Gregg Lowe
Analyst · Samik Chatterjee from JPMorgan. Your line is now open
Yes. Thanks for the question. And let me just please be clear on Mohawk Valley. So at Mohawk Valley you know we're going to be ramping with fab you know in the first half of calendar year as you get it this in calendar year 2022. And what that means in the first part of that you know is going to think about that kind of March quarter, certain internal qualification and then as it’s moved into the June period, now you start thinking about doing customer qualifications and then transitioning to revenue out beyond that. So, if you think about 2022, there’s kind of de minimis impact on revenue for Mohawk Valley. But I think, I think this is kind of getting down to a few things that we should clarify a little bit on the revenue. Let me just unpack how this kind of plays out. You kind of mentioned a few pieces there. So, first of all, as you look at just 4Q, it is looking back, the revenue and the quarter came in just, just above the mid-point of the guidance range. And while demand continued to accelerate and some of these businesses particularly in power, we were slowed by the COVID-19 outbreak in Malaysia. And it was roughly $3 million to $5 million of revenue that was left unfulfilled in the quarter, okay. So, we would have done $3 million to $5 million more had it not been for the, the COVID-19 outbreak at our contract manufacturer in, in Malaysia. And but despite that, I thought we saw, we saw, we saw pretty good growth. As you look in to, looking forward into 1Q, the demand continues to be strong particularly in devices and power, able to continue to fuel I think strong quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year growth. But however, at the midpoint of what we've baked in another kind of $5 million to $7 million of revenue impact from Malaysia so said another way we probably could have committed to more revenue in Q1 period had it not been for the Malaysia situation. So, we also widened our revenue range with that as well. So, again, even with that we do expect to see some good revenue growth. Now, with that, I also think it's important that we kind of step back and just kind of look at the macro level here. Gregg kind of talked a little bit earlier. As we discussed in the prepared remarks, the slope of the demand curve for silicon carbide solutions particularly on devices has dramatically increased and is ahead of what we previously thought. We thought the inflection point, as we talk about Investor Day and since then was kind of 2023, kind of 2024 timeframe. And right now, we're seeing that pulling all the way into fiscal 2022. And to give you an idea, you know, this year alone, we'll see, you know, more than $100 million of customer demand on a revenue line unfulfilled in this year and the demand levels we're seeing in 2023 and 2024-plus has steepened as well. And I'll say, you heard a couple questions on industrial or automotive. This demand stays relatively broad based. For instance, you know, our automotive devices continues to be relatively small. The revenue for that in Q4 alone grew more than a 100% versus last year. So, I think this device situation has really shifted to a supply side type of challenge. So we just need to drive more capacity out of our current footprint in North Carolina just to keep up with the demand inflection that's really pulled all the way into this year, and you know, until we get Mohawk Valley kind of up and running. So I think the -- the revenue markers that we're seeing now as evidenced by the -- the pipeline and the design is really pulling in pretty heavily weighted to - weighted to the current period.