Richard Giromini
Management
Yes, our position was that we could only get to around 30,000. When you really read into any press releases or commentary that you hear through the proverbial grapevine and all would be more in that possibly 30,000 impact would be more of a 2017 rather than 2016 as these facilities or expansions are completed. There is some misnomers and that’s where the 50,000 number comes in, the misnomers by some folks on what was being reported in the case of one of the competitors who is taking a facility and repurposing it to build dry vans, the likelihood is that that capacity will be transitioned over from a nearby older plant. So it’s not an effective minor increase rather than what was being reported in another case, an expansion is really being done for – and based on the pres release that’s put out for chassis and containers, which will not impact van trailer production, there is only a small portion where a line has been added internally on an expanded facility but a new facility is strictly intended for chassis and containers. So, all in, the best we can come up is something nearing the 30,000 unit increase in effective capacity and I will add what I shared last quarters prior to the recession downturn, there were about 50,000 more units of van capacity in the industry leading into the downturn. So coming out of the downturn, 50,000 down, now, we are talking about potential of 30,000 up. So, from a comparison basis, we’ll still be 20,000 units as effective installed capacity less than what we had prior to the last downturn and the industry operated pretty effectively even at those levels. I will share there has been some other offsets in the tank trailer side of the industry. So what we’ve been talking about right now is more in the van side, van trailer side. On the tank trailer side of the industry, there have been some folks who have left the industry, some smaller players. It’s not appreciable in volume, but there actually has been more reductions than there had been additions. Polar announced the closure of two of three facilities that they have. So that’s going to take some capacity out of the industry. Hauler has left the industry building tank trailers. We understand that Mak has repurposed their Billings Montana plants away from tank trailers to building dumps and other products. So, there is going to be a net reduction there that should help drive opportunities on the tank trailer side of the business. So there is some balancing going on in the industry.