Ira Birns
Analyst · Bank of America
Thank you, Mike. Before I walk through our fourth quarter and full year results, please note, the following figures exclude the impact of certain non-operational items, which are highlighted our earnings release. These items principally consist of a nonoperating legal settlement and a loss related to our estimated earnout arising from the sale of multi service in 2020. These items, however, resulted in approximately $26 million of related cash inflows during the first half of this year 20 million of which was already received during the first quarter. To assist you in reconciling the results published on earnings released the breakdown of the nonoperational items can be found on our website and on the last slide of today's webcast presentation. So now on to the financial highlights. Consolidated revenue for the full year was a record $59 billion, up $28 billion are at 8% year-over-year, related to the increase in average fuel prices, as well as volume increases across all of our business segments compared to 2021. Adjusted fourth quarter net income and earnings per share with $33.5 million and $0.54 per share, respectively, up by 16 million and $0.26 per share compared to the fourth quarter of 2021. Adjusted full year net income and earnings per share were $128 million in $2.40 per share respectively, both increasing nearly 50% from prior year results. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $107 million. That's an increase of $51 million, or 93% compared to the fourth quarter of 2021. And for the full year, adjusted EBITDA was $380 million, up $142 million, or 60%, compared to 2021. Consolidated volume again increased principally related to our aviation segment, continuing to bounce back from pandemic lows, and the addition of the Flyers Energy business at the beginning of 2022. With fourth quarter and full year consolidated volume of 4.6 billion and 18.3 billion gallons or gallon equivalents, representing year-over-year increases of 5% and 15%, respectively. In terms of segment volumes, fourth quarter volume and our aviation segment was 1.8 billion gallons. That's an increase of 7% compared to the fourth quarter of 2021. The volume increase in the fourth quarter was principally driven by a further recovery of commercial passenger traveled primarily in Europe. Full year aviation volume was 7.1 billion gallons an increase of 22% year-over-year. As a result of the significant recovery from the pandemic lows in the last couple of years. Were 2021 only experienced the partial recovery due to ongoing travel restrictions in Europe and Asia, '22 constituted a year of more meaningful demand recovery in Europe and other parts of the world with Asia still lagging. Volume in our marine segments for the fourth quarter was 4.7 million metric tons, a slight decrease of 4% year-over-year. However, marine volume for the full year was 19.1 million metric tons. That's a 3% increase year-over-year. As I will review shortly while volume growth was modest, we had a fabulous year driven by higher average margins due in part to elevated prices and increased interest rates along with related credit constraints in the Marine marketplace compared to 2021. And lastly, our land segment volume was 1.5 billion gallons or gallon equivalent in the fourth quarter and 6.2 billion gallons for the full year, an increase of 12% and 17% respectively. Both the fourth quarter and full year volume increases were principally driven by Flyers. Consolidated gross profit for the fourth quarter was $282 million, that's a 31% year over year increase, and full year gross profit was $1.1 billion, up $300 million or 38% year over year. Our aviation segment contributed $111 million of gross profit in the fourth quarter, a slight increase compared to the results in the fourth quarter of last year. For the full year aviation gross profit was $357 million, a decrease of 8% compared to 2021, principally associated with the negative impact of the steeply backwardated market in the first half of this year or last year, as well as the reduction of government related activity as a result of the troop withdrawal from Afghanistan in the summer of 2021. Partially offset by a significant rebound in domestic and international commercial passenger activities. While we frequently talk about a commercial aviation business, it is important to note that we also had a very strong year in business and general aviation activities. servicing corporate fleets and private jets with gross profit in that area increasing 26% from 2021, benefiting from increased fueling activity, but also from continued growth and related service offerings, which Mike mentioned earlier. While the UVair acquisition, which we closed just before the onset of the pandemic had a slow start for obvious reasons, it was successfully integrated very quickly and is now making very healthy contributions to our broader business and general aviation results. In the first quarter, while we expect to experience a seasonal sequential decline in aviation gross profit, year over year gross profit should be higher than the first quarter of 2022 when we began experiencing the impact of market backwardation. For the full year, aviation should rebound substantially, again, due principally to the broader backwardation related pricing impacts experience in the first half of 2022. The Marine segment generated fourth quarter gross profit of $56 million, that's an 85% year over year increase. Once again, driven by the market dynamics I described earlier. For the full year marine growth profit was a record $256 million, an increase of $156 million or 155% year over year. The Marine team did a remarkable job servicing our customers and managing risk amidst a very challenging macro environment with significant market volatility. While the market remains challenging, we expect Marine first quarter gross profit to be up modestly year over year, driven in part by the continued higher interest rate and credit constrained macro environment. However, for the full year, we expect marine results to be meaningfully lower than the extraordinary results produced in 2022, considering the significant reduction in fuel prices and volatility from prior year highs. Our land segment delivered gross profit of $116 million in the fourth quarter, that's a 54% year over year increase. In addition to the significant impact from the flyers acquisition, which performed extremely well throughout the year, our broader North American business also performed well as in our European power business within World Connect, which benefited in part from the heightened level of volatility in Europe. And finally, our sustainability business also grew year-over-year. We're continuing to invest in talent in this part of the business, which have helped accelerate growth in the strategic area for us. For the full year, land delivered $476 million in gross profit. That's a 58% year-over-year increase, now representing 44% of consolidated gross profit for the company, demonstrating the growing significance of our ground base conventional fuels business, and our sustainability related product and service offerings. Over the years, we have continued sharpening our focus in our land segment. While there is still more work to be done, the recent investments that we have made in this segment have truly changed the landscape of this part of our business. With our '22 results reflecting full year flyers results, as you can see on the webcast slide, total North American commercial and industrial gross profit derived from gasoline, diesel and lubricant sales, including our car lock activity in nearly 450 network sites across the U.S. increased from 20% in 2021 to 47% in 2022. And when adding our distribution of fuel to more than 3000 retail convenience store customers across the U.S. generally under long-term contracts, the aggregate contribution to gross profit was 62%. This is evidence that our current distribution of land volume and related profitability is now more readable than ever, generating higher unit margins and creating greater scale while remaining our lowest risk business. While we already experienced higher overall lead operating margins in 2022, with this increased scale, we now have broader opportunities to further increase operating efficiencies over time. I will share more details here shortly. Beyond our traditional liquid fuels business, we have also continued to grow our natural gas and powerful filament and brokerage activities, as well as our sustainability consulting and other renewable energy solutions through World Connect, which combined representing more than 20% of land segment gross profit in 2022. As Mike mentioned, we remain excited about the expanding growth opportunities across our core land fuels business, as well as everything that we're doing within World Connect. For the first quarter, we anticipate land gross profit to be flat to up modestly compared to the results posted in the first quarter of 2022, when we benefited significantly from near record performance in our UK land business. For the full year 2023, we may focus on driving further year-over-year improvement in gross profit by capitalizing on organic and inorganic growth opportunities and identifying greater efficiencies in our North American land fuels business, while also accelerating growth in our sustainability related business activities. Total operating expenses, including bad debt expense, were $202 million in the fourth quarter in line with our expectations at the beginning of the quarter. For the full year, our operating efficiency improved meaningfully with our operating income as a percentage of gross profit, increasing more than 500 basis points from 2021 to 25.3%. Benefiting from the significant operating leverage that exists in marine when market conditions are favorable, as well as fliers. While we made significant progress in 2022, we're continuing to focus on driving cost efficient growth, aggressively managing expenses and making synergistic investments. And a result of these efforts, we are establishing an operating margin target of 30% or more by 2025. Looking ahead to the first quarter, we expect our operating expenses will be similar to the fourth quarter in the range of 200 million to 205 million. Again, this estimate includes bad debt expense. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $107 million, an increase of 93% compared to last year's fourth quarter. For the full year, our adjusted EBITDA was $380 million, that's a $142 million or 60% year over year increase, and now represents a level similar to our strong pre pandemic performance in 2019. Again, driven by record, Marine results strong core commercial and business and general aviation results and solid performance in our North American land business, including flyers. Fourth quarter interest expense was $36 million, in line with our guidance on last quarter's call. Our interest expense remains higher than prior years due to the impact of higher average fuel prices on our working capital requirements, as well as higher average funding costs driven by the rising interest rate environment. To be clear, interest expense is principally comprised of the borrowing costs related to our revolving credit facility and term loan, as well as fees associated with our receivable sales activity, which comprised approximately 40% of our overall interest expense for the fourth quarter and full year. As discussed on last quarter's call, we remain focused on numerous opportunities to mitigate the impact of further interest rate hikes, summary already action and others work in progress. Based on what we know today, our consolidated interest expense for the first quarter should be flat to modestly down sequentially, but up significantly from the first quarter of 2022 when interest rates were still materially lower. For the full year, interest expense is currently expected to exceed 2022 by approximately 15% to 20%, principally related to the first quarter as interest rates had already increased by the second quarter of 2022. Onto taxes. Our adjusted effective tax rate for the fourth quarter was 22% compared to 25% in the fourth quarter of 2021. For the full year, our adjusted effective tax rate was 20% down significantly from 26% in 2021. This is related to our continued efforts to drive greater tax efficiencies, across our global business and the benefit from certain discreet items. For 2023, we believe our full year tax rate will remain generally consistent with 2022. However, I would like to be clear and indicating that our quarterly rates could vary significantly as they did in 2022, and remain highly dependent on the timing and mix of global earnings and the accomplishments of key objectives in 2023 affecting our tax rate. During the fourth quarter, operating cash flow was negative $91 million despite the negative operating cash flow in the fourth quarter and the negative cash impact of backwardation on our aviation results in the first half of 2022, we did generate $138 million of operating cash flow for the year. Considering the current interest rate environment, we are focused on driving an even better result for ‘23, which would be both positive to liquidity and returns, but also beneficial to interest expense. And also during 2022, we repurchase approximately $50 million of our common stock and increased our quarterly dividend by 17%, returning nearly $80 million of capital to our shareholders, demonstrating our continued commitment to drive additional shareholder value through five and dividends. In closing, we had a strong year, which began with the strategic acquisition of Flyers, which had a phenomenal year significantly exceeding our initial expectations and materially increasing the size, scale, and geographic breadth of our North American liquid fuels business. Marines simply had a phenomenal year delivering gross profit 2.5 times the level produced in 2021 while navigating a higher fuel price and credit constrained environment. And while aviation was hampered by the impact of steep market backwardation in commercial aviation in the first half of last year. They experienced strong volume growth and we also experienced a significant increase in profitability in our business in general aviation, business, fuel and service offerings. We generated again $380 million of adjusted EBITDA approaching pre-pandemic levels, despite the sale of multiservice in 2020, and the discontinuation of government related activity in Afghanistan in 2021. In terms of M&A, while the current interest rate environment has added a layer of complexity here, our liquidity profile remains strong, and our pipeline of opportunities remains significant. We will continue our disciplined approach to M&A, focusing on identifying accreted and leverageable opportunities that complement our conventional fuel businesses, digital offerings and sustainability related activities. Our team is very proud of what we accomplished in 2022. And we're equally proud of our team for what they've accomplished. And we are confident that are continued focus on driving further improvement in operating efficiencies, and an increasing suite of strategic growth opportunities will result in accelerated growth over the next few years. We look forward to sharing our progress with you going forward. I would now like to turn the call over to our wonderful operator, Gigi to open the Q&A session. Gigi?