Edward Wehmer
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets
Well, Jon, like I said, there is a ton of moving parts here. And I wanted to bring, with extra shooting guns at me over here, but I wanted to preempt the question that I knew it was going to come and hone it down a little bit, but there’s so many moving parts. I could tell you right off the bat your model is probably wrong, but I won’t do that. There is pressure on the assets side of the equation. The -on the premium finance side, we think that we’re getting close to bottom on that because of the -- a lot of the higher yielding assets the 9 month full payout are running off and we’re seeing the bottom steady on those and actually move up a little bit. So, we think that that’s a positive side. We think that really that the securitization running off if you run those numbers, where there was a 2% negative spread on that. When we -- if you use these things, we probably defuse them over time to make 50 or 60 basis points. We still had because of the losses that we took right away, I mean it was still expensive to us. But when the whole thing is gone, it’s 2% negative that just walks out the door. You can calculate those numbers. The funding side, our funding right now is coming in less expensive and the mix is better than what the historical portfolio has been and the re-pricing opportunities that will also bring those numbers down. But, we recast on the covered assets every quarter. We recast those cash flows that can go either way, you never know, that’s a wildcard. The pricing on the commercial portfolio, we are augmenting it with this fixed rate loan program that we are putting in, that we covered with these caps that we put on the books that should help and offset that. So, there is a lot of levers here that as I said we can move back and forth. And I think all-in-all, you are never going to be able to nail down exactly what it’s going to be. And so I said, here is your spread, it’s going to be in the up or down about that, and I am very comfortable working in that range, because of the great momentum we have, how we are positioned on our asset liability side for a rising rate situation, which is the old beach ball under water, if you remember how we used to use that analogy going in the old days, but…