Earnings Labs

Welltower Inc. (WELL)

Q2 2009 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 6, 2009

$212.55

-0.75%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the second quarter 2009 Health Care REIT earnings conference call. My name is Brandy and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. We will be facilitating a question-and-answer session towards the end of this conference. (Operator Instructions) As reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. Now, I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Jim Bowe, Vice President of Communications for Health Care REIT. Please go ahead, sir.

Jim Bowe

President

Thank you, Brandy. Good morning, everyone and thank you for joining us today for Health Care REIT's second quarter 2009 conference call. In the event you did not receive a copy of the news release distributed late yesterday afternoon, you may access it via the Company's website at www.hcreit.com. I'd like to remind everyone that we are holding a live webcast of today's call which maybe accessed through the Company's website as well. Certain statements made during this conference call maybe deemed forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Although Health Care REIT believes results projected in any forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, the Company can give no assurance that projected results will be obtained. Factors and risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements are detailed in news release and from time to time in the Company's filings with the SEC. I'd like to now turn the call over to George Chapman, Chairman, CEO and President of Health Care REIT for his opening remarks. Please go ahead, George.

George Chapman

Chairman

Thanks very much, Jim. I want to spend my time today commenting generally on our execution during these tough economic times. First, on capital rising, we raised in excess of $1.7 billion of capital during the last 18 months. The amounts included $1 billion of equity, $133 million of secured debt and $525 million of non-core asset sales. The average price per share on the equity raises was $42.77. The rate on the secured debt was 6.1%. And the asset sales produced $192 million of gains. We are very pleased with our ability to raise this attractively priced capital in these times. There are obviously certain important implications. One, we enhanced our liquidity. We delevered our balance sheet and from a portfolio standpoint, the sales of non-core assets together with strategic acquisitions and developments allowed us to continue repositioning the portfolio for the future in new, customer-centric properties. We also continue within the portfolio to benefit from strong portfolio management. One of the really important factors for us, so we have maintained our diversification with our top five operators comprising only 24.2% of the portfolio and the top 10 comprising only 37%. Scott will discuss performance more specifically within the senior housing and care sector, but I'll make this general comment, that operators have performed very well in this tough environment. The recent results from Brookdale were quite impressive. Our operators are optimistic about future occupancy trends in light of the very limited construction activity. I think the message is quite clear, that the senior housing and care sector has been very resilient in the face of significant economic and housing difficulties. To the CCRC area, we reported in our last call an increase in presales and move-ins in the first quarter, with an uptick in operator optimism. At that…

Scott Estes

CFO

Thanks, George and good morning everyone. Second quarter earnings were in line with expectations and the Company's current liquidity position remained strong. Our $888 million of cash and line of credit availability is enough to fund all of our current development and debt maturities through mid-2012. I would point out that we are managing our debt maturities under the conservative assumption that both our $340 million convertible debt, putable in December 2011, and our $395 million convertible putable in July 2012 are put to us, although by no means is this a foregone conclusion with our stock now trading only 10% to 15% below the respective conversion prices. If our converts are not put, the current $888 million of availability covers virtually all of our unfunded development and debt maturities through year-end 2012. We have also increased our secured debt expectations for the remainder of 2009 to approximately $300 million which remains an important source of attractively priced capital. This secured debt plus additional asset sales later this year should further enhance our liquidity and position us to begin to capitalize on select senior housing and medical facility investments, should they become available. Turning to the details of the quarter, we completed a total of $99 million of net investments. Gross investment activity of $178 million was primarily ongoing development funding with minor capital improvements and some funding on existing loans. This positions a $79million or a combination of loan payoffs in 13 property sales. Prior to these disposals were freestanding assets as we continue to prefer combination properties with multiple service types on the same campus. These sales generated $11 million of gains during the quarter and as George mentions, we've now generated nearly $200 million of gains on asset sales over the last 18 months. Turning to our…

George Chapman

Chairman

Thanks very much, Scott and we're now open for questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, sir. (Operator Instructions). Your first question is from Karin Ford with KeyBanc.

Karin Ford - KeyBanc

Analyst · KeyBanc

George, your comment earlier about seeing the inflexion point where you were getting comfortable to be more active on the investment front. What have you seen that gives you that view and what we could expect from an investment standpoint volumes and categories of assets going forward?

George Chapman

Chairman

First of all, everybody is just trying to make the best balanced judgment as to when to make investments and what kind. We'll be limiting any investments to very high quality, selective portfolios and frankly, there have not been a lot of really good, high quality packages yet in the senior housing area. We are seeing more opportunities perhaps in the medical facilities arena. What has made us feel more comfortable? One, we funded everything through 2012 and that assumes we have to pay off all of our convertible debt which is becoming perhaps less likely as our stock price moves up. Two, the strength of the capital markets, the improvement in the unsecured note arena that we've seen in the last couple of days. Stock prices have moved and so there are certainly signs out there that it's time for companies to be looking much harder at investments and when we do, we'll be looking for hopefully acquisitions if we can find them. But in any event, combination facilities within senior housing and customer-centric acute care facilities, both hospitals and larger, better, nicer MOBs as well.

Karin Ford - KeyBanc

Analyst · KeyBanc

Along those lines, we had seen articles that you guys had been selected as the winning bidder on a $1 billion development project in Nassau County in Long Island. Can you just talk about that project and timing and scope and what your capital commitment will likely be?

George Chapman

Chairman

I'll turn this over to John Thomas in just a minute, but let me say that perhaps we have to coordinate a little bit more closely with some of the health systems. They were enthusiastic in terms of getting out their release. We're very enthusiastic about working with them, but that charge so far is to be the master developer and if we can provide other services and provide capital later at some point, that would be great as well.

John Thomas

Analyst · KeyBanc

We couldn't be more pleased about the relationship with Nassau. It's really a reflection of the full spectrum of what Health Care REIT is across the senior housing, acute care, medical office building and amateur care environment with our development capabilities, access to capital and really strategic planning expertise that we have. The engagement is a fee-for-service engagement at this point with a prospect over a number of years for significant development opportunities, both in the fee-for-service delivery on the development side as well as the investment for acute care and medical office building space. I think you'll see some exciting things coming out of Nassau in the near term. They've got great ambitions and we couldn't be more pleased about the relationship.

Karin Ford - KeyBanc

Analyst · KeyBanc

Whether or not HCN will actually end up providing capital is still to be determined?

John Thomas

Analyst · KeyBanc

It's still to be determined and frankly that's what the engagement is about. It's helping them identify the best opportunities for the use of their land and the redevelopment of existing facilities. So, on the fee-for-servicing consulting engagement will determine what's the best source of capital and whether or not it's an appropriate use of our capital and their appropriate use of our capital.

George Chapman

Chairman

In the senior housing and care side, we've always been a relationship financier and we have thought we brought a lot of experience to the table for the benefit of our operators. In the acute care space, the medical facility side, one brings a good partnership in perhaps different ways and it might be in terms of providing property management services for medical office buildings, but more often than not, one leads with development and planning when one forms a relationship with a high-end [whole] system and we think this is a very positive news for us that we are there, we're valued as a partner. We bring a lot to the table and this will be the analogous to our relationship programs in senior housing.

Karin Ford - KeyBanc

Analyst · KeyBanc

Same-store revenue growth this quarter was 1.3%. That's a little lower than you guys are normally in the mid-twos there. Can you just talk about why that number was a little lower?

Scott Estes

CFO

You're probably starting to see a little bit of the impact of some of the lack of [CCI] based increases in some of the senior housing categories. And that's probably the biggest factor as to why we always had forecast 1% to 2% same-store revenue growth for the full year. So that's why it's crept down a little bit over the last quarter or two.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from Jerry Doctrow with Stifel Nicolaus.

Jerry Doctrow - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst · Stifel Nicolaus

It looked like the yield on 2Q '09 conversions was dropping. I think it's just because you've shifted some of the stuff that was coming on in 3Q that was already set as kind of a lower yield. There's been no change in sort of the return on those properties, it's just a timing issue?

Scott Estes

CFO

That's correct. The projected initial yield in our aggregate development pipeline has been consistent at 8.8%. It's really just a function of the composition of the projects that converted in the quarter. We had just a couple larger ones that were closer to 8% initial yields this quarter, but the overall is unchanged.

Jerry Doctrow - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst · Stifel Nicolaus

And remind me, those shift around based on like LIBOR or something it's just a debt clause? They don't really move based on your equity?

Scott Estes

CFO

That's right. They're generally set at certificate of occupancy based on a spread over the comparable Treasury and there's always floors.

Jerry Doctrow - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst · Stifel Nicolaus

I guess what I want to do is come back to the capital. Obviously, things have dramatically improved from even a quarter ago. How are you thinking about equity here? You obviously have a number of different ways to just bleed some out. Obviously one of your competitors did an overnight deal last night. Stock price is back up to close to 52-week highs I think. Does that start making more sense in terms of your scheme going forward?

George Chapman

Chairman

I think I mentioned, Jerry, that our prices during the last couple of years have been averaging about almost 42 to 43, and we're up that way. So it does make one pause. We're evaluating it now and we certainly congratulate Jay and HCP on a very successful offering for them. Clearly it's made all of us sit up and re-evaluate.

Jerry Doctrow - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst · Stifel Nicolaus

George, you touched on this already, but just to kind of reconfirm. I would categorize the feedback we've gotten so far from the public operators as kind of a bit mixed. Occupancy was kind of weaker a little bit this quarter, people are sort of talking about it popping up June, July, August, sounding a little more optimistic, but it's kind of a mixed bag in terms of how much people have slipped. It sounds like you're feeling decidedly more confident in terms of where we go on kind of private pay senior housing occupancy.

George Chapman

Chairman

Jerry, I am more optimistic. The signs in housing, the continuous strength within the stock market has really made people look at the world a little differently than they were three, six, nine months ago even. We think that maybe what will happen is that a number of the existing contacts, existing prospects are coming back to a number of these facilities. So there is some chance to have some pretty good news over the next six months, will they re-evaluate and come back in. In senior housing, especially when you're selling units, entrance fee units, there's a lot of blocking and tackling, but I am a more bullish than I had been and I must say too that we worked with the operators. We've helped them look at their marketing and sales programs and I think that they are really good right now and with the opportunities we expect to see more volume over the next six to nine months. Now, when that will occur and how consistent that will be, that's anybody's guess.

Jerry Doctrow - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst · Stifel Nicolaus

In terms of prospects for new investments, are you starting to see anything more in terms of packages coming to market, either distress driven or consolidation driven, particularly in senior housing?

Scott Estes

CFO

We are not seeing a lot. We are perhaps seeing a slight uptick in the number of packages we've seen, but it's been a surprise to all of us in this space as to how few have really come to market. We are seeing a few more at the moment.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from Rich Anderson with BMO Capital Markets.

Richard Anderson - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

George and team, you're talking about opportunities and the inflexion point, all that good stuff and yet at the same time you're talking about how despite the Nassau news, you talked about how your development exposure will decline. Obviously, you're getting the same message maybe from investors that we do, what about their development exposure in this market? So in light of that, will development be a part of this sort of inflexion point movement or is it going to be mainly acquisitions?

George Chapman

Chairman

Well, we would certainly rather buy the new state-of-the-art facilities that gives us immediate earnings. The question will be whether or not they are really available. And in terms of maybe a longer term view, Rich, we have always through our 38, 39 years thought that development was a part of our investment program. And again, I take you back to the '70s when skilled nursing were the new modern plans coming off of the three storey manor facilities, from independent living with [Tudd Hill & Colson] and the rest in the '90s when we were the leader in assisted living. So would we rather buy? Yes. Are we going to find acquisitions? Some. Are we going to prioritize for acquisition? Yes. But are we going to completely move away from development if we can do those with top end health systems or top end senior housing? We're not going to say no to those. We're going to keep it very balanced. The reality, Rich, is that our development percentage popped up a bit because when one is a third or a half of the way through development, you don't stop. You get them done. You get them open. And you do pretty well. And as I said, we match funded during that period. The projects that you do not close on are those that were potential acquisitions. So I think you'll see us being more moderate in terms of our percentage of development. And I think over time, as you see some of these high-end assets open, I think our portfolio will be viewed as one of the premier real estate platforms in the space.

Richard Anderson - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

Right now, zero acquisitions in your official guidance. Would you expect that any new acquisition activity would be immediately accretive?

George Chapman

Chairman

I would think that any acquisitions would be accretive at this point.

Richard Anderson - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

Does this inflexion point give rise to some consideration to utilizing the flexibility of RIDEA?

George Chapman

Chairman

We've been very clear that we don't view RIDEA structures as binding as Panacea. They can be used in some really unique situations where perhaps there are turnarounds or new assets that have been undermanaged, so that one can align interests of the management company and Health Care REIT appropriately, so we're both running in the same direction. We would have many more incentives and disincentives for the management team in place, if we did RIDEA deal and many times it just depends on the particular opportunity and the particular operator as to whether or not we do RIDEA.

Richard Anderson - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

Just looking at the coverage for your CCRC portfolio, independent living/CCRC, after management is 1.08 times, year ago it was 1.23 times. Obviously, trending down, no surprise there, but are you concerned at all that you get to a level below parity there?

Scott Estes

CFO

The answer to that would be no. I think you've seen some indications of stabilization over the last quarter or two, as you look at the sequential results were within a basis point or so of the prior quarter. I would also say that it's trailing 12 months as of March. I know that one of our largest independent living operators saw some reasonable occupancy improvements in May, at least a percent. So at least latest data is encouraging and again, they're focusing on profitability through rate increases and expense control and I would again point out, it's encouraging to see that margins increased over the last quarter, which ultimately as occupancy hopefully comes back, you set pricing appropriately in your facilities, that will just further enhance coverages.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions). Your next question is from [Hert Kinner] with Morgan Keegan.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Scott, you mentioned that you expect MOB NOI to run about $84 million to $85 million for the year. Could we then take that to mean that Q2 probably marks the low end and we'll see slight improvements in the next two quarters?

Scott Estes

CFO

That would be correct if that's the way the numbers fall out. Yes, $84 million to $85 million is the annualized core MOB guidance. So, we did 21.4 in the first quarter and 20.7 in the second.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

And a follow-up on an earlier question regarding the same store revenue growth. In the specialty care segment, it was down about 2.6%. Was there anything to that, other than lack of CPI based increases that accounted for that decline?

Scott Estes

CFO

Actually, in specialty care there was a minor factor. There's 17 assets in that bucket and there was one single asset where we gave one hospital a minor rent and interest accommodation of about $250,000 a quarter. So, that single change resulted in the entire specialty care decline. If you took that one single asset out, specialty care would have been actually up 1% and the overall would have been up 1.6% instead of 1.3.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

And will that accommodation be effected in the next several quarters as well?

Scott Estes

CFO

Yes, it's going forward and we're actually still earning about 10% on that asset. It's just a reduction versus last year.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from Jim Sullivan with Green Street Advisors.

Jim Sullivan - Green Street Advisors

Analyst · Green Street Advisors

On the development assets, you talked about properties that had been in fill-up that are converting to stabilized in 2Q and 3Q. Sounds like you're getting your triple-net rent as expected. If you look at your rent and look to the cash flow at the property level, how those assets are doing relative to the original underwriting, obviously they filled up during a very challenging time. I'm just curious how the performance stacks up to your original underwriting.

George Chapman

Chairman

We have metrics that look at how construction goes and then we have a fill-up schedule that we evaluate every month as well and to date, we're pretty much right on target.

Jim Sullivan - Green Street Advisors

Analyst · Green Street Advisors

Despite the headwinds, particularly in the senior housing?

George Chapman

Chairman

Well, we've had some really striking examples that are just the opposite of what one might expect. A couple of our operators, one operator opened with essentially the building filled and we've had a number of buildings, and this is assisted living and dementia, without the IL component, but we've had a number of them fill in six to eight months. Some have even been filling ahead of schedule, but usually that's a result of a really seasoned operator who has done a great job, free marketing and knows a particular space. We've really seen some really good examples of just good, tough operators who know how to do the blocking and tackling and fill up their buildings.

Jim Sullivan - Green Street Advisors

Analyst · Green Street Advisors

Switching to your loans receivable. Last quarter, 15% of the portfolio was on non-accrual. Has there been any meaningful change in a positive or negative way with respect to the non-accruals in your loan portfolio.

Scott Estes

CFO

That number is essentially unchanged. It's $72.5 million from $72.7 million in the prior quarter. So, it's down about $200,000 due to some minor principal payments we had in the second quarter and the composition of those loans is unchanged.

Jim Sullivan - Green Street Advisors

Analyst · Green Street Advisors

And during 2Q, it looked like you advanced about $30 million to operators. I'm curious, when you make loans to operators, are they typically using the money to enhance the physical asset or are there circumstances where those loans are being advanced to support the operating business of that operator in a tough time?

George Chapman

Chairman

Our loan packages have been for any number of reasons. One that we've talked about earlier had been when [Ameritas] repurchased some of our facilities, giving us a large gain and we took back financing as did NHP and I think HCP, doing very similar things. Others related to a very substantial company on the East Coast that helped more with the corporate infrastructure as well as particular improvements to facilities. So, they're all over the board, Jim.

Jim Sullivan - Green Street Advisors

Analyst · Green Street Advisors

The one loan George was referencing this quarter, it was a little north of $20 million of the $31 million total. Outside of that one larger loan to that East Coast operator George mentioned, the amounts were fairly small and I would characterize them as routine this quarter.

George Chapman

Chairman

Just on issue of loans, our loans are probably a little higher than they have been at certain times. I think 55% to 60% of them relate to three very substantial operators and they were to accommodate a sale, as I mentioned earlier, in the Ameritas case and to two other substantial operators who are very important to us within our portfolio and we find them to be very secure. You're really talking about 40% of that number and I don't have it in front of me being the standard loans that, again, address an array of different situations.

Jim Sullivan - Green Street Advisors

Analyst · Green Street Advisors

Scott, you touched on CPI escalators before. Can you shed a little more light on how those work, when do they kick in? What CPI period is measured in determining what those rent increases will be?

Scott Estes

CFO

Sure, the senior housing and about 70% of the specialty care increasers in that portfolio are based on CPI. And in the medical office portfolio, it's a much lesser component, it's only about 8% of the medical office building increasers. The way it works, basically I believe the official index is the urban wage and clerical workers index in some cases, but essentially upon the first anniversary of a lease, whatever the rate of CPI growth is in the preceding month is the basis for the increaser on the lease with generally a maximum of 25 or 30 basis points from the prior year's rate. So they can never go down. If CPI were negative like it's been since December of 2008, you would basically be in a situation where you keep rent the same and then we actually have the ability to catch up in future periods to the extent that CPI increases at a greater rate. So we think that the impact this year as they kind of blend through this year ultimately result in 1% to 2% same-store NOI growth in our senior housing and specialty care portfolios and we looked at the number even just as recently as this week and we're optimistic, but we will see obviously, we could be in a position where toward the end of the year where in the CPI indexes we may actually start to see some increasers again.

Jim Sullivan - Green Street Advisors

Analyst · Green Street Advisors

There's a lot of moving pieces on the revenue side with respect to your medical office building portfolio, but my specific question is what are you seeing in terms of market rents and market rent trends within the medical office building portfolio? Are you still seeing market rent increases or have those really flattened out at this point?

John Thomas

Analyst · Green Street Advisors

On new leases and renewals it's been a compressed market this year. We're having better than expected and strong renewal leasing and the terms of both our new leases and our renewal leases are longer than historical norms, but there has been some rent compression this year. We see that improving in the second half of the year and going forward. On our own portfolio, we've had a couple of master leases from hospitals that rolled off. They were long-term with CPI increases that are not being replaced at the same rate. In those couple of instances, which is a very small amount of square footage. We've talked about this before in Los Gatos where El Camino hospital [district] has taken over for tenant there and there's a substantially renewed interest in that hospital from the community and the physicians and we've seen a real uptick in leasing activity for the facility that the MOB that will be on there which is really the prime MOB on that campus. El Camino has reopened that hospital and we are actually managing a couple of the other MOBs on the campus and leasing activity is very strong and expect to get rent improvements over the near term.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions. I'll turn the call back to Mr. Chapman.

George Chapman

Chairman

Yes, I would like to thank everybody for their participation and to remind them that Scott will be available for any follow-up questions after this call. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.