow that in 2024 modestly, but we've put in investments this year to modernize the Thomas Ad platform we brought in a new Head of Sales and we'd expect some of these moves to bear some fruit next year and that's a very high margin business.

Jim Rallo

Analyst · RBC. Your line is open.

Yes, I would just, I would add on that too, is the penetration of our top 200 accounts, we continue to see strong penetration on our top 200 accounts and really we've done a great job here Teamspace. Teamspace is our fastest adopted service or product that we've rolled out since the company has been founded. It's unbelievable the adoption of that, especially with our top 200 accounts, we're seeing great adoption throughout the organization a lot more engineers getting involved and frankly we feel real good about that and drive revenue next year.

Matt Hedberg

Analyst · RBC. Your line is open.

Thanks guys. Super helpful. Yes, it really does seem like Teamspace could be a nice incremental boost to '24 and beyond. Thanks. Thanks again, guys for the time.

Operator

Operator

Thank you for your question. Our next question comes from Greg Palm with Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Your line is open.

Greg Palm

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Your line is open.

Yes. Good morning, thanks for taking the questions, just broadly speaking, I'm curious if you've noticed any kind of change in buyer behavior you know over recent months relative to kind of what you've seen on a year-to-date basis, whether that be you know buying more parts, whether that be utilizing engine standard versus priority shipping et cetera anything to note. And then just specifically in the month of October. Any change in trends relative to sort of what you saw over the course of Q3?

Randy Altschuler

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Your line is open.

Yes, so let me turn the first one, and good morning. So, we really haven't seen any change in buyer behavior and again just to reiterate, we expect revenue per active buyer each quarter to be relatively flat quarter-over-quarter and into next year as well. October has been strong.

Shawn Milne

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Your line is open.

And Greg it's Shawn. The one thing Jim mentioned in his script just look in terms of the Q4 revenue. We're just being mindful of recent currency changes. Jim talked about it, but the dollar were to be 5% stronger for the entire quarter. It would be about $1 million impact. So we're just being mindful of that.

Greg Palm

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Your line is open.

Yes. Okay, thanks, thanks for that clarification. And then, I'm curious as you look out, whether it's next year, or at some point, you've given this metric with accounts last 12 months. Spend of over $50,000, I'm curious if you have, I'm sure you've got the information whether that's over $100 or over $200,000 of spend and how that's growing. I know you've been trying to go deeper within those sort of top accounts and I'm just sort of curious. If we'll get some more sort of metrics like that show that the amount of money that some of your top customers are spending is accelerating maybe you can maybe give us a little bit of detail on what you're seeing there?

Randy Altschuler

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Your line is open.

Yes, I think it's a good question. And we've been talking about at the right time, adding another metric, at a higher dollar amount. So you know to be seen, but we hear you. And we think it's a smart idea.

Jim Rallo

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Your line is open.

And Greg. The other thing is, we've talked about before. As we certainly invested in our enterprise sales efforts in 2023 as we have a new leader in that group and we're really trying to move to into 2024. It's again, our largest accounts with committed spend. So not only is there a potential tranche of potential new KPI, the higher spend number will update as you update you as we get further along. We're really trying to get with our biggest customers and have them drive committed spend, which would add a lot of visibility. Certainly for you guys.

Greg Palm

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Your line is open.

Yes, makes sense. Okay, I will leave it there. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much. This concludes our question-and-answer session. We do thank you for your participation in today's conference, this concludes the program and you may now disconnect. Have a good day.