Kenneth S. Parks
Analyst · Citi Research
Thanks, John, and good morning. I'm going to review the results in the context of the outlook we've provided in October during our third quarter earnings call. As Dan indicated, I'm going to be speaking to adjusted results. At the third quarter earnings call, we expected fourth quarter consolidated sales growth of approximately 14% to 17% and organic sales growth between 2% and 4% year-over-year. Consolidated sales in the quarter were $1.9 billion, an increase of 14.3% year-over-year, and this includes 13.8 points of growth from acquisitions, 1.5 points of organic growth and 1 point of unfavorable foreign exchange impact. Pricing for the fourth quarter was flat. Sequentially, organic sales declined a little more than 1 point on a workday-adjusted basis, which is consistent with our typical seasonality. As John indicated, monthly organic sales per workday were varied during the quarter, however, December did end up, up 1%. Backlog remains at a healthy level overall. Core backlog was up approximately 3% versus year-end 2012, while U.S. backlog was actually up over 10% during the same time period. While sales growth continues to be weak overall, the indicators continue to point to an improving U.S. economy. In October, we estimated that fourth quarter gross margin will be approximately 20.5%. We were disappointed that gross margin came in at 20%; that's 50 basis points short of our outlook and 40 basis points down from the fourth quarter of 2012. Gross margin for the quarter was impacted primarily by final supplier volume rebate adjustments on the lower-than-expected top line growth. SG&A expenses for the quarter were $249 million, compared to $231 million in the prior-year quarter, and EECOL accounted for all of that growth, while core SG&A expenses were down about $13 million over last year's quarter. Sequentially, Q4 SG&A decreased approximately $7 million. SG&A expense reductions were due to continued effect of cost controls, along with variable compensation actions that were taken reflecting weaker-than-planned financial performance in the second half. Core employment levels were up approximately 2% in 2013 compared to the prior year, as we continue to selectively invest in our growth engines and operational excellence initiatives. We've also continued to expand our sales capacity and capability, increasing our core sales personnel to over 3,300 at the end of the year. In our October call, we estimated fourth quarter operating margin would expand to approximately 6%. Operating profit for the fourth quarter was $110.6 million, that's 5.9% of sales, and up 40 basis points from the prior year. Interest expense in the fourth quarter was $20.6 million versus $11.7 million in the prior year, and that was driven by the EECOL acquisition financing. Our weighted average borrowing rate for the quarter was 3.9%. We expect the weighted average borrowing rate to tick up slightly in the first quarter of 2014, due to the impact of the high-yield financing that we completed in mid-December. Net income for the fourth quarter was $67 million, that's up about 23% over the prior year. For the fourth quarter, earnings per diluted share were $1.26, compared to $1.06 last year; that's an increase of 19%. EECOL contributed approximately $0.25 of EPS accretion, while the core business was a $0.05 drag on EPS, driven by lower gross margins and higher share count, which was partially offset by $13 million of lower SG&A. For the full year, sales grew to a record of $7.5 billion, with acquisitions contributing 14.6% of that growth, while organic sales were essentially flat. Foreign exchange was a 40-basis-point negative impact on sales and pricing was up approximately 20 basis points for the full year. Full year gross margin reached 20.6%, expansion of 40 basis points over 2012, and gross profit grew to $1.55 billion. Both gross margin and gross profit reached a record level in 2013. We continue to make progress towards our gross margin target of 22%. For the full year, SG&A expenses grew $117 million, but declined 30 basis points to 13.7% of sales. All of the growth was a result of acquisitions, while core SG&A declined $16 million as we continue to tightly control costs in the current low-growth environment. The additional sales, gross margin expansion and cost control generated 20% year-over-year growth in operating profit to $445 million, or 5.9% of sales. For the full year, interest expense was approximately $86 million, up $41 million due primarily to the EECOL acquisition financing. For the full year 2013, net income reached $264 million, and that's up 15% over the prior year. Return on invested capital was 10% for the full year. And while ROIC declined in 2013 due to the impact of the EECOL acquisition, we remain committed to our 15% ROIC target over the longer term. Capital expenditures were $7 million in the fourth quarter and $28 million for the full year. We continue to invest in our people, our technology and facilities through both capital expenditures and operating expenses. Full year 2013 EPS reached a record level of $5.02, compared to $4.49, which is an increase of 12%. Consistent with our expectations, EECOL delivered approximately $1 of EPS accretion for the full year. However, the core business reduced EPS by $0.47 due to flat sales, 50 basis points of gross margin contraction and 1.6 million incremental diluted shares, all this partially mitigated by $16 million of lower SG&A. WESCO has historically generated strong free cash flow throughout the entire business cycle. And as a first priority, we focus on redeploying cash through organic growth and acquisition initiatives to strengthen and profitably grow our business. Second, we work to maintain the financial leverage ratio of between 2 to 3.5x EBITDA. Following the acquisition of EECOL, we committed to prioritizing near-term free cash flow to debt reduction, and we've been able to reduce our leverage ratio from over 4x EBITDA at the end of 2012, immediately following the acquisition, to 3.2x EBITDA at year-end this year 2013. Comfortably inside our target range again. Debt, net of cash, was 2.7x EBITDA and liquidity, defined as invested cash plus committed borrowing capacity, reached $606 million at the end of the fourth quarter, and that's more than twice the level that we ended 2012 at. Free cash flow for the fourth quarter was $128 million, 191% of net income. And for the full year, we generated record free cash flow of $308 million, or 117% of net income, compared to $265 million, which was 115% of net income in 2012. We had a strong year of working capital management, reducing average working capital intensity by 4 days from 2012. In December and as previously disclosed, we completed $500 million of high-yield financing, achieving a 5 3/8% fixed rate on an 8-year term. The proceeds were used to reduce the variable rate U.S. term loan that we closed last December as a part of the EECOL transaction. We expect the favorable impact of previously disclosed pricing amendments to both our accounts receivable revolver and the U.S. term loan to largely offset the higher interest expense resulted from the high-yield financing. As a result of the new financing, our fixed-to-floating debt ratio is now approximately 50-50 versus 20-80 at the end of the prior year. I'll now turn my comments to the full year and first quarter 2014 outlook. For the full year, it's our expectation that the macro economy will show slow but steady improvements during the year and we're confident that our value proposition in our investment and our growth engines favorably position us to take share and grow faster than the market. At the same time, our M&A program continues to be an important growth engine that supplements our core growth. Given the lack of predictability around acquisition timing, our outlook will now include only announced acquisitions. For 2014, only LaPrairie falls into that category and, therefore, our outlook. We expect 2014 sales to grow between 3% and 6% for the full year. We expect gross margin to be approximately 20.9%, which would be approximately 30 basis points higher than 2013. Operating margin is expected to be between 6.1% and 6.3%; that's 20 to 40 basis points of estimated operating margin expansion. Currency translation is expected to have a negative impact on 2014 results, based upon the weaker Canadian to U.S. dollar conversion. The effective tax rate for the year is expected to be in the range of 26% to 28%. Putting all of this together, we expect our full year diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $5.30 to $5.70. I'll now turn to the first quarter outlook. We expect first quarter 2014 sales to be flat to up 3% over last year's first quarter including LaPrairie for the month of February and March. Assuming the current rate environment continues, foreign exchange is expected to negatively impact sales comparisons by approximately 2 points in the quarter. In the first quarter, we expect gross margin to be in the range of 20.8% and 21%, and operating margin to be approximately 5.3% to 5.5%. Canadian currency translation is expected to have a slightly larger impact on profit comparisons due to the relatively higher profitability of our Canadian business. Consistent with the full year, the first quarter effective tax rate is expected to be in the range of 26% and 28%. With that, we will now open up the conference call for your questions.