Timothy Boswell
Analyst · Barclays.
Ronan, this is Tim, and you're a bit muffled in terms of your question, but I think you were generally getting at where are we kind of in line with our expectations that we had to start the year versus where we may be quite clearly ahead. So I'll just start with the fundamental leasing KPIs of volume, price and value-added products. So in Modular, volume, very much in line, low single-digit organic growth for the year, supplemented with some tuck-in acquisitions with a comparable order but going into next year. So we kind of check the box. We're at expectation there. Ahead of expectations, certainly on pricing and value-added products and services. I am extremely excited by the product management organization that we have today and the pipeline of opportunity that we see in value-added products not just for 2023, but we are phasing product introductions into 2024. So I'd say, ahead of expectations there in modular VAPS and ahead of expectations, I think, across the board in the storage segment. Certainly, organic and acquisition-based volume growth in storage is ahead of where we thought we would be. Pricing, I think we're still trying to figure out where the ceiling is in storage. And we have -- are kind of in line with our VAPS rollout expectations for storage and are seeing very encouraging results there in ground level offices. Brad mentioned, we're already delivering those units north of $100 per unit per month that could double as we roll forward into 2023 and 2024. And we're starting to move the needle a bit in storage container value-added products as well. So really, if you look at our 3- to 5-year operating ranges on Slide 15 of the investor deck, you net all that together, we're running well ahead of the revenue CAGR that we put forth as we go into Q4, we'll be at the upper end of the EBITDA margin range that we talked about. We've eclipsed the return on invested capital range, at least in the most recent quarter. We're comfortably within the leverage range. We're growing into the free cash flow range as we get to that $500 million free cash flow run rate, the free cash flow margin is down, right? And that's just a function of a heavy investment year this year, but no concerns about getting back into that range over time. And as I said in my prepared remarks, multiple pathways to triple free cash flow per share in 2 to 4 years. So I'd say across the board, we're feeling quite good. I already talked about the logistics value driver. We're on our way to eclipsing that 1 as well. And all of this means that the business is compounding at a pace that's faster than we thought a year ago and means our run rate going into 2023 is well ahead of where we thought we would be.