David Schulz
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Deane please go ahead
Thanks, John. Good morning. Starting on Slide 7. The summary table compares our third quarter results to the prior year. Sales were up 14% on both the reported and organic basis, currency added 140 basis points to growth which was partially offset by the divestitures we completed in February. We estimate pricing added approximately 5% of sales in the quarter. Notably, sales were up 8% versus 2019 pre-pandemic pro forma levels. As John mentioned, our backlog reached another record level this quarter of 60% from the prior year and up 15% from the prior record in June. Each business unit posted backlog increases of more than 50% over last year. Heading into the fourth quarter, demand continues to be strong. Preliminary October results are encouraging with sales up mid-teens year-over-year on a workday adjusted basis. Gross margin was also a record at 21.3% in the quarter, up 170 basis points versus the prior year. The strong gross margin performance included a 50 basis point contribution from supplier volume rebates. We recorded a 10 basis point impact related to the write down of safety inventory. As you know, we have been managing the change in carrying value and inventory levels of certain personal protective equipment products like KN95 masks and hand sanitizer all year. From here, we don’t expect any further material inventory write downs related to the safety products. The balance of the gross margin improvement approximately 130 basis points was driven by the benefits of our margin improvement program and inflationary pricing. Mix did not have a material impact on gross margin versus the prior year. Sequentially versus the second quarter gross margin increased by 30 basis points, approximately 10 basis points of the improvement was due to a lower inventory write down related to safety equipment. The balance of the potential increase was driven by the benefits of our margin improvement program and positive price costs. Adjusted EBITDA which excludes the merger related costs, stock based compensation and other net adjustments was 31% higher than the prior year and represented 7.0% of sales, which was 90 basis points above the prior year and 150 basis points above the 2019 third quarter on a pro forma basis. Adjusted diluted EPS for the quarter was $2.74 up 65% from the prior year. Turning to Page 8, you can see that the higher sales expanded gross margin and integration cost synergies drove the $78 million increase in adjusted EBITDA. As you would expect in the strong demand and inflationary environment. We also experienced higher volume related operating costs, including shipping and sales commissions, as well as higher expenses for employee benefits. As a result of our performance year-to-date and expectations for the year, we also increased our accrual for incentive compensation, which we alerted you to last quarter. Finally, the temporary cost reduction actions taken in response to the COVID pandemic weren’t reversed until October last year. Overall, strong operating leverage is evident as we regenerated a 31% increase in adjusted EBITDA on a 14% organic sales growth. Now let me walk you through the results by business unit, beginning on Slide 9. Sales in our EES segment were up 19% year-over-year with double-digit growth in all operating groups. This growth reflects construction sales that continued to increase with a recovery of the non-residential market. We also continue to see increasing momentum in our industrial and OEM businesses, in-line with the broader industrial recovery. We continue to experience robust bidding activity levels that are driving a further increase in our EES backlog from its record level in the prior quarter. We also made further progress on our cross-sell initiatives and our capturing demand driven by the second growth trends. Adjusted EBITDA for EES was $174 million, up 60% from the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 8.8%, 220 basis points higher year-over-year. This increase reflects the gross margin initiatives I discussed earlier, affected price cost pass-through, strong cross synergy realization and operating costs leverage. Turning to Slide 10. Sales in our CSS segment were up 6% versus the prior year on an organic basis. We saw high single-digit growth in network infrastructure, driven by the data center and hyper-scale projects as John mentioned, as well as continued investments in cloud-based applications and professional audio visual installations. The security operating group sales increased by low single-digits. Backlog was up more than 90% from December to another record level due to continued strong demand, along with the impact of supply chain challenges on project deliveries. Profitability was also strong in CSS, with adjusted EBITDA at 9.0% of sales, 30 basis points higher than the prior year, driven by operating leverage integration cost synergies, and the execution of our margin improvement initiatives. I would point out that most of the PPE inventory write-down that I mentioned was recorded in CSS, which negatively impacted its adjusted EBITDA by approximately 20 basis points. In addition to our cross-sell programs, CSS is positioned to benefit from numerous secular trends with the increased bandwidth, 24/7 conductivity, IP-based security solutions and the capacity demands related to remote work and school applications. Turning to Slide 11. Organic sales in our UBS segment were up 15% versus the prior year. Utility demand has remained strong, as both our investor owned utility and public power customers continue to invest in grid hardening and monitorization. In the quarter, we have benefited from storm recovery sales in both the Gulf Coast and in the Northeast. However year-over-year storm recovery sales were slightly below the prior year activity levels. Our broadband business was up double-digits versus the prior year, driven by continued strong demand for data and high-speed conductivity, as well as expansion and conductivity requirements for home-based applications. Additionally, we are benefiting from sales activity related to Phase 1 of Federal Government’s Rural Digital Opportunity Fund project. For UBS adjusted EBITDA in the quarter was up 34% with margin 130 basis points higher at 9.1% of revenue versus the prior year. This growth was driven by the scale benefit of sales and gross margin expansion. Turning to Slide 12. On the left side of the slide, you can see in blue boxes that we have realized cumulative runway cost synergies of $148 million year-to-date from September. Because of the accelerated pace of execution and synergy realization, we have increased our 2021 targeted cost synergies from $170 million to $182 million, and our 2022 targets from $210 million to $230 million. Recall that these savings are relative to the 2019 pro forma base. On the right side of the slide, we outline the total $300 million cost savings target by synergy type. And in the chart, you can get a sense for the synergies that have been realized to-date in each category. For example, the majority of the targeted $45 million in corporate overhead savings have been realized. The largest remaining synergies are those that take longer to execute, including the supply chain and field operations budgets. Moving to Slide 13, reducing our leverage is a top priority. In the third quarter, we reduced leverage by 0.4 times trailing 12-months adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter in a row. Total debt was reduced by $91 million in the third quarter with net debt down by $55 million. Free cash flow was $85 million in the quarter or 54% of adjusted net income. Net working capital was a use of cash of $233 million in the quarter, including $150 million for accounts receivable and $160 million for inventory, partially offset by a higher accounts payable balance. We are gaining efficiencies and working capital using a four quarter average calculation. Networking capital improved six days versus 12/31/2020 and just over one day sequentially versus Q2. We have been investing in our inventory to support the strong demand we have been experiencing and to support projects in our backlog. As John mentioned since closing the Anixter acquisition 15-months ago, our leverage is 1.6 times lower. We are committed and remain on track to return to our target leverage range of 2 to 3.5 times in the second half of 2022. Moving to the outlook on Slide 14, based on continued strong demand, the effectiveness of our value based pricing program, inflationary benefits and the progress we are making on the integration front we are updating our outlook for 2021. As we close out the year, we are raising the lower end of our sales growth range and now expect 2021 sales of 11% or 13%. For our strategic business units we now expect the electrical and electronic solutions SBU for the year to be above the Company’s range of 11% to 13% given the macro recovery and performance to-date. We expect our communications and security solutions SBU to be below the range noting the strong backlog and continued management of supply chain disruptions. For the utility and broadband solutions SBU we expect full-year sales will be within the range. Utility market demand continues to be strong, and we expect continued growth in broadband. As we think about the supply chain, we are in daily contact with our supplier partners to stay up to-date to capacity levels and shifting timelines. We expect to continue to be able to mitigate the supply constraints in the fourth quarter to managing our inventories effectively supplier engagement and alternate sourcing as necessary. The fourth quarter is off to a strong start with October sales up mid-teens. For adjusted EBITDA margin we have raised our outlook to the range of 6.4% to 6.5%. We continue to expect our effective tax rate to be approximately 23% for the year. Assuming proposed tax changes do not take effect in the fourth quarter. We have also increased our adjusted diluted EPS outlook to a range of $9.20 to $9.40. When it comes to free cash flow conversion, we are modifying our outlook to approximately 80% of adjusted net income to reflect continued investment in working capital support customer demands and maintain our service levels. To-date we spent $25 million of cash recorded as capital expenditures to be about $30 million of cash flow recorded in other for investments in IT and digital. We are narrowing our forecast to approximately $100 million for the full-year for capital expenditures and other IT/digital investments. Turning to Page 15. Before opening the call to questions, let me provide a quick recap. We had an exceptionally strong performance year-to-date. In the third quarter, organic sales were up double-digits and our backlogs are at record levels in each of our businesses. We are capitalizing on our leadership position and the benefits of scale, and are executing well on the cross selling opportunity resulting from the Anixter merger. We are also effectively managing global supply chain challenges to ensure we continue providing high levels of customer service. When it comes to margins, we are leveraging our value proposition to improve pricing and increase operating leverage and cost synergies that attracting well ahead of our original schedule. Our rapid pace of deleveraging continues. We reduced leverage by 0.4 times for the third consecutive quarter, Jeff delivered a total leverage reduction of 1.6 times since closing the transaction just 15-months ago. These strong results have enabled us to increase our full-year outlook for sales growth, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS for the third time this year. With that I would open the call to your questions.