J. Sell
Analyst · TD Cowen
Thank you, Patricia. Welcome, all. Good morning. It's great to be with you today. What an extraordinary time to be in the business of bringing new power technologies to the market. Based on third-party estimates, global electricity demand is expected to increase more than 75% by 2050. About 1/3 of that growth is predicted to take place in our key markets, the U.S., the U.K. and Canada. And it's estimated that the market just for SMRs could be 158 gigawatts by 2050. That's a $2.3 trillion revenue potential. At X-Energy, we have the opportunity to play a significant role in what will likely be the greatest build-out of power and electrical generation since the dawn of the electricity age. And we have a transformative next-generation technology and a great team of people that will allow us to reinvent and simplify the way nuclear power is built and expand the functions it can serve now and in the future. We're benefiting from a tremendous level of support and help along the way from our early partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy to our first announced customers in Dow, Amazon, Energy Northwest and the U.K. utility Centrica. Now, it will take us several years to fully unlock the scale of this business opportunity, but we want you to come to continue that journey with us today, as we hit the news highlights and update you on our ARDP contract, supply chain agreements, developments at our TRISO-X fuel business, how we're using AI inside X-Energy, project milestones, licensing achievements, new customer agreements and our financial performance in the second quarter. We have a big agenda with a lot of news, so let's get to it. I'll ask you to please turn to Slide 3. We're already there. I want to start with financing update on our partnership with Dow and the Department of Energy. Now, you may recall that in 2021, X-Energy was competitively awarded and to date has been allocated approximately $1.1 billion under the Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program, a 50-50 public-private partnership to deliver our first commercial power plant with Dow in Seadrift, Texas. This DoE grant award is our largest source of revenue at our current stage of development. Yesterday, the Department of Energy formally notified X-Energy that our ARDP cooperative agreement will receive up to an additional $1 billion. This funding will be subject to the same 50-50 cost share requirements as the original award and is expected to be obligated to the award as part of the normal contractual process with the department. So overall, that would increase DoE's cost share contribution to the ARDP up to $2.115 billion. Our project with Dow is important, not only because it's our initial deployment, but because of the unmatched versatility for nuclear energy that it represents. When completed, our Xe-100s are expected to provide both electricity and high-temperature industrial steam for Dow's operations, demonstrating the range of applications our technology can address. And it is, of course, expected to be the first grid-scale advanced nuclear reactor deployed to serve an industrial site in North America. Okay. Let's move to news updates on what we've done to strengthen our supply chain. And again, our supply chain goals are deliver for early projects, derisk and accelerate our ability to scale the business. The availability of HALEU fuel is a current commercial constraint. We've been executing on a strategy to retire that risk for our customers and our businesses for many years. The U.S. Department of Energy and the U.K. government as a result of our efforts and advocacy are financially supporting the construction of new HALEU production facilities. And those incentive contracts have now been awarded and facility expansions are underway. For our first core loads at Dow, we've secured existing material, about 7.6 metric tons from the Department of Energy. Over the last week, we have executed long-term agreements for HALEU enrichment services with both Centrus Energy Corp. and General Matter. Under the contracts, firm delivery commitments will grow through a phased approach to scale HALEU production in line with our expected commercial pipeline. So including our HALEU allocation from the Department of Energy, we now have firm agreements to support the fuel needs for the initial and replacement core loads of our announced Xe-100 projects and beyond. Those agreements give us further certainty around the fuel supply required for our pipeline and are a meaningful step toward diversifying supply, increasing our competitive advantage and significantly reducing HALEU supply risk for our commercial pipeline. Now, let me move to another aspect of our supply chain, nuclear-grade graphite used inside our reactor core. Through an agreement we recently announced with SGL Carbon, we're working to expand SGL's production capacity for medium-grain graphite. We will invest up to $8 million in milestone-based payments to support new facilities and equipment upgrades at SGL's facility in Chedde, France. Full execution of this agreement would double SGL's manufacturing capacity for medium-grain graphite by 2030, enabling the facility to produce graphite billets for up to 8 new Xe-100 reactors per year. All these supply chain agreements are part of our strategy to allocate a portion of our IPO proceeds to secure capacity on behalf of our customers to incentivize early investments by our supply chain partners, to increase our competitive moat and reduce schedule risk for our early projects. As part of our plan, these contractual obligations are expected to be transferred ultimately to our customers. It's been a lot of good progress by our commercial and supply chain team this quarter. So let me now turn to Slide 4 and then 5. I'd like to move to the latest developments of our TRISO-X fuel business. Our vertically integrated fuel fabrication business gives us greater control of an important piece of the reactor supply chain and will create recurring revenue opportunities for the company. In February of this year, we received our Part 70 commercial license from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission for an initial 40-year term. That was the first new commercial fuel fabrication facilities licensed by the NRC in over 50 years. Our first fabrication plant, which we call TX-1, and as you see in this picture, is being constructed with a 50-50 cost share with the U.S. Department of Energy and also received a competitively selected award for up to $148 million in federal tax credits, helping to overall reduce the project risk. In addition, we appreciate the recent $11 million economic development grant from the State of Tennessee, which will be utilized to support the continued development of our potential second commercial fuel facility, which we call TX-2, and will also support the development of our dedicated research and development center, which we call TX-L, all of these located on our campus in Oak Ridge. Our TX-2 facility is also covered under NRC's Part 70 license and is currently in the design phase. This facility is anticipated to produce 4x the capacity of TX-1. And once completed, this campus is expected to establish one of the world's largest commercial scale advanced nuclear fuel fabrication sites with the capacity to produce enough TRISO-X fuel to support approximately 55 of X-Energy's Xe-100 reactors. TX-1, TX-L and the future TX-2 will form the core of our fuel fabrication and technology development campus in Tennessee. As part of that growth plan, we acquired 70 acres of adjacent land in July. This purchase brings the site's total footprint to approximately 180 acres, allowing for continued expansion covered under our Part 70 license, and it provides additional space for utility corridors, equipment staging, fuel storage and long-term expansion. This week, we announced an extension to our cooperative research and development agreement with the Department of Energy's Oak Ridge National Lab. This agreement expands nearly a decade's worth of joint research, technology transfer and process development that has enabled TRISO-X to get ready to manufacture at commercial scale. We have achieved significant process improvements that we expect will continue to reduce the cost of TRISO fuel. Let me give you an example. In our pilot plant, we have consistently achieved greater than 95% for first pass process yield on our kernel conversion process for TRISO fuel. This speaks to the mature process optimization in place at TRISO-X, and we anticipate receiving that level or better at commercial scale. What this means is that more uranium ends up in the pebble and not discarded as waste, which means lower cost fuel. TRISO-X's manufacturing capacity equips it to potentially earn the fuel business of customers beyond our own X-Energy fleet. We have the manufacturing expertise and the capabilities to produce various types of fuel to address the needs of a broader set of SMRs, microreactors and nuclear space applications. Now, if we'll return back to Slide 3, let me switch gears and talk about artificial intelligence. We often talk about AI and hyperscale data centers as a demand pull for nuclear. And certainly, we've experienced that in our own partnership with Amazon. But I want to briefly talk about how we are using AI tools to transform the way we do our business on the inside. At X-Energy, we embraced the use of AI to further accelerate nuclear development. We view every opportunity through the lens of reducing the time and expense required to design, license, manufacture and deploy the fuel and the reactors. We are excited to have recently joined the Department of Energy's Project Prometheus as a founding member, collaborating with organizations, including Idaho National Laboratory, NVIDIA and Amazon Web Services. As part of our commitment, we're providing $10 million in private capital, along with the use of our reactor design and fuel fabrication data. Our data will serve as a technical basis for a 3-year research campaign, leveraging the DoE's test reactors and supercomputing capabilities to integrate frontier class AI models into uses from reactor design to semiautonomous operation workflows as well as fuel fabrication. Our partners -- our participation in this project builds upon the ongoing development of our internal proprietary tool called APEX. This is our multi-agentic AI platform that we have currently deployed across our engineering, licensing and operations teams, where we are already realizing meaningful time and cost savings. Now let's turn to Slide 6, and I'd like to briefly touch on the project -- on the progress of our near-term milestones. First, you will note that we added a line recognizing the agreements to significantly reduce our early HALEU supply risk, which occurred this month, and it's a notable achievement. Moving on down the line, the vertical construction for the shell of our TX-1 fuel facility is progressing on schedule and is approximately 80% complete today. We are on track to meet our third quarter near-term milestone for vertical construction completion and the commencement of the next scope of work for the interior build-out, which includes the construction of a graphite matrix powder building, utility installation and equipment installation in TX-1. On the NRC construction permit for Dow, we anticipate that the NRC staff will close all safety questions by the end of August. We continue to expect final review of our construction permit to be completed in late 2026 with the issuance by the first quarter of '27. In Washington State, the Energy Northwest project is expected to be our second project online and the first of 5 gigawatts of new power projects with Amazon. This project will benefit from engineering, execution and licensing experience developed on the Dow project. Work with Energy Northwest is progressing as planned with Energy Northwest moving toward construction permit submission in the first half of 2027. Finally, regarding our plan to announce the next 1 gigawatt project in 2026, we are in the final throes of an agreement with a major investor-owned utility for our next 1 gigawatt project. It's coming to a close. This is extraordinarily exciting news. But given the larger interest of our partners and the local communities involved, a full announcement will be made in the near future. So stay tuned for more exciting details to come. Let me turn to Slide 7. On last quarter's earnings conference call, we introduced our long-term milestone road map found here. We recognize that our projects are long dated and will take some years to come online. This road map provides you with the order of our project work streams extending into the early 2030s, so you can follow along with us on our progress, as we make project development announcements. Since our last earnings conference call, there have been no changes to the anticipated time line presented on this slide. I'd like to now turn it over to Daniel Gross, our CFO, to discuss our financial results for the quarter in more detail.