Steven Bender
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open
Thank you, Albert, and good morning everyone. I will start with discussing our consolidated financial results followed by a detailed review of our vinyls and olefin segments. Let me begin with our consolidated results. For the third quarter of 2019, we reported net income of $158 million or $1.22 per share compared to net income of $308 million for the third quarter of 2018. Compared to our prior results, our results were primarily impacted by lower prices and margins for our major products, especially in the international export markets. While most of the North American ethylene producers use cost advantaged gas-based feedstock, mainly the Asian and European ethylene producers use naphtha and oil-based feedstock, the lower ore prices we have experienced throughout 2019 have lowered the oil to gas ratio reducing our cost advantage. Slowing global economic growth over the past year resulting from the international trade tension uncertainties coupled with lower oil and gas ratio have led to lower margins in both our olefins and vinyl segment when compared to the third quarter of 2018. Compared to the second quarter of 2019, we benefited from lower feedstock and fuel cost as higher operating rates in our vinyl segment following the completion of our normal spring maintenance turnarounds. Our utilizations of the FIFO method of accounting resulted in favorable pre-tax impact of approximately $4 million or $0.03 per share, compared to what earnings would have been reported on the LIFO method. This calculation is only an estimate and has not been audited. Now, let's move on to review the performance of our few segments starting with our vinyl segment. In the third quarter of 2019, our vinyls business continued to lower sales prices for caustic soda, especially in the export market, as declining global industrial activity and slower economic growth resulting from ongoing uncertainty in international trade pressured prices lower over the past year. Compared to the third quarter 2018, vinyl's operating income of $153 million decreased $98 million, primarily as a result of the lower sales prices for caustic soda. Third quarter vinyl's operating income of a $153 million increased $24 million in the second quarter 2019 as we benefited from lower ethylene feedstock and fuel prices and we ran at higher operating rates following the completion of our spring turnarounds. Now, turning to our olefin segment, since 2018, the industry supply demand balance has seen significant new ethylene and polyethylene production capacity enter the market, which coupled with the ongoing trade uncertainty and lower global oil prices pushed sales prices and margins lower. For the third quarter 2019, olefin's operating income of $92 million decreased $70 million from third quarter 2018, a result of lower margins from all polyethylene sales prices. Third quarter 2019 olefin's operating income of $92 million increased $10 million from second quarter 2019 as we benefited from more feedstock and fuel cost when compared to the prior quarter. Next, let's turn our attention to the balance sheet and statement cash flows. At the end of the third quarter, we had cash and cash equivalence of $104 billion, and total debt of $3.4 billion. Third quarter 2019 cash flows from operating activities were $501 million, while capital expenditures were $193 million. These capital expenditures were focused in our strategic de-bottlenecking investments to further integrate our vinyls businesses in the United States and Germany to capture the margin within our product chain, reduce our cost, and further leverage the footprint of existing vinyls operations around the world. We expect to start up our previously-announced VCM and PVC expansions in Louisiana and Germany by the end of the year, which will bring more than £750 million of PVC production per year. As announced last week, we have exercised our option to acquire an additional interest in our ethylene joint venture with Lotte Chemical, which will further integrate our vinyls chain and lower our cost. We seek to invest prudently in opportunities to acquire leading technologies and in projects that will further enhance a chain integration of our business, which improves our cost position and capitalize on our global advantaged feedstock position. As we look forward, new NGL pipelines and accompanying fractionation capacity will be starting up in the fourth quarter. These infrastructure investments will increase the supply of feedstock and ethylene into our industry and highlight the beneficial long-term cost advantage position enjoyed by North American producers. For your planning purposes, as we approached the end of 2019, we continue to expect our effective tax rate and cash tax rate for the full-year to be approximately 23% and 18% respectively, and our capital expenditures to be approximately $650 million. With that, I'll now turn the call back over to Albert to make some closing comments. Albert?