Michael Happe
Analyst · Citi. Your line is now open.
Yes, to be quite transparent with you, I was just beginning my tenure here at Winnebago Industries in 2016, during the last presidential election. So, I'm not steeped in history at Winnebago Industries, nor in the RV industry in terms of past election cycle impact. It is difficult to define that fickleness, we get asked often if the American consumer is so robust in other parts of the economy, why is retail off a little bit in the RV business? And that's not the easiest question to answer, because the answer is probably multiple in terms of its reasons. I think generally, consumers continue to spend in a number of facets of their life, whether it's the retail side, now holiday shopping, restaurants or travel, but some of those higher end products maybe like ours that are more of a want as opposed to a need, it appears that they've just slightly taken that foot off the gas through some of the retail that's been trending. Is it a little bit of uncertainty in terms of potential future economic policy change related to who sits in the White House, really unclear, obviously to us, but there is just this – earlier in 2019, there was some higher level of difficulty in closing sales within the retail dealer environment that abated a bit as we got into some of the fall RV retail shows. If you remember, Fred, we commented at our last call that we were seeing really good traffic, but also good retail sales at our fall shows. And again, our business continues to see good retail, but – so it's difficult to describe, I think the election cycle has something to do with it, but maybe, consumers are just being a little bit more disciplined with some of those discretionary again, higher end type purchases.