Atish Shah
Analyst · Wells Fargo
Great. Thanks, Marcel, and good morning. I'm delighted to be a part of the Xenia team and look forward to helping lead the Company in the months and years ahead. I've known Marcel for over a decade and I'm excited to now be working with him. Barry and I first met each other about 20 years ago here in Orlando and I got to know him better over the last five years. I look forward to partnering with him and growing our business as well. I'd like to cover four topics during my prepared remarks. First, I will expand on the market color that Marcel provided. Second, I will summarize our quarterly financial results. Third, I will discuss our balance sheet and capital allocation. And lastly, I will provide our outlook for the full year. Turning to my first topic, during the first quarter RevPAR results came in generally as expected. RevPAR grew in each of January and February but declined in March. Overall, top line results were in line with our internal expectations. In terms of market performance, our California hotels led the way. Our hotels in San Diego and Santa Clara, each had strong RevPAR growth. RevPAR for these hotels increased approximately 14% and 8% respectively. And our hotel at SFO, the Marriott SFO, continues to ramp up post renovation and repositioning. RevPAR increased over 50% as it was helped by an easier comparison to last year. On the weaker end of our portfolio were our hotels located in Houston. At these hotels, RevPAR declined over 13%. We had a few other markets which also had a weak quarter, including Chicago, Denver, Pittsburgh and Fort Worth. The combination of the shift in the timing of Easter, lower city-wide convention demand and some pockets of new supply affected hotels in these markets. Our outlook for these hotels anticipates better RevPAR performance for the remainder of the year as the convention calendar improves, new supply is absorbed and we enter the better months for transient travel. Moving ahead to my second topic for this morning, our financial results, adjusted FFO per share declined approximately 4% year-over-year, due largely to an increase in our income tax expense. Excluding a non-recurring income tax expense item related to our spin in 2015, the increase in the quarter was approximately $1.5 million. The variance is largely due to net operating loss carryforwards which were used to reduce our TRS taxable income in 2015, but have been fully utilized. As to G&A expense in the quarter, it increased approximately $3.6 million. Excluding the impact of nonrecurring management transition, severance and stock compensation expenses, our G&A expense increased nearly 13%, reflecting increased staffing post spin. For the full year, we expect a similar level of increase. Following this year, we anticipate our G&A expense growth to be in the low to mid single-digit percentage range on an annual run rate basis. Moving ahead to the next topic, our balance sheet and capital allocation. As to our balance sheet, it continues to be very healthy. It has been bolstered by recent dispositions. We continue to believe our leverage level provides us with ample flexibility. It also makes sense for our asset profile. As of today, our leverage ratio is approximately 3.5x net debt to 2016 EBITDA, using current guidance. This is pro forma for sales that have been recently completed. As to our mix of fixed and floating rate debt, we are at approximately 55% fixed rate debt. Again, we believe this to be an appropriate balance for our asset mix and exposure. Overall, our weighted average cost of borrowing is an attractive 3.5%. We also have a well-laddered maturity profile. As of quarter end, we had sufficient liquidity with approximately $235 million of cash, of which approximately $75 million was restricted. Our $400 million line of credit is undrawn and fully available. This level of liquidity gives us flexibility to have a balanced approach to capital allocation. As to balance sheet activity, during the quarter we completed the funding of $125 million seven-year term loan. We also closed one new loan at the Hotel Palomar Philadelphia and one refinancing at the Grand Bohemian Hotel in Orlando. The total of these two property loans is approximately $120 million. We have two additional single property debt maturities in late 2016. We believe these maturities will be an area of opportunity for us as our current interest rate on these two loans is in the mid-5% range. We are currently evaluating a range of financing options with a preference towards growing our mix of unsecured debt. We will provide an update about this during our next quarterly call. As to capital allocation, we continue to have a balanced approach. Our view is that leverage levels at this part of the cycle should be in the 3.25x to 3.75x range. We are comfortably within that range. We also continue to believe that we can create additional value for shareholders through the return of capital. We have repurchased over $55 million of stock year to date at an attractive price. This activity represents a net reduction in share count of over 3% since the beginning of the year. We have approximately $45 million remaining repurchase authorization. In addition to this return of capital, our recurring dividend has a yield of approximately 7%, as Marcel mentioned. Turning to my next and final topic, our outlook for 2016, we continue to be confident in a 2% to 4% full year RevPAR growth range. Our confidence is due to the following reasons. First, our first quarter performance was in the range of what we had expected. Second, our group revenue pace is up in the mid single-digit percentage range for the full year. This has stayed steady over the last several months. As a reminder, our revenue mix is about 30% group. Among our major group producing hotels, our strongest markets in terms of group revenue pace includes San Francisco, Dallas, Houston and Denver. Third, we anticipate our recently renovated hotels to continue to ramp up nicely. These hotels included the Marriott SFO, Hyatt Regency Santa Clara and the Marriott Napa Valley. And fourth, as it relates to Houston, the comparisons start getting easier as the year progresses. In terms of adjusted EBITDA, our expectation is to generate in the range of $297 million to $311 million, which is approximately $6 million lower than prior guidance, solely due to our two recent dispositions. Our adjusted FFO range is now $243 million to $257 million, which is $4 million lower than prior guidance. After adjusting for the impact of recent dispositions, this reflects an improvement of $2 million. This improvement is due to lower expected income tax expense as we fine-tuned our estimates for the year. Overall, we continue to be confident in our approach to the business as well as the outlook for our hotels. I'll turn it over to Barry to conclude our remarks with some key points about our operating performance.