Earnings Labs

WD-40 Company (WDFC)

Q2 2010 Earnings Call· Thu, Apr 8, 2010

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the WD-40 Company second quarter 2010 earnings release conference call. Today’s call is being recorded and at this time I’d like to turn the call over to the Vice President of Corporate Relations for WD-40 Company Maria Mitchell.

Maria Mitchell

Management

Thank you for joining us for our second quarter earnings call for fiscal 2010. Today we’re pleased to have Garry Ridge, President and CEO and Jay Rembolt, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. This conference call contains forward-looking statements concerning WD-40 Company’s outlook for sales, earnings, dividends and other financial results. These statements are based on an assessment of a variety of factors, contingencies and uncertainties considered relevant by WD-40 Company. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to differ materially from forward-looking statements including the impact and changes in foreign currency exchange rate, the impact of commodity prices, customer inventory stocking levels, the impact of new product introductions and the uncertainty in economic conditions both in the United States and internationally. The company’s expectations, beliefs and objections are expressed in good faith and believed by the company to have a reasonable basis but there can be no assurance that the company’s expectations, beliefs or projections will be achieved or accomplished. The risks and uncertainties are detailed from time-to-time in reports filed by WD-40 Company with the SEC including forms 8K, 10Q and 10K. Readers are urged to carefully review these and other documents and to stay up to date with our most recent company developments provided in the investor relations section of our website atwww.WD40Company.com. Our third quarter fiscal 2010 earnings conference call is scheduled to take place on Wednesday, July 7, 2010 at 2PM. At this time I’d like to turn the call over to Garry Ridge.

Garry O. Ridge

Management

Today we reported net sales of $80.6 million for the second quarter of fiscal 2010, an increase of 30% over Q2 last fiscal year. Year-to-date, net sales were $158.3 million, an increase of 9% versus the same period last year. Net income for the second quarter was $10.7 million compared to $4.1 million in Q2 last fiscal year. Diluted earnings per share for the second quarter was $0.64 compared to $0.25 for the same period last fiscal year. Year-to-date net income was $20.1 million compared to $11.8 million in the same period last year and year-to-date diluted earnings per share were $1.20 up from $0.71 in the same period last year. These results reflect the continued improvement in global economic conditions and the execution of our core strategic initiatives. We’ve seen a steady increase in sales over the past year across all of our three trading blocks which are the Americas, Europe and the Asia Pacific region. This steady increase in sales is mostly due to organic growth and a recovery in our base period rather than price increases or fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates. The top line growth has flowed down to the bottom line as we have maintained both a healthy gross margin and level operating expenses. We offset the rise in some of our major input costs through disciplined management of promotional discounts along with increased efficiencies in our supply chain network. Total operating expenses have remained relatively flat for the period-over-period and have decreased as a percentage of sales. Year-to-date operating expenses also do not include the brand impairment charge that we experienced in the prior fiscal year. Our results year-to-date have been positive and this strengthens our outlook for the rest of this fiscal year 2010. In addition to positive trends in the global…

Jay W. Rembolt

Management

First, just a reminder for you to review our 10Q which we’ll file April the 8th. Now, on to the rest of our second quarter results beginning with gross margin. We’re pleased that in addition to the strong sales during the quarter we were able again to keep our gross margin above the 50% level as is our stated goal. Gross margin in the second quarter was 52.4% compared to the 49.6% in Q2 last year. The 280 basis point increase was primarily attributable to lower discounts and the positive impact from sourcing changes partially offset by a net increase in input costs. Price increases that were implemented in Q1 and Q2 of last year added about 10 basis points to the margin in the current quarter. The lower discounts were much more impactful increasing our gross margin by 140 basis points. Discounts to net sales include coupon redemptions, allowances to retailers for space, club advertising, promotional activity, volume discounts and other one-time or ongoing promotional incentives. Period-versus-period, a lower portion of our sales was subject to these allowances in this year’s quarter. Let’s look at the shifts in major input costs. While our Q2 petroleum based costs were lower than in the prior year, we experienced a net increase in input costs primarily due to aerosol cans. Cost for our petroleum based materials were lower in this quarter than in Q2 last year and benefitted gross margin by 70 basis points. This benefit was more than offset by the dramatic increase in the cost of our aerosol cans that began in Q2 of fiscal ’09. The higher cost of cans negatively impact our gross margin in the current period by 150 basis points. Just a quick look back, although oil prices in the market were much lower last year…

Garry O. Ridge

Management

The increased momentum that we’ve seen across the globe falls in line with our expectations. With a half year under our belt we’re able to raise our fiscal year 2010 guidance. Please note that we do expect that there will be a higher level of advertising and promotional investing in Q3 and Q4 and along with that we will have higher bonus and other people related cost that will keep net income within the following range. Higher bonus, eligibility and payouts to our valued tribe members would be a good problem to have. So, we have revised our fiscal year guidance for 2010 which now reflects that. We expect our net sales to be in the range of $308 to $321 million or growth of between 5.5 and 9.9% versus fiscal 2009. We expect our global advertising and promotional investment to be in the range of 6.5% and 8% of net sales and we would expect net income to be between $32.2 and $33.8 million which would achieve EPS of between $1.92 and $2.01 assuming that we had 16.8 million shares outstanding. This fiscal year 2010 guidance does not include any acquisition activities and assumes foreign currency exchange rates will remain close to the recent levels. As always we continue to search for new business opportunities and will share with you when those new developments evolve. In closing I’d like to share with you a quote from Abraham Lincoln. You will remember this quote as I shared it with you in our shareholder letter last year. It is, “The dogma’s of the quite past are inadequate to the stormy present. The occasion is piled high with difficulty and we must rise with the occasion. As our case is anew, so we must think and act anew.” WD-40 Company is rising…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from Jeffery Zekauskas – JP Morgan Securities. Jeffery Zekauskas – JP Morgan Securities: A couple of questions, I’m a little puzzled about your earnings guidance for the year in that you earned $1.20 in the first half of the year so in order to hit your guidance you’d earn somewhere between $0.72 and $0.81 in the second half. Last year you earned $1.02 in a second half and last year your sales were $146.5 million in the second half and this year you’re projecting sales of somewhere between $149 and $162 million. It seems that what you’re projecting are sort of earnings going down 20% to 30% in the second half. Is that what you mean to do?

Jay W. Rembolt

Management

What we said is that we see a headwind to our gross margin. We will have some higher A&P investments. We will also expect some higher increased bonus expense which will reduce our earnings impact in the second half of the year. Jeffery Zekauskas – JP Morgan Securities: No, I understand all of that but it would seem to me that your earnings really should be materially higher and as far as bonus expense goes, I think it’s important that people be duly compensated but it’s also the case that there really hasn’t been much earnings growth over a multiyear period of time and your earnings were $1.84 last year on an adjusted basis and so growing to $1.92 to $2.01 is not in the scheme of things, all that strong, or is there a lot of play in your numbers? Can it turn out that these are relatively conservative estimates?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

There’s no doubt Jeff that as we’ve always been we are cautious in our earnings estimates. We are concerned a little about the movement in the oil price, it’s approaching $90 now. We don’t know where that’s going to end up. We’re hopeful that the global economy will continue where it is so I think we’re prudent in what we’re saying. Yes, we are being cautious, we don’t want this to turn in to euphoria, we want to be responsible and give people a responsible view of where we think we are. We have raised our guidance. We are now seeing sales growth across all of our channels and certainly if the momentum off the first half of the year was to continue the way it has then the result will look different. But, he who learns to forecast by the crystal ball learns to eat glass and we’re being cautious and we’re being certainly responsible. Jeffery Zekauskas – JP Morgan Securities: So were your volumes this quarter unusual? I mean certainly there was a very large year-over-year change. Do you find your volumes in the second quarter unusually high and do you expect them or are you worried that they might sharply fall coming up?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

No, I think they returned to somewhat normal levels but we are getting a couple of offsets from that. We’re certainly getting unit volume growth, real volume growth across the world. We’re getting the benefit of higher sales dollars as more of our sales are now in Smart Straw which is increasing if you will, our revenue per ounce because of the delivery system. That’s been a positive. We went through a little traumatic time as we converted Smart Straw a year and a half ago that might have pulled us down a little lower. I think we’re returning to normal and we are seeing real volume growth. We’re seeing volume growth in the countries outside of the US that were a little flat so we’re doing pretty well. Jeffery Zekauskas – JP Morgan Securities: Just lastly, can you give us just some very, very rough targets for Blue Works either for 2010 or for 2012? What are you hoping to achieve in terms of sales of these products?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

We don’t know yet Jeff and I don’t want to tip my hand to our competitor. We’ll give you a little better update of that at the end of Q3 and Q4. But, we believe that say it’s a good piece of the business. If you look at the aggregate size of the market, it’s probably in total somewhere in the $300 to $400 million and we would like to get a nice piece of that but right now it’s a different business model. We’re selling to end users which we’ve never done before directly with this product line. But so far it’s been very encouraging. As we said, we want to win one customer at a time for life.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Joseph Altobello – Oppenheimer & Co., Inc. Joseph Altobello – Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: The first question I guess and I apologize if I missed this but, your guidance for this year sounds like it assumes that commodities both on the can side and oil side stay where they are currently at. Is that the case?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

The guidance is assuming that oil is going to move from a tailwind to a headwind and cans are probably stable. Joseph Altobello – Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: But you’re baking in $88 to $90 oil in the second half in to that guidance?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

Yes. Joseph Altobello – Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: Now, in terms of your can costs, you guys essentially figure out what they are roughly around January for the next 12 months so can costs at this point are pretty much locked in, right?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

Yes, until they decide to unlock them like they did once before but we believe they are somewhat stable now. Joseph Altobello – Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: So on the oil side have you guys done any hedging or anything like that to mitigate that?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

No. We’ve looked at opportunities but it’s difficult. Joseph Altobello – Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: Then moving on to WD-40, you mentioned the brand was up 40% globally, can you remind us what the year ago period was, what kind of base period were we working against?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

Go to your next question and someone will look it up. Joseph Altobello – Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: In terms of that 40% you mentioned a couple things to drill a bit, distribution and promotion activity, on the distribution side was it expanding in to new markets or was it driving deeper in to existing markets? Could you give us a little more color around the term distribution?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

In markets that still have upside market potential both things are going on. In places like China and Russia and France and Germany and Spain, as well as selling deeper in to current distribution, we sell to new people every day, both end users and customers. In the US there would have been not necessarily new distribution but certainly I think we have seen stocking levels in the US return to norm and of course we’re getting a lot of benefit from our Smart Straw. We converted that in the US nearly two years ago now, I think it was April 1st two years ago and it’s really now embedded in to the distribution system. The promotional activity with that is strong. That’s really two sides. We’re seeing real unit volume growth in ounces in every trading block around the world. Joseph Altobello – Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: You mentioned in the US you’re seeing more normalized retail activity or inventory activity so does that indicate you saw a little bit of a restock in the quarter?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

No. What happened was we’re getting a lot of good promotional activity now. We never suffered dramatically by destocking. Where we saw restocking a little bit is more in the industrial segment. I think we’re seeing some of the smaller industrial accounts are now getting back in to business as manufacturing returns so consumption is going back there, there’s restocking. But, that would be where it was. On your question on WD-40 prior year quarter was $43.6 million, this quarter is $61.3 million. Joseph Altobello – Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: In terms of the year-over-year change, what was the WD-40 performance in the year ago period?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

$43.6 million in the same period versus $61.3 million this quarter. Joseph Altobello – Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: I guess lastly, this is more of an M&A question but Gary you mentioned homecare and cleaning looking at some alternatives there, has there been interest in that segment? Secondly, in terms of acquisitions, have you seen any increase in potential properties or opportunities for you?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

The first question has there been any interest, we don’t have a for sale sign on these things so we monitor them. On the acquisition side, there’s stuff happening out there. We’re still not excited about either the quality or the price of things that we’re seeing but we continue to look globally for those sort of opportunities. But, what’s really exciting now is the organic growth that’s coming from a lot of work that’s being done on product innovation and truly strengthening our global trade show. The question you meant to ask that you forgot to ask me is what percentage of our business I outside the US now and 55% of our total company sales are now outside the United States up from 51% a year ago and that’s the fastest growing part of our business so we are truly a global company.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Liam D. Burke – Janney Montgomery Scott, LLC. Liam D. Burke – Janney Montgomery Scott, LLC.: I guess you mentioned in your comment, you mentioned that a major contribution to margin and progressed margin improvement were better management of promotional discounts. Is that a sustainable strategy in the future?

Jay W. Rembolt

Management

We’ll we’ve seen it both in the first quarter and the second quarter. I’m sure that we will change. If you look back to really the prior year, some of the things that we had done was change some of our promotional tactics to better incentivize promotional activity by our customers. So we would have gone to a little bit heavier activities around in those areas so that’s something we’ve done less of in the current quarter as well as in the prior quarter and we’re just evaluating how much that marketing mix continues to change.

Garry O. Ridge

Management

Some of the things that have changed too Liam, and I’ll give you an example of how the discounts and allowances may have changed but the promotional power hasn’t, one of the big large promotions that we’ve got going at the moment is a twin pack of WD-40 with a free bonus of a 3-in-one no rust shield. A couple of things are happening there, we are offering great value to our end users and to our customer because of some of the efficiencies we’ve had in the supply chain the margins are still being held up because the cost of that promotional activity is in the gross margin but we don’t have to give it away as price when we’re giving it away as value. These are some of the things. The other thing that is happening too is that as that mix of sales changes and we’re getting a higher percentage of sales in our multipurpose maintenance product category away from homecare and cleaning, there are less of the sales promotional discounts driven in those trade channels than there are typically in the deep discounting of the grocery trade channel. Liam D. Burke – Janney Montgomery Scott, LLC.: On the Asia Pacific you had about a 7% increase in revenue from China. That’s been an area of investment, last quarter I believe year-over-year numbers were down, are you seeing some positive momentum there?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

Yes, we are. We certainly have seen that the manufacturing segments that we’re selling in to are starting to improve. We’re very bullish long term on China. This is not a Rome was built in one day deal, as I said in the last conference call it’s going to be a bit of a bumpy ride as we go through it but China will be just an unbelievable market for us over time. We just have to be patient and make sure that we’re delivering good value on our time, talent and treasure there. Id’ ask everyone to be patient it’s actually on a profitability basis performing better than we expected because normally we’d be pouring investment in there and it’s actually doing well for us. So China is a long term bet but it’s a big one and it’s going to be great.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Loran Braverman – Standard & Poors. Loran Braverman – Standard & Poors: Earlier you gave some sort of a market size figure for Blue Works, I think it was around $300 to $400 million and I wondered if that was just in the US or if that was a global figure?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

The number I said was an aggregate size of what we can see the visible competitive set is in that market. I don’t know if that is a market size or not but it is what we see. Loran Braverman – Standard & Poors: Was that just US or was that global?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

That’s just US. Loran Braverman – Standard & Poors: Also, you provide so much information in your release and then so much on the call but I’m curious as to whether it would be possible for you to supply the operating profits by the geographic segments? I know we can get it in the 10Q but it’s practically the only major information you don’t supply on either the release or the call and just speaking for myself I’m often surprised when I see the margins, sometimes one division is dramatically different than I would have expected and I don’t know to ask about it until after the Q is out. I’m wondering if it’s possible to supply that in the release?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

Thanks for the feedback we’ll take that on notice and we’ll see what we can do. But, the Q will be delivered tomorrow though. Loran Braverman – Standard & Poors: In the quarter you just reported, given how much the margin is up versus last year I would expect all of the geographic segments to have had higher margins. But, given the Americas is still the largest single component they must have been dramatically higher, even higher than it would have been in the November quarter, my guess, in order to come out with the operating margin. I’m just wondering if there’s anything that I should be asking now that I would be asking tomorrow after I see the 10Q in terms of the Americas margin and sustainability in that segment?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

It’s pretty vanilla really. We had increased sales on a higher gross margin number on relatively flat operating expenses. The two things that are really driven is we are getting growth in sales and we have strengthened our gross margin.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Robert Felice – J Goldman & Company. Robert Felice – J Goldman & Company: Most of my questions have been answered I just have one or two others. Can you give us a sense as to how much you expect SG&A to increase in the second half of 2010 versus the first half of 2010? I’m just trying to get a sense of the magnitude of the headwinds you’re facing as a result of the incremental bonuses and any other expenses.

Garry O. Ridge

Management

We don’t guide that detail. It will be in the 6.5% to 8% range that we’ve shared. But, because promotional periods and promotions can move quarter-to-quarter we don’t get that granular. Robert Felice – J Goldman & Company: No, Garry not on the advertising and sales, I was talking on the SG&A side.

Garry O. Ridge

Management

I’m sorry we don’t guide to that. Robert Felice – J Goldman & Company: Can you give us a sense as to the incremental bonus expense at least given that you called that out specifically?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

We don’t know what it is yet because we haven’t gotten the results because it’s driven by results. Robert Felice – J Goldman & Company: Then just lastly, in the press release Garry you made a comment that if oil prices and other commodities stay at their current levels you’d expect to be able to sustain gross margins above the 50% target level. Is that an assumption that is currently baked in to the guidance?

Garry O. Ridge

Management

Well yes and no. If you look at the first half of the year our goal is to get margin up above 50%. We’ve actually been running at about 51.4% which is a high class problem to have. We think we can stay above 50% but we’re assuming that for the full year we’re not going to have the second half at 51.4%, it might be somewhat less than that but we don’t really know yet. We’re confident for the full year we’ll definitely be above 50%, we’re at 51.4% now. It would be great if we could end the year at 51.4%. That’s not baked in to the assumption, there’s too many variables on that but the 50% is okay.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen there are no other questions holding so I’ll turn it back over to Garry Ridge for any additional or closing comments.

Garry O. Ridge

Management

That’s it for us. We’ll get out and sell some stuff and we’ll talk to you in about another 90 days. Thanks for being with us today.