Earnings Labs

Westrock Coffee Company, LLC (WEST)

Q2 2023 Earnings Call· Sat, Aug 12, 2023

$5.64

+0.45%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Hello and welcome to the Westrock Coffee Company’s Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Gigi and I will be coordinating your call today. Following prepared remarks, we will open the call to your questions with instructions to be given at that time. I will now hand the call over to Clay Crumbliss with ICR.

Clay Crumbliss

Management

Good afternoon and welcome to Westrock Coffee Company’s second quarter 2022 earnings conference call. Today’s call is being recorded. With us are Mr. Scott Ford, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer; and Mr. Chris Pledger, Chief Financial Officer. By now, everyone should have access to the company’s second quarter earnings release issued earlier today. This information is available on the Investor Relations section of Westrock Coffee Company’s website at investors.westrockcoffee.com. Certain comments made on this call include forward-looking statements, which are subject to the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations and beliefs concerning future events and are subject to several risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in these forward-looking statements. Please refer to today’s press release and other filings with the SEC for a more detailed discussion of the risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements made today. Also discussions during the call will use some non-GAAP financial measures as we describe business performance. The SEC filings, as well as the earnings press release, provide reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. And with that, it’s my pleasure to turn the call over to Scott Ford, our Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer. Scott?

Scott Ford

Management

Thank you for joining us this afternoon. Thank you, Clay. In a few moments Chris Pledger, our CFO, will review our second quarter financial performance and preview our thinking on the second half of 2023. Calendar year 2023 carries meaningful costs related to major equipment and systems upgrades and additional overhead expense required to prepare us for the next few years. These impacts are largely transitory in nature and best behind us rather than in front of us as we prepare to open our new Conway facility. At each decision point along the way over the past year, we chose securing our success and launching the new extract and RTD plant in Conway over maximizing this year's earnings. But before I turn the call over to Chris for his update, allow me to spend a few minutes updating you on this new Conway facility. As followers of West know, Conway is our single most important and impactful project. It's successful completion and commercial production launch will radically alter the overall profitability and trajectory of the company. Our recent $119 million equity raise provides the funding necessary for the timely completion of the packaging lines originally envisioned and announced; a high speed camera line, a high speed glass bottle line, multi-serve bottle line, and BIB and bulk packaging capabilities. But importantly, this recent raise also funds the installation of a second and third can line and a state-of-the-art product development lab and pilot plant. Today we are pleased to announce that the original can and glass bottle packaging lines are sold out. We have more customer demand than available capacity for our multi-serve line and we've begun discussions with prospective customers who we expect to speak for the available capacity of our two new can lines before they even come online.…

Chris Pledger

Management

Thanks, Scott, and good afternoon, everyone. Since this is the first opportunity we have to talk about our recent capital markets activity, I'll begin my remarks by providing some context for both our recent equity raise and credit agreement amendment. After that, I'll provide an overview of our second quarter results and end with an update on our 2023 outlook. As Scott mentioned, when we went public last August, we did so with a two part strategy; first, we wanted to expand our flavors, extracts and ingredients platform to the build out of our Conway extract and RTD facility and, second, we wanted to expand internationally with our blue chip customer base. Our go-public transaction was designed to provide us with all the capital we needed to jumpstart that plan. As we began 2023, a few things became apparent. First, customer demand for the products we plan to produce out of our Conway facility exceeded our expectations, both in terms of volume and in the variety of formats our customers wanted. Second, this customer demand and the opportunities that presented were growing faster than our ability to access the capital we needed to fund them under the terms of our existing credit facility. And third, the overall US macroeconomic picture with higher inflation, higher interest rates and the turmoil in the banking sector, created uncertainty around expectations for consumer demand and 2023. Collectively, these factors led us to conclude we needed to build a fortress around our balance sheet to ensure we have the capital necessary to fund the expanded opportunities we were seeing out of our Conway extract and RTD facility, and to take advantage of any other opportunities that arose along the way. To accomplish this goal, we look to our lending syndicate to adjust our covenant package,…

Scott Ford

Management

Thanks, Chris. 14 years ago, we started a small coffee export operation in Rwanda, in order to ensure that farmers in that region received a fair market price for their crop. Many said it couldn't be done. That business ended up creating the world's first fully digitally traceable coffee supply chain, which paved the way for major consumer brands to demand digital price transparency, all the way back to the farmer at origin. It literally changed pricing discussions for the entire global industry. We then launched a roasting business in the United States, and got into the single serve cup manufacturing business when Keurig’s patents ran out. Many said we could not possibly be successful in such a highly technical venture against an operator with such manufacturing scale. Today, we are one of the leading providers of these products to some of the largest branded retailers in the world. We then purchased the largest provider of coffee and tea to restaurants and c stores unluckily three weeks before COVID shut them down for almost a year. Many predicted we would certainly fail because several others similarly situated did. We survive that and took the nascent Coffee Extract business that was resident in that business, and the core team that had created it, and launched what will soon be the largest roast to extract to ready to drink plant in the country. And today, we are pleased to share that not only is that plant being considerably upsized, accelerated, and is essentially fully funded, but its capacity is largely sold out and under contract. I believe that completing the plant, and producing and packaging the contracted product is well within the reach of this team, now that the capital structure impediments have been fully removed. With that, I'd like to thank you for your interest in Westrock and I'll turn the call back over to the operator for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Ben Bienvenu from Stephens Inc.

Ben Bienvenu

Analyst

Hey, thanks. Good afternoon.

Scott Ford

Management

Good afternoon.

Ben Bienvenu

Analyst

So Scott, I wanted to start off, kind of picking up where you left off with, the expansion of the Conway facility, the update to the long-term incrementally, but from that facility, I think you said 125 million to 150 million versus the original 100 million by 2027. First, is the timeframe still the same by 2027 to get to that 125 million to 150 million? And then second, when you cited some of the equipment delays that are impacting this year, to what degree to those linger into next year and how should we think about the bridge from 2023 to that substantially higher EBITDA run rate?

Scott Ford

Management

Yeah, so first of all, the timeframe is substantially the same. We're using the fifth year of the model, if you will, 2027 when we look at the up and running EBITDA. As we're currently looking at it right now, we will have a fairly hefty, very low debt balance sheet at that point in time and so my guess is we won't just run it off flat and we will actually look to continue to invest CapEx to grow our EBITDA but in the current model, where we are assuming that we go on and let the leverage largely completely unwind, that is apple-to-apple against what we originally forecast when we went public in our SPAC and so we think that's the apple-to-apple comparison. So the lift, although essentially at the same timeframe, comes at a moment when we should experience fairly low leverage and is incremental because of the sales and the additional lines that we've been able to put in and get contracted over the last 12 months. As it goes to the equipment delays in single serve -- I'm sorry, did I --

Ben Bienvenu

Analyst

Nope, you got it right where I was going to follow up, perfect.

Scott Ford

Management

Yeah, so that equipment is all in, we have rebuilt of the almost 20 different machines that had to be installed or rebuilt, we are down to only three rebuilds left, that equipment is up and running. Our metrics have largely come back into line with our experience before we went through the scale up without the equipment that didn't come in. We were very pleased with where we sit at that point, we have built inventory, we are ready for the fall, you can always have some other problem, but the problem that we rode through for a year, where we had a material uptick in demand and the equipment that we had planned to have in to deliver it didn't come in, that is behind us.

Ben Bienvenu

Analyst

Okay, that's great to hear. My second question kind of pivots to the balance sheet of it. Chris, I think you cited, if you want to call it, pro forma leverage of 2.7 times at June 30 with the new investment that you've secured, would you expect to maintain the balance sheet at that level moving forward, even as you ramp up the capital spend? And then if you could talk a little bit about why you chose to bring on additional equity investors versus scaling up the balance sheet in the backdrop that we have and why that makes the most sense.

Chris Pledger

Management

Well, the thing for us, in terms for -- I guess, from the leverage standpoint, I'll answer that one first. The 2.7 on a pro forma basis, I mean, that's going to grow a little bit, my guess is probably 100 basis points or so as we get into the teeth of the CapEx spend, which we kind of start now through the end of the first to second quarter of next year. But our goal is to keep leverage low throughout the process and we were able to do that really in from a -- we started with a credit agreement and an expansion of our covenant package and then went and raised the equity for two reasons; first of all that we wanted to be able to -- we can use that obviously that as we grow Conway, but the other thing is to make sure that from an equity perspective that we've got the dry powder, if we want to look at or as other things arise in the future.

Ben Bienvenu

Analyst

Okay, great, thanks. I'll get back in the queue.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Matt Smith from Stifel.

Scott Ford

Management

Hi, Matt.

Matt Smith

Analyst

Hi, Scott and Chris.

Chris Pledger

Management

Hey.

Matt Smith

Analyst

Scott, I wanted to follow up on your comments around the initial lines for Conway now essentially being fully under contract. Can you talk about how the mix of the business for those lines and the profitability of those contracts compared to your initial expectations as you begin began to contemplate the Conway project? And then if I could, as you look more into the future at the extract capabilities that will come on line in the coming years, have your expectations changed for the mix of that business, the profitability of that business or do they remained fairly consistent with your initial expectations?

Scott Ford

Management

Yeah, super question. When we actually spent time on with the Board this morning, the mix has come in actually, I would say, better than we expected. We thought that it might be super highly concentrated, it looks like the way that we've landed and most of this is now, I would say, probably we have room for one more contractual piece on our -- on one of the first two lines and then we are down to just the small line available with space. And the spread there is -- we're probably dealing with six of the 10 largest CPG coffee ready to drink brands in the country on that set of contracts. So that's the mix expectation that came in a little broader than we thought, the MOQs [Phonetic] on it are still very large, because the players that are coming in are all large in the space on a relative basis. So we've been very pleased with that. As we look at the expected margins relative to the pricing, we assumed when we went out, we were basically right on top of that plus or minus 10% at an EBITDA level, not at a pricing -- at a revenue level, so we're very pleased with that. That's a lot tighter than we actually had any reason to expect we could guess from the market. And then finally, as you look forward, this is I think the core driver of the business and, Matt, your question is kind of where we've been living, which is it's reminiscent to me of wireless data, we never got our wireless data for -- I used to run a wireless business called Alltel, doesn't matter now, but we never got our wireless data growth forecast high enough. We just never could guess how much people were going to shift to wireless data away from terrestrial based wireline networks. And we were -- no matter how much we invested and how aggressive we were, we were always behind the curve. I have seen this curve before and we are still behind it. We have literally $100 million of additional EBITDA in a pipeline that we are busily trying to find places to make the product to bring it through. We have caught the bus and we are trying to actually get it to slow down a little so that we can catch up with, actually wrestle it down, if you will.

Matt Smith

Analyst

That's great. Thank you for that commentary. And if I could follow up with a question around what you're seeing across the industry, given the really robust demand that you're speaking of? Are you seeing other capacity plans that may impact just how strong the demand is for the Conway space?

Scott Ford

Management

I wouldn't want to get out -- hold myself out as a professional, insightful analyst of what other people are doing. I've got all I can say grace over here, we're not seeing a tremendous amount of capacity being discussed, we have customers that are already asking us to go build another facility like the one we're building in Conway in another part of the country, I don't have any idea if that will pan out or not. We have other projects that we're looking at doing to diversify the physical location where we make products. We have other projects that, if you look at the ESL line that I mentioned in my comments, where we may go do that in some other form, or fashion, in addition to the Conway plant. And so we have a, I would say, corporate development effort that is busy all the time, trying to find homes for the products that people are trying to buy from us. And it comes from, not the capacity of the can or the bottle line; Matt, this is the key thing, it comes from the extract. The extract that we make, the extracts that we match, the extracts that we can create for people is what brings the customer base through our doors. They start in our labs. They don't start with an RFP for putting stuff in a bottle. They start in the labs and we co-develop a lot of these formulations and then as we put them in a can or a bottle, they start to then want to be able to put them in all the various form package -- packaging forms, if you will, and that experience is what we never guessed we would be -- that is the experience we're having with customers that is so far out-running what we expected when we started this, that we've doubled the footprint. We're going to put a million square feet under production in less than 18 months and it's woefully short of the products people are talking to us about making and then packaging for them.

Matt Smith

Analyst

Thank you for that Scott. I appreciate the commentary. I'll pass it on.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Sarang Vora from TAG.

Sarang Vora

Analyst

Great. Good afternoon, everyone. Great on equity raise and progress on the Conway and EBITDA estimates. Just taking a step back, can you help us understand how the facility is in the construction phase right now? Are you on track in terms of getting the equipment, hiring the talent for it, because it's a massive project for you guys? So, just curious as you have these milestones like how are you tracking in terms of milestones, anything that you are more mindful of or anything we should be worried about related to the opening?

Scott Ford

Management

Well, we can always worry. But at this point in time, we are actually, thank the Good Lord, ahead of schedule and under budget, not on time, on budget. Now we have a long way to go but we have equipment that has already been installed, the leadership team is already in place. We have set eyes on physically 90% of the equipment that is coming into Conway in the manufacturing hub where it's being manufactured, the last 10% will be knocked out over the next few weeks. Part of our crew has lived in an airplane around the world making sure that we physically see it and talk to the engineers that are building it after our experience in the single-serve business where it was going to be here, and then it wasn't. So we learned a lesson from that and we've tried to -- with recency bias, we fixed the last thing that jumped up. Whether or not the weather holds, etc, on the distribution center that's almost 90% under roof, that's the last thing that has to come under roof. I think we are on track now. Now, where it could go bumpy is every product that comes through here has to be -- first of all has to be created or matched, then it has to go through the commercialization process. Every product has to go through the regulatory process, every line that we turn on has to go through the regulatory process and everyone wants someone else to go first, right. Because these things are difficult to start up as everybody knows. So when we get towards the end of this year, we will give some view about what impact in EBITDA we expect in 2024. The 2025 [Phonetic] number is actually looking really good in terms of where we should be because most people are planning on coming in and taking their full allocation on an annual basis in the back half of 2024. Should that waiver, we could have a startup EBITDA transition issue, but I don't think we're going to have a physical startup issue from where we sit today.

Sarang Vora

Analyst

That’s great. And there's one follow up question for Chris. Gross margin as such has been -- this is more like a P&L question, but gross margin has been declining past few quarters with ERP conversion and systems and equipment and stuff. Do we expect to see a return in the back half of the year? I know you gave few reasons why gross margin should be improving but is it positive in the back half of the year in your estimate, just curious to know?

Chris Pledger

Management

I do think you'll see a turnaround. I think we'll see a turnaround in gross margins. I think what you're seeing is, if you go through and add back the specific one-times that we talked about related to the ERP conversion, the cost of the single-server platform, getting that where it needed to be and then some of the other costs that we've incurred kind of in the first half of the year, that will be out of our run rate in the back half of the year, when you start looking at that, you’ll start to see a shift in margin from the -- going the wrong way to go in the right way and I think you'll see that in the back half of the year.

Sarang Vora

Analyst

That's cool. Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment for next question. Our next question comes from the line of Todd Brooks from the Benchmark Company.

Todd Brooks

Analyst

Hey, thanks. Good afternoon to you both.

Scott Ford

Management

Hey, Todd

Todd Brooks

Analyst

On Conway, and Scott, you kind of started to get at this question in the previous answer, but I just wanted to understand. So at one point, this was a very phased project, over three phases across that window into 2027, and now it seems like given the scale of the opportunity and the fact that you've been able to bring this additional capital in, it's not really phased anymore. It's really, okay, when three lines up, we're matching with customer needs. What's the right way to think about the EBITDA recognition of the opportunity, the 125 million to 150 million? Is the main bolus of that in 2025, 2026, with a tag end in 2027 and an initial piece of EBITDA in 2024? Just if you can help us match how these lines are envisioned to come on now with this EBITDA opportunity that would be a big help.

Scott Ford

Management

Yeah, I -- we will give you a really, I would say, a cogent view of that as we get towards the end of this year. But I would think you need to be on the maybe 10% in the first year, and then we will build it up 20% to 50%, and then 50% to 75% and 75% to 100%, something like that is what we're expecting. And if we hit that, we actually end up in that five year plan, essentially unlevered and so we won't just stop there. But you are right, we have pulled all three phases, where we were going to use the operating cash flow of the first two or three lines to build the third and fourth and fifth line. We went on and pulled them all forward and that's why the 150 number, if you go back to some of the discussions we had as we were on the road, and people said, yeah, how much could it make? That is the number and those are the three phases.

Todd Brooks

Analyst

Okay, great. Second follow up now. You guys dealt with ERP in the first half, you dealt with the single-server issues in the first half. Are you getting to a place where you're feeling a little more front footed and able to play some more offense versus defense and how are you going to use that bandwidth to go out and attack opportunities to grow the business?

Scott Ford

Management

Yeah, very much the mood has changed. We established a really good beachhead in this business from scratch and then we had a really tough set of battles that the group just stayed focused and fought through. I have not been in a better Board meeting since the day we sold Alltel to private equity in 2007 until today. When the Board went through all of the things that you're asking, plus 1000 more about our run rate, about our team, about our bandwidth, about our options that are in front of us, about value creating paths we could pursue, today was the best Board meeting have been in 16 years and it reflects just exactly what you're asking.

Todd Brooks

Analyst

Okay, exciting to hear. Thanks, guys. I'll jump back in queue.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I would now like to turn the conference back over to Scott Ford for closing remarks.

Scott Ford

Management

Well, I want to thank you. I know that this is a startup venture, and they're hard to follow, and they're lumpy, and that's always hard to model, and it's hard to keep up with the changes, but I believe we have turned the corner operationally on the core business, I believe we have upside in the Conway facility that is going to live up to its initial early hopes, and I believe we've got opportunities beyond that, that the balance sheet is going to allow us to pursue that are going to continue to let us leg this business up in a material way over the next several years, and we're excited but we work here. But I want to thank you for staying with us and for all of the work that you guys do to try to stay up and communicate it back out. So thank you very much for your interest and your time, you guys have a great evening.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.