Earnings Labs

Xometry, Inc. (XMTR)

Q2 2021 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 12, 2021

$46.48

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you, for standing by. Welcome to the Xometry Second Quarter 2021 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker, Shawn Milne, Vice President, Investor Relations.

Shawn Milne

Analyst

Good afternoon and thank you for joining us on Xometry's Q2 2021 Earnings Call. Joining me are Randy Altschuler, our Chief Executive Officer; and Jim Rallo, our Chief Financial Officer. During today's call, we will review our financial results for the second quarter 2021 and discuss our guidance for the third quarter and full year fiscal 2021. During today's call, we will make forward-looking statements, including statements related to the expected performance of our business, future financial results, strategy, long-term growth and overall future prospects. Such statements may be identified by terms such as believe, expect, intend and may. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause them to differ materially from actual results. Information concerning those risks is available in our earnings press release distributed after market close today and in our SEC filings included in the Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2021, that will be filed with the SEC on or before August 16. We caution you not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements and undertake no duty or obligation to update any forward-looking statements, as a result of new information, future events or changes in our expectations. We'd also like to point out that on today's call, we will report GAAP and non-GAAP results. We use these non-GAAP financial measures internally for financial and operating decision-making purposes and as a means to evaluate period-to-period comparisons. Non-GAAP financial measures are presented in addition to and not as a substitute for or superior to measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with US GAAP. To see the reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures, please refer to our earnings press release distributed today in our investor presentation, both of which are available in the Investors section of our website at investors.xometry.com. A replay of today's call will also be posted on our website. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Randy.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst

Thanks, Sean. Good afternoon everyone, and thank you for joining us for our first earnings call as a public company. Since many of you are new to Xometry, I'll spend some time introducing you to our business, after reviewing our second quarter financial performance and business progress. Before we begin, I'd like to take this opportunity to thank our sellers, our buyers and our employees for making Xometry the leading marketplace for on-demand manufacturing, as we further our mission to digitize one of the largest sectors of the global economy. I would also like to thank our new public market investors, as well as our existing investors for their support. I'm going to start with a review of our second quarter performance. We had a strong Q2 with $50.6 million of revenue, as we continue to see rapid adoption of our marketplace by both buyers and sellers. This represents revenue growth of 45% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter. In Q2, active buyers increased 66% year-over-year. Alongside strong new buyer growth, we continue to see robust growth within existing accounts, driven by our land-and-expand strategy. The number of accounts with the last 12-month spend of at least $50,000, increased 54% year-over-year to 508. On top of strong revenue growth, gross profit increased 21% quarter-over-quarter with gross margins expanding 100 basis points to 23.5%. This was driven by improvements in pricing and seller matching on our AI-powered marketplace. As our marketplace continues to scale, and as the number of transactions grow, our machine learning becomes smarter, driving better matches for buyers and sellers and helping us improve our gross margins. In the first half of 2021, we added over 60 new materials finishes and processes to our instant quoting engine. This allows us to widen the use cases for all of our buyers…

Jim Rallo

Analyst

Thanks, Randy, and good afternoon everyone. I'd like to echo Randy's comments that we're excited to discuss our first results as a public company and to share our outlook for the business. As Randy mentioned, we generated Q2 revenue of $50.6 million, a 45% year-over-year increase and up 15% quarter-over-quarter. This increase was driven by strong growth in the number of active buyers resulting from our continued investment in sales and marketing as we leverage our attractive unit economics. As a reminder, we disclosed in our S-1 that one customer associated with PPE products accounted for 11% of revenue in 2020. Revenue growth in Q2 2021 was approximately 53% excluding revenue from that one customer. As Randy mentioned, Q2 active buyers increased 66% year-over-year to 23,942 in Q2. The percentage of revenue from existing accounts was 95% underscoring the efficiency and transparency of our business model that leads to increasing account stickiness and spend over time. We believe the repeat purchase activity from existing accounts reflects the underlying strength of our business and provides us with substantial revenue visibility and predictability. Once an account joins our platform, we aim to expand the relationship and increase engagement and spending activities from that account over time. The number of accounts with the last 12-month spend of at least 50,000 on our platform reached 508 at the end of Q2 2021, up 54% year-over-year and 23.3% in quarter-over-quarter. Q2 gross margin was 23.5%, down 30 basis points compared to 23.8% in Q2 2020. Q2 gross margin increased 100 basis points from Q1 2021. In early Q1 2021, we dampened our pricing algorithms to smooth out the impact of rapid commodity price increases to our buyers, lowering gross margin at the start of the year. Towards the end of Q1, we reversed the dampening…

Operator

Operator

Certainly. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes with Sterling Auty with JPMorgan.

Sterling Auty

Analyst

Yes. Hi, guys. So well, first of all, welcome to the public markets. And then, in terms of question, you talked about the 30% of the Fortune 500 that our customers. I'm curious if you could talk to us about the trends of how you're increasing penetration, especially within those larger companies. What did you experience here in the quarter?

Randy Altschuler

Analyst

Yes. Hey, Sterling, it's Randy and thank you for the question. Excited to be a public company now. So, I think as we mentioned earlier on, we saw a great uptick, an increase of 54% to 508 accounts with more than $50,000 on LTM basis. And as you can imagine most of those accounts are larger corporations where we've been focusing our land-and-expand strategy. So I think that's been very successful. Plus we've also begun rolling out technology tools including integrations or what people call punch outs, the ERT systems, which is also making those relationships stickier. And as we grow the amount of materials and tools in Q2, we added over 60 new processes, materials and finishes that also allows us more and more to be that one-stop shop for those corporations.

Sterling Auty

Analyst

Great. And then, as a follow-up, you talked about the international investment that you're making, where do you feel you are in terms of the needed presence in the region to be able to scale that business?

Randy Altschuler

Analyst

Yes. So we're very excited that. If you look at the first six months, we've been focused in Europe and the revenue in the first six months of 2021 versus the first six months of 2020, we've seen growth of over 5x. So that's great and we think we can take advantage of that success and move even quicker, particularly in Asia Pacific, where we don't -- we've got a small number of sellers there but where we do not have a domestic presence. So we think we have some terrific opportunities there. We've seen that great success in Europe. So we're going to we're going to work faster to duplicate that kind of success in Asia Pacific in particular.

Sterling Auty

Analyst

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Mike Ng with Goldman Sachs.

Mike Ng

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Hey. Good afternoon and congratulations on the first quarter as a public company. I was just wondering if you could talk a little bit more about gross margins and the gross margin trajectory for the rest of the year. Jim, you mentioned the dampening adjustments and the sequential improvement. I was just wondering if you could expand on that a little bit more. Thank you.

Jim Rallo

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Sure. Thanks Mike. No problem. So again, I think when you look at -- what happened in the first quarter, right? We talked about the inflation that we saw in commodity pricing that commodity pricing was pretty quick in the beginning of the quarter. We decided to dampen the model in the beginning of the quarter and then, realize that this is not a -- this isn't a onetime thing. This is a trend that's going to continue which we're seeing continue. We therefore remove that dampening off the model. And at that point gross margins started to climb again. And what you see is right we had significant improvement right about 110 basis points actually quarter-over-quarter as we move through the second quarter of this year. So the model is doing what it's supposed to do. It's adjusting for those prices of the increase in commodities that is. And so, we expect to see continued performance around that over the rest of the year. So I would tell you that Q3, Q4, we expect to continue to get improvement in gross profit margin. And again, we feel very confident in our long-term growth model and being able to achieve the margins that we put out there.

Mike Ng

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Great. Thank you. And I was just wondering if you could talk a little bit more about some of the mega trends that you're seeing that will help the on-demand platform. whether that's near shoring and deglobalization or the proliferation of SKUs. Are you still seeing that momentum? And are there any changes to either of those things as reopening continues to happen?

Randy Altschuler

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Yes. I think we're beginning to see a secular shift into digital manufacturing. We're also -- we were one of the benefits of our marketplace it's very technology extensible. So we've seen a lot of success in different verticals. And in particular a couple to call out in Q2 our consumer. And we're also seeing an emerging industry such as space and as -- in green technology as well. So I think you're seeing more and more industries adopting this. And again there's sort of greater acceptance or sort of a secular shift to a digital manufacturing model.

Jim Rallo

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Yes. And Mike I said we're still right now trying to understand exactly how the infrastructure build that was passed will affect us. I think on the surface obviously we feel like it's going to be positive for the business certainly not negative. We'll try to have a better update on that on our next call. But clearly there's going to be an infusion of dollars coming through the US economy. It's going to be focused on manufacturing. A lot of that is going to be focused on small businesses. And obviously we're empowering small businesses. So we do expect to see some positive impact for that. But again, we need to really study that bill and we'll give you more feedback on the nice call.

Mike Ng

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Excellent. Thank you so much for the thoughts, really appreciate it, Jim and Randy.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Brian Drab with William Blair.

Brian Drab

Analyst · William Blair.

Hi, thanks for taking my question. I'm on two conference calls at the same time. So let me just ask two questions here in case I need to jump to the other one for a second. Are you still expecting gross margin to step up in the second half of the year in the presentations that you showed ahead of the IPO it looked like you're expecting about 25% in the third quarter and the fourth quarter? Is that still the case? And then my second question is can you remind me how you're handling the digital storefront service in terms of is that a revenue generating service, or is that kind of more just to create more attachment with the sellers? Thanks.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst · William Blair.

Yes. Thanks Brian. So I think we will continue -- we're estimating that we'll continue to see sequential gross margin improvement from Q2 to Q3 and from Q3 to Q4. And then as Jim said from beyond that as well. So we're seeing a nice trend there and we expect that to continue. The digital store fronts are very exciting. And as I sort of mentioned in my remarks they are being powered by our suite of financial products. So while there's no charge to our sellers to have a digital store front the transactions that go through that store front with their financial products and we do -- we are able to monetize those.

Operator

Operator

Brian did that answer your question?

Randy Altschuler

Analyst

He may be on to his other call operator.

Brian Drab

Analyst

Thank you very much.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst

Thanks Brian.

Operator

Operator

Thanks Brian. Next question comes from Karl Keirstead with UBS.

Karl Keirstead

Analyst · UBS.

Thank you, both and congrats on this first quarter. Maybe one for both of you. Randy you talked a couple of times about the desire to invest overseas to drive the business. I'm wondering if you could just describe what the expected lag is between the time frame for those investments and when you would expect them to translate into sort of a needle-moving impact on Xometry's revenues? And then perhaps I'll just ask the second question to Jim. Jim just so I understand the fourth quarter sequential growth dynamics. The guidance you gave implies 4Q revenue to growth sequentially of about 13%. In 4Q '20, it was negative 9%. So quite a big difference. I think the answer to why it's so different is just a 3Q '20 for the reasons you described was so big given that one client and perhaps that perhaps that pulled revenues from 4Q. And so that makes for a much tougher sequential compare. But I just want to make sure that that's in fact the right way to think about it? Thank you both.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst · UBS.

Yes. So let me answer the first question, Karl thank you for that, and then I'll hand it off to Jim for the second. So we expect within the next six months to formally launch our platform locally in the Asia Pacific market and that's when I think we'll begin to generate revenue locally within Asia Pacific. And now I'll hand it off to Jim, on the second question.

Jim Rallo

Analyst · UBS.

Yes, Karl. So I think as we talked about we had one significant customer last year that accounted for about 11% of our revenue. So backing that out obviously, the growth rates would be stronger as I highlighted before. I don't see it back to the revenue growth. So we don't see really at this point a slowing of revenue growth. We feel confident that we continue to grow strongly. We'll grow strongly that is in, Q3 and Q4 and beyond.

Karl Keirstead

Analyst · UBS.

Got it Jim. So it sounds maybe like the fourth quarter implied guidance is a more normalized revenue growth for the company.

Jim Rallo

Analyst · UBS.

Agreed.

Karl Keirstead

Analyst · UBS.

Yeah. Okay. Terrific. Thank you, both.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Nick Jones with Citi.

Nick Jones

Analyst · Citi.

Great. Thanks. Maybe kind of a bigger picture question on the marketplace. Can you talk about the challenges it is to get more supply on the platform. Is it -- what are the pressures in getting them to kind of come on and stay on, why would they churn off I guess, trying to understand kind of the supply versus demand constraint dynamics of the platform today and how you're working to solve that? Thanks

Randy Altschuler

Analyst · Citi.

Yes. Thanks Nick. I think a couple of things. We're -- we've got a very robust network of sellers already in the marketplace. And so -- but one of our focuses is to continue to grow share of their capacity. We're also introducing new services, such as our basket of financial services and others that are attracting new sellers to marketplace. So I think we're seeing growth in both ends both we're growing within the existing sellers, their capacity and their spend and we're also attracting new sellers. And that's been very successful. We're go to. In fact, one of the reasons, last year we saw 40% of our sellers use multiple products. We're kind of working on that success to invest even more this year and grow a small direct sales force and sort of for gasoline on that fire.

Nick Jones

Analyst · Citi.

Great. And can you maybe just touch on the sellers who are using some of the ancillary services that you have as well? And what kind of attach rate and uptake you're seeing on those? Thanks.

Jim Rallo

Analyst · Citi.

Yes sure. I'll take that Nick. So as we disclosed in our S-1 we had 40% last year of our sellers adopted our seller marketplace services, which includes obviously buying supplies all of our financial products and, so forth. We've seen an uptick in that number recently. We'll give a stronger update on that when we get towards the end of the year, but we continue to see improvement in the number of sellers adopting our seller services.

Nick Jones

Analyst · Citi.

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Nat Schindler with Bank of America.

Nat Schindler

Analyst · Bank of America.

Hi, guys. Thank you. I was just hoping if you could give a little bit more detail on, how COVID has impacted the business other than the PPE sale, which is an obvious direct impact. But any other broader impacts of changes, were there any move by design engineers to look online for products early on because of COVID or lockdown?

Randy Altschuler

Analyst · Bank of America.

Yes. I think just to go back to what I was mentioning before, the sort of secular adoption now of digital manufacturing and because of concerns about supply chain fragility and the potential impact of COVID or climate changes. We're seeing a lot of that this summer. I think people are certainly more and more concerned about that, particularly larger corporations. So I think you will continue to see a shift towards the digital and towards supply chains or marketplace like Xometry that give you robustness and backup resiliency in case there's a failure in one particular state or region of the world.

Jim Rallo

Analyst · Bank of America.

Yes. No what I would say is the one thing we learned from COVID, right is that the focused supply chains or concentrated supply chains that typical customers had with their manufacturers. That proved to be problematic during COVID. And what happened was right we were open for business the entire time during COVID. So obviously, parts of the world shut down, right? I mean China is shut down first, than Europe and in the US and in parts of the US, right because certain states were open in certain states. We're not well able to use our global network right? And we flex that network to be open for business all the time for our customers. So what happened was right, people realized that the marketplace that we operate provides them the resilience that they need. And that's why you've seen an uptick right in a lot of the KPIs, right like active buyers LTM and the number of accounts that are spending over 50,000, right? It's the stickiness of that marketplace and the resilience of the marketplace that we proved during COVID, which is helping drive those increases.

Nat Schindler

Analyst · Bank of America.

Great related to that marketplace buildup and that global seller base that you have, when you move this business more internationally, let's say to Europe. Do you – how much time do you need to build up local manufacturing, or is that just not necessary? Can you just move with – by pushing on the sales side of just one side of the equation the buyer side?

Randy Altschuler

Analyst · Bank of America.

I think you – we want to offer customers, buyers both a local and an international option. So I think there's definitely for various reasons for time, there may be data issues, et cetera, where it needs to be purchased locally, within country or within region. So when we think about providing our buyers with the optimal experience and with the maximum number of options I think it's important to have a local network as well. And I think that's just great about our technology platform and we're able to build that for them.

Nat Schindler

Analyst · Bank of America.

Great. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Matt Hedberg with RBC Capital Markets.

Matt Hedberg

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Thanks for taking my questions and congrats on the IPO. Jim I wanted to circle back to a prior question and your comment. 40% of active sellers purchasing – purchase of suppliers, who purchased one or more financial service. When you look at some of those sellers that have leveraged even more, in other words, we've really taken advantage of that. Was there an aha moment that they had, where they started to use it and then they realize, I'm going to use this a lot more. Just sort of curious what that tipping point was on maybe expanded usage.

Jim Rallo

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Yes. I think look, we've rolled out our products sequentially Matt. So I think what we've seen is we've seen an uptake in the adoption as we've continued to roll out products. As Randy described earlier in his comments, right we've continued to roll out products and that's driving continued adoption. And so we would expect that to continue. So we've just rolled out additional financial products. We've expanded our network of supplies of MRO providers. So we feel confident that that adoption rate will continue. As we talked about earlier, the financial services, piece of the business for us is very high margin. So 90% to 95% gross profit margins. And again, we're getting good traction in that area from the business and the sellers.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Yes. And I think just to answer your question a little bit -- dig a little bit deeper into that when a seller starts using our FastPay product, for example where they pay a fee to get paid even quicker. You'll see that seller once he or she starts using it they use it for most of the future transactions. So when we talk about where we're making our investments, one of the reasons we're investing in a small sales force to sell as fast to seller services is to get more of those sellers into it because it becomes quite addictive. So our biggest -- the stickiness has been really strong and the repeat rate of them using it has been very high. So we just got to get more people to taste it and then they'll hopefully continue to use it. Awareness is...

Matt Hedberg

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Once they sample they want more. That's great, Randy. And then Randy you guys support several key manufacturing processes and die cast injection molding et cetera. I'm curious I think you've had a lot of success in maybe just confirm that. And when you look forward to the future where do you see some of the most interesting aspects of additional adoption of manufacturing process? I'm just, sort of, curious sort of what people are leveraging the platform maybe today and maybe looking forward to how might that change?

Randy Altschuler

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

We're -- we've seen really strong growth in all of our different technologies and processes. It's been a sort of an overall growth across the board. I think what's -- and but I think when you look at this $260 billion market, it's still with many different use cases and lots of different flavors. So I think as we continue to add more processes more, technologies, more finishes we added over 60 last quarter. I think that's what we're seeing that customers, particularly as we're trying to be that one-stop shop is we're trying to grow that number of $50,000 accounts part of the key to that will B2B -- to have a big basket of options available for them. And also as you move to end-use products and production products that becomes increasingly important as well. And so again that's why our marketplace approach and with their technology infrastructure it's ideally suited for it.

Matt Hedberg

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Got it. Thanks a lot. Congrats on the results too.

Randy Altschuler

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Thank you.

Jim Rallo

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our Q&A and program for today. We thank you for your participation and you may now disconnect. Have a wonderful day.